{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/mara-holdings-mara/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/mara-holdings-mara/data.json",
 "title": "MARA Holdings (MARA) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA) stock: Financial Services, Capital Markets. $4.4B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA)",
 "published": "2026-07-11T09:40:54+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T17:23:35.354+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T21:02:45.932Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "MARA",
  "name": "MARA Holdings Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Financial Services",
  "industry": "Capital Markets",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.mara.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 12.18,
  "previousClose": 11.43,
  "change": 0.75,
  "changePercent": 6.56,
  "open": 11.61,
  "high": 12.385,
  "low": 11.545,
  "volume": 1275598,
  "averageVolume": 36415170,
  "marketCap": 4415400964,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 23.45,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 6.66,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T17:23:34.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": -1.3,
  "eps": -9.39,
  "dividendYield": 0,
  "beta": 5.336,
  "priceToSales": 5.725664,
  "priceToBook": 2.7414904,
  "revenueTtm": 804219008,
  "grossMargin": 0.7212390139580629,
  "returnOnEquity": -1.0557
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 56.27,
  "macd": 0.19,
  "sma50": 11.27,
  "sma200": 10.94,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Bullish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 55,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 12.18,
  "analystTarget": 15,
  "analystCount": 13,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T17:23:34.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 12.18,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 5.75,
   "risk": "volatile"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 12.06,
  "aggressiveEntry": 12.18,
  "stopLoss": 10.74,
  "stopLossPercent": 10.91,
  "targets": [
   12.42,
   12.66,
   13.02
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 6.12,
    "base": 11.62,
    "upside90th": 22.06
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 4.48,
    "base": 11.09,
    "upside90th": 27.46
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 3.49,
    "base": 10.59,
    "upside90th": 32.12
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 2.81,
    "base": 10.11,
    "upside90th": 36.4
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 2.3,
    "base": 9.64,
    "upside90th": 40.42
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 1.92,
    "base": 9.2,
    "upside90th": 44.22
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 1.61,
    "base": 8.78,
    "upside90th": 47.86
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 1.37,
    "base": 8.38,
    "upside90th": 51.35
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 1.17,
    "base": 8,
    "upside90th": 54.71
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 1.01,
    "base": 7.64,
    "upside90th": 57.93
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "MARA Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$11.61",
    "Day Range": "$11.55 to $12.39",
    "Prev Close": "$11.43",
    "Volume": "1.28M",
    "52-Week Range": "$6.66 to $23.45",
    "Market Cap": "$4.42B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-78%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "MARA Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, MARA beat estimates 2 times. However, the stock fell 1 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often \"priced in\" or investors are selling the news."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "MARA Analysis",
   "text": [
    "MARA Holdings Inc. is currently trading above its 50-day SMA of $11.27 and its 200-day SMA of $10.94, indicating a generally positive short-to-medium term trend. The RSI is at 56.27, signaling neutral momentum, while the MACD at 0.187 suggests a lack of strong directional conviction. Volume has been significantly below its average, which could imply a lack of conviction behind recent price action. The stock's positioning above these key moving averages suggests they are acting as support, with the current price of $12.18 indicating room for upside before encountering significant resistance.",
    "A sustained increase in the price of Bitcoin would directly enhance MARA's revenue and profitability, as its business model is directly tied to the value of mined cryptocurrencies.",
    "Ongoing declines in revenue and persistent losses could pressure the stock, especially if the company fails to improve operational efficiency or secure new financing.",
    "The consistent net selling by insiders, totaling $14.8 million, signals a potential lack of confidence in the company's near-term prospects and could weigh on investor sentiment.",
    "MARA is trading above key support levels (50-day and 200-day SMAs), indicating technical strength that could attract further buying interest if the broader market sentiment remains positive.",
    "The outlook for MARA Holdings Inc. is cautiously optimistic, primarily driven by its technical positioning and the long-term potential of Bitcoin mining. While current financial metrics show significant revenue contraction and negative profitability, the stock is trading above key support levels, and analyst price targets suggest an average upside of 23.2% to a median target of $15.00. The company's long-range projection for 2030 indicates a base case of $10.11 with a potential upside of $36.40, underscoring the speculative nature tied to Bitcoin's future appreciation. Factors that could alter this thesis include a significant increase in Bitcoin's price, which would directly boost MARA's revenue and profitability, or a successful operational efficiency improvement by the company. Conversely, further declines in Bitcoin prices, increased energy costs, or continued revenue deterioration could pressure the stock lower, potentially testing its support levels."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Given MARA's operational reliance on Bitcoin price, investors should closely monitor cryptocurrency market trends and upcoming Bitcoin halving events, which could significantly impact mining economics.",
