{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/mercadolibre-meli/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/mercadolibre-meli/data.json",
 "title": "MercadoLibre (MELI) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "MercadoLibre Inc. (MELI) stock: Consumer Cyclical, Internet Retail. $96.6B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "MercadoLibre Inc. (MELI)",
 "published": "2026-05-28T09:16:33+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T19:17:10.435+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T21:02:16.478Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "MELI",
  "name": "MercadoLibre Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Consumer Cyclical",
  "industry": "Internet Retail",
  "country": "Uruguay",
  "website": "https://www.mercadolibre.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 1901.19,
  "previousClose": 1906.24,
  "change": -5.05,
  "changePercent": -0.26,
  "open": 1928.17,
  "high": 1930.675,
  "low": 1892.77,
  "volume": 9547,
  "averageVolume": 343615,
  "marketCap": 96640271337,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 2548.5,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 1495,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T19:17:08.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 51.82817,
  "eps": 36.78,
  "dividendYield": 0.00031559015358720803,
  "beta": 1.312,
  "priceToSales": 2.746867,
  "priceToBook": 12.335968,
  "revenueTtm": 35181998080,
  "grossMargin": 0.40898810109155276,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.27504
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 47.56,
  "macd": 18.52,
  "sma50": 1873.91,
  "sma200": 1858.28,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Neutral",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Bullish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 76,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": 2275,
  "analystTarget": 2275,
  "analystCount": 24,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T19:17:08.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 1901.19,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 2.69,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 1863.17,
  "aggressiveEntry": 1901.19,
  "stopLoss": 1788.08,
  "stopLossPercent": 4.03,
  "targets": [
   1956.32,
   2049.48,
   2142.64
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 1169.97,
    "base": 2184.53,
    "upside90th": 4078.88
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 1037.95,
    "base": 2510.09,
    "upside90th": 6070.16
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 977.95,
    "base": 2884.17,
    "upside90th": 8505.98
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 950.57,
    "base": 3314,
    "upside90th": 11553.66
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 942.54,
    "base": 3807.89,
    "upside90th": 15383.99
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 947.88,
    "base": 4375.38,
    "upside90th": 20196.54
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 963.52,
    "base": 5027.45,
    "upside90th": 26232.02
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 987.77,
    "base": 5776.69,
    "upside90th": 33783.3
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 1019.67,
    "base": 6637.6,
    "upside90th": 43207.73
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 1058.73,
    "base": 7626.8,
    "upside90th": 54941.46
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "MELI Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$1,928.17",
    "Day Range": "$1,892.77 to $1,930.68",
    "Prev Close": "$1,906.24",
    "Volume": "9.5K",
    "52-Week Range": "$1,495.00 to $2,548.50",
    "Market Cap": "$96.64B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+103%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "MELI Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 1 quarters, MELI beat estimates 1 times. However, the stock fell 1 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often \"priced in\" or investors are selling the news."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "MELI Analysis",
   "text": [
    "MercadoLibre Inc. (MELI) is currently trading above its 50-day SMA of $1873.91 and its 200-day SMA of $1858.28, signaling a bullish trend. The RSI is at 47.56, indicating neutral momentum, while the price is below its 20-day EMA of $1919.12, suggesting some near-term selling pressure. Key support is found at the 50-day SMA, with resistance near the 20-day EMA.Volume has been significantly below average recently, with the latest volume at 9547 compared to an average of 343615, indicating a lack of strong conviction from traders. The MACD at 18.52 suggests a bullish bias, though its proximity to the signal line warrants monitoring. The overall chart structure suggests a consolidation phase after recent gains, with potential for further upside if key resistance levels are broken with increased volume.",
    "Analysts project Q3 2026 revenue to reach $10.57B, representing a 43.00% year-over-year increase, indicating continued strong demand for MELI's services.",
    "MercadoLibre Inc. has demonstrated a pattern of beating EPS estimates, including a 54.76% surprise in its most recent report, signaling effective operational management and growth.",
    "The majority of Wall Street analysts maintain Buy or Overweight ratings, with a median price target of $2275.00, suggesting confidence in future performance.",
    "Insiders have sold $2.31 million in stock versus $1.29 million purchased, indicating a net selling position that could signal caution regarding short-term price appreciation.",
    "MELI's P/E ratio of 51.83 is significantly higher than the sector average of 25.5, making the stock vulnerable to pullbacks if growth expectations falter.",
    "The outlook for MercadoLibre Inc. (MELI) remains positive, driven by its dominant position in Latin American e-commerce and fintech, coupled with strong revenue growth projections. The company is expected to continue its expansion, leveraging its established platform to capture market share and introduce new services. The median analyst price target of $2275.00 suggests continued appreciation from the current price of $1901.19.Potential upside catalysts include successful expansion into new markets or product categories, favorable regulatory developments, and continued strong execution on earnings, which has consistently beaten analyst estimates. Conversely, a significant slowdown in revenue growth, increased competitive pressure, or adverse macroeconomic conditions in Latin America could challenge this outlook and lead to a reassessment of the stock's premium valuation."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "MercadoLibre Inc. (MELI) has a dividend yield of 0.03% and a dividend rate of $0.60, which is very low and suggests a focus on reinvesting profits for growth rather than returning capital to shareholders.",
