{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/norwegian-cruise-line-nclh/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/norwegian-cruise-line-nclh/data.json",
 "title": "Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) Stock Forecast (2026)",
 "description": "NCLH stock forecast 2026: is Norwegian Cruise Line a buy? Norwegian Cruise Line is in travel services, part of Consumer Cyclical.",
 "headline": "Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH)",
 "published": "2026-11-09T12:05:46+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-11-09T12:05:47.064+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-11-11T13:49:54.622Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by Kate Leaman, Financial Journalist and Market Analyst; prices delayed by up to a minute.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "NCLH",
  "name": "Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Consumer Cyclical",
  "industry": "Travel Services",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.nclhltd.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 18.51,
  "previousClose": 18.43,
  "change": 0.08,
  "changePercent": 0.4341,
  "open": 18.48,
  "high": 18.58,
  "low": 18.16,
  "volume": 11331400,
  "averageVolume": 26307920,
  "marketCap": 8501188486,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 25.13,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 13.63,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-11-11T12:22:13.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 10.182321,
  "eps": 1.81,
  "dividendYield": 0,
  "beta": 1.964,
  "priceToSales": 0.8328749,
  "priceToBook": 2.6881564,
  "revenueTtm": 10162927616,
  "grossMargin": 0.39906019365706463,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.31184
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 65.02,
  "macd": 0.8066,
  "sma50": 15.56,
  "sma200": 18.58,
  "rsiSignal": "Bullish",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Bullish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 67,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": 19,
  "analystCount": 26,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-11-11T12:22:13.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 18.51,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 3.58,
   "risk": "volatile"
  }
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 9.65,
    "base": 18.32,
    "upside90th": 34.77
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 7.32,
    "base": 18.13,
    "upside90th": 44.87
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 5.91,
    "base": 17.94,
    "upside90th": 54.43
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 4.93,
    "base": 17.75,
    "upside90th": 63.96
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 5,
 "atAGlance": {
  "asOf": "November 10, 2026",
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 67,
  "evidence": [
   {
    "label": "Trend",
    "text": "Mixed: the price is above its 50-day but below its 200-day moving average ($15.56 and $18.58)."
   },
   {
    "label": "Earnings",
    "text": "NCLH beat estimates in 4 of its last 5 quarters, yet fell in the first session after 3 of those beats."
   },
   {
    "label": "Insiders",
    "text": "Insiders sold $110K and bought $30.9M over the last 18 months."
   },
   {
    "label": "Valuation",
    "text": "P/E of 10.2 against 20.8 for the Consumer Cyclical sector: a discount to peers (-51%)."
   }
  ]
 },
 "figures": {
  "asOf": "November 10, 2026",
  "earningsReaction": {
   "quarters": 5,
   "beats": 4,
   "fellFirstSessionAfterBeat": 3,
   "latestReport": "Oct 29, 2026",
   "latestSurprisePercent": 19.15,
   "latestFirstSessionMovePercent": 13.45
  },
  "insiders": {
   "windowMonths": 18,
   "soldValue": 110250,
   "boughtValue": 30926682,
   "sales": 1,
   "purchases": 14,
   "note": "open-market transactions only; grants and option exercises excluded"
  },
  "drawdown": {
   "years": 10,
   "worstFallPercent": -84.04,
   "peak": "January 2018",
   "trough": "March 2020",
   "recoveredBy": null,
   "recoveryMonths": null,
   "belowThatPeakNowPercent": -69.44,
   "fromHighNowPercent": -69.44,
   "oneYearHoldsPositivePercent": 45,
   "dividendsReinvested": false
  },
  "seasonality": {
   "years": 10,
   "bestMonth": {
    "month": "Nov",
    "averagePercent": 5.42,
    "upYearsPercent": 67
   },
   "worstMonth": {
    "month": "Mar",
    "averagePercent": -12.82,
    "upYearsPercent": 20
   }
  },
  "correlations": null,
  "analystTargets": {
   "analysts": 26,
   "low": 13,
   "median": 19,
   "high": 26,
   "mean": 19.61,
   "buy": 10,
   "hold": 15,
   "sell": 1
  },
  "dividend": null,
  "simulation": {
   "year": 2030,
   "base": 17.75,
   "percentile10": 4.93,
   "percentile90": 63.96,
   "note": "Monte Carlo simulation outcomes, not price targets"
  }
 },
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "ch-overview",
   "title": "NCLH stock today, November 11, 2026: price, news and analyst targets",
   "text": [
    "As of November 10, 2026, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) trades at $18.51. Wall Street's median 12-month price target is $19.00 across 26 analysts, 2.6% above the price. CleaRank rates it Buy with a score of 67/100.",
    "Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings is trading in the middle of its 52-week range after a strong run of earnings beats and analyst upgrades, while its shares remain below the 200-day average. The stock closed at $18.51 with the price 6.26% higher over the past week and 18.88% higher over the past month. The move follows an October 29, 2026 report in which adjusted EPS of $1.12 beat the $0.94 estimate by 19.15%, and the shares rose 13.45% in the next session. Two Buy upgrades from Freedom Broker on October 30 and October 31 have added to the positive tone, but the consensus among 26 analysts is still Hold. The investment case now rests on whether the company can keep beating estimates while revenue growth lags the sector.",
