{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/nike-nke/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/nike-nke/data.json",
 "title": "Nike (NKE) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Nike, Inc. (NKE) stock: Consumer Cyclical, Footwear & Accessories. $54.6B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Nike, Inc. (NKE)",
 "published": "2026-06-21T09:12:48+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-12T15:11:25.579+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-12T23:15:47.816Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "NKE",
  "name": "Nike, Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Consumer Cyclical",
  "industry": "Footwear & Accessories",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.nike.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 36.8,
  "previousClose": 36.62,
  "change": 0.18,
  "changePercent": 0.49,
  "open": 36.8,
  "high": 37.049999,
  "low": 36.62,
  "volume": 19932600,
  "averageVolume": 26819480,
  "marketCap": 54592752270,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 79.13,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 36.55,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-12T15:11:23.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 17.52381,
  "eps": 2.1,
  "dividendYield": 0.04455008488964346,
  "beta": 1.11,
  "priceToSales": 1.1766187,
  "priceToBook": 3.671189,
  "revenueTtm": 46398001152,
  "grossMargin": 0.4915238789646373,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.22138001
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 25.06,
  "macd": -1.16,
  "sma50": 41.16,
  "sma200": 50.92,
  "rsiSignal": "Oversold",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 53,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 45.5,
  "analystTarget": 45.5,
  "analystCount": 41,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-12T15:11:23.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 36.8,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 1.89,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 36.43,
  "aggressiveEntry": 36.8,
  "stopLoss": 35.23,
  "stopLossPercent": 3.3,
  "targets": [
   37.52,
   38.25,
   39.35
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 24.37,
    "base": 37.07,
    "upside90th": 56.37
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 20.64,
    "base": 37.34,
    "upside90th": 67.54
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 18.2,
    "base": 37.61,
    "upside90th": 77.73
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 16.38,
    "base": 37.88,
    "upside90th": 87.6
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 14.94,
    "base": 38.16,
    "upside90th": 97.42
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 13.76,
    "base": 38.43,
    "upside90th": 107.31
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 12.77,
    "base": 38.71,
    "upside90th": 117.35
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 11.91,
    "base": 38.99,
    "upside90th": 127.61
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 11.17,
    "base": 39.28,
    "upside90th": 138.12
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 10.51,
    "base": 39.56,
    "upside90th": 148.92
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "NKE Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$36.80",
    "Day Range": "$36.62 to $37.05",
    "Prev Close": "$36.62",
    "Volume": "19.93M",
    "52-Week Range": "$36.55 to $79.13",
    "Market Cap": "$54.59B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-16% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "NKE Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, NKE beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 3 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often \"priced in\" or investors are selling the news."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "NKE Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Nike's stock is currently trading below its key moving averages, with the price below the 50-day SMA ($41.16) and the 200-day SMA ($50.92), indicating a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 25.06, firmly in oversold territory, suggesting a potential for a short-term reversal or bounce. The MACD is also negative at -1.16, reinforcing the bearish momentum. Support levels are being tested, with the current price of $36.80 approaching significant historical lows. Volume has been below average recently, with the latest volume at 19.93 million compared to an average of 26.82 million, suggesting a lack of conviction from either buyers or sellers at these levels. The combination of oversold conditions and a bearish trend presents a mixed technical picture, with potential for a rebound but no clear indication of a sustained upward trend yet.",
    "Nike reported an EPS of $0.72 versus an estimate of $0.13 for the quarter ending June 30, 2026, a 453.85% surprise, leading to a positive price reaction.",
    "The current RSI of 25.06 suggests the stock is significantly oversold, which historically can precede a short-term price rebound.",
    "Insiders have sold $32.5 million worth of stock against $9.7 million in purchases, signaling a moderate sell signal from management.",
    "Projected revenue growth for the next quarter is -4.00% and for the current year is -2.00%, indicating ongoing challenges in top-line performance.",
    "Nike's stock price is significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($41.16 and $50.92), confirming a bearish technical trend.",
    "Nike's base case outlook suggests a potential recovery towards its median analyst target price of $45.50 within the next 6-12 months, representing a 23.6% upside from the current price of $36.80. This scenario hinges on a stabilization of revenue growth and a rebound from oversold technical conditions. The company's ability to translate strong EPS beats into sustained top-line improvement will be key to achieving this target. Upside catalysts could include a stronger-than-expected consumer spending rebound, successful product innovation, or a shift in market sentiment driving a broader rally in consumer cyclical stocks. Conversely, downside risks include persistent negative revenue growth, increased competition, or broader economic slowdowns impacting discretionary spending. A failure to break out of its bearish technical trend and sustained insider selling could also weigh on the stock's performance."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor upcoming earnings reports closely for signs of revenue stabilization and improved forward guidance, as this is critical for reversing the current bearish trend.",