     "Monitor the 20-day EMA at $1919.12 as a key short-term resistance level; a sustained break above this could signal renewed upward momentum.",
     "Given the premium valuation, consider position sizing carefully and maintaining a stop-loss order below the 50-day SMA ($1873.91) to manage downside risk."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Strong Q3 2026 Revenue Growth Estimates",
     "text": "Analysts project Q3 2026 revenue to reach $10.57B, representing a 43.00% year-over-year increase, indicating continued strong demand for MELI's services.",
     "source": "Wall Street Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Consistent EPS Beats",
     "text": "MercadoLibre Inc. has demonstrated a pattern of beating EPS estimates, including a 54.76% surprise in its most recent report, signaling effective operational management and growth.",
     "source": "Earnings Reports"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets",
     "text": "The majority of Wall Street analysts maintain Buy or Overweight ratings, with a median price target of $2275.00, suggesting confidence in future performance.",
     "source": "Wall Street Analysts"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Moderate Insider Selling Activity",
     "text": "Insiders have sold $2.31 million in stock versus $1.29 million purchased, indicating a net selling position that could signal caution regarding short-term price appreciation.",
     "source": "Insider Transactions"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Elevated Valuation Metrics",
     "text": "MELI's P/E ratio of 51.83 is significantly higher than the sector average of 25.5, making the stock vulnerable to pullbacks if growth expectations falter.",
     "source": "Financial Data"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "MercadoLibre Inc. (MELI) exhibits a P/E ratio of 51.83, which is considerably higher than the sector average of 25.5, indicating a premium valuation. However, this premium is supported by an exceptional revenue growth rate of 49.8% and projected current year growth of 44.00%, far exceeding the sector average of 10.0%. The company's ability to consistently grow its top line at such a pace suggests strong market demand and effective execution.Profitability, as indicated by EPS of $36.78, remains solid, though the P/E ratio suggests investors are pricing in significant future growth. The balance sheet appears healthy, with a substantial market capitalization of $96.64 billion. While valuation metrics suggest a high growth stock, the company's market leadership and continued expansion in e-commerce and fintech in Latin America provide a strong fundamental basis for its current valuation.",
    "MercadoLibre Inc. (MELI) recently reported an EPS of $0.65 for the quarter ending March 17, 2026, significantly beating the estimate of $0.42 by 54.76%. This positive surprise followed an even larger beat in the prior quarter, where actual EPS of $0.15 surpassed estimates of $0.06 by 150%. Despite these strong earnings beats, the stock experienced a -2.19% price change following the most recent report, while the prior quarter saw a 0.64% gain.The pattern of consistent EPS beats suggests strong operational performance and effective cost management. The recent price reaction to the latest earnings beat warrants attention, potentially indicating that market expectations are already priced in or that other macro factors are influencing short-term price movements.",
    "MercadoLibre Inc. (MELI) faces several key risks, including its premium valuation with a P/E ratio of 51.83, significantly higher than the sector average, which could lead to increased volatility if growth expectations are not met. Moderate insider selling, with total sales of $2.31 million versus $1.29 million in purchases, suggests some caution among management regarding short-term price appreciation.Also, increasing competition in the Latin American e-commerce and fintech space, along with potential regulatory shifts in its key operating markets, pose ongoing challenges. The company's reliance on these specific regions makes it susceptible to localized economic downturns or policy changes."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "96.64B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "51.83"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "36.78"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.0316%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "2,548.50"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "1,495.00"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bullish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Neutral Price vs SMA Bullish MACD Bullish Price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Neutral",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bullish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "47.56"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "18.52"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "1,873.91"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "1,858.28"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.34",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.31",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.16",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.07"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "MELI Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (47.6) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$1,956.32",
    "TARGET 2": "$2,049.48",
    "TARGET 3": "$2,142.64",
    "STOP LOSS": "$1,788.08"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+13.21%",
    "Average Feb return": "+0.10%",
    "Average Mar return": "-3.28%",
    "Average Apr return": "+2.80%",
    "Average May return": "+4.36%",
    "Average Jun return": "+0.20%",
    "Average Jul return": "+8.22%",
    "Average Aug return": "+4.40%",
    "Average Sep return": "-3.14%",
    "Average Oct return": "-2.24%",
    "Average Nov return": "+4.91%",
    "Average Dec return": "-0.17%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "2.69%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in MELI in September 2016 would be worth about $106,174 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in MELI today could grow to about $40,116 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $288,985 and a bear case around $5,569. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "MELI Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $3,314 for MELI by 2030 in the base case, from $1,901 today (1.7x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $951. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MELI's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using MELI's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. MELI is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "MELI simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$1,170",
        "$2,185",
        "$4,079"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$1,038",
