{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/netflix-nflx/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/netflix-nflx/data.json",
 "title": "Netflix (NFLX) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Netflix Inc. (NFLX) stock: Communication Services, Entertainment. $316.5B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Netflix Inc. (NFLX)",
 "published": "2026-06-01T09:14:22+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T18:35:59.706+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T21:01:31.732Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "NFLX",
  "name": "Netflix Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Communication Services",
  "industry": "Entertainment",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.netflix.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 77.35,
  "previousClose": 76.01,
  "change": 1.34,
  "changePercent": 1.76,
  "open": 76.58,
  "high": 77.345,
  "low": 76.16,
  "volume": 643976,
  "averageVolume": 24456178,
  "marketCap": 316501063100,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 126.71,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 65.080002,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T18:35:59.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 24.136507,
  "eps": 3.15,
  "dividendYield": 0,
  "beta": 1.526,
  "priceToSales": 6.544952,
  "priceToBook": 10.49993,
  "revenueTtm": 48370765824,
  "grossMargin": 0.5193475477347101,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.49541
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 43.69,
  "macd": 0.4,
  "sma50": 75.7,
  "sma200": 86.24,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Neutral"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 55,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 93,
  "analystTarget": 93,
  "analystCount": 51,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T18:35:59.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 77.345,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 2.13,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 76.57,
  "aggressiveEntry": 77.35,
  "stopLoss": 74.13,
  "stopLossPercent": 3.19,
  "targets": [
   78.87,
   80.4,
   82.7
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 51.28,
    "base": 87.96,
    "upside90th": 150.85
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 46.64,
    "base": 100.02,
    "upside90th": 214.49
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 44.68,
    "base": 113.74,
    "upside90th": 289.53
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 43.98,
    "base": 129.35,
    "upside90th": 380.45
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 44.03,
    "base": 147.09,
    "upside90th": 491.39
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 44.62,
    "base": 167.27,
    "upside90th": 626.99
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 45.65,
    "base": 190.21,
    "upside90th": 792.62
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 47.04,
    "base": 216.31,
    "upside90th": 994.7
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 48.76,
    "base": 245.98,
    "upside90th": 1240.84
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 50.8,
    "base": 279.72,
    "upside90th": 1540.15
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "NFLX Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$76.58",
    "Day Range": "$76.16 to $77.35",
    "Prev Close": "$76.01",
    "Volume": "644.0K",
    "52-Week Range": "$65.08 to $126.71",
    "Market Cap": "$316.50B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-5% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "NFLX Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, NFLX beat estimates 3 times. However, the stock fell 3 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often \"priced in\" or investors are selling the news."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "NFLX Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Netflix Inc. (NFLX) is currently trading below its 200-day SMA ($86.24), indicating a bearish trend over the longer term. The stock is also trading below its 20-day EMA ($78.36) but above its 50-day SMA ($75.70), suggesting some short-term support. The RSI is at 43.69, reflecting neutral momentum. Volume has been significantly below average recently, which may indicate a lack of conviction from market participants. Key support is seen around the 50-day SMA, while resistance lies at the 20-day EMA and the 200-day SMA.",
    "Netflix is projected to achieve 13.00% revenue growth for the current year, reaching an estimated $51.2 billion, indicating continued expansion in its core business.",
    "With a median analyst price target of $93.00, suggesting a 20.2% upside from the current price, Wall Street sentiment remains largely positive.",
    "Insiders have sold a total of $820.5 million worth of stock, indicating potential concerns about current valuation or a lack of confidence in near-term price appreciation.",
    "Netflix's current price of $77.35 is below its 200-day simple moving average of $86.24, signaling a bearish technical trend and potential for further downside.",
    "Netflix Inc. (NFLX) faces a mixed outlook, with a current price below its 200-day SMA suggesting potential near-term challenges. However, strong projected revenue growth of 13.00% for the current year and a median analyst price target of $93.00 indicate a bullish long-term view from Wall Street. The company's ability to sustain subscriber growth and effectively manage content costs will be critical in overcoming current technical headwinds and realizing its growth potential. Investors should monitor insider activity and market reactions to future earnings reports closely."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor Netflix's subscriber growth and content spending closely, as these are key drivers of future revenue and profitability.",
     "Given the stock is trading below its 200-day SMA, consider waiting for a confirmed technical uptrend or a break above key resistance levels before initiating new positions.",
     "The significant insider selling warrants caution; assess whether this is a signal of overvaluation or a strategic portfolio adjustment by insiders."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Strong Revenue Growth Projections",
     "text": "Netflix is projected to achieve 13.00% revenue growth for the current year, reaching an estimated $51.2 billion, indicating continued expansion in its core business.",
     "source": "Wall Street Revenue Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Positive Analyst Consensus and Price Target",
     "text": "With a median analyst price target of $93.00, suggesting a 20.2% upside from the current price, Wall Street sentiment remains largely positive.",
     "source": "Wall Street Summary"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Significant Insider Selling",
     "text": "Insiders have sold a total of $820.5 million worth of stock, indicating potential concerns about current valuation or a lack of confidence in near-term price appreciation.",
     "source": "Insider Summary"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Price Below 200-Day SMA",
     "text": "Netflix's current price of $77.35 is below its 200-day simple moving average of $86.24, signaling a bearish technical trend and potential for further downside.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Netflix Inc. (NFLX) exhibits a P/E ratio of 24.14, which is slightly above the sector average of 25.5, but its revenue growth of 13.4% outpaces the sector average of 10.0%. The company's current price of $77.35 is below its 200-day SMA, suggesting that the market may be discounting its growth prospects. While Wall Street revenue estimates for the current year are strong at $51.2 billion, the significant insider selling of $820.5 million warrants caution regarding the stock's current valuation.",
    "Netflix Inc. (NFLX) has shown mixed earnings performance recently. The most recent quarter (July 2026) saw an EPS beat of 1.27% ($0.80 actual vs $0.79 estimate), but the stock reacted negatively with a -7.26% price change. Prior quarters also showed a pattern of small beats and misses, with significant price drops following some of these results, indicating that the market may be sensitive to earnings outcomes relative to expectations.",
