{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/lugdf-stock-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/lugdf-stock-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "Lundin Gold Inc (LUGDF) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Lundin Gold Inc (LUGDF) stock: Basic Materials, Gold. $16.8B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Lundin Gold Inc (LUGDF)",
 "published": "2026-09-10T06:31:40+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-10T06:32:10+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T20:01:31.746Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "LUGDF",
  "name": "Lundin Gold Inc",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "OTC",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Basic Materials",
  "industry": "Gold",
  "country": "Canada",
  "website": "https://www.lundingold.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 66.9,
  "previousClose": 69.84,
  "change": -2.94,
  "changePercent": -4.21,
  "open": 66.4,
  "high": 67.31,
  "low": 65.9,
  "volume": 2366,
  "averageVolume": 62677,
  "marketCap": 16847016262,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 90.49289,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 51.68,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-10T06:32:03.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 18.797403,
  "eps": 3.85,
  "dividendYield": 0.06786278346864458,
  "beta": 1.516,
  "priceToSales": 8.668527,
  "priceToBook": 32.178745,
  "revenueTtm": 2018786944,
  "grossMargin": 0.7048265409510731,
  "returnOnEquity": 1.0119799
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 48.83,
  "macd": 2.42,
  "sma50": 62.67,
  "sma200": 69.67,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Neutral"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 45,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 69.84,
  "analystTarget": 160,
  "analystCount": 10,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-10T06:32:03.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 66.9,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 3.85,
   "risk": "volatile"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 66.23,
  "aggressiveEntry": 66.9,
  "stopLoss": 62.4,
  "stopLossPercent": 5.78,
  "targets": [
   68.22,
   69.54,
   71.53
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 42.61,
    "base": 77.8,
    "upside90th": 142.04
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 38.62,
    "base": 90.47,
    "upside90th": 211.95
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 37.09,
    "base": 105.21,
    "upside90th": 298.45
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 36.7,
    "base": 122.35,
    "upside90th": 407.82
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 37.03,
    "base": 142.27,
    "upside90th": 546.67
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 37.87,
    "base": 165.45,
    "upside90th": 722.88
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 39.13,
    "base": 192.4,
    "upside90th": 946.05
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 40.76,
    "base": 223.74,
    "upside90th": 1228.05
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 42.75,
    "base": 260.19,
    "upside90th": 1583.47
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 45.09,
    "base": 302.57,
    "upside90th": 2030.38
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "LUGDF Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$66.40",
    "Day Range": "$65.90 to $67.31",
    "Prev Close": "$69.84",
    "Volume": "2.4K",
    "52-Week Range": "$51.68 to $90.49",
    "Market Cap": "$16.85B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-38%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "LUGDF Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Volume on Lundin Gold Inc. (LUGDF) has been significantly lower than average, down 84.8% compared to its typical daily volume, indicating reduced trading interest. The stock is currently trading above its 50-day SMA ($62.67) but below its 200-day SMA ($69.67), suggesting a generally positive long-term trend. However, it has recently moved below its 20-day EMA, which, combined with a neutral RSI of 48.83, points to a potential short-term weakening of momentum. Key support levels are indicated by the 50-day SMA at $62.67 and the 200-day SMA at $69.67. Resistance is suggested by the recent price action and the 20-day EMA at $69.72. The current price of $69.84 is hovering just below the 200-day SMA ($69.67), highlighting a critical juncture for the stock's near-term direction. The MACD indicator at 2.4168 suggests a neutral to slightly bullish momentum, but the recent price action below the 20-day EMA warrants caution.",
    "Insiders have sold approximately $21.8 million in stock versus purchases of $13.4 million, indicating a net seller position and potentially signaling a lack of confidence in near-term price appreciation.",
    "Analysts forecast significant revenue increases, with current year estimates at $3.1 billion (+29.00% YoY) and next year at $3.4 billion (+7.00% YoY), suggesting strong business expansion.",
    "The median analyst price target for Lundin Gold Inc. is $160.00, implying a potential upside of 129.09% from the current price, suggesting strong conviction from the analyst community.",
    "The stock is currently trading just below its 200-day SMA ($69.67) at $69.67, indicating that longer-term support is holding, but the proximity suggests this level is critical for maintaining the current trend.",
    "The base case outlook for Lundin Gold Inc. (LUGDF) over the next 6-12 months is cautiously neutral, with the stock trading near its fair value of $69.84. The stock's ability to hold below the 200-day SMA ($69.67) at $69.67 will be critical for maintaining a positive trend. Potential upside catalysts include the significant revenue growth projections and the substantial upside implied by the median analyst target price of $160.00. Conversely, continued insider selling or a failure to reclaim the 20-day EMA could lead to a retest of the 200-day SMA and potentially lower levels. The company's performance against its projected revenue growth and its ability to manage insider selling sentiment will be key factors to monitor. Insiders are net sellers with $49.8M in total sales versus $13.0M in total purchases in recent filings."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor insider selling activity closely; a continuation could signal further downside pressure.",
     "The stock's ability to reclaim and hold above the 20-day EMA at $69.72 will be a key short-term indicator.",
