{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/microchip-technology-mchp/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/microchip-technology-mchp/data.json",
 "title": "Microchip (MCHP) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "AI analysis of Microchip Technology (MCHP) stock. Real-time price, technical indicators & daily forecasts. Updated daily.",
 "headline": "Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP)",
 "published": "2026-06-06T09:14:42+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-27T05:35:53.947+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T13:28:04.880Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "MCHP",
  "name": "Microchip Technology Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Technology",
  "industry": "Semiconductors",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.microchip.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 78.69,
  "previousClose": 74.69,
  "change": 4,
  "changePercent": 5.36,
  "open": 75.2,
  "high": 78.96,
  "low": 74.93,
  "volume": 9747400,
  "averageVolume": 9232810,
  "marketCap": 42729353894,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 105.91,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 48.52,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-27T05:35:53.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 115.72059,
  "eps": 0.68,
  "dividendYield": 0.023137552952806388,
  "beta": 1.736,
  "priceToSales": 8.34183,
  "priceToBook": 6.6237373,
  "revenueTtm": 5122299904,
  "grossMargin": 0.6323836465279181,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.0719
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 60.66,
  "macd": -0.23,
  "sma50": 76.13,
  "sma200": 78.61,
  "rsiSignal": "Bullish",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Neutral"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 71,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": 108,
  "analystTarget": 108,
  "analystCount": 26,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-27T05:35:53.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 78.69,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 2.2,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 77.12,
  "aggressiveEntry": 78.69,
  "stopLoss": 70.89,
  "stopLossPercent": 8.07,
  "targets": [
   80.97,
   84.83,
   88.68
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 49.41,
    "base": 85.43,
    "upside90th": 147.7
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 42.75,
    "base": 92.74,
    "upside90th": 201.16
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 39,
    "base": 100.67,
    "upside90th": 259.89
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 36.56,
    "base": 109.29,
    "upside90th": 326.72
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 34.88,
    "base": 118.65,
    "upside90th": 403.62
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 33.69,
    "base": 128.8,
    "upside90th": 492.48
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 32.84,
    "base": 139.82,
    "upside90th": 595.28
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 32.26,
    "base": 151.79,
    "upside90th": 714.21
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 31.88,
    "base": 164.78,
    "upside90th": 851.71
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 31.67,
    "base": 178.89,
    "upside90th": 1010.53
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "MCHP Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$75.20",
    "Day Range": "$74.93 to $78.96",
    "Prev Close": "$74.69",
    "Volume": "9.75M",
    "52-Week Range": "$48.52 to $105.91",
    "Market Cap": "$42.73B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+240%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "MCHP Financial Performance"
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "MCHP Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP) is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($76.13 and $78.61), signaling an upward trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 60.66 is in the 'BULLISH' territory, indicating strong momentum, and the MACD is currently at -0.23. The nearest support level is around the 50-day SMA at $76.13, with resistance potentially near the current price or slightly higher. Volume has been slightly above average recently, suggesting sustained interest. The overall chart structure indicates a bullish bias, but the proximity to the 200-day SMA at $78.61 could act as a psychological resistance point.",
    "26 Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' rating with a median price target of $108, suggesting a 37.2% upside potential from the current price of $78.69.",
    "Analysts forecast significant revenue growth, with an estimated 41% increase for the current quarter and 36% for the current year, indicating strong demand for Microchip Technology Inc.'s products.",
    "Insiders have sold $72.4 million worth of stock with no reported purchases, leading to a heavy insider selling, which may indicate a lack of confidence in near-term price appreciation.",
    "Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP) is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($76.13 and $78.61), indicating a generally positive technical trend.",
    "The base case for Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP) anticipates continued upward price movement, driven by strong revenue growth projections and analyst optimism, with a median target price of $108 representing a 37.2% upside. The company's position above key moving averages and bullish RSI further support this outlook. However, the significant insider selling presents a considerable risk that could temper upside potential. Should these selling pressures continue or intensify, or if the company's premium valuation fails to be supported by sustained earnings growth, the stock could face downward pressure. Conversely, exceeding revenue and EPS estimates could validate the current valuation and potentially drive the stock towards the higher end of analyst targets."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor insider selling closely; a continuation of the heavy selling trend could signal underlying concerns despite positive analyst ratings.",
     "Given the elevated P/E ratio, investors should pay close attention to Microchip Technology Inc.'s (MCHP) ability to meet or exceed forward-looking revenue and EPS estimates to justify its current valuation.",
     "The stock is trading near its 200-day SMA ($78.61); a sustained break above this level could signal further upside, while a failure to hold above it might indicate renewed selling pressure."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Strong Analyst Buy Consensus and Price Targets",
     "text": "26 Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' rating with a median price target of $108, suggesting a 37.2% upside potential from the current price of $78.69.",
     "source": "Wall Street Summary"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Projected Strong Revenue Growth",
     "text": "Analysts forecast significant revenue growth, with an estimated 41% increase for the current quarter and 36% for the current year, indicating strong demand for Microchip Technology Inc.'s products.",
     "source": "Wall Street Revenue Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Heavy Insider Selling Activity",
     "text": "Insiders have sold $72.4 million worth of stock with no reported purchases, leading to a heavy insider selling, which may indicate a lack of confidence in near-term price appreciation.",
     "source": "Insider Summary"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Trading Above Key Moving Averages",
     "text": "Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP) is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($76.13 and $78.61), indicating a generally positive technical trend.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP) trades at a P/E ratio of 115.72, significantly higher than the sector median of 34, and a Price-to-Sales ratio of 8.34, also above the sector median of 7.5. The company's Return on Equity (ROE) stands at 7.19%, below the sector median of 13.4%, and its Net Profit Margin is 9.34%, which is lower than the sector median. Despite the elevated valuation multiples, analysts project substantial revenue growth of 36% for the current year and 16% for the next, with a 5-year average growth estimate of 9%. The company's Debt-to-Equity ratio of 0.84 is in line with the sector average. The current valuation appears stretched relative to its profitability and sector averages, but future growth prospects are a key factor supporting the stock.",
