{ "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt", "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/pcar-stock-analysis/", "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/pcar-stock-analysis/data.json", "title": "PACCAR Inc. (PCAR) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)", "description": "Is PACCAR (PCAR) a Buy or Sell today? Get the AI trade setup, key support levels and freight cycle risk analysis. Updated daily.", "headline": "PACCAR Inc. (PCAR)", "published": "2026-09-07T09:29:53+00:00", "modified": "2026-09-11T17:46:02.199+00:00", "generated": "2026-09-11T20:01:59.561Z", "language": "en-US", "publisher": { "name": "CleaRank", "url": "https://clearank.com/" }, "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.", "asset": { "ticker": "PCAR", "name": "PACCAR Inc.", "type": "Common Stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "currency": "USD", "sector": "Industrials", "industry": "Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery", "country": "United States", "website": "https://www.paccar.com" }, "quote": { "price": 123.35, "previousClose": 122.57, "change": 0.78, "changePercent": 0.63, "open": 124.21, "high": 124.38, "low": 122.925, "volume": 51722, "averageVolume": 2156902, "marketCap": 64516552289, "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 139.24001, "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 92.25, "marketOpen": false, "asOf": "2026-09-11T17:45:59.000Z" }, "statistics": { "pe": 25.80421, "eps": 4.75, "dividendYield": 0.011350277676436012, "beta": 0.972, "priceToSales": 2.319421, "priceToBook": 3.174813, "revenueTtm": 27815800832, "grossMargin": 0.1754541720222084, "returnOnEquity": 0.12755999 }, "technicals": { "rsi": 25.64, "macd": -1.77, "sma50": 127.97, "sma200": 120.31, "rsiSignal": "Oversold", "trend": "Bullish", "pricePosition": "Bearish", "macdSignal": "Bearish", "rating": "Bearish" }, "analysis": { "rating": "Hold", "score": 59, "consensus": "Hold", "fairValue": 140, "analystTarget": 140, "analystCount": 18, "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold", "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T17:45:59.000Z", "priceAtAnalysis": 123.345, "volatility": { "daily": 1.21, "risk": "standard" } }, "tradePlan": { "bias": "Neutral", "conservativeEntry": 122.11, "aggressiveEntry": 123.35, "stopLoss": 118.08, "stopLossPercent": 3.3, "targets": [ 125.77, 128.22, 131.88 ] }, "projections": { "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets", "years": [ { "year": 2027, "downside10th": 96.67, "base": 135.37, "upside90th": 189.57 }, { "year": 2028, "downside10th": 92.29, "base": 148.57, "upside90th": 239.19 }, { "year": 2029, "downside10th": 91, "base": 163.06, "upside90th": 292.16 }, { "year": 2030, "downside10th": 91.26, "base": 178.96, "upside90th": 350.92 }, { "year": 2031, "downside10th": 92.51, "base": 196.41, "upside90th": 417 }, { "year": 2032, "downside10th": 94.49, "base": 215.56, "upside90th": 491.76 }, { "year": 2033, "downside10th": 97.07, "base": 236.58, "upside90th": 576.58 }, { "year": 2034, "downside10th": 100.18, "base": 259.64, "upside90th": 672.95 }, { "year": 2035, "downside10th": 103.78, "base": 284.96, "upside90th": 782.49 }, { "year": 2036, "downside10th": 107.84, "base": 312.75, "upside90th": 907.02 } ] }, "faqCount": 8, "sources": [ "TwelveData", "Wall Street consensus" ], "sections": [ { "id": "price", "title": "PCAR Price Analysis" }, { "id": "market-metrics", "title": "Market Metrics", "facts": { "Open": "$124.21", "Day Range": "$122.93 to $124.38", "Prev Close": "$122.57", "Volume": "51.7K", "52-Week Range": "$92.25 to $139.24", "Market Cap": "$64.52B" } }, { "id": "peer-benchmarking", "title": "Peer Benchmarking", "text": [ "Sector Position Analysis Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (0.0163% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards." ] }, { "id": "analysis", "title": "PCAR Analysis", "text": [ "PACCAR Inc. exhibits bearish momentum, with its RSI at 25.64 indicating an oversold condition, suggesting a potential for a bounce. The stock is trading below its 50-day SMA ($127.97) and 20-day EMA ($125.59), but remains above its 200-day SMA ($120.31), indicating a mixed short-to-medium term trend. The recent price action below key moving averages, coupled with low trading volume compared to its average, suggests a lack of immediate buying conviction. Key support is seen at the 200-day SMA, while resistance lies at the 50-day SMA and the 20-day EMA.", "Insiders have sold $33.5 million worth of stock