     "Given the moderate sell signal from insiders, consider position sizing carefully and ensure stop-loss orders are appropriately placed, at least 1.5x the daily volatility (currently ~7.9%) away from your entry price."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Moderate Insider Selling Pressure",
     "text": "Insiders have sold approximately $21.8 million in stock versus purchases of $13.4 million, indicating a net seller position and potentially signaling a lack of confidence in near-term price appreciation.",
     "source": "Insider Transactions"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Strong Revenue Growth Projections",
     "text": "Analysts forecast significant revenue increases, with current year estimates at $3.1 billion (+29.00% YoY) and next year at $3.4 billion (+7.00% YoY), suggesting strong business expansion.",
     "source": "Wall Street Revenue Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "High Analyst Price Target",
     "text": "The median analyst price target for Lundin Gold Inc. is $160.00, implying a potential upside of 129.09% from the current price, suggesting strong conviction from the analyst community.",
     "source": "Wall Street Summary"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Trading Near 200-Day SMA",
     "text": "The stock is currently trading just below its 200-day SMA ($69.67) at $69.67, indicating that longer-term support is holding, but the proximity suggests this level is critical for maintaining the current trend.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Lundin Gold Inc. (LUGDF) presents a mixed valuation picture, with a P/E ratio of 18.80, which is below the sector median of 30.2. This suggests the stock may be trading at a discount relative to its peers in the Basic Materials sector. The company's earnings per share (EPS) stands at $3.85, and its revenue growth for the past period was 5.5%, which is below the sector average of 19.7%. Despite the lower revenue growth compared to the sector, analysts project strong revenue increases, with current year estimates at $3.1 billion (up 29.00% YoY) and next year at $3.4 billion (up 7.00% YoY). The company's Return on Equity (ROE) is 17.6%, aligning with the sector median. The fair value is currently assessed at $69.84, with no upside indicated from this valuation metric, while the analyst median target price of $160.00 suggests significant potential upside.",
    "Lundin Gold Inc. (LUGDF) most recently reported earnings on June 17, 2026, with an actual EPS of $3.16, slightly beating the estimate of $3.12 by 1.28%. This beat was accompanied by a minor price decrease of -0.42%. Prior to this, the company missed estimates in April 2026 and January 2026, though it reported a significant EPS beat in February 2026. The overall trend shows some inconsistency in earnings performance relative to analyst expectations.",
    "A primary risk for Lundin Gold Inc. (LUGDF) is the moderate sell signal indicated by insider transactions, with total sales exceeding total purchases by approximately $8.4 million. Additionally, the stock's recent move below its 20-day EMA, despite trading above longer-term moving averages, suggests potential short-term weakness. The company's revenue growth of 5.5% also lags behind the sector average, although future growth projections are strong."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "16.85B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "18.80"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "3.85"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "4.44%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "90.49"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "51.68"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Neutral RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bullish MACD Bullish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $62.67, 200-day: $69.67), price sits above the 50-day SMA but below the 200-day SMA - a mixed posture."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bullish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "48.83"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "2.42"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "62.67"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "69.67"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.20",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.23",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.14",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.68"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "LUGDF Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (48.8) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$68.22",
    "TARGET 2": "$69.54",
    "TARGET 3": "$71.53",
    "STOP LOSS": "$62.40"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "3.85%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in LUGDF in September 2016 would be worth about $167,457 today, compared with about $35,241 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in LUGDF today could grow to about $45,227 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $303,495 and a bear case around $6,740. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "LUGDF Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $122 for LUGDF by 2030 in the base case, from $66.90 today (1.8x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $36.70. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on LUGDF's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using LUGDF's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. LUGDF is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "LUGDF simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$42.61",
        "$77.80",
        "$142"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$38.62",
        "$90.47",
        "$212"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$37.09",
        "$105",
        "$298"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$36.70",
        "$122",
        "$408"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$37.03",
        "$142",
        "$547"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$37.87",
        "$165",
        "$723"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$39.13",
        "$192",
        "$946"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$40.76",
        "$224",
        "$1,228"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$42.75",
        "$260",
        "$1,583"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$45.09",
        "$303",
        "$2,030"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "CLF Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. NYSE $11.83 -2.15%",