    "Significant insider selling totaling $820.5 million presents a key risk, suggesting a lack of confidence from management at current price levels. The stock trading below its 200-day SMA indicates potential for further downside pressure. Additionally, recent earnings reports, despite some beats, have been met with negative price reactions, highlighting market sensitivity to the company's performance relative to expectations."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "316.50B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "24.14"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "3.15"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.00%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "126.71"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "65.08"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Neutral RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bullish MACD Bullish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $75.70, 200-day: $86.24), price sits above the 50-day SMA but below the 200-day SMA - a mixed posture."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bullish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "43.69"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "0.40"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "75.70"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "86.24"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.36",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.35",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.07",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.08"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "NFLX Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (43.7) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$78.87",
    "TARGET 2": "$80.40",
    "TARGET 3": "$82.70",
    "STOP LOSS": "$74.13"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+9.19%",
    "Average Feb return": "+1.73%",
    "Average Mar return": "-0.16%",
    "Average Apr return": "-1.82%",
    "Average May return": "+4.48%",
    "Average Jun return": "+2.16%",
    "Average Jul return": "-0.31%",
    "Average Aug return": "+3.56%",
    "Average Sep return": "-1.29%",
    "Average Oct return": "+5.41%",
    "Average Nov return": "+1.95%",
    "Average Dec return": "-0.76%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "2.13%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in NFLX in September 2016 would be worth about $76,739 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in NFLX today could grow to about $36,166 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $199,128 and a bear case around $6,568. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "NFLX Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $129 for NFLX by 2030 in the base case, from $77.35 today (1.7x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $43.98. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on NFLX's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using NFLX's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "NFLX simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$51.28",
        "$87.96",
        "$151"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$46.64",
        "$100",
        "$214"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$44.68",
        "$114",
        "$290"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$43.98",
        "$129",
        "$380"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$44.03",
        "$147",
        "$491"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$44.62",
        "$167",
        "$627"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$45.65",
        "$190",
        "$793"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$47.04",
        "$216",
        "$995"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$48.76",
        "$246",
        "$1,241"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$50.80",
        "$280",
        "$1,540"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare NFLX",
   "links": [
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/nflx-vs-dis/"
    },
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "NFLX Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$820.5M",
    "Insiders": "16",
    "Avg Transaction": "$10.1M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in NFLX",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Dec 21, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "HASTINGS REED Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "437.3K",
        "$230.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jan 30, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "SARANDOS THEODORE ANTHONY JR. Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "199.1K",
        "$194.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 23, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "HASTINGS REED Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "213.3K",
        "$102.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jan 30, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "PETERS GREGORY K Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "102.2K",
        "$100.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 20, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "HASTINGS REED Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "177.7K",
        "$93.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 5, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "HYMAN DAVID A Officer",
        "Sell",
        "63.2K",
        "$62.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 12, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "HOAG JAY C. Director",
        "Sell",
        "94.1K",
        "$59.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 1, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "HASTINGS REED Director",
        "Sell",
        "42.2K",
        "$49.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 31, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "HASTINGS REED Director",
        "Sell",
        "40.4K",
        "$45.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 4, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "SARANDOS THEODORE ANTHONY JR. Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "69.7K",
        "$43.6M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Netflix+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Netflix's stock price prediction for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Netflix's (NFLX) stock price is projected to be around $129.35 by 2030. The downside projection is $43.98, while the upside projection reaches $380.45. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not definitive price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is Netflix stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Netflix (NFLX) is currently rated Hold. While Wall Street analysts have a median price target of $93.00, suggesting a 20.2% upside, significant insider selling and the stock trading below its 200-day moving average indicate potential headwinds."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the main risks facing Netflix?",
   "answer": "The primary risks for Netflix (NFLX) include substantial insider selling totaling $820.5 million, which signals potential management concerns about current valuation. The stock's position below its 200-day SMA also points to possible near-term weakness, and the market's negative reaction to recent earnings, even when they beat estimates, suggests sensitivity to performance metrics."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does Netflix's revenue growth compare to its sector?",
   "answer": "Netflix (NFLX) is projected to grow its revenue by 13.00% for the current year, which is notably higher than the sector average revenue growth of 10.00%. This indicates strong top-line expansion for Netflix relative to its peers in the Communication Services sector."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is Netflix's current technical outlook?",
   "answer": "Netflix (NFLX) exhibits a bearish technical outlook, trading below its 200-day SMA. While it finds some support at its 50-day SMA, the RSI is neutral, and recent volume has been low, suggesting a lack of strong directional conviction."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the consensus rating for Netflix stock?",
   "answer": "The consensus rating for Netflix (NFLX) among Wall Street analysts is 'Buy', with a score of 71 out of 100. This is supported by 7 Strong Buy, 28 Buy, and 16 Hold ratings from 51 analysts."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has Netflix performed in recent earnings reports?",
   "answer": "Netflix (NFLX) has experienced mixed results in recent earnings. While the latest quarter showed a slight EPS beat, the stock declined 7.26%. Previous quarters also showed a pattern of small beats or misses, often accompanied by negative stock price reactions, indicating market scrutiny of its earnings."
  }
 ],
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    "ticker": "BIDU",
    "name": "Baidu Inc. NASDAQ",
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