{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/lam-research-lrcx/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/lam-research-lrcx/data.json",
 "title": "Lam Research (LRCX) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Lam Research Corp. (LRCX) stock: Technology, Semiconductor Equipment & Materials. $394.4B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Lam Research Corp. (LRCX)",
 "published": "2026-06-12T09:07:19+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-26T17:36:19.958+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T14:24:11.914Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "LRCX",
  "name": "Lam Research Corp.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Technology",
  "industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.lamresearch.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 315.21,
  "previousClose": 307.16,
  "change": 8.05,
  "changePercent": 2.62,
  "open": 309.17999,
  "high": 317.13,
  "low": 307.5,
  "volume": 8138100,
  "averageVolume": 10743940,
  "marketCap": 394428879896,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 438.5,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 117.029999,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-26T17:36:19.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 53.5122,
  "eps": 5.74,
  "dividendYield": 0.004186621726745677,
  "beta": 1.859,
  "priceToSales": 16.543747,
  "priceToBook": 30.8177,
  "revenueTtm": 23232690176,
  "grossMargin": 0.5174972977749375,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.65066004
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 53.2,
  "macd": -1.42,
  "sma50": 304.58,
  "sma200": 270.93,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bullish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 74,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": 380,
  "analystTarget": 380,
  "analystCount": 35,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-26T17:36:19.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 315.20999,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 3.54,
   "risk": "volatile"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 308.91,
  "aggressiveEntry": 315.21,
  "stopLoss": 292.5,
  "stopLossPercent": 5.31,
  "targets": [
   324.35,
   339.8,
   355.24
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 204.62,
    "base": 371.53,
    "upside90th": 674.57
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 188.38,
    "base": 437.9,
    "upside90th": 1017.93
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 183.69,
    "base": 516.14,
    "upside90th": 1450.24
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 184.53,
    "base": 608.36,
    "upside90th": 2005.57
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 188.94,
    "base": 717.05,
    "upside90th": 2721.32
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 196.07,
    "base": 845.15,
    "upside90th": 3642.95
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 205.57,
    "base": 996.15,
    "upside90th": 4827.06
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 217.29,
    "base": 1174.13,
    "upside90th": 6344.42
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 231.2,
    "base": 1383.9,
    "upside90th": 8283.73
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 247.36,
    "base": 1631.15,
    "upside90th": 10756.02
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "LRCX Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$309.18",
    "Day Range": "$307.50 to $317.13",
    "Prev Close": "$307.16",
    "Volume": "8.14M",
    "52-Week Range": "$117.03 to $438.50",
    "Market Cap": "$394.43B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+57%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "LRCX Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, LRCX beat estimates 3 times. The stock rose 2 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "LRCX Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Lam Research Corp. (LRCX) is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($304.58 and $270.93), signaling an upward trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 53.2, indicating neutral momentum, while the Stochastic Oscillator at 87.7 suggests the stock is approaching overbought territory. Volume has been below its 20-day average, which may suggest a lack of strong conviction behind recent price action. Key support is found near the 50-day SMA, while resistance levels will be tested as the stock approaches its all-time highs.",
    "Lam Research Corp. (LRCX) exceeded Q2 2026 EPS estimates by 8.33% ($1.82 actual vs. $1.68 estimate), driving a 17.98% stock price increase and signaling strong operational performance.",
    "The median analyst price target for LRCX is $380, representing a 20.6% upside from the current price, supported by 35 analysts maintaining a 'Buy' consensus.",
    "Current year revenue is estimated to grow by 50.00% year-over-year, with next year projected at 18.00%, indicating strong market demand for Lam Research's semiconductor equipment.",
    "Insiders have sold approximately $177.4 million worth of LRCX stock, indicating a potential lack of confidence or need for liquidity among management.",
    "The semiconductor equipment industry is inherently cyclical, making Lam Research Corp. (LRCX) susceptible to downturns in capital expenditure by chip manufacturers.",
    "Lam Research Corp. (LRCX) is expected to maintain its upward trajectory over the next 6-12 months, driven by strong demand in the semiconductor industry and strong analyst conviction. The median price target of $380 suggests a 20.6% upside from the current price of $315.21. The company's projected revenue growth of 50% for the current year and an average annual growth rate of 21.1% over the next five years provide a solid foundation for this outlook. Significant insider selling is a notable risk that could temper upside potential, alongside the cyclical nature of the semiconductor market."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor insider selling activity closely, as the current heavy insider selling warrants caution despite strong fundamentals.",
     "The stock is trading above key moving averages (50-day and 200-day SMA), indicating positive technical momentum, but the RSI approaching overbought levels suggests potential for a short-term pullback.",