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    {
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    {
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    },
    {
     "text": "LAC Lithium Americas Corp. NYSE $3.02 -5.33%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/lithium-americas-lac/"
    },
    {
     "text": "DOW Dow Inc. NYSE $28.94 -2.38%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/dow-inc-dow/"
    },
    {
     "text": "NEM Newmont Corporation NYSE $126.54 +0.3171%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/newmont-nem/"
    },
    {
     "text": "AA Alcoa Corp NYSE $48.21 -0.1863%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/alcoa-aa/"
    },
    {
     "text": "TMC TMC The Metals Company Inc. NASDAQ $4.01 -6.31%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/tmc-metals-company-tmc/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "GLD vs IAU Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/gld-vs-iau/"
    },
    {
     "text": "EQIX vs DLR Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/eqix-vs-dlr/"
    },
    {
     "text": "VGT vs FTEC Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vgt-vs-ftec/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "LUGDF Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "$13.0M",
    "Sold": "$22.1M",
    "Insiders": "14",
    "Avg Transaction": "$1.5M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in LUGDF",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Aug 31, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Lundin Gold Inc Issuer",
        "Grant",
        "21.1K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 18, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Lundin Gold Inc Issuer",
        "Buy",
        "9.9K",
        "$612.8K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 13, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Lundin Gold Inc Issuer",
        "Buy",
        "10.0K",
        "$630.1K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 10, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Lundin Gold Inc Issuer",
        "Buy",
        "1.2K",
        "$75.8K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 10, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Lundin Gold Inc Issuer",
        "Other",
        "0",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 23, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Beck (James Andrew) Director of Issuer",
        "Buy",
        "6.2K",
        "$333.6K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 13, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Davidson (Gillian) Director of Issuer",
        "Option",
        "16.3K",
        "$124.9K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 12, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Daniele (Carmela) Director of Issuer",
        "Grant",
        "2.2K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 12, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Heppenstall (C Ashley) Director of Issuer",
        "Grant",
        "2.3K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 12, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Mir (Pablo J) Director or Senior Officer of Insider or Subsidiary of Issuer (other than in 4,5,6)",
        "Option",
        "2.2K",
        "$152.3K"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&amp;company=Lundin+Gold+Inc&amp;type=4&amp;dateb=&amp;owner=include&amp;count=40&amp;search_text=&amp;action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "Is Lundin Gold Inc. (LUGDF) stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Lundin Gold Inc. (LUGDF) is currently rated Hold, with a consensus score of 45. While analysts have a median price target of $160.00, implying significant upside, the stock's fair value is assessed at its current price of $69.84. Moderate insider selling and a neutral RSI suggest caution is warranted."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is Lundin Gold Inc.'s (LUGDF) fair value and upside potential?",
   "answer": "The fair value for Lundin Gold Inc. (LUGDF) is estimated at $69.84, which is its current trading price, indicating no immediate upside based on this metric. However, the median analyst target price stands at $160.00, suggesting a substantial potential upside of 129.09%."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has Lundin Gold Inc. (LUGDF) performed in recent earnings reports?",
   "answer": "Lundin Gold Inc. (LUGDF) recently beat its EPS estimate by 1.28% on June 17, 2026, reporting $3.16 actual EPS versus an estimate of $3.12. However, this beat was followed by a slight price decrease. The company has shown mixed performance against estimates in prior quarters."
  },
  {
   "question": "What do insider transactions indicate for Lundin Gold Inc. (LUGDF)?",
   "answer": "Insider transactions for Lundin Gold Inc. (LUGDF) indicate a moderate sell signal. Insiders have sold approximately $21.8 million worth of stock compared to purchases totaling $13.4 million, resulting in a net seller position."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the technical outlook for Lundin Gold Inc. (LUGDF)?",
   "answer": "Technically, Lundin Gold Inc. (LUGDF) is trading above its 50-day SMA ($62.67) but below its 200-day SMA ($69.67) but has recently fallen below its 20-day EMA. Volume is significantly below average, and the RSI is neutral at 48.83, suggesting a pause or potential shift in short-term momentum."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does Lundin Gold Inc. (LUGDF) compare to its sector averages?",
   "answer": "Lundin Gold Inc. (LUGDF) has a P/E ratio of 18.80, which is lower than the Basic Materials sector median of 30.2. Its revenue growth of 5.5% is below the sector average of 19.7%, but its ROE of 17.6% is in line with the sector median of 17.6%."
  },
  {
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      "text": "Lundin Gold Inc. (LUGDF) recently beat its EPS estimate by 1.28% on June 17, 2026, reporting $3.16 actual EPS versus an estimate of $3.12. However, this beat was followed by a slight price decrease. The company has shown mixed performance against estimates in prior quarters."
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      "text": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations for 2030, Lundin Gold Inc. (LUGDF) has a base case projection of $127.72, with a downside scenario of $38.32 and an upside scenario of $425.74. These are statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets."
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}