{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/mxl-stock-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/mxl-stock-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "MaxLinear Inc (MXL) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) stock: Technology, Semiconductors. $6.5B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL)",
 "published": "2026-07-20T09:43:12+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-10T08:33:29.429+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T19:03:16.617Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "MXL",
  "name": "MaxLinear, Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Technology",
  "industry": "Semiconductors",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.maxlinear.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 68.13,
  "previousClose": 71.51,
  "change": -3.38,
  "changePercent": -4.73,
  "open": 68.045,
  "high": 70.28,
  "low": 66.24,
  "volume": 34754,
  "averageVolume": 2015145,
  "marketCap": 6485470088,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 128.3,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 12.77,
  "marketOpen": true,
  "asOf": "2026-09-10T08:33:27.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": -57.74,
  "eps": -1.18,
  "dividendYield": 0,
  "beta": 3.945,
  "priceToSales": 10.600773,
  "priceToBook": 12.439206,
  "revenueTtm": 568929984,
  "grossMargin": 0.5784112243628847,
  "returnOnEquity": -0.21324
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 57.32,
  "macd": -2.77,
  "sma50": 75.34,
  "sma200": 48,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Neutral"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 68,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": 71.51,
  "analystTarget": 100,
  "analystCount": 11,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-10T08:33:27.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 68.13,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 6.57,
   "risk": "volatile"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 66.77,
  "aggressiveEntry": 68.13,
  "stopLoss": 60.18,
  "stopLossPercent": 9.86,
  "targets": [
   70.11,
   73.44,
   76.78
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 39.73,
    "base": 75.4,
    "upside90th": 143.11
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 33.72,
    "base": 83.45,
    "upside90th": 206.53
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 30.44,
    "base": 92.36,
    "upside90th": 280.21
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 28.37,
    "base": 102.21,
    "upside90th": 368.21
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 26.99,
    "base": 113.12,
    "upside90th": 474.06
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 26.06,
    "base": 125.2,
    "upside90th": 601.55
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 25.43,
    "base": 138.56,
    "upside90th": 754.98
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 25.03,
    "base": 153.35,
    "upside90th": 939.32
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 24.82,
    "base": 169.71,
    "upside90th": 1160.39
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 24.76,
    "base": 187.83,
    "upside90th": 1424.98
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "MXL Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$68.05",
    "Day Range": "$66.24 to $70.28",
    "Prev Close": "$71.51",
    "Volume": "34.8K",
    "52-Week Range": "$12.77 to $128.30",
    "Market Cap": "$6.49B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-4% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "MXL Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 1 quarters, MXL beat estimates 1 times. However, the stock fell 1 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often \"priced in\" or investors are selling the news."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "MXL Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Volume for MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) has been notably active, with the latest volume of 3.16 million shares exceeding its average volume of 2.22 million shares by 42.6%. The stock is currently trading below its 50-day simple moving average of $75.34, indicating a short-term bearish trend, but remains above its 200-day simple moving average of $48.00, suggesting a longer-term bullish trend is intact. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 57.32, which is in neutral territory, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. The MACD is currently at -2.77, indicating bearish momentum. Key support is seen at the 200-day SMA of $48.00, while resistance may be encountered near the 50-day SMA of $75.34. The stochastic oscillator is at 98.36, suggesting the stock is in overbought territory on that indicator, which could signal a potential pullback. The combination of mixed signals from moving averages and oscillators suggests a period of consolidation or potential downward pressure before a clearer trend emerges.",
    "Current year revenue estimates are $738M (+58.00% YoY) and next year estimates are $953.7M (+29.00% YoY), indicating significant market demand for MaxLinear's products.",
    "Insiders have sold over $62.4 million worth of stock with no reported purchases, indicating a potential lack of confidence in the current valuation.",
    "MaxLinear Inc. reports a negative EPS of -1.18, making profitability a key concern and limiting traditional valuation analysis.",
    "The median analyst price target of $100.00 suggests a 39.8% upside from the current price, supported by a 'Buy' consensus rating.",
    "The stock experienced a -21.54% drop after the latest earnings beat, demonstrating high volatility and sensitivity to market interpretation of results.",
    "MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) is expected to maintain its strong revenue growth trajectory over the next 6-12 months, driven by demand in the semiconductor market. The median analyst target price of $100.00 suggests a potential upside of nearly 40% from the current price of $71.51, reflecting optimism around its top-line expansion. The company's ability to continue growing revenue at such a high rate, even with a negative EPS, is a key factor supporting this outlook. However, the thesis could be challenged by persistent unprofitability and continued heavy insider selling, which could deter new investment and pressure the stock price. A significant shift in market sentiment or increased competition could also impact growth. Investors should monitor the company's progress towards achieving positive EPS and any changes in insider transaction patterns for potential shifts in the outlook."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Given the significant insider selling totaling over $62.4 million, investors should exercise caution and closely monitor future insider transactions for any signs of changing sentiment.",
