{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/occidental-petroleum-oxy/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/occidental-petroleum-oxy/data.json",
 "title": "Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Stock Forecast (2026)",
 "description": "Is OXY a Buy? Get daily AI trade plans for Occidental Petroleum. Analysis of Permian oil production, Berkshire Hathaway ownership levels, and technical targets.",
 "headline": "Occidental Petroleum Corp. (OXY)",
 "published": "2026-03-04T14:27:26+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-26T17:26:10.579+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T13:34:39.741Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "OXY",
  "name": "Occidental Petroleum Corp.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Energy",
  "industry": "Oil & Gas E&P",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.oxy.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 56.86,
  "previousClose": 58.05,
  "change": -1.19,
  "changePercent": -2.05,
  "open": 57.080002,
  "high": 57.44,
  "low": 56.58,
  "volume": 8430300,
  "averageVolume": 9970230,
  "marketCap": 56839380915,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 67.45,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 38.8,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-26T17:26:10.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 16.772861,
  "eps": 3.39,
  "dividendYield": 0.019697502426619745,
  "beta": 0.164,
  "priceToSales": 2.3756325,
  "priceToBook": 1.6988854,
  "revenueTtm": 23925999616,
  "grossMargin": 0.575077495350279,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.10629
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 38.56,
  "macd": -0.36,
  "sma50": 58.37,
  "sma200": 53.64,
  "rsiSignal": "Bearish",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 59,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 69,
  "analystTarget": 69,
  "analystCount": 26,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-26T17:26:10.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 56.86,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 1.87,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 56.29,
  "aggressiveEntry": 56.86,
  "stopLoss": 54.6,
  "stopLossPercent": 3,
  "targets": [
   57.98,
   59.11,
   60.79
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 30.56,
    "base": 58,
    "upside90th": 110.09
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 23.91,
    "base": 59.17,
    "upside90th": 146.45
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 19.9,
    "base": 60.36,
    "upside90th": 183.15
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 17.09,
    "base": 61.58,
    "upside90th": 221.83
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 14.99,
    "base": 62.82,
    "upside90th": 263.26
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 13.34,
    "base": 64.08,
    "upside90th": 307.91
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 12,
    "base": 65.37,
    "upside90th": 356.21
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 10.89,
    "base": 66.69,
    "upside90th": 408.51
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 9.95,
    "base": 68.03,
    "upside90th": 465.16
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 9.15,
    "base": 69.4,
    "upside90th": 526.53
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "OXY Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$57.08",
    "Day Range": "$56.58 to $57.44",
    "Prev Close": "$58.05",
    "Volume": "8.43M",
    "52-Week Range": "$38.80 to $67.45",
    "Market Cap": "$56.84B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-9% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "OXY Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, OXY beat estimates 3 times. The stock rose 2 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "OXY Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Occidental Petroleum's (OXY) technicals present a mixed outlook, trading below its 50-day and 20-day EMAs while sitting above its 200-day SMA. The RSI is currently at 38.56, indicating bearish momentum, and the MACD is slightly negative at -0.355. This suggests that while the longer-term trend remains supported, the short-to-medium term momentum is leaning bearish. Volume has been below its average, with the latest volume at 8.43 million compared to an average of 9.97 million, indicating a lack of strong conviction behind recent price action. Key support levels are indicated by the 200-day SMA at $53.64, while resistance may be encountered near the 50-day SMA at $58.37 and the 20-day EMA at $58.93. The current price action suggests a potential for consolidation or a slight pullback before any significant upward movement.",
    "Insiders have made net purchases totaling $444.8K, indicating a moderate level of confidence in the company's future prospects.",
    "Revenue is estimated to decline by 8.00% next year, posing a risk to future earnings and potentially impacting stock valuation.",
    "The majority of analysts rate OXY as 'Hold', with a median price target suggesting limited upside, reflecting a balanced but not overwhelmingly bullish sentiment.",
    "Occidental Petroleum has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, demonstrating operational efficiency and strong performance.",
    "Occidental Petroleum (OXY) is expected to maintain a steady performance over the next 6-12 months, with Wall Street's median price target of $69.00 suggesting a 21.4% upside from the current price of $56.86. The company's solid profitability margins and manageable debt levels provide a stable foundation. Insider buying further supports a moderately positive outlook, signaling confidence from management. However, the outlook is tempered by concerns regarding future revenue growth, which is projected to decline next year. A sustained downturn in oil prices or increased competition could negatively impact earnings and hinder the stock's ability to reach its higher price targets. Conversely, any positive catalysts, such as favorable commodity price movements or successful strategic initiatives, could drive the stock towards its more optimistic projections."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "an insider's insider activity shows a 'Net Buyer' trend with $444.8K in purchases versus $0 in sales, indicating moderate insider confidence.",
