{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/lithium-americas-lac/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/lithium-americas-lac/data.json",
 "title": "Lithium Americas (LAC) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Is Lithium Americas (LAC) a Buy or Sell today? Get the AI trade setup, Thacker Pass timeline risks and key support levels. Updated daily.",
 "headline": "Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC)",
 "published": "2026-08-20T09:23:35+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T00:32:41.877+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T20:02:24.474Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "LAC",
  "name": "Lithium Americas Corp.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Basic Materials",
  "industry": "Other Industrial Metals & Mining",
  "country": "Canada",
  "website": "https://www.lithiumamericas.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 3.02,
  "previousClose": 3.19,
  "change": -0.17,
  "changePercent": -5.33,
  "open": 3.1,
  "high": 3.11,
  "low": 3,
  "volume": 11325059,
  "averageVolume": 9778726,
  "marketCap": 1096389687,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 10.52,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 2.67,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T00:32:40.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": -6.03000020980835,
  "eps": -0.46,
  "dividendYield": 0,
  "beta": 3.467,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": 0.7711951,
  "revenueTtm": 0,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": -0.03698
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 52.21,
  "macd": -0.05,
  "sma50": 3.14,
  "sma200": 4.43,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 59,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 3.02,
  "analystTarget": 4.5,
  "analystCount": 12,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T00:32:40.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 3.02,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 3.47,
   "risk": "volatile"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 2.99,
  "aggressiveEntry": 3.02,
  "stopLoss": 2.83,
  "stopLossPercent": 5.5,
  "targets": [
   3.08,
   3.14,
   3.23
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 1.62,
    "base": 3.08,
    "upside90th": 5.85
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 1.27,
    "base": 3.15,
    "upside90th": 7.79
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 1.06,
    "base": 3.21,
    "upside90th": 9.74
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 0.91,
    "base": 3.28,
    "upside90th": 11.81
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 0.8,
    "base": 3.34,
    "upside90th": 14.02
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 0.71,
    "base": 3.41,
    "upside90th": 16.4
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 0.64,
    "base": 3.48,
    "upside90th": 18.98
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 0.58,
    "base": 3.56,
    "upside90th": 21.78
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 0.53,
    "base": 3.63,
    "upside90th": 24.82
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 0.49,
    "base": 3.7,
    "upside90th": 28.1
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "LAC Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$3.10",
    "Day Range": "$3.00 to $3.11",
    "Prev Close": "$3.19",
    "Volume": "11.33M",
    "52-Week Range": "$2.67 to $10.52",
    "Market Cap": "$1.10B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis"
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "LAC Analysis",
   "text": [
    "At $3.02, Lithium Americas Corp. exhibits bearish technical momentum, trading below its 50-day SMA of $3.14 and its 200-day SMA of $4.43. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 52.21, indicating neutral momentum, but the MACD at -0.0465 suggests a slight bearish bias. Volume has been above average recently, with the latest volume at 11.33 million shares compared to a 9.78 million average, suggesting increased trading activity without a clear directional conviction. Key support is near the current price, while resistance lies at the 50-day SMA. The overall chart structure points to continued consolidation or potential downside pressure if key support levels are breached.",
    "Insiders have sold approximately $3 million worth of stock versus only $147.4K in purchases, indicating a 'Moderate Sell Signal' and potentially signaling a lack of confidence in near-term price appreciation.",
    "LAC is currently trading below its 50-day SMA ($3.14) and 200-day SMA ($4.43), suggesting bearish technical momentum and potential for further price declines.",
    "The latest earnings report in August 2026 showed an EPS beat of 50% (-0.02 actual vs. -0.04 estimate), which could signal improving operational efficiency, although it did not prevent a slight price drop.",
    "The median analyst price target of $4.50 suggests a potential 49% upside from the current price of $3.02, indicating that a portion of Wall Street sees value and potential for recovery.",
    "Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) faces a challenging outlook in the next 6-12 months, with its current price of $3.02 trading below key technical levels and significant insider selling creating headwinds. The base case projection from Monte Carlo simulations suggests a price of $3.28 by 2030, offering limited upside from current levels. However, the median analyst price target of $4.50 indicates a potential 49% upside, suggesting that analysts are factoring in future growth or project development that is not yet reflected in current fundamentals or insider sentiment. Upside catalysts would need to include significant progress on project development, improved lithium market conditions, and a reversal in insider selling trends. Conversely, continued insider divestment, further deterioration in technicals, or a downturn in commodity prices could push the stock towards its downside projection of $0.91."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor insider transaction trends closely; the current moderate sell signal warrants caution.",
     "Given the stock's position below key moving averages, consider waiting for a confirmed technical breakout before initiating new positions.",
     "The absence of revenue growth and negative EPS highlights the speculative nature of LAC's current valuation, emphasizing the need for strong due diligence on its project pipeline and future market demand for lithium."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Moderate Insider Selling Signal",
     "text": "Insiders have sold approximately $3 million worth of stock versus only $147.4K in purchases, indicating a 'Moderate Sell Signal' and potentially signaling a lack of confidence in near-term price appreciation.",
     "source": "Insider Transactions"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Trading Below Key Moving Averages",
     "text": "LAC is currently trading below its 50-day SMA ($3.14) and 200-day SMA ($4.43), suggesting bearish technical momentum and potential for further price declines.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Positive Recent Earnings Surprise",
     "text": "The latest earnings report in August 2026 showed an EPS beat of 50% (-0.02 actual vs. -0.04 estimate), which could signal improving operational efficiency, although it did not prevent a slight price drop.",
     "source": "Earnings Report"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Median Analyst Price Target Upside",
     "text": "The median analyst price target of $4.50 suggests a potential 49% upside from the current price of $3.02, indicating that a portion of Wall Street sees value and potential for recovery.",
     "source": "Wall Street Analysis"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) presents a challenging fundamental picture with a negative EPS of -0.46, making its P/E ratio mathematically negative and thus not a reliable valuation metric. The sector averages show a P/E of -6.03 (negative due to losses) and revenue growth of 10.0%, highlighting LAC's current lack of profitability and growth visibility. While the median analyst price target of $4.50 suggests a potential 49% upside from the current price, this is not supported by current fundamental metrics, indicating a valuation disconnect or reliance on future project development.",
    "Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) recently reported an EPS surprise of 50% in August 2026, with actual EPS of -0.02 beating the estimated -0.04, though the stock price declined 1.46%. This follows a mixed earnings history, including a significant miss in March 2026 (-0.25 actual vs. -0.05 estimate) and a beat in May 2026 (0.13 actual vs. 0.11 estimate). The lack of consistent positive earnings and the absence of reported revenue growth figures make it difficult to project future profitability with confidence.",
