{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/nrg-energy-nrg/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/nrg-energy-nrg/data.json",
 "title": "NRG Energy (NRG) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) stock: Utilities, Utilities - Independent Power Producers. $21.1B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG)",
 "published": "2026-07-01T09:31:50+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-27T12:16:22.891+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T14:27:44.985Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "NRG",
  "name": "NRG Energy, Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Utilities",
  "industry": "Utilities - Independent Power Producers",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.nrg.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 100.37,
  "previousClose": 97.85,
  "change": 2.52,
  "changePercent": 2.58,
  "open": 98.14,
  "high": 100.86,
  "low": 98.14,
  "volume": 2618700,
  "averageVolume": 2935590,
  "marketCap": 21098826178,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 189.96001,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 97.5,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-27T12:16:22.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 25.481771,
  "eps": 3.84,
  "dividendYield": 0.018929958633130572,
  "beta": 1.173,
  "priceToSales": 0.6209538,
  "priceToBook": 4.893968,
  "revenueTtm": 33124999168,
  "grossMargin": 0.2688143296350755,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.23772
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 20.24,
  "macd": -5.1,
  "sma50": 118.06,
  "sma200": 142.58,
  "rsiSignal": "Oversold",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 75,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": 187,
  "analystTarget": 187,
  "analystCount": 16,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-27T12:16:22.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 100.37,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 2.68,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 98.36,
  "aggressiveEntry": 100.37,
  "stopLoss": 93.87,
  "stopLossPercent": 4.57,
  "targets": [
   103.28,
   108.2,
   113.12
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 69.3,
    "base": 114.73,
    "upside90th": 189.94
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 64.29,
    "base": 131.15,
    "upside90th": 267.54
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 62.61,
    "base": 149.91,
    "upside90th": 358.97
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 62.52,
    "base": 171.36,
    "upside90th": 469.68
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 63.45,
    "base": 195.88,
    "upside90th": 604.74
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 65.13,
    "base": 223.91,
    "upside90th": 769.8
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 67.43,
    "base": 255.95,
    "upside90th": 971.46
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 70.3,
    "base": 292.57,
    "upside90th": 1217.58
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 73.7,
    "base": 334.44,
    "upside90th": 1517.55
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 77.63,
    "base": 382.29,
    "upside90th": 1882.57
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "NRG Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$98.14",
    "Day Range": "$98.14 to $100.86",
    "Prev Close": "$97.85",
    "Volume": "2.62M",
    "52-Week Range": "$97.50 to $189.96",
    "Market Cap": "$21.10B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (12% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "NRG Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, NRG beat estimates 2 times. However, the stock fell 1 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often \"priced in\" or investors are selling the news."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "NRG Analysis",
   "text": [
    "NRG Energy is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($118.06 and $142.58), signaling a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 20.24, indicating oversold conditions, which could suggest a potential for a short-term bounce. The MACD is also negative at -5.10, reinforcing the current bearish momentum. The current price of $100.37 is below both major moving averages. Volume was slightly below average recently, at 2.62 million compared to the 2.94 million average. The chart structure suggests significant overhead resistance from the moving averages, and any upward price action may face challenges breaking through these levels without a fundamental catalyst.",
    "The median analyst price target for NRG Energy is $187.00, representing an 86.3% upside from the current price, indicating significant analyst conviction.",
    "Analysts forecast an average annual earnings growth rate of 32.5% over the next five years, suggesting strong future performance potential.",
    "Insiders are net sellers with $0 in total purchases vs $5.3B in total sales across 144 transactions. However, 99% of total selling ($5.3B) comes from parent/institutional stake reductions by LS POWER EQUITY ADVISORS, L.L.C, which represents a corporate restructuring or divestiture, NOT a bearish signal from company management. Actual officer/director selling totals $38.2M.",
    "NRG Energy is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($118.06 and $142.58), indicating a bearish technical setup with potential for further price declines.",
    "NRG Energy's outlook is cautiously optimistic, with a base case price projection of $171.36 by 2030, implying substantial long-term appreciation. This is supported by strong forward-looking revenue growth estimates of 16.00% for the current year and an average annual growth rate of 32.5% projected over the next five years. The primary upside catalysts include continued strong execution on revenue and earnings growth, potentially leading to a re-rating of the stock closer to its median analyst target price of $187.00. Downside risks include persistent technical weakness, potential regulatory headwinds in the utilities sector, and the possibility of further institutional selling pressure, although the current selling is identified as a divestiture."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "The significant institutional selling by LS Power Equity Advisors, LLC, is a parent divestiture and should not be interpreted as a bearish signal from company management.",
     "Given the oversold RSI reading, traders may look for short-term buying opportunities, but the stock faces resistance at its 50-day and 200-day moving averages.",