    "The October 29, 2026 report is the clearest recent event. Adjusted EPS of $1.12 beat the $0.94 estimate by 19.15%, and the shares rose 13.45% in the first session after the report. The 13.45% share price rise in the first session after the October 29, 2026 report was the largest move following the company's last five earnings reports. The record is also consistent: three of the last five reports beat estimates, including the July 30, 2026 report ($0.48 against $0.39, a 23.08% beat) and the May 4, 2026 report ($0.23 against $0.14, a 64.29% beat). The July 31, 2025 report was a small miss, $0.51 against $0.52. The beats have not always lifted the price. Investors appear to be weighing the quality of the beat and the guidance as much as the headline number. That is why the October reaction stands out: it was the first beat in this run to be met with a strong rise.",
    "Two Freedom Broker upgrades to Buy from Hold, dated October 30 and October 31, 2026, came right after the earnings report. On October 30, Citigroup kept its Buy rating, while Goldman Sachs and BNP Paribas kept Neutral ratings and Wells Fargo kept an Overweight rating. Of the 26 analysts with a current rating, 10 rate the stock buy or strong buy, 15 hold it and one sells. Three months ago 10 of 27 ratings were buys, so the buy count has held steady while the total has shrunk slightly. The consensus is still Hold. The lowest analyst target is $13.00, the median is $19.00 and the highest is $26.00. The median sits only 2.6% above the price, so the analysts' view is close to where the stock already trades. The upgrades change the mix of ratings more than they change the valuation view.",
    "At a trailing P/E of 10.18, the stock trades at a discount to peers, against a Consumer Cyclical sector median of 20.8. The price-to-sales ratio of 0.83 compares with a sector median of 1.9. Return on equity of 31.18% is well above the sector median of 12.4%, and the operating margin is 21.28%, while the net margin is 8.20%. The weak point is growth. Revenue grew in the latest quarter year on year, but by only 0.30%, against a sector median of 7.2%. Analysts expect revenue to grow 2.8% this fiscal year, and expect EPS to shrink 18.2% to $1.73 and then 17.6% to $1.42 next year. The debt-to-equity ratio of 5.09 is high, and it means the stock's returns depend on a heavily leveraged balance sheet. The low multiple reflects these concerns, so the valuation case depends on the business growing again.",
    "Over the last 18 months, insiders made 14 open-market purchases worth $30.9M and one sale worth $110K. Insider sales are often planned in advance or made to cover tax on vesting shares, so they carry less weight than open-market purchases. The purchases are a more direct signal of insider confidence in the stock's value, though they cannot show whether the insiders timed their buying well.",
    "CleaRank score 67/100 (Buy). 10 of 18 checks pass: trend 1 of 4, momentum 3 of 3, valuation and quality 4 of 4, analysts 2 of 3, track record 0 of 4.",
    "Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. is a global cruise company that operates Norwegian Cruise Line, Oceania Cruises, and Regent Seven Seas Cruises. The company provides vacation travel services across contemporary, premium, and ultra-luxury segments, serving leisure travelers with a range of shipboard experiences, dining options, entertainment, wellness amenities, and shore excursions. Its fleet sails to destinations worldwide, including Europe, the Caribbean, Alaska, Asia, Australia, and South America, making it a broad participant in the international cruise and hospitality market."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-news",
   "title": "NCLH stock news",
   "text": [
    "October 31, 2026·Freedom Broker",
    "Freedom Broker moved the stock to Buy from Hold on October 31, 2026, the second upgrade from the firm in two days. A further upgrade would add to the analyst support shown by the 10 buy ratings.",
    "October 29, 2026·Earnings report",
    "The October 29, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 19.15%, and the shares rose 13.45% in the next session. This is the strongest recent result and the main reason for the rise over the past month.",
    "October 30, 2026·Freedom Broker",
    "Freedom Broker upgraded the stock to Buy from Hold on October 30, 2026, which started the run of upgrades. The move shows that the firm's view changed right after the earnings report.",
    "October 30, 2026·Citigroup",
    "Citigroup kept its Buy rating on October 30, 2026, after the earnings report. The reiteration confirms an existing positive view but adds no new change in estimates.",
    "October 30, 2026·Goldman Sachs",
    "Goldman Sachs kept its Neutral rating on October 30, 2026, in the same week as the upgrades. The divergence between firms shows that the analyst view is split rather than uniformly positive."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "Upgrade to Buy from Freedom Broker October 31, 2026·Freedom Broker Freedom Broker moved the stock to Buy from Hold on October 31, 2026, the second upgrade from the firm in two days. A further upgrade would add to the analyst support shown by the 10 buy ratings.",
     "Earnings beat and first-session rally October 29, 2026·Earnings report The October 29, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 19.15%, and the shares rose 13.45% in the next session. This is the strongest recent result and the main reason for the rise over the past month.",
     "Second Buy upgrade from Freedom Broker October 30, 2026·Freedom Broker Freedom Broker upgraded the stock to Buy from Hold on October 30, 2026, which started the run of upgrades. The move shows that the firm's view changed right after the earnings report.",
     "Citigroup keeps Buy rating October 30, 2026·Citigroup Citigroup kept its Buy rating on October 30, 2026, after the earnings report. The reiteration confirms an existing positive view but adds no new change in estimates.",