     "The stock is trading below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, suggesting caution for short-term traders until these levels are reclaimed.",
     "Given the projected revenue decline, investors should monitor oil price trends and the company's ability to manage costs effectively to maintain profitability."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Insider Net Buying Signal",
     "text": "Insiders have made net purchases totaling $444.8K, indicating a moderate level of confidence in the company's future prospects.",
     "source": "Insider Trading Data"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Projected Revenue Decline",
     "text": "Revenue is estimated to decline by 8.00% next year, posing a risk to future earnings and potentially impacting stock valuation.",
     "source": "Wall Street Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Mixed Wall Street Analyst Ratings",
     "text": "The majority of analysts rate OXY as 'Hold', with a median price target suggesting limited upside, reflecting a balanced but not overwhelmingly bullish sentiment.",
     "source": "Wall Street Consensus"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Strong Earnings Beats",
     "text": "Occidental Petroleum has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, demonstrating operational efficiency and strong performance.",
     "source": "Earnings Reports"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Occidental Petroleum (OXY) presents a mixed fundamental picture, with a P/E ratio of 16.77 and a price-to-sales ratio of 2.38, which are slightly below the sector averages of 18.4 and 2.5 respectively. The company's return on equity stands at 10.63%, and its profit margin is a strong 30.32%, indicating efficient operations and profitability. Its debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35 is in line with the sector median, suggesting a manageable debt load. However, recent revenue growth has turned negative at -3.00% for the current quarter, a stark contrast to its historical strong revenue growth. Forward revenue estimates for next year also project a decline of 8.00%. While current profitability metrics are strong, the projected slowdown in revenue growth could pose a challenge to maintaining its current valuation and profitability levels.",
    "Occidental Petroleum (OXY) has demonstrated strong earnings beats in recent quarters, notably exceeding estimates by 79.66% in the quarter to March 2026 and 82.35% in the quarter to March 2026. The most recent quarter to June 2026 also saw a positive surprise of 4.38%. Despite these strong earnings performances, the stock experienced a -7.11% price drop following the March 2026 quarter's results, suggesting that market sentiment may be influenced by factors beyond immediate earnings beats, such as revenue trends or broader market conditions.",
    "Occidental Petroleum faces risks from a projected slowdown in revenue growth, with estimates indicating a decline of 8.00% for next year after a recent contraction. The bearish momentum indicated by its RSI suggests potential short-term price weakness. Also, while insider buying is positive, the mixed signals from Wall Street analysts, who largely maintain a 'Hold' rating, indicate a lack of strong conviction for significant upside."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "56.84B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "16.77"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "3.39"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "1.83%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "67.45"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "38.80"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Bearish SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($58.37) above the 200-day SMA ($53.64), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Bearish",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "38.56"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-0.36"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "58.37"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "53.64"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.23",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.14",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.03",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "-0.02"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "OXY Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (38.6) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$57.98",
    "TARGET 2": "$59.11",
    "TARGET 3": "$60.79",
    "STOP LOSS": "$54.60"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+3.51%",
    "Average Feb return": "+2.83%",
    "Average Mar return": "-1.80%",
    "Average Apr return": "+1.72%",
    "Average May return": "-1.49%",
    "Average Jun return": "+1.42%",
    "Average Jul return": "+0.95%",
    "Average Aug return": "-1.61%",
    "Average Sep return": "-0.99%",
    "Average Oct return": "-3.10%",
    "Average Nov return": "+4.89%",
    "Average Dec return": "+0.01%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "1.87%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in OXY in September 2016 would be worth about $8,203 today, compared with about $36,004 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in OXY today could grow to about $12,206 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $92,601 and a bear case around $1,609. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "OXY Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $61.58 for OXY by 2030 in the base case, from $56.86 today (1.1x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $17.09. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on OXY's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using OXY's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "OXY simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$30.56",
        "$58.00",
        "$110"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$23.91",
        "$59.17",
        "$146"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$19.90",
        "$60.36",
        "$183"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$17.09",
        "$61.58",
        "$222"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$14.99",
        "$62.82",
        "$263"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$13.34",
        "$64.08",
        "$308"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$12.00",
        "$65.37",
