{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/morgan-stanley-ms/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/morgan-stanley-ms/data.json",
 "title": "Morgan Stanley (MS) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Morgan Stanley (MS) stock: Financial Services, Capital Markets. $308.3B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Morgan Stanley (MS)",
 "published": "2026-06-09T09:11:06+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-27T09:30:53.354+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T15:06:47.492Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "MS",
  "name": "Morgan Stanley",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Financial Services",
  "industry": "Capital Markets",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.morganstanley.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 196.31,
  "previousClose": 196.32,
  "change": -0.01,
  "changePercent": -0.01,
  "open": 197.98,
  "high": 197.98,
  "low": 194.25,
  "volume": 4527300,
  "averageVolume": 6056980,
  "marketCap": 308317868782,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 232.25,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 151.84,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-27T09:30:53.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 15.857836,
  "eps": 12.38,
  "dividendYield": 0.02343949044585987,
  "beta": 1.207,
  "priceToSales": 3.9617307,
  "priceToBook": 2.8955326,
  "revenueTtm": 77827997696,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.17969999
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 18.63,
  "macd": -4.44,
  "sma50": 211.91,
  "sma200": 193.59,
  "rsiSignal": "Oversold",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 59,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 243,
  "analystTarget": 243,
  "analystCount": 25,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-27T09:30:53.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 196.31,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 1.49,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 194.35,
  "aggressiveEntry": 196.31,
  "stopLoss": 187.93,
  "stopLossPercent": 3.3,
  "targets": [
   200.18,
   204.06,
   209.89
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 148.35,
    "base": 221.62,
    "upside90th": 331.08
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 141.82,
    "base": 250.18,
    "upside90th": 441.36
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 140.92,
    "base": 282.43,
    "upside90th": 566.06
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 142.86,
    "base": 318.84,
    "upside90th": 711.59
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 146.7,
    "base": 359.94,
    "upside90th": 883.17
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 152.01,
    "base": 406.34,
    "upside90th": 1086.19
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 158.61,
    "base": 458.72,
    "upside90th": 1326.72
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 166.39,
    "base": 517.86,
    "upside90th": 1611.69
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 175.34,
    "base": 584.61,
    "upside90th": 1949.17
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 185.46,
    "base": 659.97,
    "upside90th": 2348.54
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "MS Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$197.98",
    "Day Range": "$194.25 to $197.98",
    "Prev Close": "$196.32",
    "Volume": "4.53M",
    "52-Week Range": "$151.84 to $232.25",
    "Market Cap": "$308.32B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-4% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "MS Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, MS beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 4 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often \"priced in\" or investors are selling the news."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "MS Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Morgan Stanley's stock is currently trading below its 50-day SMA ($211.91) but above its 200-day SMA ($193.59), at $196.31 versus the 50-day SMA of $211.91 and the 200-day SMA of $193.59, indicating a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is significantly oversold at 18.63, suggesting a potential for a short-term bounce, while the MACD is negative at -4.44, reinforcing the bearish momentum. Key support levels are near the 200-day SMA at $193.59, with resistance found at the 50-day SMA at $211.91 and the 20-day EMA at $205.98. Volume has been below average recently, with the latest volume at 4.53 million compared to an average of 6.06 million, suggesting a lack of conviction behind the current price action.",
    "Insiders have sold over $98.7 million worth of stock versus only $5.6 thousand in purchases, indicating a strong net selling signal from management.",
    "The RSI is at 18.63, indicating the stock is significantly oversold and may be due for a technical bounce or short-term reversal.",
    "Wall Street analysts have a median price target of $243, suggesting a potential 23.8% upside from the current stock price.",
    "Morgan Stanley has a track record of beating EPS estimates, as seen in the quarter to June 2026 with an 18.09% surprise, though market reactions have been mixed.",
    "Morgan Stanley's base case scenario anticipates a potential recovery towards its median analyst target price of $243 over the next 6-12 months, driven by its strong profitability and consistent EPS beats. The current oversold RSI of 18.63 suggests a technical rebound is possible, which could propel the stock towards its 50-day SMA resistance at $211.91 and potentially higher. However, significant insider selling, with over $98.7 million in dispositions, presents a substantial risk that could cap upside potential and signal underlying concerns not reflected in analyst targets. A failure to break above key resistance levels and sustained selling pressure could lead to a retest of the 200-day SMA at $193.59 or lower, especially if broader market sentiment shifts negatively or if the company's higher debt levels become a concern."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Given the significant insider selling pressure, investors should closely monitor any further dispositions and consider waiting for clearer signals of institutional confidence before initiating or increasing positions.",
