{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/mco-stock-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/mco-stock-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "Moody's (MCO) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Is Moody's (MCO) a Buy or Sell today? Get the AI trade setup, key support levels and credit ratings growth outlook. Updated daily.",
 "headline": "Moody's Corporation (MCO)",
 "published": "2026-09-01T09:30:23+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T16:41:50.969+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T20:41:23.666Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "MCO",
  "name": "Moody's Corporation",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Financial Services",
  "industry": "Financial Data & Stock Exchanges",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.moodys.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 470.91,
  "previousClose": 467.36,
  "change": 3.55,
  "changePercent": 0.76,
  "open": 473.55,
  "high": 473.79,
  "low": 467.75,
  "volume": 15866,
  "averageVolume": 584477,
  "marketCap": 80937862950,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 546.88,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 402.28,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T16:41:50.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 30.1134,
  "eps": 15.52,
  "dividendYield": 0.008749017859038881,
  "beta": 1.334,
  "priceToSales": 9.918857,
  "priceToBook": 26.756742,
  "revenueTtm": 8160000000,
  "grossMargin": 0.7629290617848971,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.76932
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 34.18,
  "macd": -2.74,
  "sma50": 490.63,
  "sma200": 473.05,
  "rsiSignal": "Bearish",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 74,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": 570,
  "analystTarget": 570,
  "analystCount": 24,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T16:41:50.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 470.91,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 1.47,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 461.49,
  "aggressiveEntry": 470.91,
  "stopLoss": 447.65,
  "stopLossPercent": 3,
  "targets": [
   484.57,
   507.64,
   530.72
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 366.29,
    "base": 523.65,
    "upside90th": 748.6
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 351.27,
    "base": 582.29,
    "upside90th": 965.26
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 348.66,
    "base": 647.5,
    "upside90th": 1202.48
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 352.31,
    "base": 720.02,
    "upside90th": 1471.52
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 360.06,
    "base": 800.65,
    "upside90th": 1780.37
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 370.98,
    "base": 890.32,
    "upside90th": 2136.66
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 384.59,
    "base": 990.03,
    "upside90th": 2548.59
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 400.63,
    "base": 1100.9,
    "upside90th": 3025.2
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 419,
    "base": 1224.19,
    "upside90th": 3576.73
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 439.67,
    "base": 1361.29,
    "upside90th": 4214.78
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "MCO Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$473.55",
    "Day Range": "$467.75 to $473.79",
    "Prev Close": "$467.36",
    "Volume": "15.9K",
    "52-Week Range": "$402.28 to $546.88",
    "Market Cap": "$80.94B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (0.0113% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "MCO Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Moody's Corporation (MCO) is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($490.63 and $473.05), indicating a bearish short-to-medium term trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 34.18 further supports this, signaling bearish momentum. The MACD is also negative at -2.74, reinforcing the downward pressure. Key support levels are not explicitly provided, but the current price of $470.91 is below the 200-day SMA. Volume has been significantly below average, suggesting a lack of strong conviction behind the recent price action. Investors should monitor for a potential bounce off lower levels or a decisive move above the 50-day SMA to signal a shift in momentum.",
    "Moody's Corporation (MCO) has a track record of exceeding analyst EPS estimates, as seen in the July 2026 quarter with a 10.12% surprise, indicating strong operational execution.",
    "Analysts forecast continued revenue growth for Moody's Corporation (MCO), with current year estimates showing a 7.00% increase, suggesting sustained demand for its services.",
    "The median analyst price target for MCO is $570, representing a 21% upside from the current price, supported by a 'Buy' consensus from 24 analysts.",
    "Insiders have net sold $20.7 million in MCO stock across 139 transactions, indicating a moderate sell signal and potential lack of insider confidence.",
    "Moody's Corporation (MCO) is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($490.63 and $473.05), with bearish RSI and MACD indicators, suggesting short-term downward pressure.",
    "The base case for Moody's Corporation (MCO) over the next 6-12 months anticipates a recovery towards its median analyst target price of $570, driven by its consistent earnings beats and projected revenue growth. The company's strong market position in credit ratings and financial data services provides a stable foundation for future performance. Upside potential could be realized if MCO continues to outperform earnings expectations and benefits from increased market activity or regulatory tailwinds. Conversely, a significant economic slowdown or increased competition could pressure its valuation and hinder its ability to reach target price levels, potentially leading to a retest of support levels near its 200-day moving average."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor Moody's Corporation (MCO) for a potential technical reversal as it trades below key moving averages; a move above the 50-day SMA could signal renewed bullish momentum.",
