{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/lennar-len/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/lennar-len/data.json",
 "title": "Lennar (LEN) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Lennar Corp. (LEN) stock: Consumer Cyclical, Residential Construction. $19.8B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Lennar Corp. (LEN)",
 "published": "2026-06-12T09:13:12+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-27T10:40:55.395+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T14:18:40.888Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "LEN",
  "name": "Lennar Corp.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Consumer Cyclical",
  "industry": "Residential Construction",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.lennar.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 82.15,
  "previousClose": 81.47,
  "change": 0.68,
  "changePercent": 0.83,
  "open": 82,
  "high": 82.27,
  "low": 80.37,
  "volume": 3890800,
  "averageVolume": 6081560,
  "marketCap": 19789535915,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 139.44,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 75.7,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-27T10:40:55.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 14.643494,
  "eps": 5.61,
  "dividendYield": 0.024351638461996502,
  "beta": 1.398,
  "priceToSales": 0.6189437,
  "priceToBook": 0.91531014,
  "revenueTtm": 31973076992,
  "grossMargin": 0.06989583711173178,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.05962
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 47,
  "macd": -1.06,
  "sma50": 83.81,
  "sma200": 95.2,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 41,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 78,
  "analystTarget": 78,
  "analystCount": 19,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-27T10:40:55.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 82.15,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 2.25,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 81.33,
  "aggressiveEntry": 82.15,
  "stopLoss": 78.44,
  "stopLossPercent": 3.55,
  "targets": [
   83.77,
   85.39,
   87.83
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 54.39,
    "base": 88.1,
    "upside90th": 142.71
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 47.76,
    "base": 94.48,
    "upside90th": 186.88
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 43.94,
    "base": 101.32,
    "upside90th": 233.62
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 41.41,
    "base": 108.65,
    "upside90th": 285.1
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 39.63,
    "base": 116.52,
    "upside90th": 342.61
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 38.34,
    "base": 124.95,
    "upside90th": 407.25
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 37.4,
    "base": 134,
    "upside90th": 480.1
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 36.73,
    "base": 143.7,
    "upside90th": 562.29
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 36.26,
    "base": 154.11,
    "upside90th": 655.02
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 35.95,
    "base": 165.26,
    "upside90th": 759.64
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "LEN Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$82.00",
    "Day Range": "$80.37 to $82.27",
    "Prev Close": "$81.47",
    "Volume": "3.89M",
    "52-Week Range": "$75.70 to $139.44",
    "Market Cap": "$19.79B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-30%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "LEN Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, LEN beat estimates 2 times. However, the stock fell 1 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often \"priced in\" or investors are selling the news."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "LEN Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Lennar Corp. (LEN) is trading below its 50-day SMA of $83.81 and its 200-day SMA of $95.20, signaling a bearish trend. The RSI is at 47, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD is negative at -1.06, further supporting a cautious technical stance. The stock is trading above its 20-day EMA of $81.51, offering some short-term support, but the broader trend remains downward. Key support levels are near the current price, with the 20-day EMA acting as immediate resistance. Volume has been below average recently, suggesting a lack of strong conviction from either buyers or sellers. The current chart structure implies potential for further downside if the stock cannot reclaim its longer-term moving averages, especially given the recent negative revenue growth and mixed earnings performance.",
    "A sustained drop in new housing starts due to high interest rates or economic uncertainty could further depress Lennar's sales and profitability.",
    "Further misses on EPS estimates in upcoming quarters could lead to negative analyst revisions and stock price declines.",
    "A pivot by the Federal Reserve towards interest rate cuts could stimulate housing demand and improve Lennar's sales outlook.",
    "Insider activity consists solely of stock grants, indicating compensation rather than open-market investment, providing no directional signal.",
    "Lennar Corp. (LEN) faces a challenging near-term outlook, with its stock price below key moving averages and negative revenue growth trends. The median analyst price target of $78.00 suggests a potential downside from the current $82.15 level, and forward estimates indicate continued revenue contraction in the current year. The company's operational performance has been inconsistent, as evidenced by mixed earnings surprises. Potential upside catalysts could include a significant improvement in housing market conditions, a decrease in interest rates, or a strong rebound in consumer confidence. Conversely, persistent high interest rates, increased competition, or further deterioration in the housing market could exacerbate current headwinds and push the stock lower. The company's healthy debt-to-equity ratio provides some financial flexibility, but sustained negative revenue growth remains a primary concern."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor housing market indicators and interest rate movements closely, as these are critical drivers for Lennar Corp.'s business.",
