{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/mastercard-ma/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/mastercard-ma/data.json",
 "title": "Mastercard (MA) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Mastercard Incorporated Class A (MA) stock: Financial Services, Credit Services. $495.3B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Mastercard Incorporated Class A (MA)",
 "published": "2026-06-08T09:09:34+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T19:48:07.868+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T20:40:29.891Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "MA",
  "name": "Mastercard Incorporated Class A",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Financial Services",
  "industry": "Credit Services",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.mastercard.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 571.52,
  "previousClose": 565.37,
  "change": 6.15,
  "changePercent": 1.09,
  "open": 569.7,
  "high": 572.64,
  "low": 564.34,
  "volume": 93612,
  "averageVolume": 2115441,
  "marketCap": 495269739777,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 601.62,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 464.51999,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T19:48:05.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 31.13271,
  "eps": 18.16,
  "dividendYield": 0.0060890257558790595,
  "beta": 0.735,
  "priceToSales": 14.117085,
  "priceToBook": 88.39431,
  "revenueTtm": 35083001856,
  "grossMargin": 0.7901261183572276,
  "returnOnEquity": 2.41202
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 44.38,
  "macd": 2.93,
  "sma50": 562.32,
  "sma200": 531.1,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Bullish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 79,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": 670,
  "analystTarget": 670,
  "analystCount": 40,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T19:48:05.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 571.515,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 1.14,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 560.08,
  "aggressiveEntry": 571.52,
  "stopLoss": 543.28,
  "stopLossPercent": 3,
  "targets": [
   588.09,
   616.09,
   644.1
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 455.09,
    "base": 642.65,
    "upside90th": 907.5
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 443.57,
    "base": 722.63,
    "upside90th": 1177.26
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 446.96,
    "base": 812.57,
    "upside90th": 1477.25
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 458.2,
    "base": 913.7,
    "upside90th": 1822.04
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 474.91,
    "base": 1027.42,
    "upside90th": 2222.71
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 496.1,
    "base": 1155.29,
    "upside90th": 2690.38
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 521.31,
    "base": 1299.08,
    "upside90th": 3237.22
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 550.38,
    "base": 1460.76,
    "upside90th": 3877
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 583.3,
    "base": 1642.57,
    "upside90th": 4625.46
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 620.18,
    "base": 1847.01,
    "upside90th": 5500.73
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "MA Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$569.70",
    "Day Range": "$564.34 to $572.64",
    "Prev Close": "$565.37",
    "Volume": "93.6K",
    "52-Week Range": "$464.52 to $601.62",
    "Market Cap": "$495.27B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+22%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "MA Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, MA beat estimates 5 times. However, the stock fell 5 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often \"priced in\" or investors are selling the news."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "MA Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Mastercard's (MA) current price of $571.52 is trading below its 20-day EMA of $576.26, suggesting some near-term weakness, but remains above its 50-day SMA of $562.32 and its 200-day SMA of $531.10, indicating a generally positive longer-term trend. The RSI is at 44.38, reflecting neutral momentum. Volume has been significantly below average recently, which may suggest a lack of conviction behind current price movements. Key support levels are found at the 50-day SMA, while resistance may be encountered near the 20-day EMA and previous highs.",
    "Mastercard (MA) has exceeded analyst EPS estimates in its last four reported quarters, demonstrating operational resilience and effective financial management.",
    "The company is projected to achieve 14.00% revenue growth for the current year and 13.00% for the next, outpacing sector averages and supporting its premium valuation.",
    "A significant majority of analysts maintain 'Buy' or 'Outperform' ratings, with a median price target of $670.00, indicating confidence in future performance.",
    "Insiders have sold over $130.4 million worth of stock across 90 transactions, signaling potential concerns about short-term stock performance.",
    "Mastercard (MA) trades at a P/E ratio above the sector average, making it susceptible to pullbacks if growth expectations falter or market sentiment shifts.",
    "Mastercard (MA) is expected to maintain its growth trajectory over the next 6-12 months, driven by continued expansion in digital payments and its strong market position. The median analyst price target of $670.00 suggests a potential upside of 17.2% from the current price, reflecting confidence in its business model. Key upside catalysts include further penetration into emerging markets and successful integration of new payment technologies. Conversely, a significant economic downturn or increased regulatory scrutiny on payment processing fees could pose downside risks, potentially impacting its premium valuation and growth outlook."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Significant insider selling totaling $130.4 million warrants close monitoring, as it could indicate a shift in management's short-term outlook.",
     "Mastercard's (MA) current price is trading below its 20-day EMA, suggesting potential near-term weakness, but remains supported by its 50-day and 200-day SMAs.",