     "Investors should monitor future earnings reports closely to confirm the projected growth trajectory and assess the company's ability to overcome recent estimate misses."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Strong Analyst Price Targets",
     "text": "The median analyst price target for NRG Energy is $187.00, representing an 86.3% upside from the current price, indicating significant analyst conviction.",
     "source": "Wall Street Summary"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Positive Long-Term Growth Projections",
     "text": "Analysts forecast an average annual earnings growth rate of 32.5% over the next five years, suggesting strong future performance potential.",
     "source": "Wall Street Growth Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Parent Company Stake Reduction",
     "text": "Insiders are net sellers with $0 in total purchases vs $5.3B in total sales across 144 transactions. However, 99% of total selling ($5.3B) comes from parent/institutional stake reductions by LS POWER EQUITY ADVISORS, L.L.C, which represents a corporate restructuring or divestiture, NOT a bearish signal from company management. Actual officer/director selling totals $38.2M.",
     "source": "Insider Summary"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Technical Downtrend",
     "text": "NRG Energy is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($118.06 and $142.58), indicating a bearish technical setup with potential for further price declines.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "NRG Energy's valuation appears attractive relative to its growth prospects, with a current P/E ratio of 25.48, which is higher than the sector median of 22.8, but its price-to-sales ratio of 0.62 is below the sector median of 3.3. The company's return on equity stands at a strong 23.77%, significantly above the sector average of 9.6%, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital. While the P/E ratio is elevated compared to the sector, the strong ROE and projected revenue growth of 16.00% for the current year suggest that the current valuation may be justified. The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 4.83 is in line with the sector average, indicating a manageable debt load. The profit margin of 2.56% is lower than the sector average, but this is offset by strong operating margins and overall revenue growth.",
    "NRG Energy's recent earnings performance shows a mixed picture, with the quarter to June 2026 missing estimates by 14.37% and resulting in a 3.15% price increase. The preceding quarter to March 2026 also missed estimates, leading to a 5.83% price decline. However, the company beat estimates in the quarter to March 2026 (reported Feb 24, 2026) and significantly exceeded expectations in the quarter to September 2025, with a 30.52% surprise and a 1.41% price increase. Despite the recent misses, the overall trend in earnings estimates for the current and next year remains positive, with analysts projecting substantial growth. The company's ability to consistently exceed expectations in prior periods suggests potential for future upside if operational performance improves.",
    "The primary risk for NRG Energy lies in its current technical downtrend, with the stock trading significantly below its key moving averages, suggesting potential for further downside if the bearish momentum continues. Additionally, while the large insider selling is attributed to a parent divestiture, any sustained selling pressure from institutional holders could weigh on the stock price. Competition within the independent power producer space remains intense, and regulatory changes could impact future profitability."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "21.10B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "25.48"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "3.84"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "1.86%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "189.96"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "97.50"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Oversold SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $118.06, 200-day: $142.58), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 20.2 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Oversold",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "20.24"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-5.10"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "118.06"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "142.58"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.49",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.48",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.01",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.13"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "NRG Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (20.2) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$103.28",
    "TARGET 2": "$108.20",
    "TARGET 3": "$113.12",
    "STOP LOSS": "$93.87"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+4.69%",
    "Average Feb return": "-0.64%",
    "Average Mar return": "+0.50%",
    "Average Apr return": "+2.45%",
    "Average May return": "+5.01%",
    "Average Jun return": "+2.37%",
    "Average Jul return": "+4.31%",
    "Average Aug return": "+2.55%",
    "Average Sep return": "+1.13%",
    "Average Oct return": "+2.14%",
    "Average Nov return": "+2.99%",
    "Average Dec return": "+1.43%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "2.68%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in NRG in September 2016 would be worth about $89,696 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in NRG today could grow to about $38,088 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $187,563 and a bear case around $7,734. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "NRG Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $171 for NRG by 2030 in the base case, from $100 today (1.7x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $62.52. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on NRG's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using NRG's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "NRG simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$69.30",
        "$115",
        "$190"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$64.29",
        "$131",
        "$268"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$62.61",
        "$150",
        "$359"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$62.52",
        "$171",
        "$470"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$63.45",
        "$196",
        "$605"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$65.13",
        "$224",
