{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/nsc-stock-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/nsc-stock-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "Norfolk Southern (NSC) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) stock: Industrials, Railroads. $70.3B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC)",
 "published": "2026-07-10T09:30:01+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-27T10:01:37.384+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T14:26:49.884Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "NSC",
  "name": "Norfolk Southern Corp.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Industrials",
  "industry": "Railroads",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.norfolksouthern.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 313,
  "previousClose": 313.17,
  "change": -0.17,
  "changePercent": -0.05,
  "open": 312.57001,
  "high": 314.35001,
  "low": 311.20001,
  "volume": 616800,
  "averageVolume": 1200050,
  "marketCap": 70302420749,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 358.60001,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 274.78,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-27T10:01:37.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 26.706484,
  "eps": 11.72,
  "dividendYield": 0.01725377392664373,
  "beta": 1.268,
  "priceToSales": 5.606253,
  "priceToBook": 4.3254747,
  "revenueTtm": 12540000256,
  "grossMargin": 0.37373737373737376,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.16985
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 24.77,
  "macd": -6.51,
  "sma50": 333.71,
  "sma200": 310.98,
  "rsiSignal": "Oversold",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 57,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 369.5,
  "analystTarget": 369.5,
  "analystCount": 21,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-27T10:01:37.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 313,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 1.12,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 309.87,
  "aggressiveEntry": 313,
  "stopLoss": 299.64,
  "stopLossPercent": 3.3,
  "targets": [
   319.17,
   325.36,
   334.66
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 241.99,
    "base": 344,
    "upside90th": 489
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 229.9,
    "base": 378.06,
    "upside90th": 621.72
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 225.94,
    "base": 415.51,
    "upside90th": 764.11
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 225.99,
    "base": 456.65,
    "upside90th": 922.77
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 228.58,
    "base": 501.88,
    "upside90th": 1101.96
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 233.05,
    "base": 551.58,
    "upside90th": 1305.5
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 239.04,
    "base": 606.2,
    "upside90th": 1537.33
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 246.36,
    "base": 666.24,
    "upside90th": 1801.7
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 254.91,
    "base": 732.22,
    "upside90th": 2103.3
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 264.61,
    "base": 804.73,
    "upside90th": 2447.38
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "NSC Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$312.57",
    "Day Range": "$311.20 to $314.35",
    "Prev Close": "$313.17",
    "Volume": "616.8K",
    "52-Week Range": "$274.78 to $358.60",
    "Market Cap": "$70.30B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-21%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "NSC Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, NSC beat estimates 3 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often \"priced in\" or investors are selling the news."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "NSC Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) is currently trading below its 50-day and 20-day SMAs, indicating bearish short-term momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 24.77, firmly in oversold territory, suggesting a potential for a bounce. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is negative at -6.51, reinforcing the current downtrend. Key support can be found near the 200-day SMA at $310.98, while resistance lies at the 50-day SMA of $333.71. Volume has been below average recently, suggesting a lack of conviction in the current price action.",
    "Insiders have demonstrated net buying activity, with total purchases of $1.3 million against $253,442 in sales, indicating a 'Moderate Buy Signal' and potential confidence from management.",
    "The stock's RSI is at 24.77, indicating oversold conditions that could precede a technical bounce or reversal.",
    "The majority of analysts maintain a 'Hold' rating, reflecting a neutral stance that awaits further evidence of sustained operational improvements and growth.",
    "Norfolk Southern reported an EPS beat of 6.36% for the quarter ending June 2026, with a modest positive price reaction, indicating the company is meeting analyst expectations.",
    "The base case for Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) over the next 6-12 months anticipates a gradual recovery driven by operational improvements and potential stabilization in freight volumes. The median analyst target price of $369.50 suggests an 18.1% upside from the current price. Continued execution on efficiency initiatives and a favorable macroeconomic environment could push the stock towards this target. However, any setbacks in operational performance or a significant downturn in industrial activity could pressure the stock."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor upcoming earnings reports closely for signs of sustained operational efficiency and revenue growth, as these will be key drivers for the stock's performance.",
     "Given the oversold technical conditions (RSI 24.77), traders may look for a short-term bounce, but long-term investors should focus on fundamental improvements and the 'Hold' consensus.",
     "Insider sentiment is moderately positive, with net buying activity, which could signal underlying confidence from management, but this should be weighed against the neutral Wall Street consensus."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Moderate Insider Buying Signal",
     "text": "Insiders have demonstrated net buying activity, with total purchases of $1.3 million against $253,442 in sales, indicating a 'Moderate Buy Signal' and potential confidence from management.",
     "source": "Insider Transactions"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Oversold Technical Conditions",
     "text": "The stock's RSI is at 24.77, indicating oversold conditions that could precede a technical bounce or reversal.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Wall Street 'Hold' Consensus",
     "text": "The majority of analysts maintain a 'Hold' rating, reflecting a neutral stance that awaits further evidence of sustained operational improvements and growth.",
     "source": "Analyst Ratings"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Earnings Beat in Q2 2026",
     "text": "Norfolk Southern reported an EPS beat of 6.36% for the quarter ending June 2026, with a modest positive price reaction, indicating the company is meeting analyst expectations.",
     "source": "Earnings Report"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) trades at a P/E ratio of approximately 26.71, which is below the sector median of 34, suggesting a potential valuation discount relative to peers. Its price-to-sales ratio stands at 5.61, also below the sector median of 4, indicating that the stock may be relatively expensive on a sales basis. The company's profit margin is 21.02% and its return on equity is 16.99%, both respectable figures within the Industrials sector. However, its debt-to-equity ratio of 1.06 is slightly above the sector average, warranting monitoring.",
    "Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) recently reported earnings for the quarter ending June 2026, with an EPS of $1.17 beating the estimate of $1.10 by 6.36%, leading to a modest 0.62% price increase. Prior quarters also showed slight beats, indicating a pattern of meeting or slightly exceeding analyst expectations. Revenue growth for the current quarter is projected at 12.00% year-over-year, with similar growth anticipated for the next quarter, suggesting continued top-line expansion.",
