{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/monolithic-power-mpwr/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/monolithic-power-mpwr/data.json",
 "title": "Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) Stock Forecast (2026)",
 "description": "Monolithic Power Systems Inc. (MPWR) stock: Technology, Semiconductors. $67.2B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Monolithic Power Systems Inc. (MPWR)",
 "published": "2026-06-26T09:14:56+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-27T01:46:43.824+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T14:21:20.603Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "MPWR",
  "name": "Monolithic Power Systems Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Technology",
  "industry": "Semiconductors",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.monolithicpower.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 1367.43,
  "previousClose": 1335.55,
  "change": 31.88,
  "changePercent": 2.39,
  "open": 1332.63,
  "high": 1377.14001,
  "low": 1329.46997,
  "volume": 536600,
  "averageVolume": 890390,
  "marketCap": 67199614947,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 1714.089966,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 831,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-27T01:46:43.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 83.32907,
  "eps": 16.41,
  "dividendYield": 0.00585334449651109,
  "beta": 1.664,
  "priceToSales": 20.530514,
  "priceToBook": 17.250504,
  "revenueTtm": 3273157888,
  "grossMargin": 0.5517507918282105,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.21979
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 64.55,
  "macd": 7.86,
  "sma50": 1303.82,
  "sma200": 1273.13,
  "rsiSignal": "Bullish",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Bullish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 78,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": 1820,
  "analystTarget": 1820,
  "analystCount": 17,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-27T01:46:43.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 1367.43005,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 3.09,
   "risk": "volatile"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 1340.08,
  "aggressiveEntry": 1367.43,
  "stopLoss": 1267.99,
  "stopLossPercent": 5.38,
  "targets": [
   1407.09,
   1474.09,
   1541.09
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 858.37,
    "base": 1591.61,
    "upside90th": 2951.2
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 773.62,
    "base": 1852.53,
    "upside90th": 4436.16
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 739.99,
    "base": 2156.24,
    "upside90th": 6283.04
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 729.96,
    "base": 2509.73,
    "upside90th": 8628.88
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 734.39,
    "base": 2921.18,
    "upside90th": 11619.57
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 749.25,
    "base": 3400.08,
    "upside90th": 15429.52
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 772.55,
    "base": 3957.48,
    "upside90th": 20272.78
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 803.28,
    "base": 4606.28,
    "upside90th": 26413.79
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 840.99,
    "base": 5361.43,
    "upside90th": 34179.91
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 885.53,
    "base": 6240.38,
    "upside90th": 43976.28
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "MPWR Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$1,332.63",
    "Day Range": "$1,329.47 to $1,377.14",
    "Prev Close": "$1,335.55",
    "Volume": "536.6K",
    "52-Week Range": "$831.00 to $1,714.09",
    "Market Cap": "$67.20B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+145%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "MPWR Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, MPWR beat estimates 3 times. The stock rose 2 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "MPWR Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Monolithic Power Systems Inc. (MPWR) is trading above its 50-day SMA ($1303.82) and 200-day SMA ($1273.13), signaling a bullish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 64.55, indicating bullish momentum, and the MACD is positive at 7.86. The stock's stochastic oscillator is high at 92.10, suggesting it is approaching overbought territory. Key support levels are found at the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, while the current price action suggests potential for further upside. Volume has been below average recently, with 536,600 shares traded compared to a 90-day average of 890,390, which may indicate a pause in strong buying conviction.",
    "MPWR exceeded Q2 2026 EPS estimates by 10.54% ($6.50 actual vs $5.88 estimate), leading to an 8.35% stock price increase, signaling strong operational performance.",
    "Analysts forecast significant revenue growth for the current year at +48.00% and next year at +28.00%, indicating sustained demand for MPWR's products.",
    "Insiders have sold a total of $733.7 million in MPWR stock, with no reported purchases, indicating a heavy insider selling and potential lack of near-term insider confidence.",
    "MPWR's P/E ratio of 83.33 and P/S ratio of 20.53 are substantially higher than sector averages, increasing downside risk if growth falters or market sentiment shifts.",
    "Monolithic Power Systems Inc. (MPWR) is expected to continue its strong growth trajectory over the next 6-12 months, driven by strong demand in the semiconductor sector and its ability to innovate. Analysts project earnings per share to reach $27.43 for the current year and $34.87 for next year, with revenue growth estimated at 48.00% and 28.00% respectively. The median analyst price target of $1820.00 suggests further upside potential. Key upside catalysts include continued market share gains and successful new product introductions. However, the significant insider selling and the premium valuation present considerable downside risks. A slowdown in revenue growth or a broader market correction could exert downward pressure on the stock, especially given its current high multiples."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor insider selling activity closely for any changes in trend or magnitude, as it currently represents a significant risk factor.",
