{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/papa-johns-pzza/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/papa-johns-pzza/data.json",
 "title": "PZZA Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Is Papa John's (PZZA) a Buy or Sell after the guidance cut and dividend suspension? AI trade setup, support levels and risk analysis. Updated daily.",
 "headline": "Papa John's International, Inc. (PZZA)",
 "published": "2026-08-08T09:17:30+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-27T13:35:53.718+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T14:20:54.362Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "PZZA",
  "name": "Papa John's International, Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Consumer Cyclical",
  "industry": "Restaurants",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.papajohns.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 19.55,
  "previousClose": 20.22,
  "change": -0.67,
  "changePercent": -3.31,
  "open": 20.23,
  "high": 20.46,
  "low": 19.31,
  "volume": 1982700,
  "averageVolume": 1635960,
  "marketCap": 643618980,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 55.74,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 19.31,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-27T13:35:53.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 24.437498,
  "eps": 0.8,
  "dividendYield": 0.09411765073176824,
  "beta": 1.065,
  "priceToSales": 0.327152,
  "priceToBook": -1.463282303115927,
  "revenueTtm": 1967339008,
  "grossMargin": 0.2972074867795612,
  "returnOnEquity": -0.06833824066413056
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 28.23,
  "macd": -1.42,
  "sma50": 24.89,
  "sma200": 32.61,
  "rsiSignal": "Oversold",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Sell",
  "score": 25,
  "consensus": "Sell",
  "fairValue": 19.55,
  "analystTarget": 27,
  "analystCount": 14,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-27T13:35:53.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 19.55,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 2.42,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bearish",
  "conservativeEntry": 19.94,
  "aggressiveEntry": 19.55,
  "stopLoss": 21.9,
  "stopLossPercent": 9.83,
  "targets": [
   18.94,
   17.95,
   16.95
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 10.85,
    "base": 18.63,
    "upside90th": 31.98
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 8.26,
    "base": 17.75,
    "upside90th": 38.12
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 6.63,
    "base": 16.91,
    "upside90th": 43.13
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 5.47,
    "base": 16.11,
    "upside90th": 47.5
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 4.58,
    "base": 15.35,
    "upside90th": 51.41
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 3.89,
    "base": 14.63,
    "upside90th": 54.98
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 3.33,
    "base": 13.94,
    "upside90th": 58.24
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 2.88,
    "base": 13.28,
    "upside90th": 61.25
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 2.5,
    "base": 12.65,
    "upside90th": 64.04
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 2.18,
    "base": 12.06,
    "upside90th": 66.61
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 8,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "PZZA Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$20.23",
    "Day Range": "$19.31 to $20.46",
    "Prev Close": "$20.22",
    "Volume": "1.98M",
    "52-Week Range": "$19.31 to $55.74",
    "Market Cap": "$643.62M"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (17% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "PZZA Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 2 quarters, PZZA beat estimates 1 times. However, the stock fell 1 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often \"priced in\" or investors are selling the news."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "PZZA Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Papa John's International, Inc. (PZZA) is trading below its key moving averages, with its current price of $19.55 sitting below the 50-day SMA of $24.89 and the 200-day SMA of $32.61. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 28.23, indicating an oversold condition that could precede a short-term rebound. However, the MACD is negative at -1.42, and the stock is also below its 20-day EMA, reinforcing a bearish momentum. Key support levels are not clearly defined given the downward trend, but the oversold RSI may offer temporary respite. Volume has been above average recently, suggesting increased trading activity around the current price levels. The overall chart structure points to continued downward pressure unless a significant catalyst emerges to reverse the trend.",
    "Projected revenue declines in the current and next quarters indicate ongoing challenges in sales growth, potentially pressuring earnings and stock price.",
    "Current year earnings are projected to decrease by 17.4%, signaling profitability concerns that could deter investor confidence.",
    "The RSI is at 28.23, indicating the stock is oversold and may experience a short-term technical rebound.",
    "While the consensus is 'Hold', the median price target from analysts suggests a potential upside of 38.1% from the current price.",
    "Papa John's International, Inc. (PZZA) faces a challenging outlook, with projected revenue declines in the current and next quarters and a significant drop in earnings for the current year. The median analyst price target of $27.00 suggests potential upside, but this is tempered by the company's weak fundamental performance and a consensus 'Hold' rating. The primary upside catalyst would need to be a significant turnaround in revenue growth and profitability, potentially driven by new strategic initiatives or a recovery in consumer spending on dining out. Conversely, continued revenue contraction, failure to improve margins, or increased competitive pressure could lead to further downside, pushing the stock towards its lower price targets and long-range projections."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Given the oversold RSI and negative trend, consider waiting for a confirmed technical bounce or a clear fundamental catalyst before initiating a position in PZZA.",
