{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/okta-okta/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/okta-okta/data.json",
 "title": "Okta (OKTA) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Okta Inc. (OKTA) stock: Technology, Software - Infrastructure. $34.1B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Okta Inc. (OKTA)",
 "published": "2026-05-31T09:08:47+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-27T09:20:53.614+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T13:31:01.557Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "OKTA",
  "name": "Okta Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Technology",
  "industry": "Software - Infrastructure",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.okta.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 195.19,
  "previousClose": 206.64,
  "change": -11.45,
  "changePercent": -5.54,
  "open": 204,
  "high": 205,
  "low": 195.037994,
  "volume": 3990700,
  "averageVolume": 4728400,
  "marketCap": 34123296936,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 212.5,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 62.66,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-27T09:20:53.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 117.58434,
  "eps": 1.66,
  "dividendYield": 0,
  "beta": 0.789,
  "priceToSales": 11.10423,
  "priceToBook": 4.893574,
  "revenueTtm": 3072999936,
  "grossMargin": 0.7962732919254658,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.043130003
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 64.31,
  "macd": 12.94,
  "sma50": 158.19,
  "sma200": 109.17,
  "rsiSignal": "Bullish",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Bullish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 55,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 190,
  "analystTarget": 190,
  "analystCount": 44,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-27T09:20:53.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 195.19,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 6.37,
   "risk": "volatile"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 193.24,
  "aggressiveEntry": 195.19,
  "stopLoss": 174.76,
  "stopLossPercent": 9.56,
  "targets": [
   199.04,
   202.9,
   208.7
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 117.71,
    "base": 223.41,
    "upside90th": 424.03
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 103.32,
    "base": 255.71,
    "upside90th": 632.87
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 96.46,
    "base": 292.68,
    "upside90th": 887.99
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 92.99,
    "base": 334.99,
    "upside90th": 1206.76
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 91.49,
    "base": 383.42,
    "upside90th": 1606.8
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 91.33,
    "base": 438.85,
    "upside90th": 2108.62
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 92.18,
    "base": 502.3,
    "upside90th": 2736.91
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 93.86,
    "base": 574.91,
    "upside90th": 3521.61
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 96.24,
    "base": 658.03,
    "upside90th": 4499.17
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 99.27,
    "base": 753.16,
    "upside90th": 5713.96
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "OKTA Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$204.00",
    "Day Range": "$195.04 to $205.00",
    "Prev Close": "$206.64",
    "Volume": "3.99M",
    "52-Week Range": "$62.66 to $212.50",
    "Market Cap": "$34.12B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+246%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "OKTA Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, OKTA beat estimates 3 times. The stock rose 3 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "OKTA Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Okta Inc. exhibits bullish momentum, with its Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 64.31, indicating strength without being overbought. The stock is trading above its 20-day EMA ($181.79), 50-day SMA ($158.19), and 200-day SMA ($109.17), confirming an uptrend. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is positive at 12.94, further supporting bullish sentiment. Key support levels are identified by the 50-day SMA at $158.19 and the 20-day EMA at $181.79. Resistance is suggested by the current price action and the median analyst target of $190.00. Trading volume has been slightly below average recently, which could indicate a pause in the upward momentum. The overall chart structure points to continued strength, but the proximity to the median target and the heavy insider selling warrant caution.",
    "Insiders have sold $57.8 million worth of stock against minimal purchases, indicating potential concerns about future performance or valuation.",
    "Okta reported an EPS beat of 9.38% for the quarter ending September 2026, driving a significant 28.63% increase in stock price.",
    "Analysts project around 10% year-over-year revenue growth for the current and next quarters, indicating continued, albeit moderate, business expansion.",
    "The median analyst price target of $190.00 is slightly below the current trading price of $195.19, suggesting limited immediate upside.",
    "Okta Inc.'s outlook is cautiously optimistic, balancing strong technical momentum and solid profitability against significant insider selling and a premium valuation. The company is expected to continue its steady revenue growth, projected at 10% for the upcoming quarters, and maintain its strong profit margins. The median analyst price target of $190.00 suggests a slight downside from the current price, indicating that the market may be pricing in some of the concerns. Key catalysts for upside could include continued strong earnings beats and acceleration in revenue growth, potentially justifying the current valuation. Conversely, sustained heavy insider selling or a broader market downturn could pressure the stock. The company's low debt and strong operating margins provide a buffer against significant financial distress, but the lack of strong insider selling is a notable headwind."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor insider transaction trends closely; the current heavy selling pressure is a significant signal to watch.",