     "Goldman Sachs keeps Neutral rating October 30, 2026·Goldman Sachs Goldman Sachs kept its Neutral rating on October 30, 2026, in the same week as the upgrades. The divergence between firms shows that the analyst view is split rather than uniformly positive."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-street",
   "title": "NCLH price target 2026",
   "text": [
    "The base case is that the stock keeps trading between its 20-day average ($16.98) and its 200-day average ($18.58) while the market works through the October 29 beat and the two Buy upgrades from Freedom Broker. The price sits 9.00% above its 20-day EMA and just 0.39% below its 200-day SMA, so a sustained close above the $18.58 level would be the first sign that the recovery is broadening. The analysts' median 12-month target of $19.00 sits just above the current price, which leaves limited room to the consensus view unless estimates rise. Analysts expect this year's EPS to shrink 18.2% to $1.73 and next year's to shrink a further 17.6% to $1.42, so the earnings base the stock is priced on needs to hold. Revenue is expected to grow 2.8% this fiscal year, below the sector median growth of 7.2%, and that gap is what would weigh on the case if it persists. A failure to hold the 20-day EMA at $16.98 would argue for a weaker near-term picture, while a move toward the $25.13 52-week high would require the earnings beats to continue."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent analyst rating actions on NCLH",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Firm",
      "Action",
      "Rating"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Oct 31, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Freedom Broker",
        "Upgrade",
        "Buy"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 30, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Freedom Broker",
        "Upgrade",
        "Buy"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 30, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Citigroup",
        "Maintains",
        "Buy"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 30, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Goldman Sachs",
        "Maintains",
        "Neutral"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 30, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "BNP Paribas",
        "Maintains",
        "Neutral"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 30, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Wells Fargo",
        "Maintains",
        "Overweight"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-levels",
   "title": "NCLH support and resistance levels",
   "text": [
    "Support sits at the 20-day EMA of $16.98, which is the nearest level below the price, followed by the 50-day SMA at $15.56 and the 52-week low at $13.63. Resistance sits first at the 200-day SMA of $18.58, just above the price, and then at the 52-week high of $25.13. The price is close to the 200-day level, so a break above it would be the first test of the recovery."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "NCLH support and resistance levels",
     "columns": [
      "Level",
      "What it is",
      "Price",
      "From the price"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Resistance 2",
       "cells": [
        "52-week high",
        "$25.13",
        "+35.8%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Resistance 1",
       "cells": [
        "200-day moving average",
        "$18.58",
        "+0.4%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Price",
       "cells": [
        "November 10, 2026",
        "$18.51",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Support 1",
       "cells": [
        "20-day exponential average",
        "$16.98",
        "-8.3%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Support 2",
       "cells": [
        "50-day moving average",
        "$15.56",
        "-16.0%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Support 3",
       "cells": [
        "52-week low",
        "$13.63",
        "-26.4%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "RSI Bullish",
     "SMA cross Bearish",
     "Price vs SMA Bullish",
     "MACD Bullish"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-price",
   "title": "NCLH stock price and trading"
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-fundamentals",
   "title": "NCLH fundamentals and valuation",
   "text": [
    "Price to earnings vs sector: NCLH trades at a notable discount to sector peers (-51% against the sector median P/E). Investors are paying less for each dollar of earnings than for the typical stock in the sector.",
    "Return vs SPY: Since May 30, 2025, NCLH has gained 4.9% against a gain of 27.2% for SPY.",
    "Revenue growth: Revenue grew 3.7% in FY2025 to $9.8B, from $9.5B a year earlier.",
    "Profit margin: The net margin was 4.3% in FY2025, down from 9.6% the year before.",
    "Profitable: NCLH earned $423M in FY2025.",
    "Earnings record: NCLH beat the analyst estimate in 4 of the 5 reports in our data.",
    "Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 3 of those 4 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "NCLH earnings surprises and the stock's reaction",
     "columns": [
      "Report",
      "Estimate",
      "Actual",
      "Surprise",
      "First sessionDay 1",
      "5 sessionsDay 5"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Oct 29, 2026before open",
       "cells": [
        "$0.94",
        "$1.12",
        "+19.15%",
        "+13.45%",
        "+15.82%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 30, 2026before open",
       "cells": [
        "$0.39",
        "$0.48",
        "+23.08%",
        "-9.78%",
        "-2.17%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 4, 2026before open",
       "cells": [
        "$0.14",
        "$0.23",
        "+64.29%",
        "-8.56%",