     "The stock's current trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($11.27 and $10.94) suggests a favorable technical setup, but the neutral RSI and below-average volume warrant caution regarding sustained upward momentum.",
     "With significant insider selling and negative earnings, consider a smaller position size or a strategy that accounts for the inherent volatility and speculative nature of Bitcoin mining stocks."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Potential Bitcoin Price Appreciation",
     "text": "A sustained increase in the price of Bitcoin would directly enhance MARA's revenue and profitability, as its business model is directly tied to the value of mined cryptocurrencies.",
     "source": "Market Dynamics"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Continued Revenue Contraction and Negative EPS",
     "text": "Ongoing declines in revenue and persistent losses could pressure the stock, especially if the company fails to improve operational efficiency or secure new financing.",
     "source": "Fundamental Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Insider Net Selling Trend",
     "text": "The consistent net selling by insiders, totaling $14.8 million, signals a potential lack of confidence in the company's near-term prospects and could weigh on investor sentiment.",
     "source": "Insider Transactions"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Positive Technical Positioning",
     "text": "MARA is trading above key support levels (50-day and 200-day SMAs), indicating technical strength that could attract further buying interest if the broader market sentiment remains positive.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "MARA Holdings Inc. presents a challenging fundamental picture, with a negative EPS of -9.39 and a reported revenue growth of -26.7% in the last reported period. The company's P/E ratio is not applicable due to negative earnings. Current quarter revenue estimates project a year-over-year decline of 32.00%, with next year's estimates showing a modest 13.00% growth. This contraction in revenue and negative profitability raises concerns about the company's valuation, especially when compared to sector averages where revenue growth is positive and P/E ratios are typically in the mid-teens. The significant insider selling further confirms potential concerns regarding the company's near-term financial trajectory.",
    "MARA Holdings Inc. has consistently missed analyst EPS estimates in recent quarters, with the latest report on August 6, 2026, showing an EPS miss of -29.17% (-0.62 actual vs. -0.48 estimate), leading to a -5.26% price drop. Prior to this, a significant miss of -76.62% on May 10, 2026, was followed by a 7.84% price increase, indicating volatile reactions to earnings. The company's revenue estimates for the current quarter also show a substantial year-over-year decline of 32.00%, suggesting ongoing top-line challenges.",
    "MARA Holdings Inc. faces significant risks including ongoing revenue contraction and negative profitability, as evidenced by its -26.7% revenue growth and negative EPS. The moderate insider selling signal, with $14.8 million in sales versus no reported purchases, suggests a lack of confidence from management in the near-term outlook. Also, as a Bitcoin miner, the company's performance is intrinsically linked to the volatile price of Bitcoin, introducing substantial price risk."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "4.42B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "N/A (Negative EPS)"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "-9.39"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.00%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "23.45"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "6.66"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bullish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bullish MACD Bullish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($11.27) above the 200-day SMA ($10.94), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bullish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "56.27"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "0.19"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "11.27"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "10.94"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.49",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.51",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.60",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.18"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "MARA Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (56.3) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$12.42",
    "TARGET 2": "$12.66",
    "TARGET 3": "$13.02",
    "STOP LOSS": "$10.74"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "⚠️ Limited data: Based on ~2 years of trading history. Patterns may not be statistically significant."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+11.23%",
    "Average Feb return": "+8.56%",
    "Average Mar return": "-12.11%",
    "Average Apr return": "+4.64%",
    "Average May return": "-2.97%",
    "Average Jun return": "+10.78%",
    "Average Jul return": "+20.48%",
    "Average Aug return": "-1.16%",
    "Average Sep return": "-9.13%",
    "Average Oct return": "+2.40%",
    "Average Nov return": "+31.31%",
    "Average Dec return": "-8.94%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "5.75%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in MARA in September 2016 would be worth about $2,472 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in MARA today could grow to about $6,269 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $47,564 and a bear case around $826. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "MARA Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $10.11 for MARA by 2030 in the base case, from $12.18 today (0.8x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $2.81. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MARA's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using MARA's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "MARA simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$6.12",
        "$11.62",
        "$22.06"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$4.48",
