{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/nvda-nvidia-corp/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/nvda-nvidia-corp/data.json",
 "title": "NVIDIA (NVDA) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Is NVDA a Buy? Get daily AI trade plans for NVIDIA. Analysis of price momentum, technical indicators, and key support levels for the AI sector leader.",
 "headline": "NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)",
 "published": "2026-01-28T16:48:27+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T16:36:31.045+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T18:08:11.307Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "NVDA",
  "name": "NVIDIA Corporation",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Technology",
  "industry": "Semiconductors",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.nvidia.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 219.15,
  "previousClose": 218.36,
  "change": 0.78,
  "changePercent": 0.36,
  "open": 221.24,
  "high": 222,
  "low": 218.93,
  "volume": 1214934,
  "averageVolume": 116933203,
  "marketCap": 5272738920000,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 236.53999,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 164.070007,
  "marketOpen": true,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T16:36:29.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 28.565773,
  "eps": 7.83,
  "dividendYield": 0.004564125969876769,
  "beta": 2.217,
  "priceToSales": 17.826712,
  "priceToBook": 23.586418,
  "revenueTtm": 302970011648,
  "grossMargin": 0.7497531723844068,
  "returnOnEquity": 1.17211
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 52.94,
  "macd": 2.64,
  "sma50": 212.6,
  "sma200": 197.48,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Bullish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 77,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": 315,
  "analystTarget": 315,
  "analystCount": 60,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T16:36:29.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 219.145,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 2.6,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 214.76,
  "aggressiveEntry": 219.15,
  "stopLoss": 206.39,
  "stopLossPercent": 3.9,
  "targets": [
   225.5,
   236.24,
   246.98
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 138.07,
    "base": 261.27,
    "upside90th": 494.41
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 126.39,
    "base": 311.49,
    "upside90th": 767.69
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 123.03,
    "base": 371.36,
    "upside90th": 1120.94
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 123.64,
    "base": 442.75,
    "upside90th": 1585.48
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 126.8,
    "base": 527.85,
    "upside90th": 2197.39
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 131.93,
    "base": 629.31,
    "upside90th": 3001.8
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 138.78,
    "base": 750.28,
    "upside90th": 4056.05
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 147.26,
    "base": 894.49,
    "upside90th": 5433.26
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 157.37,
    "base": 1066.43,
    "upside90th": 7226.74
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 169.17,
    "base": 1271.42,
    "upside90th": 9555.41
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "NVDA Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$221.24",
    "Day Range": "$218.93 to $222.00",
    "Prev Close": "$218.36",
    "Volume": "1.21M",
    "52-Week Range": "$164.07 to $236.54",
    "Market Cap": "$5.27T"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (12% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "NVDA Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, NVDA beat estimates 5 times. However, the stock fell 4 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often \"priced in\" or investors are selling the news."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "NVDA Analysis",
   "text": [
    "NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is currently trading below its 20-day exponential moving average at $219.99, indicating some near-term weakness, but remains above its 50-day simple moving average of $212.60 and its 200-day simple moving average of $197.48, suggesting a longer-term uptrend is intact. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is neutral at 52.94, showing no immediate overbought or oversold conditions, while the MACD at 2.64 suggests a lack of strong momentum in either direction. Key support levels are seen around the 50-day SMA, while resistance may emerge near the 20-day EMA. Volume has been significantly below average recently, which could imply a lack of conviction from traders. The current technical setup suggests a period of consolidation or a potential pullback towards the 50-day SMA if selling pressure intensifies, though the longer-term trend remains positive as long as the price holds above the 200-day SMA.",
    "Sustained high demand for NVIDIA's AI accelerators in data centers and enterprise applications is expected to drive revenue growth beyond current estimates.",
    "Successful launch and adoption of next-generation AI chips could further solidify NVIDIA's market leadership and drive revenue expansion.",
    "Significant insider selling totaling $3.5 billion with a heavy insider selling verdict indicates potential concerns among management regarding future stock performance.",
    "Increasing competition from companies like AMD and Intel in the AI chip market could impact NVIDIA's market share and pricing power.",
    "NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is expected to maintain its strong growth trajectory over the next 6-12 months, driven by continued demand for its AI and data center solutions. The median analyst target price of $315.00 suggests a potential upside of 43.7% from the current price of $219.15, supported by strong revenue growth estimates and consistent earnings beats. The primary upside catalysts include further advancements in AI technology, expansion into new markets, and potential new product cycles that could exceed current growth expectations. Conversely, downside risks are primarily centered around the substantial insider selling, a potential slowdown in AI demand, increased competition from rivals like AMD and Intel, or regulatory scrutiny. A failure to meet the exceptionally high growth expectations could lead to a significant valuation correction."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor insider selling activity closely, as the $3.5 billion in dispositions represents a significant bearish signal that could precede price weakness.",