     "MaxLinear, Inc. is trading below its 50-day moving average, indicating short-term weakness, while remaining above its 200-day moving average, suggesting the long-term trend is still positive. Consider this divergence when making entry or exit decisions.",
     "The stock experienced a sharp -21.54% decline following its latest earnings report, highlighting its volatility. Employing a disciplined risk management strategy, potentially including stop-loss orders, is advisable."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Strong Revenue Growth Projections",
     "text": "Current year revenue estimates are $738M (+58.00% YoY) and next year estimates are $953.7M (+29.00% YoY), indicating significant market demand for MaxLinear's products.",
     "source": "Wall Street Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Heavy Insider Selling Signal",
     "text": "Insiders have sold over $62.4 million worth of stock with no reported purchases, indicating a potential lack of confidence in the current valuation.",
     "source": "Insider Trading Data"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Negative Earnings Per Share",
     "text": "MaxLinear Inc. reports a negative EPS of -1.18, making profitability a key concern and limiting traditional valuation analysis.",
     "source": "Financial Data"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Positive Analyst Consensus and Price Target",
     "text": "The median analyst price target of $100.00 suggests a 39.8% upside from the current price, supported by a 'Buy' consensus rating.",
     "source": "Wall Street Consensus"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Volatile Stock Reaction to Earnings",
     "text": "The stock experienced a -21.54% drop after the latest earnings beat, demonstrating high volatility and sensitivity to market interpretation of results.",
     "source": "Earnings Report Data"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) presents a challenging valuation picture due to its negative EPS of -1.18, rendering a P/E ratio calculation impossible and indicating current unprofitability. While the company's revenue growth is exceptionally strong, projected at 58.00% for the current year and 29.00% for the next, this top-line expansion is not yet translating into bottom-line profits. The current price of $71.51 is difficult to assess against traditional valuation multiples given the negative earnings. Compared to the technology sector's average revenue growth of 10.0%, MaxLinear's performance is outstanding. However, the significant insider selling, totaling over $62.4 million with no corresponding purchases, raises concerns about management's confidence in the current valuation and future prospects. This heavy selling pressure, coupled with the lack of profitability, suggests that the current market capitalization of $6.49 billion may be stretched, especially without a clear path to positive earnings. Investors should closely monitor future earnings reports for signs of profitability improvement.",
    "MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) reported mixed earnings results in its recent quarters. In the most recent quarter ending July 23, 2026, the company beat EPS estimates by 6.06%, reporting $0.35 against an estimate of $0.33. However, this beat was accompanied by a significant price drop of -21.54%. The prior quarter ending April 23, 2026, saw a stronger EPS surprise of 22.22% ($0.22 actual vs. $0.18 estimate), which coincided with a substantial price increase of 76.12%. This pattern suggests that while the company can meet or exceed analyst expectations, the market's reaction is volatile and not solely dependent on earnings beats.",
    "MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) faces significant risks, primarily stemming from its heavy insider selling, with over $62.4 million in dispositions and no reported purchases, signaling a potential lack of confidence from management at current price levels. The company's negative EPS of -1.18 also presents a substantial risk, indicating unprofitability and making traditional valuation metrics unreliable. Also, the stock's recent sharp decline of -21.54% following its latest earnings report highlights its high volatility and sensitivity to market sentiment, even when beating estimates."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "6.49B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "N/A (Negative EPS)"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "-1.18"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.00%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "128.30"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "12.77"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Neutral RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($75.34) above the 200-day SMA ($48.00), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "57.32"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-2.77"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "75.34"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "48.00"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.44",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.53",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.21",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.09"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "MXL Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (57.3) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$70.11",
    "TARGET 2": "$73.44",
    "TARGET 3": "$76.78",
    "STOP LOSS": "$60.18"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "⚠️ Limited data: Based on ~2 years of trading history. Patterns may not be statistically significant."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "-2.01%",
    "Average Feb return": "-0.93%",
    "Average Mar return": "-6.55%",
    "Average Apr return": "+30.58%",
    "Average May return": "+0.93%",
    "Average Jun return": "+9.88%",
    "Average Jul return": "-2.93%",
    "Average Aug return": "-1.20%",
    "Average Sep return": "+1.67%",
    "Average Oct return": "-3.53%",
    "Average Nov return": "+8.92%",
    "Average Dec return": "+9.00%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "6.57%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in MXL in September 2016 would be worth about $38,591 today, compared with about $35,241 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in MXL today could grow to about $27,569 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $209,155 and a bear case around $3,634. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "MXL Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $102 for MXL by 2030 in the base case, from $68.13 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $28.37. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MXL's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using MXL's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. MXL is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "MXL simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$39.73",