     "The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($83.81 and $95.20), suggesting caution for short-term traders until these levels are reclaimed.",
     "Given the mixed earnings and negative revenue growth, consider position sizing carefully and avoid over-exposure until a clear upward trend emerges."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Continued Decline in Housing Starts",
     "text": "A sustained drop in new housing starts due to high interest rates or economic uncertainty could further depress Lennar's sales and profitability.",
     "source": "Economic Indicators"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Missed Earnings Estimates",
     "text": "Further misses on EPS estimates in upcoming quarters could lead to negative analyst revisions and stock price declines.",
     "source": "Company Earnings Reports"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Potential Interest Rate Cuts",
     "text": "A pivot by the Federal Reserve towards interest rate cuts could stimulate housing demand and improve Lennar's sales outlook.",
     "source": "Monetary Policy Announcements"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Stock Grants as Compensation",
     "text": "Insider activity consists solely of stock grants, indicating compensation rather than open-market investment, providing no directional signal.",
     "source": "Insider Filings"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Lennar Corp. (LEN) presents a mixed fundamental picture with a P/E ratio of 14.64, which is below the sector average of 20.8, suggesting a potential valuation discount. Its price-to-sales ratio of 0.62 is also below the sector median of 1.9. However, the company's revenue growth has been negative at -8.7%, contrasting with the sector's average revenue growth of 7.2%. The company's profit margin stands at 4.09% and its return on equity is 5.96%, both below the sector averages of 12.4% for ROE. The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28 is healthy and below the sector average. While the valuation multiples appear attractive relative to the sector, the declining revenue and below-average profitability metrics raise concerns about the company's growth prospects and efficiency.",
    "Lennar Corp. (LEN) has shown inconsistent earnings performance recently. In the quarter to September 2026, the company reported an EPS of $1.23 against an estimate of $1.29, missing expectations by 4.65%. This follows a beat in the prior quarter to June 2026, where EPS was $1.31 versus an estimate of $1.23. The company also missed estimates in the quarter to March 2026. However, it significantly beat estimates in the quarter to December 2025, reporting an EPS of -0.32 against an estimate of -2.13.",
    "Lennar Corp. faces significant risks including a bearish technical trend with the stock trading below key moving averages and negative revenue growth. The company's forward earnings and revenue estimates also point to a slowdown, and the median analyst price target suggests limited upside. Also, the mixed earnings surprises in recent quarters indicate potential operational inconsistencies."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "19.79B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "14.64"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "5.61"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "2.44%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "139.44"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "75.70"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $83.81, 200-day: $95.20), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "47.00"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-1.06"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "83.81"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "95.20"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.34",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.25",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.03",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.11"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "LEN Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (47.0) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$83.77",
    "TARGET 2": "$85.39",
    "TARGET 3": "$87.83",
    "STOP LOSS": "$78.44"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+5.49%",
    "Average Feb return": "-2.12%",
    "Average Mar return": "-2.49%",
    "Average Apr return": "+3.40%",
    "Average May return": "+1.22%",
    "Average Jun return": "+0.74%",
    "Average Jul return": "+5.14%",
    "Average Aug return": "+1.07%",
    "Average Sep return": "-2.78%",
    "Average Oct return": "-1.99%",
    "Average Nov return": "+5.30%",
    "Average Dec return": "-2.76%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "2.25%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in LEN in September 2016 would be worth about $20,202 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in LEN today could grow to about $20,117 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $92,470 and a bear case around $4,377. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "LEN Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $109 for LEN by 2030 in the base case, from $82.15 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $41.41. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on LEN's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using LEN's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "LEN simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$54.39",
