{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/nio-inc-nio/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/nio-inc-nio/data.json",
 "title": "NIO Inc (NIO) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "NIO Inc. (NIO) stock: Consumer Cyclical, Auto Manufacturers. $9.0B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "NIO Inc. (NIO)",
 "published": "2026-06-13T09:14:48+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-26T23:46:05.085+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T14:27:02.998Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "NIO",
  "name": "NIO Inc.",
  "type": "American Depositary Receipt",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Consumer Cyclical",
  "industry": "Auto Manufacturers",
  "country": "China",
  "website": "https://www.nio.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 3.58,
  "previousClose": 3.63,
  "change": -0.05,
  "changePercent": -1.38,
  "open": 3.6,
  "high": 3.61,
  "low": 3.56,
  "volume": 25384000,
  "averageVolume": 28697400,
  "marketCap": 8970287938,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 8.02,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 3.55,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-26T23:46:05.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": -13.26,
  "eps": -0.27,
  "dividendYield": 0,
  "beta": 0.916,
  "priceToSales": 0.07970627,
  "priceToBook": 14.956399,
  "revenueTtm": 17016625147,
  "grossMargin": 0.1837917524054387,
  "returnOnEquity": -0.45318002
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 34.72,
  "macd": -0.21,
  "sma50": 4.29,
  "sma200": 5.09,
  "rsiSignal": "Bearish",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 71,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": 6.02,
  "analystTarget": 6.02,
  "analystCount": 24,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-26T23:46:05.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 3.58,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 2.11,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 3.51,
  "aggressiveEntry": 3.58,
  "stopLoss": 3.4,
  "stopLossPercent": 3.16,
  "targets": [
   3.68,
   3.86,
   4.03
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 1.86,
    "base": 3.54,
    "upside90th": 6.71
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 1.41,
    "base": 3.49,
    "upside90th": 8.65
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 1.14,
    "base": 3.45,
    "upside90th": 10.47
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 0.95,
    "base": 3.41,
    "upside90th": 12.29
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 0.8,
    "base": 3.37,
    "upside90th": 14.12
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 0.69,
    "base": 3.33,
    "upside90th": 15.99
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 0.6,
    "base": 3.29,
    "upside90th": 17.92
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 0.53,
    "base": 3.25,
    "upside90th": 19.9
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 0.47,
    "base": 3.21,
    "upside90th": 21.94
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 0.42,
    "base": 3.17,
    "upside90th": 24.05
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "NIO Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$3.60",
    "Day Range": "$3.56 to $3.61",
    "Prev Close": "$3.63",
    "Volume": "25.38M",
    "52-Week Range": "$3.55 to $8.02",
    "Market Cap": "$8.97B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, NIO trades at 0.0797x, far below the sector average of 1.90x."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "NIO Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Earnings data unavailable. The earnings data appears to be incomplete or contains invalid values."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "NIO Analysis",
   "text": [
    "NIO Inc. is trading below its 50-day SMA of $4.29 and its 200-day SMA of $5.09, indicating a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 34.72, signaling bearish momentum, and the MACD is also negative at -0.21. Volume has been below its average, suggesting a lack of strong conviction from buyers at current levels. Key support levels are not clearly defined given the downward trend, while resistance will likely be encountered at the recent moving average levels.",
    "Analysts forecast substantial revenue growth for NIO Inc., with current year revenue expected to increase by 47.00% and next year by 19.00%, indicating strong market demand for its products.",
    "Forward-looking EPS estimates for NIO Inc. turn positive next year, projecting $0.85, which could signal a turnaround in profitability and support a higher stock valuation.",
    "NIO Inc. continues to report negative net profit margins and return on equity, raising concerns about its long-term financial sustainability despite revenue growth.",
    "The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 2.03 indicates a significant reliance on debt financing, which could pose a risk in a rising interest rate environment or if cash flow generation falters.",
    "NIO Inc. is expected to see significant revenue growth in the coming years, with current year revenue projected to increase by 47.00% and next year by 19.00%. The company's forward EPS estimates turn positive next year, reaching $0.85, which could support a recovery in its stock price. However, achieving profitability remains a critical hurdle, and the company's ability to manage its debt and work through the competitive EV landscape will be key. A sustained improvement in profit margins and a reduction in the debt-to-equity ratio would be necessary to validate the optimistic revenue and EPS forecasts and drive the stock towards its median analyst target price of $6.02."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "NIO Inc.'s recent earnings beats, while positive, have not translated into immediate stock price gains, suggesting that investors are closely watching for a clear path to profitability and sustainable positive EPS.",
     "The stock is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($4.29 and $5.09), indicating bearish short-to-medium term momentum. Investors should monitor for a decisive break above these levels to signal a potential trend reversal.",
     "Given the current unprofitability and high debt-to-equity ratio, investors should consider position sizing carefully and potentially utilize stop-losses to manage downside risk, especially given the stock's volatility."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Strong Revenue Growth Projections",
     "text": "Analysts forecast substantial revenue growth for NIO Inc., with current year revenue expected to increase by 47.00% and next year by 19.00%, indicating strong market demand for its products.",
     "source": "Wall Street Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Positive Forward EPS Estimates",
     "text": "Forward-looking EPS estimates for NIO Inc. turn positive next year, projecting $0.85, which could signal a turnaround in profitability and support a higher stock valuation.",
     "source": "Wall Street Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Persistent Unprofitability",
     "text": "NIO Inc. continues to report negative net profit margins and return on equity, raising concerns about its long-term financial sustainability despite revenue growth.",
     "source": "Company Fundamentals"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "High Debt-to-Equity Ratio",
     "text": "The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 2.03 indicates a significant reliance on debt financing, which could pose a risk in a rising interest rate environment or if cash flow generation falters.",
     "source": "Company Fundamentals"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "NIO Inc. exhibits a low price-to-sales ratio of 0.08, significantly below the sector median of 1.9, suggesting it may be undervalued on a sales basis. However, the company's profitability metrics are concerning, with a negative net profit margin of -4.17% and a negative return on equity of -45.32%. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 2.03, which is considerably higher than the sector median of 12.4% ROE. The company's substantial revenue growth of 69.1% is a positive sign, but it has not yet translated into profitability.",