against only $448,900 in purchases, resulting in a 'Moderate Sell Signal' and indicating potential lack of confidence at current price levels.", "With 12 out of 18 analysts rating PACCAR Inc. as 'Hold', the market sentiment remains balanced, suggesting no strong conviction for either significant upside or downside in the near term.", "The current RSI of 25.64 indicates that the stock is in oversold territory, which historically can precede a price reversal or bounce.", "PACCAR Inc. is forecasted to achieve 10.00% revenue growth for both the current and next fiscal years, providing a stable top-line outlook.", "PACCAR Inc. is expected to maintain its current trading range in the near term, with the median analyst target price of $140 suggesting limited upside from the current $123.35. The company's projected 10.00% revenue growth for both the current and next year provides a stable foundation, but the neutral Wall Street consensus and significant insider selling temper bullish expectations. Investors should monitor upcoming earnings reports and any shifts in analyst sentiment for potential catalysts." ], "lists": { "ProTips": [ "Monitor PACCAR's upcoming earnings reports closely, as recent performance has shown inconsistency, and the stock has reacted negatively even to EPS beats.", "Given the oversold RSI reading, traders may look for a technical bounce, but the overall 'Hold' consensus and insider selling suggest caution against aggressive long positions.", "Consider the impact of the 'Moderate Sell Signal' from insider transactions; a sustained trend of insider selling could weigh on future stock performance." ] }, "catalysts": [ { "type": "Bearish", "title": "Significant Insider Selling Activity", "text": "Insiders have sold $33.5 million worth of stock against only $448,900 in purchases, resulting in a 'Moderate Sell Signal' and indicating potential lack of confidence at current price levels.", "source": "Insider Trading Data" }, { "type": "Neutral", "title": "Wall Street Maintains Neutral Stance", "text": "With 12 out of 18 analysts rating PACCAR Inc. as 'Hold', the market sentiment remains balanced, suggesting no strong conviction for either significant upside or downside in the near term.", "source": "Wall Street Consensus" }, { "type": "Bullish", "title": "Oversold RSI Suggests Potential Reversal", "text": "The current RSI of 25.64 indicates that the stock is in oversold territory, which historically can precede a price reversal or bounce.", "source": "Technical Analysis" }, { "type": "Bullish", "title": "Positive Revenue Growth Projections", "text": "PACCAR Inc. is forecasted to achieve 10.00% revenue growth for both the current and next fiscal years, providing a stable top-line outlook.", "source": "Wall Street Revenue Estimates" } ] }, { "id": "key-statistics", "title": "Key Statistics", "text": [ "PACCAR Inc. presents a mixed fundamental picture with a P/E ratio of 25.8, which is in line with its sector average. While the company has a positive revenue growth forecast of 10.00% for the current year and 10.00% for next year, its recent earnings have shown inconsistency, including a negative EPS surprise in the June 2026 quarter. The company's balance sheet strength is not detailed, but the current valuation appears to be priced for moderate growth, aligning with the neutral Wall Street sentiment.", "PACCAR Inc. recently reported an EPS of $1.43, exceeding the estimate of $1.36 by 5.15%, although the stock experienced a 3.14% decline following the announcement. This follows a pattern of mixed earnings surprises, including a 14.29% miss in the prior quarter. The company's revenue growth is projected at 10.00% for the current year, indicating a stable top-line trajectory despite recent earnings volatility.", "The primary risks for PACCAR Inc. include significant insider selling, with total sales exceeding purchases by a wide margin, signaling a 'Moderate Sell Signal'. Also, the stock's current technical position below key moving averages and an oversold RSI suggest potential for further downside pressure. The mixed earnings performance and a neutral Wall Street consensus also contribute to a cautious outlook for the company." ], "tables": [ { "caption": "", "columns": [], "rows": [ { "label": "Market Cap", "cells": [ "64.52B" ] }, { "label": "P/E Ratio", "cells": [ "25.80" ] }, { "label": "EPS (TTM)", "cells": [ "4.75" ] }, { "label": "Dividend Yield", "cells": [ "1.97%" ] }, { "label": "52 Week High", "cells": [ "139.24" ] }, { "label": "52 Week Low", "cells": [ "92.25" ] } ] } ] }, { "id": "technical-indicators", "title": "Technical Indicators", "text": [ "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Oversold SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($127.97) above the 200-day SMA ($120.31), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 25.6 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup." ], "facts": { "RSI": "Oversold", "SMA Cross": "Bullish", "Price vs SMA": "Bearish", "MACD": "Bearish" }, "tables": [ { "caption": "", "columns": [], "rows": [ { "label": "RSI (14)", "cells": [ "25.64" ] }, { "label": "MACD", "cells": [ "-1.77" ] }, { "label": "SMA 50", "cells": [ "127.97" ] }, { "label": "SMA 200", "cells": [ "120.31" ] } ] } ] }, { "id": "correlations", "title": "Market Correlations", "text": [ "How this stock moves relative to other assets", "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods." ], "facts": { "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.50", "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.42", "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.05", "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.11" } }, { "id": "trade-plans", "title": "PCAR Trade Plans", "text": [ "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels", "Enter now if confident", "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (25.6) and current market volatility", "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3" ], "facts": { "TARGET 1": "$125.77", "TARGET 2": "$128.22", "TARGET 3": "$131.88", "STOP LOSS": "$118.08" } }, { "id": "risk", "title": "Risk & Volatility", "facts": { "Daily Volatility": "1.21%" }, "lists": { "Risk considerations": [ "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels", "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range", "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure" ] } }, { "id": "growth", "title": "Growth of $10,000", "text": [ "A $10,000 investment in PCAR in September 2016 would be worth about $32,159 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark." ] }, { "id": "monte-carlo", "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)", "text": [ "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in PCAR today could grow to about $25,356 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $73,535 and a bear case around $8,743. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees." ] }, { "id": "price-prediction", "title": "PCAR Stock Price Prediction: 2030", "text": [ "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $179 for PCAR by 2030 in the base case, from $123 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $91.26. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on PCAR's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.", "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using PCAR's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice." ], "tables": [ { "caption": "PCAR simulated price paths by year", "columns": [ "Year", "Downside (10th pct)", "Base case", "Upside (90th pct)" ], "rows": [ { "label": "2027", "cells": [ "$96.67", "$135", "$190" ] }, { "label": "2028", "cells": [ "$92.29", "$149", "$239" ] }, { "label": "2029", "cells": [ "$91.00", "$163", "$292" ] }, { "label": "2030", "cells": [ "$91.26", "$179", "$351" ] }, { "label": "2031", "cells": [ "$92.51", "$196", "$417" ] }, { "label": "2032", "cells": [ "$94.49", "$216", "$492" ] }, { "label": "2033", "cells": [ "$97.07", "$237", "$577" ] }, { "label": "2034", "cells": [ "$100", "$260", "$673" ] }, { "label": "2035", "cells": [ "$104", "$285", "$782" ] }, { "label": "2036", "cells": [ "$108", "$313", "$907" ] } ] } ] }, { "id": "people-also-watch", "title": "People Also Watch", "links": [ { "text": "ITW Illinois Tool Works Inc. 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This is supported by a Wall Street score of 60 out of 100." }, { "question": "What is PACCAR Inc.'s price target?", "answer": "The median analyst price target for PACCAR Inc. is $140.00, with a range from $125 to $164. This suggests an upside potential of 13.5% from the current price of $123.35." }, { "question": "Is PACCAR Inc. stock a buy right now?", "answer": "With a 'Hold' consensus rating and a median price target that offers only modest upside, PACCAR Inc. is not currently signaling a strong buy. Insider selling and technical indicators also suggest caution." }, { "question": "What are the biggest risks facing PACCAR Inc.?", "answer": "The most significant risks for PACCAR Inc. include substantial insider selling, a