        "$88.10",
        "$143"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$47.76",
        "$94.48",
        "$187"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$43.94",
        "$101",
        "$234"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$41.41",
        "$109",
        "$285"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$39.63",
        "$117",
        "$343"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$38.34",
        "$125",
        "$407"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$37.40",
        "$134",
        "$480"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$36.73",
        "$144",
        "$562"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$36.26",
        "$154",
        "$655"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$35.95",
        "$165",
        "$760"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
   "links": [
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/apa-vs-ovv/"
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  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "LEN Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "None",
    "Insiders": "12",
    "Avg Transaction": "N/A"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in LEN",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Jan 24, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "STOWELL SCOTT D Director",
        "Sell",
        "300.0K",
        "$20.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 24, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "STOWELL SCOTT D Director",
        "Sell",
        "120.0K",
        "$9.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 21, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "SUSTANA MARK General Counsel",
        "Sell",
        "37.3K",
        "$5.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 17, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "SUSTANA MARK General Counsel",
        "Sell",
        "40.0K",
        "$3.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 28, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "SONNENFELD JEFFREY ALAN Director",
        "Sell",
        "17.5K",
        "$3.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 9, 2018",
       "cells": [
        "MCCALL JEFFREY JOSEPH Officer",
        "Sell",
        "50.9K",
        "$2.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 8, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "COLLINS DAVID M Officer",
        "Sell",
        "40.0K",
        "$2.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 23, 2018",
       "cells": [
        "MCCALL JEFFREY JOSEPH Officer",
        "Sell",
        "50.9K",
        "$2.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 1, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "JAFFE JONATHAN M President",
        "Sell",
        "40.0K",
        "$2.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 15, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "MCCALL JEFFREY JOSEPH Officer",
        "Sell",
        "10.0K",
        "$1.7M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Lennar+Corp.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Lennar Corp.'s stock forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "Lennar Corp.'s stock forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case price of $108.65, with a downside scenario of $41.41 and an upside scenario of $285.10. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is Lennar Corp. stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Lennar Corp. stock is currently rated 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 41. The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($83.81 and $95.20), and the median analyst price target of $78.00 suggests limited upside from the current price of $82.15."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is Lennar Corp.'s current technical momentum?",
   "answer": "Lennar Corp.'s technical momentum is currently neutral, with an RSI at 47.0. The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($83.81 and $95.20), indicating a bearish trend, although it is above its 20-day EMA."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does Lennar Corp.'s valuation compare to its sector?",
   "answer": "Lennar Corp.'s P/E ratio of 14.64 and price-to-sales ratio of 0.62 are below the sector averages of 20.8 and 1.9, respectively. However, its revenue growth of -8.7% lags the sector's 7.2% average."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the recent earnings trends for Lennar Corp.?",
   "answer": "Lennar Corp. has shown mixed earnings results, with a significant EPS beat in the quarter to December 2025 but misses in other recent quarters, including the most recent quarter to September 2026."
  },
  {
   "question": "Are there any significant insider transactions for Lennar Corp.?",
   "answer": "All reported insider transactions for Lennar Corp. are stock grants or awards, totaling $240,500. There have been no open-market purchases or sales by insiders, indicating that these transactions are related to compensation rather than investment conviction."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the outlook for Lennar Corp.'s revenue growth?",
   "answer": "Lennar Corp. has experienced negative revenue growth of -8.7% recently. Current year revenue estimates project a further contraction of 8.00%, with modest growth of 4.00% expected in the next year."
  }
 ],
 "related": {
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    "price": "$138.63",
    "change": "+0.94%",
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