     "Given the premium valuation, consider position sizing carefully and be prepared for potential volatility, especially if growth rates falter or competitive pressures increase.",
     "The company's strong revenue growth and consistent earnings beats are key drivers, but the high P/E ratio warrants vigilance against any signs of slowing momentum."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Continued AI Demand Growth",
     "text": "Sustained high demand for NVIDIA's AI accelerators in data centers and enterprise applications is expected to drive revenue growth beyond current estimates.",
     "source": "Market Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "New Product Cycle Success",
     "text": "Successful launch and adoption of next-generation AI chips could further solidify NVIDIA's market leadership and drive revenue expansion.",
     "source": "Industry Trends"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Heavy Insider Selling",
     "text": "Significant insider selling totaling $3.5 billion with a heavy insider selling verdict indicates potential concerns among management regarding future stock performance.",
     "source": "Insider Transactions"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Competitive Pressures",
     "text": "Increasing competition from companies like AMD and Intel in the AI chip market could impact NVIDIA's market share and pricing power.",
     "source": "Competitor Analysis"
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "AMD",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/advanced-micro-devices-amd/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) exhibits a P/E ratio of 28.57, which is higher than the sector average of 25.5, suggesting a premium valuation. However, this premium is somewhat justified by its exceptional revenue growth rate of 105.9%, significantly outpacing the sector average of 10.0%. The company's forward revenue estimates are strong, with next year's projected revenue of $677.8 billion (capped to $617.0 billion due to outlier skew) representing a 65.00% year-over-year increase. Profitability metrics are strong, with EPS at $7.83, and the company consistently beats analyst estimates, as seen in its recent earnings reports. The balance sheet appears healthy. The current valuation, while high, is supported by substantial growth prospects and market leadership in AI, but the premium demands continued strong execution and innovation to sustain.",
    "NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) most recently reported earnings on August 26, 2026, beating the EPS estimate of $2.09 with an actual EPS of $2.22, a surprise of 6.22%, and the stock reacted positively with an 8.74% price increase. This follows a pattern of consistent earnings beats, including a 5.65% surprise in May 2026 and a notable 16.15% surprise in January 2026. The company's ability to consistently exceed expectations highlights its operational strength and market demand for its products.",
    "The most significant risk for NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is the heavy insider selling, with $3.5 billion in dispositions and a heavy insider selling verdict, which could indicate a lack of confidence from management or a strategic profit-taking move. Additionally, the stock's premium valuation, with a P/E ratio above the sector average, presents a risk if growth expectations are not met or if competitive pressures intensify. The company's reliance on the AI market, while currently a strength, also poses a concentration risk should demand shift or new disruptive technologies emerge."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "5.27T"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "28.57"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "7.83"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.2373%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "236.54"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "164.07"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bullish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bullish MACD Bullish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($212.60) above the 200-day SMA ($197.48), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bullish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "52.94"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "2.64"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "212.60"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "197.48"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.70",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.76",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.30",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.11"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "NVDA Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (52.9) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$225.50",
    "TARGET 2": "$236.24",
    "TARGET 3": "$246.98",
    "STOP LOSS": "$206.39"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+6.70%",
    "Average Feb return": "+5.01%",
    "Average Mar return": "+5.13%",
    "Average Apr return": "+0.29%",
    "Average May return": "+14.24%",
    "Average Jun return": "+4.64%",
    "Average Jul return": "+7.41%",
    "Average Aug return": "+4.93%",
    "Average Sep return": "+0.71%",
    "Average Oct return": "+4.38%",
    "Average Nov return": "+6.85%",
    "Average Dec return": "-0.66%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "2.60%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in NVDA in September 2016 would be worth about $1,437,761 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in NVDA today could grow to about $58,017 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $436,031 and a bear case around $7,720. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "NVDA Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $443 for NVDA by 2030 in the base case, from $219 today (2.0x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $124. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on NVDA's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using NVDA's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. NVDA is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "NVDA simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$138",
