{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/miniso-group-mnso/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/miniso-group-mnso/data.json",
 "title": "MINISO (MNSO) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Is MINISO Group (MNSO) a Buy or Sell after its latest earnings? See the AI trade setup, valuation view and key risk levels. Updated daily.",
 "headline": "MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO)",
 "published": "2026-08-28T09:15:21+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T11:04:08.754+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T21:01:49.875Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "MNSO",
  "name": "MINISO Group Holding Limited",
  "type": "American Depositary Receipt",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Consumer Cyclical",
  "industry": "Specialty Retail",
  "country": "China",
  "website": "https://www.miniso.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 9.06,
  "previousClose": 9.23,
  "change": -0.17,
  "changePercent": -1.84,
  "open": 9.085,
  "high": 9.11,
  "low": 9.01,
  "volume": 1025400,
  "averageVolume": 1401290,
  "marketCap": 2695775249,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 25.92,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 9.01,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T11:04:03.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 15.131146,
  "eps": 0.61,
  "dividendYield": 0.16627971114581147,
  "beta": 0.09,
  "priceToSales": 0.116620086,
  "priceToBook": 1.8056281,
  "revenueTtm": 3509363795,
  "grossMargin": 0.45256675271185176,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.118240006
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 21.33,
  "macd": -0.74,
  "sma50": 11.56,
  "sma200": 15.48,
  "rsiSignal": "Oversold",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 72,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": 14.54,
  "analystTarget": 14.54,
  "analystCount": 17,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T11:04:03.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 9.06,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 3.01,
   "risk": "volatile"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 8.88,
  "aggressiveEntry": 9.06,
  "stopLoss": 8.44,
  "stopLossPercent": 4.96,
  "targets": [
   9.32,
   9.77,
   10.21
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 4.55,
    "base": 8.64,
    "upside90th": 16.4
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 3.33,
    "base": 8.24,
    "upside90th": 20.38
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 2.59,
    "base": 7.85,
    "upside90th": 23.83
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 2.08,
    "base": 7.49,
    "upside90th": 26.97
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 1.7,
    "base": 7.14,
    "upside90th": 29.92
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 1.42,
    "base": 6.81,
    "upside90th": 32.71
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 1.19,
    "base": 6.49,
    "upside90th": 35.36
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 1.01,
    "base": 6.19,
    "upside90th": 37.9
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 0.86,
    "base": 5.9,
    "upside90th": 40.34
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 0.74,
    "base": 5.63,
    "upside90th": 42.68
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "MNSO Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$9.09",
    "Day Range": "$9.01 to $9.11",
    "Prev Close": "$9.23",
    "Volume": "1.03M",
    "52-Week Range": "$9.01 to $25.92",
    "Market Cap": "$2.70B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-27%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "MNSO Analysis",
   "text": [
    "MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO) is currently trading below its key moving averages, with its price below the 50-day SMA of $11.56 and the 200-day SMA of $15.48. The 20-day EMA is also acting as resistance at $10.31. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 21.33, indicating an oversold condition, which could signal a potential short-term bounce. The MACD is currently negative at -0.74, reinforcing the bearish momentum.The nearest support level is the current price around $9.06, with the oversold RSI suggesting a potential reversal. Resistance is seen at the 20-day EMA ($10.31) and the 50-day SMA ($11.56). Volume has been below average recently, with the latest volume at 1,025,400 compared to an average of 1,401,290, suggesting a lack of conviction behind the current price action.",
    "MINISO's reported revenue growth of 17% significantly surpasses the Consumer Cyclical sector median of 6.7%, indicating strong business expansion and market traction.",
    "With a P/E ratio of 15.13, MINISO trades at a discount to the sector median of 20.8, suggesting potential for multiple expansion as growth continues.",
    "Analysts project current year revenue growth of 15.00% and next year growth of 15.00%, indicating sustained expansion and confidence in future performance.",
    "The median analyst price target of $14.54 represents a 60.5% upside from the current stock price, signaling Wall Street's positive outlook.",
    "The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($11.56 and $15.48), with bearish momentum indicated by the MACD, suggesting potential for continued price weakness.",
    "MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO) is expected to see its stock price move towards the median analyst target of $14.54 over the next 6-12 months, representing a 60.5% upside from its current trading level of $9.06. This projection is supported by strong revenue growth exceeding sector averages and a valuation that appears discounted compared to peers. Continued execution on its growth strategy and positive consumer reception could drive the stock higher.However, the current bearish technical setup, with the stock trading below key moving averages, presents a near-term risk. A failure to break above resistance levels around the 20-day EMA ($10.31) and 50-day SMA ($11.56) could lead to further price declines. Any negative shifts in consumer spending or increased competitive pressures could also impact the company's ability to meet growth expectations."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Consider the divergence between MINISO's oversold technical indicators and its strong Wall Street Buy consensus as a potential entry signal, but monitor for a break above key resistance levels.",
     "The stock's dividend yield of 4.16% offers some income, but investors should prioritize capital appreciation given the significant upside potential to analyst targets.",
     "Given the current price weakness, implementing a stop-loss order below the $9.00 level could help manage downside risk while allowing participation in a potential recovery."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Strong Revenue Growth Exceeding Sector Averages",
     "text": "MINISO's reported revenue growth of 17% significantly surpasses the Consumer Cyclical sector median of 6.7%, indicating strong business expansion and market traction.",
     "source": "Company Data"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Attractive Valuation Relative to Peers",
     "text": "With a P/E ratio of 15.13, MINISO trades at a discount to the sector median of 20.8, suggesting potential for multiple expansion as growth continues.",
     "source": "Company Data"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Positive Forward Revenue Estimates",
     "text": "Analysts project current year revenue growth of 15.00% and next year growth of 15.00%, indicating sustained expansion and confidence in future performance.",
     "source": "Wall Street Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Median Analyst Price Target Suggests Significant Upside",
     "text": "The median analyst price target of $14.54 represents a 60.5% upside from the current stock price, signaling Wall Street's positive outlook.",