     "Given the stock is trading above key moving averages, consider using the 50-day SMA ($158.19) as a potential support level for risk management.",
     "Okta's premium valuation warrants a disciplined approach to position sizing, especially given the current analyst target suggests limited upside."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Heavy Insider Selling Pressure",
     "text": "Insiders have sold $57.8 million worth of stock against minimal purchases, indicating potential concerns about future performance or valuation.",
     "source": "Insider Transactions"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Strong Earnings Beat in Latest Quarter",
     "text": "Okta reported an EPS beat of 9.38% for the quarter ending September 2026, driving a significant 28.63% increase in stock price.",
     "source": "Earnings Report"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Steady Revenue Growth Projections",
     "text": "Analysts project around 10% year-over-year revenue growth for the current and next quarters, indicating continued, albeit moderate, business expansion.",
     "source": "Analyst Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Median Analyst Price Target Below Current Price",
     "text": "The median analyst price target of $190.00 is slightly below the current trading price of $195.19, suggesting limited immediate upside.",
     "source": "Wall Street Summary"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Okta Inc. trades at a Price-to-Sales ratio of 11.10, which is significantly higher than the sector median of 7.5, suggesting a premium valuation. Despite this, the company demonstrates strong profitability with a net profit margin of 9.63% and an operating margin of 13.29%, outperforming the sector median ROE of 13.4% with its own ROE of 4.31%. The company's balance sheet is exceptionally strong, with a debt-to-equity ratio of only 0.01, providing financial flexibility. While revenue growth of 10.6% lags the sector average of 24.1%, the company's ability to translate sales into profit is a positive. The current valuation appears stretched relative to sector averages, but this is partially offset by its strong margins and minimal debt. Investors should monitor whether future revenue growth can accelerate to justify the current premium.",
    "Okta Inc. has demonstrated a pattern of beating earnings estimates in recent quarters, with the latest report for the quarter ending September 2026 showing an EPS of $1.05 against an estimate of $0.96, a 9.38% surprise that coincided with a 28.63% stock price increase. Prior to this, the quarter ending June 2026 also saw a slight beat. However, the quarter ending March 2026 reported a negative EPS surprise of -14.29% and a price drop of -7.13%. The company's revenue growth is projected to be around 10% year-over-year for the current and next quarters, indicating steady but not explosive expansion.",
    "The most significant risk for Okta Inc. is the heavy insider selling, with over $57.8 million in dispositions versus minimal purchases, which could signal a lack of confidence from management. Additionally, the stock is trading at a premium valuation compared to its sector peers, with a P/S ratio of 11.10 against the sector median of 7.5, making it vulnerable to market corrections. The median analyst price target of $190.00 is also slightly below the current trading price, suggesting limited near-term upside potential."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "34.12B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "117.58"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "1.66"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.00%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "212.50"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "62.66"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bullish RSI Bullish SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bullish MACD Bullish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($158.19) above the 200-day SMA ($109.17), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Bullish",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bullish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "64.31"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "12.94"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "158.19"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "109.17"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.36",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.38",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.18",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.00"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "OKTA Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (64.3) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$199.04",
    "TARGET 2": "$202.90",
    "TARGET 3": "$208.70",
    "STOP LOSS": "$174.76"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+7.15%",
    "Average Feb return": "+2.01%",
    "Average Mar return": "+0.53%",
    "Average Apr return": "+4.03%",
    "Average May return": "+11.02%",
    "Average Jun return": "-0.03%",
    "Average Jul return": "+2.19%",
    "Average Aug return": "+2.29%",
    "Average Sep return": "-3.56%",
    "Average Oct return": "-3.33%",
    "Average Nov return": "+2.08%",