     "Given the premium valuation (P/S ratio of 16.54 vs. sector median of 7.5), investors should ensure growth estimates materialize to justify the current stock price."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Strong Q2 2026 Earnings Beat",
     "text": "Lam Research Corp. (LRCX) exceeded Q2 2026 EPS estimates by 8.33% ($1.82 actual vs. $1.68 estimate), driving a 17.98% stock price increase and signaling strong operational performance.",
     "source": "Earnings Report"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets",
     "text": "The median analyst price target for LRCX is $380, representing a 20.6% upside from the current price, supported by 35 analysts maintaining a 'Buy' consensus.",
     "source": "Wall Street Analysts"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "High Revenue Growth Projections",
     "text": "Current year revenue is estimated to grow by 50.00% year-over-year, with next year projected at 18.00%, indicating strong market demand for Lam Research's semiconductor equipment.",
     "source": "Wall Street Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Significant Insider Selling",
     "text": "Insiders have sold approximately $177.4 million worth of LRCX stock, indicating a potential lack of confidence or need for liquidity among management.",
     "source": "Insider Transactions"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Cyclical Industry Headwinds",
     "text": "The semiconductor equipment industry is inherently cyclical, making Lam Research Corp. (LRCX) susceptible to downturns in capital expenditure by chip manufacturers.",
     "source": "Industry Analysis"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Lam Research Corp. (LRCX) exhibits strong fundamentals, with a reported profit margin of 31.27% and a return on equity of 65.07%, significantly outperforming sector medians. Its price-to-sales ratio of 16.54 is higher than the sector average of 7.5, indicating a premium valuation. However, the company's projected revenue growth of 50% for the current year and 18% for the next year, coupled with a forward 5-year average annual growth rate of 21.1%, justifies this premium. The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.33 is in line with the sector average, suggesting a healthy balance sheet.",
    "Lam Research Corp. (LRCX) most recently reported earnings for the quarter ending June 2026, beating analyst estimates with an EPS of $1.82 against a forecast of $1.68, a surprise of 8.33%. This positive earnings surprise was accompanied by a significant 17.98% price increase. The company has a history of beating earnings expectations, with the exception of the quarter ending September 2025, where it missed estimates and saw a slight price decline. Current analyst estimates project EPS of $2.18 for the current quarter and $2.31 for the next quarter, indicating continued earnings momentum.",
    "Significant insider selling, with total sales amounting to $177.4 million against only $602 in purchases, presents a key risk for Lam Research Corp. (LRCX). While the company's valuation is supported by strong growth prospects, its price-to-sales ratio is considerably higher than the sector average. Additionally, the semiconductor equipment industry is cyclical and subject to fluctuations in capital expenditure by chip manufacturers, posing a potential headwind."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "394.43B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "53.51"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "5.74"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.35%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "438.50"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "117.03"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bullish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bullish MACD Bearish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($304.58) above the 200-day SMA ($270.93), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bullish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "53.20"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-1.42"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "304.58"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "270.93"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.65",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.75",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.32",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.17"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "LRCX Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (53.2) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$324.35",
    "TARGET 2": "$339.80",
    "TARGET 3": "$355.24",
    "STOP LOSS": "$292.50"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+8.24%",
    "Average Feb return": "+0.61%",
    "Average Mar return": "-1.04%",
    "Average Apr return": "+2.67%",
    "Average May return": "+8.56%",
    "Average Jun return": "+6.07%",
    "Average Jul return": "+5.00%",
    "Average Aug return": "-2.23%",
    "Average Sep return": "+1.86%",
    "Average Oct return": "+2.70%",
    "Average Nov return": "+8.01%",
    "Average Dec return": "+0.75%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "3.54%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in LRCX in September 2016 would be worth about $344,831 today, compared with about $36,004 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in LRCX today could grow to about $51,748 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $341,233 and a bear case around $7,848. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "LRCX Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $608 for LRCX by 2030 in the base case, from $315 today (1.9x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $185. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on LRCX's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using LRCX's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. LRCX is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "LRCX simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$205",
        "$372",
        "$675"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$188",
        "$438",
        "$1,018"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$184",
        "$516",
        "$1,450"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$185",
        "$608",
        "$2,006"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$189",
        "$717",