     "source": "Wall Street Summary"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Bearish Technical Positioning",
     "text": "The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($11.56 and $15.48), with bearish momentum indicated by the MACD, suggesting potential for continued price weakness.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO) presents a valuation discount relative to its sector, with a P/E ratio of 15.13 compared to the Consumer Cyclical sector median of 20.8. Its earnings per share (EPS) stand at $0.61. The company's revenue growth of 17% outpaces the sector average of 6.7%, indicating strong top-line expansion. This suggests that the current market price may not fully reflect the company's growth trajectory and profitability.The company's balance sheet strength is supported by a healthy dividend yield of 4.16%. The strong revenue growth and sector discount imply potential for fundamental improvement. Investors should monitor forward revenue estimates, which project a 15.00% increase for the current year, suggesting continued business expansion.",
    "While specific recent quarterly earnings beats or misses are not detailed, MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO) demonstrates strong revenue growth, with a reported 17% increase. Forward-looking revenue estimates are positive, projecting a 15.00% growth for the current year and 15.00% for the next year, indicating sustained expansion. The company also offers a dividend yield of 4.16%, suggesting a commitment to returning value to shareholders.",
    "MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO) faces significant technical headwinds, trading well below its key moving averages and exhibiting bearish momentum. The oversold RSI suggests a potential for short-term volatility, but the lack of strong conviction in recent trading volume could prolong the downside pressure. Competitive pressures within the specialty retail sector and potential shifts in consumer spending patterns represent ongoing risks that could impact future performance."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "10.88B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "15.13"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "0.6100"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "4.16%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "25.92"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "9.01"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Oversold SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $11.56, 200-day: $15.48), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 21.3 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Oversold",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "21.33"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-0.74"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "11.56"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "15.48"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.30",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.28",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "-0.02",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.14"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "MNSO Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (21.3) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$9.323",
    "TARGET 2": "$9.767",
    "TARGET 3": "$10.21",
    "STOP LOSS": "$8.438"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "3.01%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in MNSO in October 2020 would be worth about $4,339 today, compared with about $21,808 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in MNSO today could grow to about $6,209 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $47,104 and a bear case around $818. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "MNSO Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $7.49 for MNSO by 2030 in the base case, from $9.06 today (0.8x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $2.08. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MNSO's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using MNSO's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "MNSO simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$4.55",
        "$8.64",
        "$16.40"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$3.33",
        "$8.24",
        "$20.38"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$2.59",
        "$7.85",
        "$23.83"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$2.08",
        "$7.49",
        "$26.97"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$1.70",
        "$7.14",
        "$29.92"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$1.42",
        "$6.81",
        "$32.71"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$1.19",
        "$6.49",
        "$35.36"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$1.01",
        "$6.19",
        "$37.90"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$0.8629",
        "$5.90",
        "$40.34"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$0.7415",
        "$5.63",
        "$42.68"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
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  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "Is MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO) stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO) is currently rated a Buy with a consensus score of 72. The median analyst target price is $14.54, offering a 60.5% upside from the current price of $9.06. However, the stock is trading below its key moving averages, indicating bearish technicals."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the outlook for MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO) stock?",
   "answer": "The outlook for MNSO is cautiously optimistic, with Wall Street analysts projecting a 60.5% upside to a median target of $14.54. Strong revenue growth and a sector valuation discount support this view, though technical indicators suggest near-term challenges."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the biggest risks facing MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO)?",
   "answer": "The primary risks for MNSO include its current bearish technical positioning, trading below key moving averages, and potential volatility associated with its oversold RSI. Competitive pressures in the specialty retail sector and shifts in consumer spending also pose ongoing threats."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is MINISO Group Holding Limited's (MNSO) dividend yield?",
   "answer": "MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO) offers a dividend yield of approximately 4.16%, providing a modest income stream for investors."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO) compare to its sector averages?",
   "answer": "MINISO (MNSO) trades at a P/E ratio of 15.13, which is below the Consumer Cyclical sector median of 20.8. Its revenue growth of 17% significantly exceeds the sector average of 6.7%, suggesting strong performance relative to peers."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the consensus rating for MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO) stock?",
   "answer": "The consensus rating for MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO) is Buy, with a consensus score of 72 out of 100, based on ratings from 17 Wall Street analysts."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are MINISO Group Holding Limited's (MNSO) revenue growth estimates?",
   "answer": "MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO) is estimated to achieve 12.00% revenue growth for the current quarter and 6.00% for the next quarter. For the current year, revenue growth is projected at 15.00%, and for the next year, it is expected to be 15.00%."
  }
 ],
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