        "-9.20%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 2, 2026before open",
       "cells": [
        "$0.27",
        "$0.28",
        "+3.70%",
        "-10.53%",
        "-19.12%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 31, 2025before open",
       "cells": [
        "$0.52",
        "$0.51",
        "-1.92%",
        "+9.23%",
        "+6.03%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-history",
   "title": "NCLH price history and drawdowns",
   "text": [
    "Against the market: NCLH trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $4,764.48 against $39,967.",
    "A $10,000 investment in NCLH in December 2016 would be worth about $4,764 today, compared with about $39,967 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark with its dividends reinvested."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-scenarios",
   "title": "NCLH stock price prediction 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $17.75 for NCLH by 2030 in the base case, from $18.51 today (1.0x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $4.93. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on NCLH's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "NCLH simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "10th percentile",
      "Base case",
      "90th percentile",
      "range base today"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$9.65",
        "$18.32",
        "$34.77",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$7.32",
        "$18.13",
        "$44.87",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$5.91",
        "$17.94",
        "$54.43",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$4.93",
        "$17.75",
        "$63.96",
        ""
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-insiders",
   "title": "NCLH insider trading",
   "text": [
    "Net insider buying: Insiders bought $30.9M on the open market and sold $110K."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Insider transactions in NCLH",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Jun 2, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Stephen G Pagliuca Director",
        "Buy",
        "1.4M",
        "$25.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 22, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "John W Chidsey Chief Executive Officer",
        "Buy",
        "153.0K",
        "$2.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 20, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Jonathan Z Cohen Director",
        "Buy",
        "30.0K",
        "$474.9K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 19, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Jose E Cil Director",
        "Buy",
        "15.0K",
        "$225.4K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 11, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Brian P Macdonald Director",
        "Buy",
        "15.0K",
        "$248.1K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 7, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Zillah Byng-Thorne Director",
        "Buy",
        "29.5K",
        "$521.4K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 7, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Kevin Allen Lansberry Director",
        "Buy",
        "11.4K",
        "$197.0K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 13, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Jonathan Z Cohen Director",
        "Grant",
        "8.9K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 13, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Alex Cruz Director",
        "Grant",
        "8.9K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 13, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Kevin Allen Lansberry Director",
        "Grant",
        "8.9K",
        "-"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-faq",
   "title": "NCLH stock forecast: questions people ask",
   "text": [
    "How these figures are computed, and where the data comes from: CleaRank methodology."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-related",
   "title": "Compare NCLH with similar assets",
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    },
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/jpm-vs-bac/"
    }
   ]
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is the NCLH stock forecast?",
   "answer": "The analysts' median 12-month price target is $19.00, which is 2.6% above the price of $18.51. The lowest target is $13.00 and the highest is $26.00, from 26 analysts with a current rating. The nearest level below the price is the 20-day EMA at $16.98, and the nearest level above it is the 200-day SMA at $18.58."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the NCLH price target?",
   "answer": "The median 12-month analyst target is $19.00, with a lowest target of $13.00 and a highest of $26.00. The Wall Street consensus rating is Hold, and the price of $18.51 sits 2.6% below the median target."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is NCLH a buy or sell today?",
   "answer": "Of 26 analysts with a current rating, 10 rate the stock buy or strong buy, 15 rate it hold and one rates it sell or strong sell, so the consensus is Hold. CleaRank rates the stock Buy with a score of 67 out of 100. The price is above its 50-day SMA by 18.98% and below its 200-day SMA by 0.39%, so the trend is mixed."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has NCLH performed over the past year?",
   "answer": "The stock fell 2.78% over the past year and was down 1.02% over three months. The price sits 26.34% below its 52-week high of $25.13."
  },
  {
   "question": "How did NCLH perform against earnings estimates?",
   "answer": "Of the last five reports, three beat the EPS estimate and two were followed by a lower share price in the first session. The October 29, 2026 report beat by 19.15%, and the shares rose 13.45% the next session."
  }
 ],
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}