    "Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP) is expected to report strong earnings growth, with current year EPS estimates at $3.65 and next year's at $4.58, representing significant year-over-year increases. Revenue growth is also projected to be strong, with an estimated 41% increase for the current quarter and 36% for the current year. The company's past 5-year average annual growth was -5.2%, but forward-looking estimates suggest a strong turnaround.",
    "The primary risk for Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP) stems from significant insider selling, with over $72 million in dispositions and no reported purchases, indicating potential concerns among management. Additionally, the stock's valuation appears stretched, with a P/E ratio of 115.72 significantly exceeding the sector median, and its ROE is below the industry average. Competitive pressures within the semiconductor industry also pose an ongoing challenge."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "42.73B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "115.72"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "0.6800"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "2.31%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "105.91"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "48.52"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Neutral RSI Bullish SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bullish MACD Bearish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $76.13, 200-day: $78.61), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Bullish",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bullish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "60.66"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-0.23"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "76.13"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "78.61"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.66",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.67",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.26",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.15"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "MCHP Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (60.7) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$80.97",
    "TARGET 2": "$84.83",
    "TARGET 3": "$88.68",
    "STOP LOSS": "$70.89"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+2.42%",
    "Average Feb return": "+0.26%",
    "Average Mar return": "-4.62%",
    "Average Apr return": "+6.25%",
    "Average May return": "+7.19%",
    "Average Jun return": "+0.87%",
    "Average Jul return": "+0.78%",
    "Average Aug return": "-1.07%",
    "Average Sep return": "-1.27%",
    "Average Oct return": "-3.54%",
    "Average Nov return": "+6.53%",
    "Average Dec return": "+1.04%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "2.20%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in MCHP in September 2016 would be worth about $25,665 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in MCHP today could grow to about $22,733 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $128,418 and a bear case around $4,024. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "MCHP Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $109 for MCHP by 2030 in the base case, from $78.69 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $36.56. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MCHP's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using MCHP's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "MCHP simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$49.41",
        "$85.43",
        "$148"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$42.75",
        "$92.74",
        "$201"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$39.00",
        "$101",
        "$260"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$36.56",
        "$109",
        "$327"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$34.88",
        "$119",
        "$404"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$33.69",
        "$129",
        "$492"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$32.84",
        "$140",
        "$595"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$32.26",
        "$152",
        "$714"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$31.88",
        "$165",
        "$852"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$31.67",
        "$179",
        "$1,011"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/gld-vs-slv/"
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "MCHP Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$72.4M",
    "Insiders": "13",
    "Avg Transaction": "$3.1M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in MCHP",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Apr 23, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "SANGHI STEVE Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "416.6K",
        "$36.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 1, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "SANGHI STEVE Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "110.0K",
        "$10.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jan 28, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "SANGHI STEVE Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "98.8K",
        "$8.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 1, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "SANGHI STEVE Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "94.3K",
        "$7.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 12, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "SANGHI STEVE Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "94.9K",
        "$7.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 9, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "SANGHI STEVE Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "45.1K",
        "$3.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 22, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "SANGHI STEVE Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "45.3K",
        "$3.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 16, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "SANGHI STEVE Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "41.5K",
        "$3.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 7, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "SANGHI STEVE Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "36.4K",
        "$3.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jan 22, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "SANGHI STEVE Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "18.5K",
        "$1.5M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Microchip+Technology+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Microchip Technology Inc.'s stock price forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP) has a projected base case price of $109.29 for 2030, with a downside projection of $36.56 and an upside projection of $326.72. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is Microchip Technology Inc. stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP) is currently rated a 'Buy' by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $108 suggesting a 37.2% upside. The stock is trading above its key moving averages with bullish momentum, but significant insider selling warrants careful consideration."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical levels for MCHP stock?",
   "answer": "Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP) is trading above its 50-day SMA ($76.13) and 200-day SMA ($78.61). The RSI is at 60.66, indicating bullish momentum. Key support is near the 50-day SMA, while resistance may emerge near the current price or slightly higher."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the consensus rating for Microchip Technology Inc.?",
   "answer": "The consensus rating for Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP) is 'Buy', with a consensus score of 71 out of 100. This is based on 26 Wall Street analysts covering the stock."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does Microchip Technology Inc.'s valuation compare to its peers?",
   "answer": "Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP) has a P/E ratio of 115.72 and a Price-to-Sales ratio of 8.34, which are significantly higher than the sector medians of 34 and 7.5, respectively. Its ROE of 7.19% is also below the sector median of 13.4%."
  },
  {
   "question": "Are there any significant insider transactions for MCHP stock?",
   "answer": "Yes, there has been significant insider selling for Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP), with total sales amounting to $72.4 million and no reported purchases. This heavy insider selling suggests a lack of insider confidence in the near term."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the revenue growth prospects for Microchip Technology Inc.?",
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}