     "The significantly oversold RSI suggests a potential short-term bounce, but the bearish trend below key moving averages indicates that any rally may face significant resistance.",
     "With a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.17, which is higher than the sector average, investors should pay close attention to the company's interest coverage and its ability to manage its debt obligations, particularly in a fluctuating interest rate environment."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Heavy Insider Selling Pressure",
     "text": "Insiders have sold over $98.7 million worth of stock versus only $5.6 thousand in purchases, indicating a strong net selling signal from management.",
     "source": "Insider Trading Data"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Oversold Technical Conditions",
     "text": "The RSI is at 18.63, indicating the stock is significantly oversold and may be due for a technical bounce or short-term reversal.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Median Analyst Price Target Upside",
     "text": "Wall Street analysts have a median price target of $243, suggesting a potential 23.8% upside from the current stock price.",
     "source": "Wall Street Consensus"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Consistent EPS Beats",
     "text": "Morgan Stanley has a track record of beating EPS estimates, as seen in the quarter to June 2026 with an 18.09% surprise, though market reactions have been mixed.",
     "source": "Earnings Reports"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Morgan Stanley exhibits strong profitability with a net profit margin of 25.90% and a return on equity of 17.97%, exceeding the sector median ROE of 13.8%. Its price-to-sales ratio stands at 3.96, which is slightly above the sector average of 3.8, while its debt-to-equity ratio is 5.17, also higher than the sector median. The company's current P/E ratio of 15.86, which is slightly below the sector average P/E of 16.5. While the company demonstrates strong profitability and solid revenue growth estimates, with current year revenue growth projected at 17.00%, the valuation metrics, particularly the price-to-sales and debt-to-equity ratios, suggest it is trading at a slight premium compared to its peers. The forward P/E for next year is estimated at 13.68, indicating potential for earnings growth.",
    "Morgan Stanley's recent earnings performance shows consistent EPS beats, with the quarter to June 2026 reporting an EPS of $3.46 against an estimate of $2.93, an 18.09% surprise, though the stock reacted negatively with a -4.45% price change. The prior quarter to March 2026 also saw an EPS beat of 13.58%. However, the company missed estimates in the quarter to March 2026 by 14.93%. Overall, the company has demonstrated an ability to exceed analyst expectations, but market reactions have been mixed.",
    "Significant insider selling, with over $98.7 million in dispositions, presents a key risk, suggesting a lack of management confidence despite a 'Hold' consensus from Wall Street. The stock's current technical position below key moving averages and significantly oversold RSI indicates potential for further downside pressure in the near term. Additionally, the company's debt-to-equity ratio of 5.17 is higher than the sector average, which could pose a risk in a rising interest rate environment."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "308.32B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "15.86"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "12.38"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "2.11%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "232.25"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "151.84"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Oversold SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($211.91) above the 200-day SMA ($193.59), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 18.6 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Oversold",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "18.63"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-4.44"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "211.91"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "193.59"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.73",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.66",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.23",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.14"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "MS Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (18.6) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$200.18",
    "TARGET 2": "$204.06",
    "TARGET 3": "$209.89",
    "STOP LOSS": "$187.93"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+3.05%",
    "Average Feb return": "-2.43%",
    "Average Mar return": "-5.01%",
    "Average Apr return": "+4.79%",
    "Average May return": "+2.71%",
    "Average Jun return": "+1.44%",
    "Average Jul return": "+3.73%",
    "Average Aug return": "+1.43%",
    "Average Sep return": "-1.16%",
    "Average Oct return": "+2.83%",
    "Average Nov return": "+8.49%",
    "Average Dec return": "+1.21%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "1.49%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in MS in September 2016 would be worth about $62,619 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in MS today could grow to about $33,619 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $119,634 and a bear case around $9,447. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "MS Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $319 for MS by 2030 in the base case, from $196 today (1.6x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $143. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MS's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using MS's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "MS simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$148",
        "$222",
        "$331"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$142",
        "$250",
        "$441"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$141",