neutral Wall Street consensus, and technical indicators showing bearish momentum despite an oversold RSI." }, { "question": "How has PACCAR Inc. performed in recent earnings reports?", "answer": "PACCAR Inc. recently reported an EPS beat of 5.15%, but the stock declined following the news. Previous quarters have shown mixed results, including a significant EPS miss, indicating some earnings volatility." }, { "question": "What is PACCAR Inc.'s revenue growth outlook?", "answer": "PACCAR Inc. is expected to achieve revenue growth of 10.00% for the current year and a similar 10.00% for the next year, indicating a stable top-line trajectory." }, { "question": "What does the insider trading activity suggest for PACCAR Inc.?", "answer": "Insider activity for PACCAR Inc. indicates a 'Moderate Sell Signal', with total insider sales significantly outweighing total purchases, suggesting a lack of strong conviction from management at current price levels." }, { "question": "What is PACCAR Inc.'s stock price prediction for 2030?", "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, PACCAR Inc.'s stock price prediction for 2030 has a base case of $178.96, a downside case of $91.26, and an upside case of $350.92. 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We use our proprietary technology, expert analysis and verified trader insights, to deliver data driven broker evaluations you can trust. Our CLEAR™ Score is our foundation, a transparent, unbiased methodology that assesses brokers and firms based on the most critical factors including regulation, fees, platform reliability, and real user experiences. We are here to change an unfair system and unlike other review sites that are influenced by partnerships or subjective opinions, CleaRank is 100% independent–abiding by our rigorous CLEAR™ editorial code. We do not accept financial incentives from brokers, so what you see is what you get with no hidden agendas, just honest, actionable feedback. Clear data. Honest reviews. 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This is supported by a Wall Street score of 60 out of 100." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What is PACCAR Inc.'s price target?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "The median analyst price target for PACCAR Inc. is $140.00, with a range from $125 to $164. This suggests an upside potential of 13.5% from the current price of $123.35." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "Is PACCAR Inc. stock a buy right now?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "With a 'Hold' consensus rating and a median price target that offers only modest upside, PACCAR Inc. is not currently signaling a strong buy. Insider selling and technical indicators also suggest caution." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What are the biggest risks facing PACCAR Inc.?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "The most significant risks for PACCAR Inc. include substantial insider selling, a neutral Wall Street consensus, and technical indicators showing bearish momentum despite an oversold RSI." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "How has PACCAR Inc. performed in recent earnings reports?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "PACCAR Inc. recently reported an EPS beat of 5.15%, but the stock declined following the news. Previous quarters have shown mixed results, including a significant EPS miss, indicating some earnings volatility." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What is PACCAR Inc.'s revenue growth outlook?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "PACCAR Inc. is expected to achieve revenue growth of 10.00% for the current year and a similar 10.00% for the next year, indicating a stable top-line trajectory." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What does the insider trading activity suggest for PACCAR Inc.?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "Insider activity for PACCAR Inc. indicates a 'Moderate Sell Signal', with total insider sales significantly outweighing total purchases, suggesting a lack of strong conviction from management at current price levels." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What is PACCAR Inc.'s stock price prediction for 2030?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, PACCAR Inc.'s stock price prediction for 2030 has a base case of $178.96, a downside case of $91.26, and an upside case of $350.92. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees." } } ] } ] }