        "$770"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$67.43",
        "$256",
        "$971"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$70.30",
        "$293",
        "$1,218"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$73.70",
        "$334",
        "$1,518"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$77.63",
        "$382",
        "$1,883"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
   "links": [
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/exc-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "NEE NextEra Energy Inc. NYSE $76.08 +0.61%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/nee-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "VST Vistra Corp. NYSE $138.46 +0.38%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/vistra-vst/"
    },
    {
     "text": "SRE Sempra NYSE $77.93 +0.24%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/sre-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "CWEN Clearway Energy Inc. NYSE $29.77 +1.99%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/cwen-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "AEP American Electric Power Co Inc NASDAQ $118.35 +0.66%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/aep-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "DGXX Digi Power X Inc. NASDAQ $4.59 +1.32%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/dgxx-digi-power-x/"
    },
    {
     "text": "PCG PG&E Corporation NYSE $12.34 +0.16%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/pcg-stock-analysis/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "F vs GM Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/f-vs-gm/"
    },
    {
     "text": "General Dynamics (GD) vs Lockheed Martin (LMT) Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/general-dynamics-vs-lockheed-martin/"
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    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vgt-vs-ftec/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "NRG Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$5.3B",
    "Insiders": "25",
    "Avg Transaction": "$444.0M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in NRG",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Mar 4, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "LS POWER EQUITY ADVISORS, L.L.C Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "16.1M",
        "$2.6B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 4, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "NANUS DAVID Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "16.1M",
        "$2.6B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jan 6, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "CURCI BRIAN General Counsel",
        "Sell",
        "107.6K",
        "$17.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 13, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "PATEL RASESH M. Officer",
        "Sell",
        "102.6K",
        "$8.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 30, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "HOWELL KEVIN T Director",
        "Sell",
        "50.0K",
        "$7.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jan 2, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "GAUDETTE ROBERT J Officer",
        "Sell",
        "60.0K",
        "$5.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 19, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "ANDREWS KIRKLAND B Chief Financial Officer",
        "Sell",
        "100.0K",
        "$4.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 14, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "KINNEY VIRGINIA Officer",
        "Sell",
        "20.0K",
        "$3.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 14, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "PATEL RASESH M. Officer",
        "Sell",
        "49.1K",
        "$3.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 15, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "KINNEY VIRGINIA Officer",
        "Sell",
        "20.0K",
        "$2.6M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=NRG+Energy%2C+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is NRG Energy's stock price forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "NRG Energy's stock price forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case of $171.36, with a downside scenario of $62.52 and an upside scenario of $469.68. These figures represent statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is NRG Energy stock a buy or sell right now?",
   "answer": "NRG Energy is currently rated a 'Buy' by Wall Street analysts with a consensus score of 75 out of 100. The median analyst price target of $187.00 suggests an upside of 86.3% from the current price of $100.37."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is NRG Energy's current technical outlook?",
   "answer": "NRG Energy's technical outlook is currently bearish, with the stock trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($118.06 and $142.58). The RSI is in oversold territory at 20.24, suggesting a potential for a short-term rebound."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does NRG Energy's profitability compare to its peers?",
   "answer": "NRG Energy demonstrates a strong return on equity of 23.77%, significantly outperforming the sector median of 9.6%. However, its net profit margin of 2.56% is below the sector average, indicating areas for operational efficiency improvement."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the significance of the insider selling at NRG Energy?",
   "answer": "While insiders are net sellers, the vast majority of selling ($5.3B) originates from parent company LS Power Equity Advisors, LLC, representing a corporate restructuring rather than a lack of confidence from management. Officer and director selling is significantly lower at $38.2 million."
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   "answer": "NRG Energy is expected to experience strong revenue growth, with projections of 16.00% for the current year and 26.7% for next year. Analyst estimates also indicate strong earnings per share growth in the coming years, driven by expansion in its independent power producer operations."
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      "text": "While insiders are net sellers, the vast majority of selling ($5.3B) originates from parent company LS Power Equity Advisors, LLC, representing a corporate restructuring rather than a lack of confidence from management. Officer and director selling is significantly lower at $38.2 million."
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     }
    },
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