        "$282",
        "$566"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$143",
        "$319",
        "$712"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$147",
        "$360",
        "$883"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$152",
        "$406",
        "$1,086"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$159",
        "$459",
        "$1,327"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$166",
        "$518",
        "$1,612"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$175",
        "$585",
        "$1,949"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$185",
        "$660",
        "$2,349"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
   "links": [
    {
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    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/charles-schwab-schw/"
    },
    {
     "text": "SPGI S&P Global Inc. NYSE $403.30 +0.01%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/sp-global-spgi/"
    },
    {
     "text": "APO Apollo Global Management LLC NYSE $121.69 +0.83%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/apollo-global-management-apo/"
    },
    {
     "text": "RF Regions Financial Corp. NYSE $27.62 +1.32%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/rf-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "NDAQ Nasdaq, Inc. NASDAQ $93.55 -1.06%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/ndaq-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "BAC Bank of America Corporation NYSE $56.70 +1.20%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/bank-of-america-bac/"
    },
    {
     "text": "ICE Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. NYSE $154.31 -1.67%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/intercontinental-exchange-ice/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare MS",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "GS vs MS Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/gs-vs-ms/"
    },
    {
     "text": "ACN vs CTSH Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/acn-vs-ctsh/"
    },
    {
     "text": "VTI vs QQQ Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vti-vs-qqq/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "MS Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "$5.6K",
    "Sold": "$98.7M",
    "Insiders": "22",
    "Avg Transaction": "$3.8M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in MS",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Sep 20, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "MITSUBISHI UFJ FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "7.9M",
        "$326.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 22, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "MITSUBISHI UFJ FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "6.2M",
        "$262.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 20, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "MITSUBISHI UFJ FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "4.7M",
        "$230.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 29, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "MITSUBISHI UFJ FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "1.6M",
        "$70.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 29, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "MITSUBISHI UFJ FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "1.1M",
        "$51.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jan 29, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "MITSUBISHI UFJ FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "1.2M",
        "$49.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jan 18, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "GORMAN JAMES P Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "250.0K",
        "$24.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 17, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "GORMAN JAMES P Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "200.0K",
        "$21.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 31, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "PICK EDWARD N. Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "100.0K",
        "$16.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jan 18, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "PICK EDWARD N. Officer",
        "Sell",
        "135.0K",
        "$13.1M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Morgan+Stanley&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Morgan Stanley's stock price forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Morgan Stanley's stock is projected to reach a base case price of $318.84 by 2030, with a downside projection of $142.86 and an upside projection of $711.59. These figures represent statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is Morgan Stanley stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Morgan Stanley is currently rated a 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 59. While the median analyst price target suggests a 23.8% upside, significant insider selling and bearish technical indicators warrant caution."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is Morgan Stanley's current technical outlook?",
   "answer": "The stock is trading below its 50-day SMA ($211.91) but above its 200-day SMA ($193.59), indicating a bearish trend, and its RSI is significantly oversold at 18.63, suggesting a potential for a bounce. Volume has been below average recently."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does Morgan Stanley's financial health compare to its peers?",
   "answer": "Morgan Stanley shows strong profit margins (25.90%) and ROE (17.97%), exceeding sector medians. However, its debt-to-equity ratio (5.17) is higher than the sector average (N/A), and its P/S ratio (3.96) is slightly above the sector median (3.8)."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key risks facing Morgan Stanley?",
   "answer": "The primary risks include heavy insider selling, a bearish technical setup with the stock below key moving averages, and a higher-than-sector-average debt-to-equity ratio. Mixed reactions to recent earnings also present a concern."
  },
  {
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