        "$2,721"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$196",
        "$845",
        "$3,643"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$206",
        "$996",
        "$4,827"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$217",
        "$1,174",
        "$6,344"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$231",
        "$1,384",
        "$8,284"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$247",
        "$1,631",
        "$10,756"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
   "links": [
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    },
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    },
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/synopsys-snps/"
    },
    {
     "text": "AKAM Akamai Technologies Inc NASDAQ $113.94 +3.20%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/akamai-akam/"
    },
    {
     "text": "KLAC KLA Corporation NASDAQ $187.92 +0.43%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/kla-corporation-klac/"
    },
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/nxt-stock-analysis/"
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    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/mu-micron-technology/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare LRCX",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "AMAT vs LRCX Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/amat-vs-lrcx/"
    },
    {
     "text": "ANET vs CSCO Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/anet-vs-csco/"
    },
    {
     "text": "VGT vs XLK Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vgt-vs-xlk/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "LRCX Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "$602.00",
    "Sold": "$177.4M",
    "Insiders": "19",
    "Avg Transaction": "$7.4M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in LRCX",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Dec 17, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "ARCHER TIMOTHY M Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "163.3K",
        "$26.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 12, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "BRANDT ERIC K Director",
        "Sell",
        "54.5K",
        "$20.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 11, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "BRANDT ERIC K Director",
        "Sell",
        "54.5K",
        "$19.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 2, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "VARADARAJAN SESHASAYEE Officer",
        "Sell",
        "59.8K",
        "$17.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 30, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "BETTINGER DOUGLAS R Chief Financial Officer",
        "Sell",
        "34.9K",
        "$15.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 28, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "ARCHER TIMOTHY M Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "13.7K",
        "$14.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 2, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "ARCHER TIMOTHY M Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "30.0K",
        "$11.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 4, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "BETTINGER DOUGLAS R Chief Financial Officer",
        "Sell",
        "50.1K",
        "$11.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 28, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "ARCHER TIMOTHY M Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "9.7K",
        "$10.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 19, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "VARADARAJAN SESHASAYEE Officer",
        "Sell",
        "11.0K",
        "$10.1M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&amp;company=Lam+Research+Corp.&amp;type=4&amp;dateb=&amp;owner=include&amp;count=40&amp;search_text=&amp;action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Lam Research Corp.'s stock price forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Lam Research Corp.'s (LRCX) stock price is projected to be $608.36 in 2030 under a base case scenario. The downside projection is $184.53, while the upside projection reaches $2,005.57. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is Lam Research Corp. stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Lam Research Corp. (LRCX) is currently rated a 'Buy' by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 74 out of 100. The median analyst price target of $380 suggests a 20.6% upside from the current price of $315.21."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does Lam Research Corp. compare to its sector averages?",
   "answer": "Lam Research Corp. (LRCX) trades at a higher price-to-sales ratio (16.54) compared to the sector median of 7.5. However, its return on equity (65.07%) and profit margin (31.27%) significantly exceed sector medians of 13.4% and N/A respectively, while its revenue growth (30%) is above the sector average of 24.1%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What was Lam Research Corp.'s most recent earnings performance?",
   "answer": "In the quarter ending June 2026, Lam Research Corp. (LRCX) reported an EPS of $1.82, beating the analyst estimate of $1.68 by 8.33%. This positive surprise led to a 17.98% increase in the stock price."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the main risks facing Lam Research Corp.?",
   "answer": "The primary risks for Lam Research Corp. (LRCX) include significant insider selling totaling $177.4 million, a premium valuation relative to sector peers, and the inherent cyclicality of the semiconductor equipment market."
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      "text": "The primary risks for Lam Research Corp. (LRCX) include significant insider selling totaling $177.4 million, a premium valuation relative to sector peers, and the inherent cyclicality of the semiconductor equipment market."
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      "text": "Analysts project strong revenue growth for Lam Research Corp. (LRCX), with an estimated 53.00% year-over-year increase for the current quarter and 59.00% for the next quarter. Current year revenue is expected to grow by 50.00%, with a projected 18.00% growth for the next year."
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 ]
}