     "Given the moderate insider selling, investors should closely watch for any further significant sales or shifts in insider sentiment.",
     "Consider the company's dividend yield of approximately 0.86% as a minor component of total return, focusing primarily on capital appreciation driven by earnings and growth."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Consistent Earnings Beats",
     "text": "Moody's Corporation (MCO) has a track record of exceeding analyst EPS estimates, as seen in the July 2026 quarter with a 10.12% surprise, indicating strong operational execution.",
     "source": "Earnings Reports"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Positive Revenue Growth Projections",
     "text": "Analysts forecast continued revenue growth for Moody's Corporation (MCO), with current year estimates showing a 7.00% increase, suggesting sustained demand for its services.",
     "source": "Analyst Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Strong Analyst Consensus and Price Targets",
     "text": "The median analyst price target for MCO is $570, representing a 21% upside from the current price, supported by a 'Buy' consensus from 24 analysts.",
     "source": "Wall Street Summary"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Moderate Insider Selling Signal",
     "text": "Insiders have net sold $20.7 million in MCO stock across 139 transactions, indicating a moderate sell signal and potential lack of insider confidence.",
     "source": "Insider Transactions"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Bearish Technical Momentum",
     "text": "Moody's Corporation (MCO) is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($490.63 and $473.05), with bearish RSI and MACD indicators, suggesting short-term downward pressure.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Moody's Corporation (MCO) exhibits a P/E ratio of 30.11, which is slightly above the sector average of 25.5, suggesting a potential valuation premium. However, its earnings per share (EPS) of $15.52 and consistent revenue growth of 15.1% justify this premium, as the company demonstrates strong profitability and expansion. The company's balance sheet strength is implied by its consistent earnings performance and positive revenue trajectory. The overall financial health appears sound, supporting the current valuation. The market capitalization of $80.94 billion indicates a large, established player in the financial services sector.",
    "Moody's Corporation (MCO) has demonstrated a pattern of beating earnings estimates, with the most recent quarter (July 2026) showing an EPS of $4.68 against an estimate of $4.25, a 10.12% surprise. This follows a trend of positive surprises in previous quarters, although the stock experienced a price decline of -3.57% following the latest earnings release. Revenue growth has been consistent, with the current year projected to grow by 7.00% to $8.3 billion. This sustained earnings performance, coupled with positive revenue outlook, indicates underlying business strength.",
    "Moody's Corporation (MCO) faces risks related to its valuation, trading slightly above sector P/E averages, and a bearish technical setup with the price below key moving averages. Insider activity shows a moderate sell signal, with $20.7 million in net sales over 139 transactions, indicating some lack of insider confidence. Also, the company's dividend yield of approximately 0.86% is relatively low, which may not be attractive to income-focused investors. The recent price reaction to earnings, despite beats, suggests market sensitivity to growth expectations or broader sector sentiment."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "80.94B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "30.11"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "15.52"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.8558%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "546.88"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "402.28"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Bearish SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($490.63) above the 200-day SMA ($473.05), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Bearish",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "34.18"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-2.74"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "490.63"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "473.05"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.54",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.41",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.40",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.00"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "MCO Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (34.2) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$484.57",
    "TARGET 2": "$507.64",
    "TARGET 3": "$530.72",
    "STOP LOSS": "$447.65"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "1.47%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in MCO in September 2016 would be worth about $43,031 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in MCO today could grow to about $28,908 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $89,503 and a bear case around $9,337. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "MCO Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $720 for MCO by 2030 in the base case, from $471 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $352. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MCO's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using MCO's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "MCO simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$366",