     "Given the stock's bullish momentum and RSI above 60, consider positions that allow for flexibility to manage potential overbought conditions or pullbacks.",
     "The company's strong revenue growth and profit margins are key drivers, but ensure future earnings reports continue to meet or exceed elevated expectations to justify the current valuation."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Strong Q2 2026 Earnings Beat",
     "text": "MPWR exceeded Q2 2026 EPS estimates by 10.54% ($6.50 actual vs $5.88 estimate), leading to an 8.35% stock price increase, signaling strong operational performance.",
     "source": "Earnings Report"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "High Revenue Growth Estimates",
     "text": "Analysts forecast significant revenue growth for the current year at +48.00% and next year at +28.00%, indicating sustained demand for MPWR's products.",
     "source": "Wall Street Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Heavy Insider Selling Pressure",
     "text": "Insiders have sold a total of $733.7 million in MPWR stock, with no reported purchases, indicating a heavy insider selling and potential lack of near-term insider confidence.",
     "source": "Insider Trading Data"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Premium Valuation Multiples",
     "text": "MPWR's P/E ratio of 83.33 and P/S ratio of 20.53 are substantially higher than sector averages, increasing downside risk if growth falters or market sentiment shifts.",
     "source": "Financial Analysis"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Monolithic Power Systems Inc. (MPWR) trades at a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 83.33, significantly higher than the sector median of 34.0, and a Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio of 20.53 compared to the sector median of 7.5. This premium valuation is supported by its exceptional revenue growth of 47.6%, which far exceeds the sector average of 24.1%, and strong profit margins including a net profit margin of 24.50% and operating margin of 30.99%. The company boasts a healthy balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00 and a return on equity of 21.98%, outperforming the sector average ROE of 13.4%. While the valuation appears stretched relative to sector averages, the company's superior growth and profitability metrics justify a portion of the premium.",
    "Monolithic Power Systems Inc. (MPWR) recently reported strong earnings for the quarter ending June 2026, with EPS of $6.50 beating estimates of $5.88 by 10.54%, leading to an 8.35% price increase. This follows a pattern of earnings beats, with the company also surpassing expectations in the March 2026 and December 2025 quarters. Revenue growth for the current quarter is estimated at +55.00% year-over-year, with expectations for continued strong performance.",
    "The primary risk for Monolithic Power Systems Inc. (MPWR) is its high valuation, with a P/E ratio of 83.33 and P/S ratio of 20.53 significantly above sector medians. Additionally, substantial insider selling, totaling $733.7 million, raises concerns about management's short-term confidence in the stock. While the company demonstrates strong growth and profitability, any slowdown in revenue expansion or a shift in market sentiment could lead to a significant valuation correction."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "67.20B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "83.33"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "16.41"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.55%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "1,714.09"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "831.00"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bullish RSI Bullish SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bullish MACD Bullish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($1,303.82) above the 200-day SMA ($1,273.13), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Bullish",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bullish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "64.55"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "7.86"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "1,303.82"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "1,273.13"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.66",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.71",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.24",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.19"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "MPWR Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (64.6) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$1,407.09",
    "TARGET 2": "$1,474.09",
    "TARGET 3": "$1,541.09",
    "STOP LOSS": "$1,267.99"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+4.18%",
    "Average Feb return": "+2.27%",
    "Average Mar return": "-0.36%",
    "Average Apr return": "+6.50%",
    "Average May return": "+3.70%",
    "Average Jun return": "+3.73%",
    "Average Jul return": "+8.58%",
    "Average Aug return": "+3.67%",
    "Average Sep return": "-0.76%",
    "Average Oct return": "+0.92%",
    "Average Nov return": "+1.78%",
    "Average Dec return": "+1.03%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "3.09%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in MPWR in September 2016 would be worth about $174,373 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in MPWR today could grow to about $45,636 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $321,598 and a bear case around $6,476. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "MPWR Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $2,510 for MPWR by 2030 in the base case, from $1,367 today (1.8x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $730. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MPWR's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using MPWR's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. MPWR is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "MPWR simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$858",
        "$1,592",