        "$75.40",
        "$143"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$33.72",
        "$83.45",
        "$207"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$30.44",
        "$92.36",
        "$280"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$28.37",
        "$102",
        "$368"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$26.99",
        "$113",
        "$474"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$26.06",
        "$125",
        "$602"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$25.43",
        "$139",
        "$755"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$25.03",
        "$153",
        "$939"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$24.82",
        "$170",
        "$1,160"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$24.76",
        "$188",
        "$1,425"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/kla-corporation-klac/"
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/qqq-vs-schg/"
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  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "MXL Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$62.4M",
    "Insiders": "11",
    "Avg Transaction": "$4.8M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in MXL",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Aug 17, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "SEENDRIPU KISHORE V Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "591.5K",
        "$50.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 3, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "LOUGHEED JAMES R Officer",
        "Sell",
        "115.9K",
        "$4.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 8, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "KWONG CONNIE H. Officer",
        "Sell",
        "35.0K",
        "$3.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 25, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "SEENDRIPU KISHORE V Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "81.1K",
        "$3.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 25, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "SEENDRIPU KISHORE V Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "72.3K",
        "$3.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 19, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "TORGERSON WILLIAM G Officer",
        "Sell",
        "67.0K",
        "$2.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 22, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "SEENDRIPU KISHORE V Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "40.1K",
        "$2.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 25, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "LOUGHEED JAMES R Officer",
        "Sell",
        "54.3K",
        "$2.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 4, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "SEENDRIPU KISHORE V Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "40.1K",
        "$2.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jan 8, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "SEENDRIPU KISHORE V Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "53.5K",
        "$2.0M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=MaxLinear%2C+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is MaxLinear, Inc.'s current stock price and consensus rating?",
   "answer": "MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) is currently trading at $71.51. The consensus rating among analysts is 'Buy', with a consensus score of 68 out of 100."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the median analyst price target for MXL stock?",
   "answer": "The median analyst price target for MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) is $100.00, suggesting an upside potential of 39.8% from the current price of $71.51."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the revenue growth prospects for MaxLinear, Inc.?",
   "answer": "MaxLinear, Inc. is projected to experience strong revenue growth, with current year estimates at $738 million (58.00% YoY growth) and next year's estimates at $953.7 million (29.00% YoY growth)."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the profitability status of MaxLinear, Inc.?",
   "answer": "MaxLinear, Inc. is currently unprofitable, reporting a negative EPS of -1.18. This makes traditional P/E ratio analysis impossible and indicates a need for future profit improvement."
  },
  {
   "question": "What does the insider trading activity suggest for MaxLinear, Inc.?",
   "answer": "Insider activity for MaxLinear, Inc. indicates a heavy insider selling, with over $62.4 million in sales and no reported purchases, suggesting a lack of insider confidence at current valuation levels."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does MaxLinear, Inc. compare to its sector averages?",
   "answer": "MaxLinear, Inc.'s revenue growth significantly outpaces the technology sector's average of 10.0%. However, its profitability metrics are currently worse than the sector's average ROE of 15.0% due to negative EPS."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is MaxLinear, Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, MaxLinear, Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030 shows a base case price of $107.28, with a downside projection of $29.78 and an upside projection of $386.48. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees."
  }
 ],
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      "text": "MaxLinear, Inc.'s revenue growth significantly outpaces the technology sector's average of 10.0%. However, its profitability metrics are currently worse than the sector's average ROE of 15.0% due to negative EPS."
     }
    },
    {
     "@type": "Question",
     "name": "What is MaxLinear, Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030?",
     "acceptedAnswer": {
      "@type": "Answer",
      "text": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, MaxLinear, Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030 shows a base case price of $107.28, with a downside projection of $29.78 and an upside projection of $386.48. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees."
     }
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}