     "Consider position sizing carefully given the premium valuation and recent heavy insider selling activity."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Consistent Earnings Beats",
     "text": "Mastercard (MA) has exceeded analyst EPS estimates in its last four reported quarters, demonstrating operational resilience and effective financial management.",
     "source": "Earnings Reports"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Strong Revenue Growth Projections",
     "text": "The company is projected to achieve 14.00% revenue growth for the current year and 13.00% for the next, outpacing sector averages and supporting its premium valuation.",
     "source": "Analyst Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Positive Analyst Sentiment",
     "text": "A significant majority of analysts maintain 'Buy' or 'Outperform' ratings, with a median price target of $670.00, indicating confidence in future performance.",
     "source": "Wall Street Analysts"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Heavy Insider Selling",
     "text": "Insiders have sold over $130.4 million worth of stock across 90 transactions, signaling potential concerns about short-term stock performance.",
     "source": "Insider Transactions"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Premium Valuation",
     "text": "Mastercard (MA) trades at a P/E ratio above the sector average, making it susceptible to pullbacks if growth expectations falter or market sentiment shifts.",
     "source": "Financial Analysis"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Mastercard (MA) trades at a P/E ratio of approximately 31.13, which is above the sector average P/E of 25.5, suggesting a premium valuation. However, its reported revenue growth of 14.1% and projected growth of 14.00% for the current year significantly outpace the sector average of 10.00%, justifying some of this premium. The company's profitability is strong, with a positive EPS of $18.16. The consistent revenue and earnings growth suggest efficient operations. The current valuation appears stretched relative to sector averages, but this is supported by superior growth prospects.",
    "Mastercard (MA) has a consistent track record of exceeding analyst EPS estimates over the last four reported quarters, with the most recent quarter (Q2 2026) showing a 5.44% surprise. Despite these earnings beats, the stock experienced a minor price decline of -0.74% following the latest report. Revenue growth remains a strong point, with current year projections indicating a 14.00% increase year-over-year, and next year's estimates showing continued growth of 13.00%. This consistent performance suggests operational strength and effective market positioning.",
    "Mastercard (MA) faces valuation risk, trading at a P/E ratio above the sector average, which could lead to increased volatility if growth expectations are not met. Significant insider selling, with over $130 million in dispositions, raises concerns about management's short-term confidence in the stock price. Additionally, while revenue growth is strong, any deceleration could impact its premium valuation."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "495.27B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "31.13"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "18.16"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.5897%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "601.62"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "464.52"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bullish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bullish MACD Bullish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($562.32) above the 200-day SMA ($531.10), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bullish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "44.38"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "2.93"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "562.32"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "531.10"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.47",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.32",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.15",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "-0.07"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "MA Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (44.4) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$588.09",
    "TARGET 2": "$616.09",
    "TARGET 3": "$644.10",
    "STOP LOSS": "$543.28"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+3.70%",
    "Average Feb return": "-0.32%",
    "Average Mar return": "-1.96%",
    "Average Apr return": "+3.94%",
    "Average May return": "+2.29%",
    "Average Jun return": "+0.21%",
    "Average Jul return": "+4.18%",
    "Average Aug return": "+2.57%",
    "Average Sep return": "-1.47%",
    "Average Oct return": "-1.74%",
    "Average Nov return": "+3.67%",
    "Average Dec return": "+2.43%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "1.14%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in MA in September 2016 would be worth about $56,475 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in MA today could grow to about $32,318 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $96,248 and a bear case around $10,851. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "MA Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $914 for MA by 2030 in the base case, from $572 today (1.6x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $458. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MA's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using MA's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "MA simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$455",
        "$643",
        "$908"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$444",
        "$723",
        "$1,177"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$447",
        "$813",
        "$1,477"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$458",
        "$914",
        "$1,822"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$475",
        "$1,027",
        "$2,223"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$496",
        "$1,155",
        "$2,690"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$521",
        "$1,299",