    "The primary risks for Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) include significant insider selling, with over $3 million in sales against only $147.4K in purchases, signaling a lack of management confidence in the near-term outlook. Additionally, the stock is trading below key technical indicators like the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, suggesting bearish momentum. The absence of reported revenue growth and negative EPS further compound these risks, making the company's valuation appear speculative rather than fundamentally supported."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "1.10B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "N/A (Negative EPS)"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "-0.4600"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.00%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "10.52"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "2.67"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $3.137, 200-day: $4.431), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "52.21"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-0.05"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "3.14"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "4.43"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.32",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.32",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.28",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.24"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "LAC Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (52.2) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$3.079",
    "TARGET 2": "$3.139",
    "TARGET 3": "$3.229",
    "STOP LOSS": "$2.825"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "3.47%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in LAC in September 2016 would be worth about $8,274 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in LAC today could grow to about $12,266 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $93,057 and a bear case around $1,617. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "LAC Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $3.28 for LAC by 2030 in the base case, from $3.02 today (1.1x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $0.9097. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on LAC's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using LAC's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "LAC simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$1.62",
        "$3.08",
        "$5.85"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$1.27",
        "$3.15",
        "$7.79"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$1.06",
        "$3.21",
        "$9.74"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$0.9097",
        "$3.28",
        "$11.81"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$0.7981",
        "$3.34",
        "$14.02"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$0.7105",
        "$3.41",
        "$16.40"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$0.6394",
        "$3.48",
        "$18.98"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$0.5805",
        "$3.56",
        "$21.78"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$0.5308",
        "$3.63",
        "$24.82"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$0.4883",
        "$3.70",
        "$28.10"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
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  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
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  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "LAC Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "$147.4K",
    "Sold": "$3.0M",
    "Insiders": "13",
    "Avg Transaction": "$316.7K"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in LAC",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Oct 1, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "ZAWADZKI ALEXI ILLYA Officer",
        "Sell",
        "353.9K",
        "$2.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 16, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "GERSPACHER RICHARD Officer",
        "Sell",
        "63.2K",
        "$429.3K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 14, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "GRANDY EDWARD General Counsel",
        "Sell",
        "6.2K",
        "$27.8K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 14, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "GERSPACHER RICHARD Officer",
        "Sell",
        "6.1K",
        "$27.5K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 14, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "BARNUM AUBREE Officer",
        "Sell",
        "4.8K",
        "$21.4K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 14, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "CROWLEY TIMOTHY AMBROSE Officer",
        "Sell",
        "4.8K",
        "$21.4K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 17, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "GRANDY EDWARD General Counsel",
        "Sell",
        "14",
        "$67"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 26, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "MONTGOMERY PHILIP Director",
        "Grant",
        "19.3K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 10, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "BARNUM AUBREE Officer",
        "Grant",
        "15.7K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 10, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "COLTON LUKE Chief Financial Officer",
        "Grant",
        "39.2K",
        "-"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Lithium+Americas+Corp.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Lithium Americas Corp.'s stock price prediction for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Lithium Americas Corp.'s (LAC) stock price is projected to be $3.28 in 2030 under a base case scenario. The downside projection is $0.91, while the upside projection reaches $11.81. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is Lithium Americas Corp. stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) is currently rated a 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 60 out of 100. While the median analyst price target suggests a 49% upside, the stock is trading below key moving averages and exhibits moderate insider selling, indicating potential near-term headwinds."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the biggest risks facing Lithium Americas Corp.?",
   "answer": "The main risks for Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) include substantial insider selling totaling over $3 million, a bearish technical outlook with the stock trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($3.14 and $4.43), and a lack of reported revenue growth alongside negative EPS, which raises concerns about its fundamental valuation."
  },
  {
   "question": "How did Lithium Americas Corp. perform in its latest earnings report?",
   "answer": "In its most recent earnings report in August 2026, Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) reported an EPS of -0.02, beating the estimate of -0.04 by 50%. However, the stock price saw a slight decrease of 1.46% following the announcement."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the consensus rating for Lithium Americas Corp. stock?",
   "answer": "The consensus rating for Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) stock is 'Hold', supported by 12 analysts. The Wall Street score is 60 out of 100, with 2 analysts rating it Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 9 Hold."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does Lithium Americas Corp. compare to its sector averages?",
   "answer": "Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) lags its Basic Materials sector peers, which have an average P/E of -6.57 and revenue growth of 10.0%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the outlook for Lithium Americas Corp. based on insider transactions?",
   "answer": "Insider transactions for Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) indicate a 'Moderate Sell Signal,' with total sales of $3 million significantly outweighing total purchases of $147.4K. This net selling activity suggests a cautious or bearish sentiment among company insiders regarding the stock's near-term prospects."
  }
 ],
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