     "Given the oversold RSI, consider the potential for a short-term technical bounce, but be cautious of the underlying bearish momentum and moderate insider selling.",
     "With a P/E ratio below the sector average, Nike may present a value opportunity if revenue trends reverse; however, the current negative growth warrants careful consideration of the risk-reward profile."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Strong EPS Beat in Latest Quarter",
     "text": "Nike reported an EPS of $0.72 versus an estimate of $0.13 for the quarter ending June 30, 2026, a 453.85% surprise, leading to a positive price reaction.",
     "source": "Earnings Report"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Oversold RSI Indicates Potential Reversal",
     "text": "The current RSI of 25.06 suggests the stock is significantly oversold, which historically can precede a short-term price rebound.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Moderate Insider Selling Activity",
     "text": "Insiders have sold $32.5 million worth of stock against $9.7 million in purchases, signaling a moderate sell signal from management.",
     "source": "Insider Transactions"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Negative Revenue Growth Trends",
     "text": "Projected revenue growth for the next quarter is -4.00% and for the current year is -2.00%, indicating ongoing challenges in top-line performance.",
     "source": "Revenue Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Trading Below Key Moving Averages",
     "text": "Nike's stock price is significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($41.16 and $50.92), confirming a bearish technical trend.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Nike's current P/E ratio stands at 17.52, which is below the sector median of 20.8, suggesting that the stock may be attractively valued on a relative earnings basis. However, the negative revenue growth of -1.1% contrasts with the sector's median revenue growth of 6.7%, indicating that Nike is currently underperforming its peers in terms of top-line expansion. The company's EPS is $2.10, and its market capitalization is $54.59 billion. While the valuation appears reasonable compared to the sector, the declining revenue and the moderate insider selling signal potential headwinds. The company's ability to return to positive revenue growth will be critical for its fundamental re-rating. Investors should closely watch forward-looking revenue estimates, which project a continued decline in the next quarter and current year before a modest recovery next year.",
    "Nike's recent earnings report for the quarter ending June 30, 2026, showed a significant EPS beat, with actual EPS of $0.72 compared to an estimate of $0.13, a surprise of 453.85%, leading to a 4.9% price increase. This follows a pattern of mixed earnings performance, with a beat in the prior quarter and earlier quarters showing substantial surprises as well. However, the company's revenue growth has been negative, indicating that despite strong earnings beats, top-line performance remains a concern.",
    "Nike faces significant risks including a bearish technical trend with the stock trading well below key moving averages and an oversold RSI. Moderate insider selling, with total sales of $32.5 million, suggests a lack of immediate confidence from management. Also, projected negative revenue growth for the next quarter and current year indicates potential challenges in demand and market share."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "54.59B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "17.52"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "2.10"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "4.46%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "79.13"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "36.55"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Oversold SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $41.16, 200-day: $50.92), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 25.1 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Oversold",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "25.06"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-1.16"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "41.16"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "50.92"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.39",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.29",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.06",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.01"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "NKE Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (25.1) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$37.52",
    "TARGET 2": "$38.25",
    "TARGET 3": "$39.35",
    "STOP LOSS": "$35.23"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+0.39%",
    "Average Feb return": "-0.89%",
    "Average Mar return": "-5.62%",
    "Average Apr return": "+0.32%",
    "Average May return": "+0.21%",
    "Average Jun return": "+2.06%",
    "Average Jul return": "+1.66%",
    "Average Aug return": "+0.16%",
    "Average Sep return": "-2.39%",
    "Average Oct return": "-1.35%",
    "Average Nov return": "+5.54%",
    "Average Dec return": "+0.67%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "1.89%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in NKE in September 2016 would be worth about $6,570 today, compared with about $35,328 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in NKE today could grow to about $10,750 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $40,467 and a bear case around $2,856. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "NKE Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $37.88 for NKE by 2030 in the base case, from $36.80 today (1.0x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $16.38. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on NKE's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using NKE's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "NKE simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$24.37",
        "$37.07",
        "$56.37"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$20.64",
        "$37.34",
        "$67.54"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$18.20",
        "$37.61",
        "$77.73"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$16.38",
        "$37.88",