        "$2,951"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$774",
        "$1,853",
        "$4,436"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$740",
        "$2,156",
        "$6,283"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$730",
        "$2,510",
        "$8,629"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$734",
        "$2,921",
        "$11,620"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$749",
        "$3,400",
        "$15,430"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$773",
        "$3,957",
        "$20,273"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$803",
        "$4,606",
        "$26,414"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$841",
        "$5,361",
        "$34,180"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$886",
        "$6,240",
        "$43,976"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/chkp-stock-analysis/"
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    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/lam-research-lrcx/"
    },
    {
     "text": "INTU Intuit Inc. NASDAQ $275.79 -0.48%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/intuit-intu/"
    },
    {
     "text": "APLD Applied Digital Corporation NASDAQ $26.25 -2.99%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/applied-digital-apld/"
    },
    {
     "text": "TWLO Twilio Inc. NYSE $275.80 -7.96%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/twlo-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "CTSH Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp. NASDAQ $57.33 +0.28%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/cognizant-ctsh/"
    },
    {
     "text": "CDNS Cadence Design Systems, Inc. NASDAQ $326.13 +1.28%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/cadence-cdns/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SOFI vs UPST Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/sofi-vs-upstart/"
    },
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vti-vs-qqq/"
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "MPWR Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$733.7M",
    "Insiders": "12",
    "Avg Transaction": "$10.3M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in MPWR",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Feb 6, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "HSING MICHAEL R Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "54.9K",
        "$64.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 6, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "XIAO DEMING Officer",
        "Sell",
        "30.0K",
        "$49.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 11, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "HSING MICHAEL R Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "33.0K",
        "$39.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 10, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "HSING MICHAEL R Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "34.0K",
        "$38.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 12, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "HSING MICHAEL R Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "33.0K",
        "$38.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 11, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "HSING MICHAEL R Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "40.0K",
        "$38.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 12, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "HSING MICHAEL R Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "37.0K",
        "$35.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jan 4, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "HSING MICHAEL R Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "58.7K",
        "$34.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 1, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "XIAO DEMING Officer",
        "Sell",
        "40.0K",
        "$31.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 1, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "TSENG SARIA H General Counsel",
        "Sell",
        "37.1K",
        "$30.0M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Monolithic+Power+Systems+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Monolithic Power Systems Inc. (MPWR) stock's consensus rating?",
   "answer": "The consensus rating for MPWR is 'Buy', based on the analysis of 17 Wall Street analysts. The overall consensus score is 78 out of 100."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the median analyst price target for MPWR stock?",
   "answer": "The median analyst price target for MPWR is $1820.00, with a high estimate of $2100 and a low estimate of $1575. This suggests an upside potential of 33.1% from the current price of $1367.43."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is MPWR stock currently trading above its key moving averages?",
   "answer": "Yes, MPWR is trading above both its 50-day Simple Moving Average ($1303.82) and its 200-day Simple Moving Average ($1273.13), indicating a bullish technical trend."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the RSI status for MPWR stock?",
   "answer": "The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for MPWR is 64.55, which is categorized as 'BULLISH', suggesting strong upward momentum."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the recent insider trading activity for MPWR?",
   "answer": "Insiders have been net sellers of MPWR stock, with total sales amounting to $733.7 million and no reported purchases. This has resulted in a heavy insider selling."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does MPWR's revenue growth compare to its sector?",
   "answer": "MPWR's reported revenue growth of 47.6% significantly outpaces the Technology sector's median revenue growth of 24.1%."
  },
  {
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      "text": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the projected base case price for MPWR in 2030 is $2509.73, with a downside projection of $729.96 and an upside projection of $8628.88. These are statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets."
     }
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}