        "$3,237"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$550",
        "$1,461",
        "$3,877"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$583",
        "$1,643",
        "$4,625"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$620",
        "$1,847",
        "$5,501"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SYF Synchrony Financial NYSE $75.40 -0.0597%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/synchrony-financial-syf/"
    },
    {
     "text": "PGR The Progressive Corporation NYSE $217.67 +0.6846%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/progressive-pgr/"
    },
    {
     "text": "IBN ICICI Bank Ltd. Sponsored NYSE $29.03 +0.6239%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/icici-bank-ibn/"
    },
    {
     "text": "KEY KeyCorp NYSE $21.78 +0.2071%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/key-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "ICE Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. NYSE $157.45 +1.05%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/intercontinental-exchange-ice/"
    },
    {
     "text": "VCTR Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. NASDAQ $111.06 -0.7152%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/vctr-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "AFL Aflac Incorporated NYSE $114.47 -0.2353%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/aflac-afl/"
    },
    {
     "text": "USB U.S. Bancorp NYSE $62.84 +0.6810%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/us-bancorp-usb/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare MA",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "V vs MA Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/v-vs-ma/"
    },
    {
     "text": "CCJ vs CEG Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/ccj-vs-ceg/"
    },
    {
     "text": "ADI vs TXN Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/adi-vs-txn/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "MA Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$130.4M",
    "Insiders": "25",
    "Avg Transaction": "$4.0M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in MA",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Feb 8, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "MASTERCARD FOUNDATION Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "603.9K",
        "$224.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 10, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "MASTERCARD FOUNDATION Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "531.6K",
        "$186.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 9, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "MASTERCARD FOUNDATION Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "465.2K",
        "$176.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 14, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "MASTERCARD FOUNDATION Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "465.2K",
        "$174.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 9, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "MASTERCARD FOUNDATION Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "531.6K",
        "$171.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 15, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "MASTERCARD FOUNDATION Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "377.4K",
        "$149.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 10, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "MASTERCARD FOUNDATION Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "377.4K",
        "$149.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 8, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "MASTERCARD FOUNDATION Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "377.4K",
        "$146.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 10, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "MASTERCARD FOUNDATION Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "377.4K",
        "$145.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 15, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "MASTERCARD FOUNDATION Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "377.4K",
        "$144.1M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Mastercard+Incorporated+Class+A&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "Is Mastercard (MA) stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Mastercard (MA) is currently rated a 'Buy' with a consensus score of 79 out of 100. The median analyst price target is $670.00, suggesting an upside of 17.2% from the current price of $571.52. This is supported by strong revenue growth and consistent earnings beats."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is Mastercard's (MA) price forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Mastercard's (MA) projected price for 2030 is $913.70 as a base case scenario. The downside projection is $458.20, and the upside projection is $1822.04. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the biggest risks facing Mastercard (MA)?",
   "answer": "The primary risks for Mastercard (MA) include its premium valuation relative to sector averages and significant insider selling totaling over $130 million. A slowdown in its strong revenue growth could also negatively impact the stock."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has Mastercard (MA) performed in recent earnings reports?",
   "answer": "Mastercard (MA) has consistently beaten analyst EPS estimates in its last four reported quarters. The most recent quarter showed a 5.44% earnings surprise, though the stock saw a slight decline following the announcement."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is Mastercard's (MA) revenue growth outlook?",
   "answer": "Mastercard (MA) is projected to achieve 14.00% revenue growth for the current year and 13.00% for the next year. This strong growth trajectory is a key factor supporting its current valuation."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does Mastercard's (MA) valuation compare to its peers?",
   "answer": "Mastercard (MA) trades at a P/E ratio of approximately 31.13, which is higher than the sector average of 25.5. However, its superior revenue growth rate of 14.1% compared to the sector average of 10.0% helps justify this premium."
  },
  {
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}