        "$356"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$10.89",
        "$66.69",
        "$409"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$9.95",
        "$68.03",
        "$465"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$9.15",
        "$69.40",
        "$527"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "DGXX Digi Power X Inc. NASDAQ $4.59 +1.32%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/dgxx-digi-power-x/"
    },
    {
     "text": "EIX Edison International NYSE $52.65 +0.21%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/eix-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "AEP American Electric Power Co Inc NASDAQ $118.35 +0.66%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/aep-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "OKLO Oklo Inc. NYSE $38.04 -0.65%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/oklo-inc/"
    },
    {
     "text": "CEG Constellation Energy Corporation NASDAQ $263.27 +0.63%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/constellation-energy-ceg/"
    },
    {
     "text": "TLN Talen Energy Corporation NASDAQ $304.42 +1.47%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/talen-energy-tln/"
    },
    {
     "text": "NRG NRG Energy, Inc. NYSE $100.37 +2.58%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/nrg-energy-nrg/"
    },
    {
     "text": "SO The Southern Company NYSE $82.88 -0.01%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/southern-company-so/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare OXY",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "COP vs OXY Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/cop-vs-oxy/"
    },
    {
     "text": "JPM vs BAC Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/jpm-vs-bac/"
    },
    {
     "text": "ENPH vs FSLR Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/enph-vs-fslr/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "OXY Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "$444.8K",
    "Sold": "None",
    "Insiders": "18",
    "Avg Transaction": "$222.4K"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in OXY",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Apr 1, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "ICAHN CARL C Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "8.0M",
        "$217.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 6, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "ICAHN CARL C Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "7.0M",
        "$179.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 1, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "CHAMPION CHRISTOPHER O Officer",
        "Sell",
        "111.6K",
        "$7.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 8, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "BROWN OSCAR K Officer",
        "Sell",
        "63.9K",
        "$1.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 11, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "POLADIAN AVEDICK BARUYR Director",
        "Sell",
        "20.0K",
        "$1.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 8, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "BROWN OSCAR K Former",
        "Sell",
        "30.0K",
        "$445.5K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 20, 2017",
       "cells": [
        "CHAZEN STEPHEN I Director",
        "Sell",
        "4.0K",
        "$251.5K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 27, 2017",
       "cells": [
        "CHAZEN STEPHEN I Director",
        "Sell",
        "4.0K",
        "$247.1K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 11, 2017",
       "cells": [
        "CHAZEN STEPHEN I Director",
        "Sell",
        "4.0K",
        "$242.1K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 4, 2017",
       "cells": [
        "CHAZEN STEPHEN I Director",
        "Sell",
        "4.0K",
        "$237.9K"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Occidental+Petroleum+Corp.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Occidental Petroleum's stock price forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "Occidental Petroleum's stock price forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case of $61.58, with a downside scenario of $17.09 and an upside scenario of $221.83. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is Occidental Petroleum stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Occidental Petroleum (OXY) is currently rated a 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $69.00, suggesting a 21.4% upside. While insider activity shows net buying, the bearish RSI momentum and recent revenue contraction warrant a cautious approach."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are Occidental Petroleum's recent earnings surprises?",
   "answer": "Occidental Petroleum has reported significant earnings beats in recent quarters, including a 79.66% surprise in the quarter to March 2026 and an 82.35% surprise in the quarter to March 2026. The quarter to June 2026 also saw a positive surprise of 4.38%."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does Occidental Petroleum compare to its sector averages?",
   "answer": "Occidental Petroleum's P/E ratio of 16.77 and price-to-sales of 2.38 are below the Energy sector medians of 18.4 and 2.5, respectively. Its debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35 is in line with the sector median, and its return on equity of 10.63% is slightly below the sector's 14.2%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the current technical momentum for OXY stock?",
   "answer": "Occidental Petroleum's (OXY) technical momentum is currently bearish, as indicated by an RSI at 38.6 and a negative MACD. The stock is trading below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, suggesting potential short-term weakness."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the main risks facing Occidental Petroleum?",
   "answer": "Key risks for Occidental Petroleum include a projected decline in revenue growth for the upcoming year and bearish technical momentum. Additionally, the majority of Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Hold' rating, indicating a lack of strong conviction for significant near-term upside."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the outlook for Occidental Petroleum's revenue growth?",
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