    "NIO Inc. recently reported a surprise EPS beat for the quarter to September 2026, with actual EPS of $0.01 against an estimate of $-0.14, a 107.14% surprise, though the stock reacted negatively with a -4.93% price change. Prior to this, the company also posted a significant EPS beat in the quarter to March 2026. Despite these beats, the company's overall profitability remains negative, with a current year EPS estimate of $-0.24.",
    "NIO Inc. faces significant risks including its current lack of profitability, evidenced by a negative net profit margin and return on equity. The company's high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.03 also presents a financial risk, particularly if market conditions tighten. Intense competition within the electric vehicle market poses a continuous threat to market share and pricing power."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "8.97B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "N/A (Negative EPS)"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "-0.2700"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.00%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "8.02"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "3.55"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Bearish SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $4.287, 200-day: $5.093), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Bearish",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "34.72"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-0.21"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "4.29"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "5.09"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.27",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.27",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.05",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.10"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "NIO Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (34.7) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$3.684",
    "TARGET 2": "$3.859",
    "TARGET 3": "$4.035",
    "STOP LOSS": "$3.398"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "-1.63%",
    "Average Feb return": "-1.33%",
    "Average Mar return": "-11.55%",
    "Average Apr return": "-1.48%",
    "Average May return": "-3.64%",
    "Average Jun return": "+13.14%",
    "Average Jul return": "+19.25%",
    "Average Aug return": "+0.34%",
    "Average Sep return": "+0.66%",
    "Average Oct return": "-4.51%",
    "Average Nov return": "+13.05%",
    "Average Dec return": "+5.50%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "2.11%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in NIO in September 2018 would be worth about $5,424 today, compared with about $26,679 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in NIO today could grow to about $8,857 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $67,192 and a bear case around $1,167. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "NIO Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $3.41 for NIO by 2030 in the base case, from $3.58 today (1.0x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $0.9467. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on NIO's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using NIO's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "NIO simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$1.86",
        "$3.54",
        "$6.71"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$1.41",
        "$3.49",
        "$8.65"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$1.14",
        "$3.45",
        "$10.47"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$0.9467",
        "$3.41",
        "$12.29"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$0.8039",
        "$3.37",
        "$14.12"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$0.6927",
        "$3.33",
        "$15.99"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$0.6035",
        "$3.29",
        "$17.92"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$0.5303",
        "$3.25",
        "$19.90"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$0.4694",
        "$3.21",
        "$21.94"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$0.4179",
        "$3.17",
        "$24.05"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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    {
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    {
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vgt-vs-smh/"
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  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "NIO Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "None",
    "Insiders": "3",
    "Avg Transaction": "N/A"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in NIO",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Sep 1, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "QIN LIHONG President",
        "Grant",
        "300.0K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 1, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "QU YU Chief Financial Officer",
        "Grant",
        "245.0K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 1, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "ZHOU XIN Officer",
        "Grant",
        "200.0K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 1, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "QIN LIHONG President",
        "Grant",
        "300.0K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 1, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "QU YU Chief Financial Officer",
        "Grant",
        "200.0K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 1, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "ZHOU XIN Officer",
        "Grant",
        "200.0K",
        "-"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=NIO+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is NIO Inc.'s stock price prediction for 2030?",
   "answer": "NIO Inc.'s stock price prediction for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, shows a base case of $3.41, a downside case of $0.95, and an upside case of $12.29. These figures are statistical outcomes and not guaranteed price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is NIO Inc. stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Wall Street analysts currently rate NIO Inc. as a 'Buy' with a median price target of $6.02, suggesting an upside of 68.2%. However, the stock is trading below key moving averages and shows bearish technical momentum."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is NIO Inc.'s current financial health?",
   "answer": "NIO Inc. exhibits a negative net profit margin of -4.17% and a negative return on equity of -45.32%. Its debt-to-equity ratio is 2.03, while the sector median ROE is 12.4%."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has NIO Inc. performed in recent earnings reports?",
   "answer": "NIO Inc. recently reported an EPS beat for the quarter to September 2026, exceeding estimates by 107.14%. However, the stock price declined following the announcement. The company's current year EPS estimate remains negative at $-0.24."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key risks facing NIO Inc.?",
   "answer": "Key risks for NIO Inc. include its current unprofitability, a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.03, and intense competition in the electric vehicle sector. The company must demonstrate a clear path to sustainable profitability."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the revenue growth outlook for NIO Inc.?",
   "answer": "NIO Inc. is projected to experience strong revenue growth, with current year estimates at +47.00% and next year at +19.00%. Next year's EPS estimate is positive at $0.85, contrasting with the current year's estimated EPS of $-0.24."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the Wall Street consensus on NIO Inc. stock?",
   "answer": "The Wall Street consensus for NIO Inc. is 'Buy', with 24 analysts covering the stock. The consensus score is 71 out of 100, with 5 Strong Buys, 12 Buys, and 6 Holds."
  }
 ],
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   {
    "ticker": "DPZ",
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