        "$524",
        "$749"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$351",
        "$582",
        "$965"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$349",
        "$648",
        "$1,202"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$352",
        "$720",
        "$1,472"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$360",
        "$801",
        "$1,780"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$371",
        "$890",
        "$2,137"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$385",
        "$990",
        "$2,549"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$401",
        "$1,101",
        "$3,025"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$419",
        "$1,224",
        "$3,577"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$440",
        "$1,361",
        "$4,215"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
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  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "MCO Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$20.7M",
    "Insiders": "19",
    "Avg Transaction": "$480.6K"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in MCO",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Feb 2, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "MCDANIEL RAYMOND W JR. Director",
        "Sell",
        "38.5K",
        "$12.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 6, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "MCDANIEL RAYMOND W JR. Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "42.7K",
        "$12.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 30, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "MCDANIEL RAYMOND W JR. Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "42.7K",
        "$11.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 6, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "MCDANIEL RAYMOND W JR. Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "42.9K",
        "$10.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 6, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "MCDANIEL RAYMOND W JR. Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "42.9K",
        "$9.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 13, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "MCDANIEL RAYMOND W JR. Director",
        "Sell",
        "26.0K",
        "$8.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 6, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "MCDANIEL RAYMOND W JR. Director",
        "Sell",
        "26.0K",
        "$8.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 5, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "MCDANIEL RAYMOND W JR. Director",
        "Sell",
        "18.0K",
        "$5.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 12, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "MCDANIEL RAYMOND W JR. Director",
        "Sell",
        "19.4K",
        "$5.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 1, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "MCDANIEL RAYMOND W JR. Director",
        "Sell",
        "17.0K",
        "$5.5M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Moody%27s+Corporation&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "Is Moody's Corporation (MCO) stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Moody's Corporation (MCO) is currently rated a 'Buy' by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $570, suggesting a 21% upside from its current price of $470.91. The company has a history of beating earnings estimates and shows positive revenue growth."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is Moody's Corporation's (MCO) fair value?",
   "answer": "The calculated fair value for Moody's Corporation (MCO) is $570.00, based on the median analyst price target. This implies a potential upside of 21.0% from the current trading price."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the biggest risks facing Moody's Corporation (MCO)?",
   "answer": "Key risks for Moody's Corporation (MCO) include its current trading price being below key moving averages, indicating bearish technical momentum, and a moderate insider sell signal. Additionally, its P/E ratio is slightly above the sector average."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has Moody's Corporation (MCO) performed in recent earnings reports?",
   "answer": "Moody's Corporation (MCO) has consistently beaten earnings estimates, most recently reporting an EPS of $4.68 versus an estimate of $4.25 in July 2026. Despite these beats, the stock saw a minor price decline following the latest report."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the outlook for Moody's Corporation (MCO) revenue growth?",
   "answer": "Moody's Corporation (MCO) is projected to achieve revenue growth of 7.00% for the current year, reaching an estimated $8.3 billion. The next year's revenue is expected to grow further to $8.9 billion."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the consensus rating for Moody's Corporation (MCO) among analysts?",
   "answer": "The consensus rating for Moody's Corporation (MCO) among 24 Wall Street analysts is 'Buy', with a Wall Street score of 74 out of 100. The breakdown includes 5 'Strong Buy', 13 'Buy', and 6 'Hold' ratings."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does Moody's Corporation (MCO) compare to its sector averages?",
   "answer": "Moody's Corporation (MCO) has a P/E ratio of 30.11, slightly higher than the sector average of 25.5, but its revenue growth of 15.1% significantly exceeds the sector average of 10.0%. Its debt-to-equity ratio is estimated at 0.5, compared to the sector average of 0.5."
  }
 ],
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