        "$11.09",
        "$27.46"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$3.49",
        "$10.59",
        "$32.12"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$2.81",
        "$10.11",
        "$36.40"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$2.30",
        "$9.64",
        "$40.42"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$1.92",
        "$9.20",
        "$44.22"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$1.61",
        "$8.78",
        "$47.86"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$1.37",
        "$8.38",
        "$51.35"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$1.17",
        "$8.00",
        "$54.71"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$1.01",
        "$7.64",
        "$57.93"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/affirm-holdings-afrm/"
    },
    {
     "text": "BLK BlackRock Inc. NYSE $1,082.39 +1.88%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/blackrock-blk/"
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    {
     "text": "APO Apollo Global Management Inc. NYSE $127.91 -2.34%",
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    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/coinbase-coin/"
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
   "links": [
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vti-vs-vxus/"
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/xrp-vs-ada/"
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "MARA Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$14.8M",
    "Insiders": "9",
    "Avg Transaction": "$309.3K"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in MARA",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Feb 18, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "OKAMOTO MERRICK D Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "700.0K",
        "$34.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jan 7, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "OKAMOTO MERRICK D Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "632.0K",
        "$13.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 28, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "OKAMOTO MERRICK D Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "83.3K",
        "$3.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 18, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "BENZ PETER T Director",
        "Sell",
        "30.0K",
        "$1.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 16, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "CRAWFORD JAMES Chief Operating Officer",
        "Sell",
        "25.0K",
        "$1.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 17, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "THIEL FREDERICK G Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "55.0K",
        "$927.7K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 3, 2012",
       "cells": [
        "PERSHING GOLD CORP Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "6.2M",
        "$925.0K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 17, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "BERG MICHAEL CARROLL Director",
        "Sell",
        "20.0K",
        "$857.6K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 9, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "THIEL FREDERICK G Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "55.0K",
        "$825.2K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 5, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "SALZMAN SIMEON Chief Financial Officer",
        "Sell",
        "15.0K",
        "$800.7K"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=MARA+Holdings+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is MARA Holdings Inc.'s consensus rating?",
   "answer": "MARA Holdings Inc. currently holds a 'Hold' consensus rating from Wall Street analysts, supported by a consensus score of 55 out of 100. This rating reflects a mix of analyst opinions, with 3 Strong Buys, 5 Buys, 4 Holds, and 1 Sell among the 13 analysts covering the stock."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is MARA's stock price forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "MARA's stock price forecast for 2030, based on a Monte Carlo simulation, projects a base case of $10.11 and an upside case of $36.40. These figures represent statistical simulation outcomes and are not definitive price targets or guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is MARA Holdings Inc. a profitable company?",
   "answer": "MARA Holdings Inc. is not currently profitable, reporting a negative EPS of -9.39. The company's revenue growth has also contracted by 26.7% in the latest reported period, indicating financial challenges."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the main risks facing MARA Holdings Inc.?",
   "answer": "The primary risks for MARA Holdings Inc. include significant revenue contraction, negative profitability, and the inherent volatility of Bitcoin prices, which directly impacts its mining operations. Additionally, moderate insider selling suggests potential concerns from management regarding the company's short-term prospects."
  },
  {
   "question": "How is MARA Holdings Inc. performing technically?",
   "answer": "Technically, MARA Holdings Inc. is showing strength, trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($11.27 and $10.94) with neutral RSI momentum. This suggests that the key moving averages are acting as support, though the MACD indicates a lack of strong directional conviction."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the outlook for MARA Holdings Inc.'s revenue?",
   "answer": "The outlook for MARA Holdings Inc.'s revenue is challenging in the near term, with current quarter estimates showing a 32.00% year-over-year decline. However, next year's estimates project a modest recovery with 13.00% growth, indicating potential for improvement."
  },
  {
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      "@type": "Answer",
      "text": "MARA insiders are net sellers of the stock, with total sales amounting to $14.8 million and no reported purchases. This 'Moderate Sell Signal' indicates that management has been reducing their holdings, which is a point of caution for investors."
     }
    }
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}