        "$87.60"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$14.94",
        "$38.16",
        "$97.42"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$13.76",
        "$38.43",
        "$107"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$12.77",
        "$38.71",
        "$117"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$11.91",
        "$38.99",
        "$128"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$11.17",
        "$39.28",
        "$138"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$10.51",
        "$39.56",
        "$149"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "PTON Peloton Interactive Inc. NASDAQ $4.95 +0.51%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/peloton-pton/"
    },
    {
     "text": "LI Li Auto Inc. Sponsored NASDAQ $11.81 +1.37%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/li-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "BROS Dutch Bros Inc. NYSE $43.90 +1.06%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/dutch-bros-bros/"
    },
    {
     "text": "DECK Deckers Outdoor Corporation NYSE $81.27 +1.74%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/deckers-outdoor-deck/"
    },
    {
     "text": "IP International Paper Co. NYSE $34.36 +0.20%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/international-paper-ip/"
    },
    {
     "text": "WSM Williams-Sonoma, Inc. NYSE $226.15 +1.08%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/williams-sonoma-wsm/"
    },
    {
     "text": "LULU lululemon athletica inc. NASDAQ $98.97 +2.16%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/lululemon-athletica-lulu/"
    },
    {
     "text": "GPI Group 1 Automotive, Inc. NYSE $278.10 -1.33%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/gpi-stock-analysis/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "WFC vs C Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/wfc-vs-c/"
    },
    {
     "text": "UNH vs CI Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/unh-vs-ci/"
    },
    {
     "text": "EOG vs DVN Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/eog-vs-dvn/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "NKE Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "$9.7M",
    "Sold": "$32.5M",
    "Insiders": "22",
    "Avg Transaction": "$1.4M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in NKE",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Oct 2, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "KNIGHT PHILIP H Retired",
        "Sell",
        "800.0K",
        "$100.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 8, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "PARKER MARK G Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "140.0K",
        "$22.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 30, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "PARKER MARK G Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "130.0K",
        "$18.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 14, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "PARKER MARK G Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "168.4K",
        "$17.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 8, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "CAMPION ANDREW Chief Operating Officer",
        "Sell",
        "120.0K",
        "$16.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 2, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "PARKER MARK G Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "100.0K",
        "$16.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 1, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "PARKER MARK G Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "165.0K",
        "$16.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 14, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "PARKER MARK G Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "168.4K",
        "$15.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 13, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "PARKER MARK G Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "100.0K",
        "$15.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 2, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "PARKER MARK G Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "165.0K",
        "$15.4M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Nike%2C+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Nike's stock price forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Nike's stock price is projected to be $37.88 in 2030 under a base case scenario. The downside projection is $16.38, while the upside projection reaches $87.60. These figures represent simulation outcomes, not guaranteed price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is Nike stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Nike's current consensus rating is 'Hold' with a score of 53. While the stock is trading at a discount to its sector P/E and shows an oversold RSI, the bearish technical trend, negative revenue growth, and moderate insider selling suggest caution. The median analyst target price of $45.50 implies a 23.6% upside, but this is balanced by the current weak momentum."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical levels for Nike stock?",
   "answer": "Nike is currently trading below its 50-day SMA of $41.16 and its 200-day SMA of $50.92, indicating bearish momentum. The RSI is significantly oversold at 25.06, suggesting a potential for a short-term bounce, but the overall trend remains down."
  },
  {
   "question": "How is Nike's revenue growth trending?",
   "answer": "Nike's revenue growth has recently turned negative, with a reported -1.1% for the last period. Projections indicate continued declines, with -4.00% expected for the next quarter and -2.00% for the current year, before a modest recovery to +4.00% next year."
  },
  {
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  {
   "question": "How does Nike's valuation compare to its sector?",
   "answer": "Nike's P/E ratio of 17.52 is below the sector median of 20.8, suggesting a potentially attractive valuation. However, its revenue growth of -1.1% lags behind the sector's median growth of 6.7%."
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      "text": "Nike's P/E ratio of 17.52 is below the sector median of 20.8, suggesting a potentially attractive valuation. However, its revenue growth of -1.1% lags behind the sector's median growth of 6.7%."
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  }
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}