    "A primary risk for Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) is the potential for continued operational challenges and regulatory scrutiny, which have impacted performance in the past. While insider sentiment is moderately positive with net buying, the neutral Wall Street consensus suggests caution. The stock's current valuation, while below the sector P/E, still requires sustained earnings growth to justify its price, which may be challenged by economic slowdowns or increased competition."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "70.30B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "26.71"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "11.72"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "1.73%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "358.60"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "274.78"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Oversold SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($333.71) above the 200-day SMA ($310.98), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 24.8 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Oversold",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "24.77"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-6.51"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "333.71"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "310.98"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.44",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.31",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.05",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.00"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "NSC Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (24.8) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$319.17",
    "TARGET 2": "$325.36",
    "TARGET 3": "$334.66",
    "STOP LOSS": "$299.64"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+3.39%",
    "Average Feb return": "-1.72%",
    "Average Mar return": "-3.08%",
    "Average Apr return": "+3.25%",
    "Average May return": "+1.16%",
    "Average Jun return": "-0.66%",
    "Average Jul return": "+4.49%",
    "Average Aug return": "+0.85%",
    "Average Sep return": "+0.35%",
    "Average Oct return": "+1.05%",
    "Average Nov return": "+6.68%",
    "Average Dec return": "-0.81%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "1.12%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in NSC in September 2016 would be worth about $33,129 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in NSC today could grow to about $25,710 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $78,191 and a bear case around $8,454. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "NSC Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $457 for NSC by 2030 in the base case, from $313 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $226. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on NSC's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using NSC's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "NSC simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$242",
        "$344",
        "$489"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$230",
        "$378",
        "$622"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$226",
        "$416",
        "$764"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$226",
        "$457",
        "$923"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$229",
        "$502",
        "$1,102"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$233",
        "$552",
        "$1,306"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$239",
        "$606",
        "$1,537"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$246",
        "$666",
        "$1,802"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$255",
        "$732",
        "$2,103"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$265",
        "$805",
        "$2,447"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare NSC",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "CSX vs NSC Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/csx-vs-nsc/"
    },
    {
     "text": "IONQ vs RGTI Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/ionq-vs-rgti/"
    },
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/crwd-vs-panw/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "NSC Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "$1.3M",
    "Sold": "$253.4K",
    "Insiders": "10",
    "Avg Transaction": "$378.3K"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in NSC",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Aug 2, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "SQUIRES JAMES A Director",
        "Sell",
        "105.4K",
        "$26.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 18, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "SQUIRES JAMES A Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "70.0K",
        "$19.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jan 28, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "SQUIRES JAMES A Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "62.9K",
        "$16.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 13, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "SHAW ALAN H Former",
        "Sell",
        "51.3K",
        "$13.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 4, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "SQUIRES JAMES A Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "50.8K",
        "$9.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 16, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "SQUIRES JAMES A Director",
        "Sell",
        "27.9K",
        "$6.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 13, 2018",
       "cells": [
        "SQUIRES JAMES A Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "34.1K",
        "$5.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 24, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "SQUIRES JAMES A Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "20.0K",
        "$5.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 8, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "SQUIRES JAMES A Director",
        "Sell",
        "21.3K",
        "$5.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jan 30, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "WHEELER MICHAEL JOSEPH Chief Operating Officer",
        "Sell",
        "11.0K",
        "$2.3M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Norfolk+Southern+Corp.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "Is Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) is currently rated 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $369.50 suggesting an 18.1% upside. While technical indicators show oversold conditions and insider sentiment is moderately positive, the neutral consensus suggests investors should wait for clearer signs of sustained operational improvement before considering a buy."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is NSC's stock price forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) has a base case price projection of $456.65 for 2030, with a downside scenario of $225.99 and an upside scenario of $922.77. These figures represent statistical outcomes and not guaranteed price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical levels for NSC stock?",
   "answer": "Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) is currently trading below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, indicating bearish short-term momentum. The RSI is in oversold territory at 24.77, suggesting a potential for a bounce. Key support is near the 200-day SMA at $310.98, while resistance is at the 50-day SMA of $333.71."
  },
  {
   "question": "How is Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) performing financially?",
   "answer": "Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) reported a profit margin of 21.02% and a return on equity of 16.99% in its latest fundamentals. Its P/E ratio of 26.71 is below the sector median, but its price-to-sales ratio of 5.61 is higher than the sector median, indicating a mixed valuation picture."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the Wall Street consensus for NSC stock?",
   "answer": "The Wall Street consensus for Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) is 'Hold', with 16 out of 21 analysts rating it as such. The consensus score is 57 out of 100, and the median price target is $369.50."
  },
  {
   "question": "Are insiders buying or selling Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) stock?",
   "answer": "Insider activity for Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) shows a 'Moderate Buy Signal', with insiders being net buyers. Total insider purchases amount to $1.3 million, significantly outweighing total sales of $253,442 in recent filings."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the recent earnings results for Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC)?",
   "answer": "Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) recently beat earnings estimates for the quarter ending June 2026, reporting $1.17 EPS against an estimate of $1.10. This continues a trend of slight earnings beats, with revenue growth projected to be around 12.00% for the current and next quarters."
  }
 ],
 "related": {
  "peopleAlsoWatch": [
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    "ticker": "FDX",
    "name": "FedEx Corp. NYSE",
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