     "The company's negative revenue growth and thin profit margins warrant close monitoring of future earnings reports and management guidance.",
     "As an MLP, Papa John's International, Inc. issues Schedule K-1 tax forms instead of standard 1099-DIV forms, which may create complex tax obligations-especially if held in a retirement account (IRA/401k). Consult a tax advisor."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Continued Revenue Contraction",
     "text": "Projected revenue declines in the current and next quarters indicate ongoing challenges in sales growth, potentially pressuring earnings and stock price.",
     "source": "Wall Street Revenue Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Negative Earnings Growth",
     "text": "Current year earnings are projected to decrease by 17.4%, signaling profitability concerns that could deter investor confidence.",
     "source": "Wall Street EPS Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Oversold RSI Suggests Potential Bounce",
     "text": "The RSI is at 28.23, indicating the stock is oversold and may experience a short-term technical rebound.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Analyst Median Price Target of $27.00",
     "text": "While the consensus is 'Hold', the median price target from analysts suggests a potential upside of 38.1% from the current price.",
     "source": "Wall Street Price Target"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Papa John's International, Inc. (PZZA) exhibits a weak fundamental profile, trading at a price-to-sales ratio of 0.33, which is below the sector average of 1.9. However, its P/E ratio of 24.44 is higher than the sector average of 20.8, suggesting it may be overvalued relative to its earnings, especially considering its negative revenue growth. The company's return on equity is a concerning -6.83%, and its net profit margin stands at a thin 1.40%, indicating struggles with profitability. The balance sheet appears sound with a negligible debt-to-equity ratio of -0.02. Despite this, the negative revenue growth of -8.8% and the projected earnings decline for the current year raise questions about the company's ability to generate sustainable growth and justify its current valuation. The forward earnings growth estimate for next year is only 12.7%, which is considerably lower than the sector's average revenue growth of 7.2%.",
    "Papa John's International, Inc. (PZZA) most recently reported earnings for the quarter ending June 2026, with an actual EPS of $0.46, beating the estimate of $0.45 by 2.22%, though the stock reacted negatively with a -0.69% price change. Prior to this, the company missed earnings estimates significantly in the March 2026 quarter, reporting an EPS of -1.00 against an estimate of -0.40, leading to a -4.22% stock price decline. The company has a history of inconsistent earnings performance, with multiple misses in the reported quarters.",
    "Papa John's International, Inc. (PZZA) faces significant risks from its declining revenue and negative earnings growth trajectory, which are not adequately supported by its current valuation. The oversold technical indicators suggest potential for a bounce, but the lack of strong fundamental catalysts and the bearish trend pose a risk to any short-term gains. Competition within the highly saturated restaurant industry also presents an ongoing challenge to market share and profitability."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "643.62M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "24.44"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "0.8000"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "9.41%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "55.74"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "19.31"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Oversold SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $24.89, 200-day: $32.61), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 28.2 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Oversold",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "28.23"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-1.42"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "24.89"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "32.61"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.22",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.17",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.02",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.04"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "PZZA Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for rally",
    "Higher risk, chasing the move",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (28.2) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$18.94",
    "TARGET 2": "$17.95",
    "TARGET 3": "$16.95",
    "STOP LOSS": "$21.90"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+2.39%",
    "Average Feb return": "-4.50%",
    "Average Mar return": "-2.12%",
    "Average Apr return": "+0.95%",
    "Average May return": "-2.46%",
    "Average Jun return": "+0.01%",
    "Average Jul return": "-0.89%",
    "Average Aug return": "+1.69%",
    "Average Sep return": "-0.43%",
    "Average Oct return": "-0.09%",
    "Average Nov return": "+0.20%",
    "Average Dec return": "-2.01%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "2.42%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in PZZA in September 2016 would be worth about $2,396 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in PZZA today could grow to about $6,167 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $34,070 and a bear case around $1,116. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "PZZA Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $16.11 for PZZA by 2030 in the base case, from $19.55 today (0.8x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $5.47. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on PZZA's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using PZZA's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "PZZA simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$10.85",
        "$18.63",
        "$31.98"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$8.26",
        "$17.75",
        "$38.12"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$6.63",
        "$16.91",
        "$43.13"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$5.47",
        "$16.11",
        "$47.50"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$4.58",