        "$261",
        "$494"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$126",
        "$311",
        "$768"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$123",
        "$371",
        "$1,121"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$124",
        "$443",
        "$1,585"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$127",
        "$528",
        "$2,197"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$132",
        "$629",
        "$3,002"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$139",
        "$750",
        "$4,056"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$147",
        "$894",
        "$5,433"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$157",
        "$1,066",
        "$7,227"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$169",
        "$1,271",
        "$9,555"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp. NYSE $30.56 +0.4602%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/zeta-global/"
    },
    {
     "text": "NXT Nextpower Inc. NASDAQ $81.31 -1.29%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/nxt-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "FOUR Shift4 Payments Inc. NYSE $43.03 +4.62%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/four-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "ORCL Oracle Corporation NYSE $161.63 -0.5476%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/oracle-orcl/"
    },
    {
     "text": "APLD Applied Digital Corporation NASDAQ $26.68 +3.49%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/applied-digital-apld/"
    },
    {
     "text": "SAP SAP SE Sponsored NYSE $205.95 -1.53%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/sap-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "AMAT Applied Materials Inc. NASDAQ $454.01 -3.17%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/applied-materials-amat/"
    },
    {
     "text": "MNDY monday.com Ltd. NASDAQ $81.11 -3.06%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/mndy-monday-com/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare NVDA",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "Broadcom (AVGO) vs NVIDIA (NVDA): AI Chip Comparison & Analysis Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/avgo-vs-nvda/"
    },
    {
     "text": "TSLA vs NVDA Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/tsla-vs-nvda/"
    },
    {
     "text": "NVIDIA (NVDA) vs AMD (AMD): AI Infrastructure Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/nvidia-vs-amd/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "NVDA Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$3.5B",
    "Insiders": "20",
    "Avg Transaction": "$39.5M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in NVDA",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Sep 2, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "STEVENS MARK A Director",
        "Sell",
        "1.8M",
        "$410.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 20, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "COXE TENCH C Director",
        "Sell",
        "2.0M",
        "$235.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 4, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "STEVENS MARK A Director",
        "Sell",
        "1.0M",
        "$235.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 4, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "STEVENS MARK A Director",
        "Sell",
        "1.0M",
        "$221.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 18, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "STEVENS MARK A Director",
        "Sell",
        "885.0K",
        "$186.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 5, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "COXE TENCH C Director",
        "Sell",
        "200.0K",
        "$170.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 3, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "STEVENS MARK A Director",
        "Sell",
        "1.1M",
        "$149.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 1, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "HUANG JEN-HSUN Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "440.0K",
        "$143.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 9, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "COXE TENCH C Director",
        "Sell",
        "1.0M",
        "$142.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jan 3, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "HUANG JEN-HSUN Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "440.0K",
        "$133.0M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=NVIDIA+Corporation&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is NVIDIA's stock price prediction for 2030?",
   "answer": "NVIDIA's (NVDA) long-range projection for 2030 estimates a base case price of $442.75, with a downside scenario at $123.64 and an upside scenario at $1585.48. These figures are derived from Monte Carlo simulations and should not be considered definitive price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is NVIDIA stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "NVIDIA (NVDA) currently holds a 'Buy' consensus rating with a consensus score of 77 and a median Wall Street price target of $315.00, suggesting a 43.7% upside from its current price of $219.15."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the biggest risks facing NVIDIA shareholders?",
   "answer": "The primary risks for NVIDIA (NVDA) shareholders include significant insider selling totaling $3.5 billion, a premium valuation relative to its sector, and potential concentration risk due to its heavy reliance on the AI market."
  },
  {
   "question": "How is NVIDIA performing in terms of recent earnings?",
   "answer": "NVIDIA (NVDA) has consistently beaten earnings estimates, most recently reporting an EPS of $2.22 against an estimate of $2.09 on August 26, 2026, which led to an 8.74% stock price increase."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is NVIDIA's revenue growth outlook?",
   "answer": "NVIDIA (NVDA) is projected to achieve current year revenue of $411.3 billion, representing a 90.00% year-over-year growth, with next year's revenue estimated at $617.0 billion, indicating a 65.00% growth rate."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does NVIDIA's valuation compare to its sector?",
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