        "$2,510",
        "$6,070"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$978",
        "$2,884",
        "$8,506"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$951",
        "$3,314",
        "$11,554"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$943",
        "$3,808",
        "$15,384"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$948",
        "$4,375",
        "$20,197"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$964",
        "$5,027",
        "$26,232"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$988",
        "$5,777",
        "$33,783"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$1,020",
        "$6,638",
        "$43,208"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$1,059",
        "$7,627",
        "$54,941"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/tjx-companies-tjx/"
    },
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/orly-stock-analysis/"
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    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/general-motors-gm/"
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    {
     "text": "SBUX Starbucks Corp. NASDAQ $99.22 -0.8197%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/starbucks-sbux/"
    },
    {
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    {
     "text": "DKNG DraftKings Inc. NASDAQ $24.73 +4.28%",
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
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  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "MELI Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "$1.3M",
    "Sold": "$2.3M",
    "Insiders": "7",
    "Avg Transaction": "$600.4K"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in MELI",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Dec 12, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "DUBUGRAS HENRIQUE VASONCELOS Director",
        "Sell",
        "845",
        "$1.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 9, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "TOLDA STELLEO PASSOS Director",
        "Sell",
        "246",
        "$503.8K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 29, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "CALEMZUK EMILIANO Director",
        "Sell",
        "50",
        "$99.2K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 11, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "CALEMZUK EMILIANO Director",
        "Sell",
        "45",
        "$91.2K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 12, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "AGUZIN ALEJANDRO NICOLAS Director",
        "Grant",
        "94",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 12, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "LAWSON MARTIN R Director",
        "Grant",
        "94",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 12, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "SANDERS RICHARD A Director",
        "Grant",
        "94",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 11, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "MELAMUD MARCELO Officer",
        "Buy",
        "124",
        "$200.0K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 10, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "TOLDA STELLEO PASSOS Director",
        "Grant",
        "250",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 22, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "AGUZIN ALEJANDRO NICOLAS Director",
        "Buy",
        "600",
        "$993.6K"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=MercadoLibre+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is MELI's stock price prediction for 2030?",
   "answer": "MercadoLibre Inc.'s (MELI) long-range projection for 2030 indicates a base case price of $3314, with a downside scenario at $950.57 and an upside scenario at $11553.66, based on Monte Carlo simulations."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is MercadoLibre Inc. stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "MercadoLibre Inc. (MELI) is rated as a 'Buy' by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $2275.00, suggesting a 19.7% upside from its current price of $1901.19. The stock exhibits strong revenue growth and positive technical indicators."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the biggest risks for MercadoLibre Inc.?",
   "answer": "Key risks for MercadoLibre Inc. (MELI) include its high valuation (P/E of 51.83), moderate insider selling, and increasing competition in its core markets. Potential regulatory changes in Latin America also present a significant risk."
  },
  {
   "question": "How is MercadoLibre Inc. performing financially?",
   "answer": "MercadoLibre Inc. (MELI) is demonstrating strong financial performance with a revenue growth rate of 49.8% and projected current year growth of 44.00%. Recent earnings reports have shown significant EPS beats, indicating strong operational execution."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the technical outlook for MELI stock?",
   "answer": "Technically, MELI is trading above its key 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a bullish trend. However, neutral RSI momentum and below-average recent volume suggest a consolidation phase, with support near the 50-day SMA."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does MercadoLibre Inc. compare to its sector averages?",
   "answer": "MercadoLibre Inc. (MELI) trades at a higher P/E ratio (51.83) and revenue growth rate (49.8%) compared to sector averages (P/E 25.5, revenue growth 10.0%). Its superior growth justifies the premium valuation."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the Wall Street consensus on MercadoLibre Inc. stock?",
   "answer": "The Wall Street consensus for MercadoLibre Inc. (MELI) is predominantly positive, with 24 analysts covering the stock. The consensus rating is 'Buy', supported by 5 'Strong Buy' and 15 'Buy' ratings, and a median price target of $2275.00."
  }
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      "text": "Technically, MELI is trading above its key 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a bullish trend. However, neutral RSI momentum and below-average recent volume suggest a consolidation phase, with support near the 50-day SMA."
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      "text": "MercadoLibre Inc. (MELI) trades at a higher P/E ratio (51.83) and revenue growth rate (49.8%) compared to sector averages (P/E 25.5, revenue growth 10.0%). Its superior growth justifies the premium valuation."
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      "text": "The Wall Street consensus for MercadoLibre Inc. (MELI) is predominantly positive, with 24 analysts covering the stock. The consensus rating is 'Buy', supported by 5 'Strong Buy' and 15 'Buy' ratings, and a median price target of $2275.00."
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