        "$15.35",
        "$51.41"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$3.89",
        "$14.63",
        "$54.98"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$3.33",
        "$13.94",
        "$58.24"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$2.88",
        "$13.28",
        "$61.25"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$2.50",
        "$12.65",
        "$64.04"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$2.18",
        "$12.06",
        "$66.61"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
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  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "PZZA Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "None",
    "Insiders": "12",
    "Avg Transaction": "N/A"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in PZZA",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Aug 19, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "SMITH JEFFREY CHAD Director",
        "Sell",
        "700.0K",
        "$85.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 19, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "SMITH JEFFREY CHAD Director",
        "Sell",
        "700.0K",
        "$78.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 10, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "SCHNATTER JOHN H Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "1.0M",
        "$63.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 4, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "SCHNATTER JOHN H Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "194.2K",
        "$11.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 6, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "SCHNATTER JOHN H Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "104.6K",
        "$6.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 13, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "SWAYSLAND JACK H Officer",
        "Sell",
        "19.8K",
        "$1.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 24, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "LYNCH ROBERT Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "12.5K",
        "$1.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 30, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "KIRTLEY OLIVIA F Director",
        "Sell",
        "14.1K",
        "$1.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 11, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "OYLER CAROLINE MILLER Officer",
        "Sell",
        "6.9K",
        "$830.8K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 6, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "SWAYSLAND JACK H Officer",
        "Sell",
        "7.2K",
        "$754.7K"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Papa+John%27s+International%2C+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Papa John's International, Inc. stock price forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Papa John's International, Inc. (PZZA) has a base case price projection of $16.11 for 2030, with a downside price of $5.47 and an upside price of $47.5. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is Papa John's International, Inc. stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Papa John's International, Inc. (PZZA) is currently trading at $19.55, below its key moving averages and with an oversold RSI. While analysts have a median price target of $27.00, the company's negative revenue and earnings growth suggest caution."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical levels for PZZA stock?",
   "answer": "PZZA is trading below its 50-day SMA of $24.89 and 200-day SMA of $32.61. The RSI is at 28.23, indicating oversold conditions, but the MACD is negative, suggesting bearish momentum."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the consensus rating for Papa John's International, Inc. stock?",
   "answer": "The consensus rating for Papa John's International, Inc. (PZZA) among 14 Wall Street analysts is 'Hold', with 11 analysts maintaining this rating. The overall Wall Street score is 50 out of 100."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has Papa John's International, Inc. performed in recent earnings reports?",
   "answer": "Papa John's International, Inc. (PZZA) recently beat estimates for the quarter ending June 2026, but had a significant miss in the March 2026 quarter. The company has shown inconsistent earnings performance."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the main risks facing Papa John's International, Inc.?",
   "answer": "Key risks include declining revenue, negative earnings growth, intense industry competition, and a bearish technical setup. The company's profitability also remains a concern."
  },
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   "question": "What is the outlook for Papa John's International, Inc. based on analyst estimates?",
   "answer": "Analysts project a continued decline in revenue for the current and next quarters, and a 17.4% decrease in earnings for the current year. While earnings are expected to grow by 12.7% next year, this follows a period of contraction."
  },
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   "answer": "All reported insider transactions for an insider's International, Inc. (PZZA) are stock grants or awards, which are compensation-based and do not represent open-market purchases or sales. There have been no net open-market buying or selling activities."
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      "text": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Papa John's International, Inc. (PZZA) has a base case price projection of $16.11 for 2030, with a downside price of $5.47 and an upside price of $47.5. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets."
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      "text": "Key risks include declining revenue, negative earnings growth, intense industry competition, and a bearish technical setup. The company's profitability also remains a concern."
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      "text": "Analysts project a continued decline in revenue for the current and next quarters, and a 17.4% decrease in earnings for the current year. While earnings are expected to grow by 12.7% next year, this follows a period of contraction."
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