    "Average Dec return": "+3.51%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "6.37%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in OKTA in April 2017 would be worth about $83,024 today, compared with about $32,795 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in OKTA today could grow to about $38,586 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $292,738 and a bear case around $5,086. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "OKTA Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $335 for OKTA by 2030 in the base case, from $195 today (1.7x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $92.99. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on OKTA's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using OKTA's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. OKTA is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "OKTA simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$118",
        "$223",
        "$424"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$103",
        "$256",
        "$633"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$96.46",
        "$293",
        "$888"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$92.99",
        "$335",
        "$1,207"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$91.49",
        "$383",
        "$1,607"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$91.33",
        "$439",
        "$2,109"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$92.18",
        "$502",
        "$2,737"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$93.86",
        "$575",
        "$3,522"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$96.24",
        "$658",
        "$4,499"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$99.27",
        "$753",
        "$5,714"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/mndy-monday-com/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
   "links": [
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/gld-vs-slv/"
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  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "OKTA Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "$267.4K",
    "Sold": "$57.8M",
    "Insiders": "16",
    "Avg Transaction": "$1.5M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in OKTA",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Jul 20, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "KERREST JACQUES FREDERIC Chief Operating Officer",
        "Sell",
        "403.5K",
        "$84.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jan 24, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "KERREST JACQUES FREDERIC Director",
        "Sell",
        "525.0K",
        "$45.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 7, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "HOROWITZ BENJAMIN A Director",
        "Sell",
        "159.6K",
        "$39.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 5, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "KERREST JACQUES FREDERIC Director",
        "Sell",
        "313.9K",
        "$34.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 22, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "MCKINNON TODD Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "159.6K",
        "$31.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 20, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "MCKINNON TODD Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "234.3K",
        "$26.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 22, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "MCKINNON TODD Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "272.4K",
        "$25.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 13, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "HOROWITZ BENJAMIN A Director",
        "Sell",
        "100.0K",
        "$24.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 3, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "HOROWITZ BENJAMIN A Director",
        "Sell",
        "80.4K",
        "$19.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 20, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "MCKINNON TODD Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "233.0K",
        "$19.2M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Okta+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Okta Inc.'s stock price forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Okta Inc.'s stock price is projected to be $334.99 in 2030 under a base case scenario. The downside projection is $92.99, while the upside projection reaches $1206.76. These figures represent statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is Okta Inc. stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Okta Inc. is currently trading at $195.19, with a median analyst price target of $190.00, suggesting a slight downside. While technical indicators show bullish momentum, significant insider selling and a premium valuation warrant caution, leading to a 'Hold' consensus rating."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical levels for Okta Inc. stock?",
   "answer": "Okta Inc. is trading above its 50-day SMA of $158.19 and its 200-day SMA of $109.17, indicating a positive trend. The RSI is at 64.31, showing bullish momentum, and the stock is above its 20-day EMA of $181.79."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does Okta Inc.'s valuation compare to its peers?",
   "answer": "Okta Inc. trades at a Price-to-Sales ratio of 11.10, which is higher than the sector median of 7.5. Its revenue growth of 10.6% also lags the sector average of 24.1%, indicating a premium valuation relative to its current growth trajectory."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the outlook for Okta Inc.'s earnings?",
   "answer": "Okta Inc. has a history of beating earnings estimates, with its most recent quarter showing a 9.38% EPS surprise. Revenue growth is expected to remain steady around 10% year-over-year for the upcoming quarters."
  },
  {
   "question": "Are there any significant insider transactions for Okta Inc.?",
   "answer": "Yes, insiders have been net sellers, with $825.7M in total sales versus $267K in total purchases in recent filings. This heavy selling pressure is a notable factor in the stock's outlook."
  },
  {
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