{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/krmn-stock-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/krmn-stock-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "Karman (KRMN) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) stock: Industrials, Aerospace & Defense. $4.7B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN)",
 "published": "2026-07-20T09:50:56+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-27T06:31:40.969+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T14:26:12.207Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "KRMN",
  "name": "Karman Holdings Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Industrials",
  "industry": "Aerospace & Defense",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://karman-sd.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 35.69,
  "previousClose": 34.92,
  "change": 0.77,
  "changePercent": 2.21,
  "open": 34.76,
  "high": 35.77,
  "low": 33.35,
  "volume": 4869900,
  "averageVolume": 5058440,
  "marketCap": 4730128038,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 118.38,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 32.2,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-27T06:31:40.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 126.59259,
  "eps": 0.27,
  "dividendYield": 0,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": 7.6838045,
  "priceToBook": 10.758577,
  "revenueTtm": 589552000,
  "grossMargin": 0.4297083976425743,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.09503
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 37.96,
  "macd": -3.87,
  "sma50": 46.69,
  "sma200": 69.65,
  "rsiSignal": "Bearish",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 79,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": 85,
  "analystTarget": 85,
  "analystCount": 11,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-27T06:31:40.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 35.69,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 3.73,
   "risk": "volatile"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 34.98,
  "aggressiveEntry": 35.69,
  "stopLoss": 31.17,
  "stopLossPercent": 10.88,
  "targets": [
   36.73,
   38.47,
   40.22
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 20.33,
    "base": 38.59,
    "upside90th": 73.25
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 16.86,
    "base": 41.73,
    "upside90th": 103.28
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 14.87,
    "base": 45.13,
    "upside90th": 136.91
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 13.55,
    "base": 48.8,
    "upside90th": 175.78
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 12.59,
    "base": 52.76,
    "upside90th": 221.12
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 11.87,
    "base": 57.05,
    "upside90th": 274.14
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 11.32,
    "base": 61.7,
    "upside90th": 336.16
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 10.89,
    "base": 66.71,
    "upside90th": 408.65
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 10.55,
    "base": 72.14,
    "upside90th": 493.23
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 10.28,
    "base": 78.01,
    "upside90th": 591.8
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "KRMN Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$34.76",
    "Day Range": "$33.35 to $35.77",
    "Prev Close": "$34.92",
    "Volume": "4.87M",
    "52-Week Range": "$32.20 to $118.38",
    "Market Cap": "$4.73B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+272%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "KRMN Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, KRMN beat estimates 1 times. The stock rose 1 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "KRMN Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Karman Holdings Inc. is trading below its key moving averages, with its current price of $35.69 sitting below the 50-day SMA of $46.69 and the 200-day SMA of $69.65. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 37.96, indicating bearish momentum and suggesting further downside potential before any significant reversal. Volume has been slightly below its average, with 4.87 million shares traded versus a 5.06 million average. Key support levels are not clearly defined by the current trend, while resistance is expected around the 50-day SMA. The overall chart structure points to a bearish short-term outlook, with the price action needing to break above these moving averages to signal a potential trend change.",
    "Continued high revenue growth, projected at 59.00% for the current and next quarters, could drive investor confidence and stock price appreciation.",
    "A median analyst price target of $85.00, representing a 138.2% upside from the current price, suggests significant potential for price appreciation if targets are met.",
    "The company's positive EPS surprise in the quarter ending June 2026 and subsequent stock price increase indicate improving operational performance.",
    "The substantial selling by TCFIII SPACECO SPV LP is a large-scale corporate restructuring, not a reflection of internal management sentiment, and is a key factor in understanding insider transaction data.",
    "The stock is trading significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($46.69 and $69.65), indicating a strong bearish momentum that could persist in the short term.",
    "The base case for Karman Holdings Inc. anticipates a potential recovery towards its median analyst target price of $85.00 over the next 6-12 months, driven by its exceptional revenue growth and positive analyst sentiment. This target represents a 138.2% upside from the current price, suggesting significant undervaluation if the company can maintain its growth trajectory. However, the current bearish technical setup presents a near-term risk. A sustained break above the 50-day and 200-day SMAs would be a strong bullish signal. Conversely, failure to reverse the current downtrend could lead to further downside, potentially testing the lower end of analyst targets or even the long-range projection's downside scenario of $13.55."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor the price action closely for a sustained break above the 50-day SMA ($46.69) and 200-day SMA ($69.65) as a signal of a potential trend reversal.",
     "Given the high price-to-sales ratio, investors should pay close attention to future revenue growth figures and profitability to justify the current valuation.",
     "The significant selling by parent company TCFIII SPACECO SPV LP should be viewed as a corporate restructuring event rather than a bearish indicator from management."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Strong Revenue Growth Momentum",
     "text": "Continued high revenue growth, projected at 59.00% for the current and next quarters, could drive investor confidence and stock price appreciation.",
     "source": "Wall Street Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Analyst Price Target Upside",
     "text": "A median analyst price target of $85.00, representing a 138.2% upside from the current price, suggests significant potential for price appreciation if targets are met.",
     "source": "Wall Street Summary"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Recent Earnings Beat",
     "text": "The company's positive EPS surprise in the quarter ending June 2026 and subsequent stock price increase indicate improving operational performance.",
     "source": "Earnings Report"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Parent Company Divestiture",
     "text": "The substantial selling by TCFIII SPACECO SPV LP is a large-scale corporate restructuring, not a reflection of internal management sentiment, and is a key factor in understanding insider transaction data.",
     "source": "Insider Transactions"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Bearish Technical Trend",
     "text": "The stock is trading significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($46.69 and $69.65), indicating a strong bearish momentum that could persist in the short term.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Karman Holdings Inc. exhibits a high price-to-sales ratio of 7.68, significantly above the sector median of 4.00, suggesting the stock may be overvalued on this metric. However, its reported revenue growth of 58.2% is exceptional, far exceeding the sector average of 11.7%. The company's profit margin stands at 6.31% and its operating margin is a strong 20.23%, indicating efficient operations. While the company's return on equity is 9.50%, its debt-to-equity ratio of 2.08 is relatively high compared to sector averages. The strong revenue growth and solid operating margins provide some justification for the premium valuation, but the high P/S ratio and debt levels warrant careful consideration.",
    "Karman Holdings Inc. most recently reported earnings for the quarter ending June 2026, with an actual EPS of $0.14, beating the estimated $0.13 by 7.69% and resulting in a 5.6% stock price increase. Prior to this, the company had mixed results, with a flat EPS in March 2026 and a miss, though it met estimates in another September 2025 report. The company's revenue growth has been a consistent highlight, with current quarter estimates showing a strong +59.00% year-over-year increase.",
    "Karman Holdings Inc. faces significant risks including its current bearish technical trend, trading well below key moving averages. The high price-to-sales ratio of 7.68, compared to the sector median of 4.00, indicates a potential valuation stretch. Additionally, the company's debt-to-equity ratio of 2.08 is elevated, posing a risk in a rising interest rate environment."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "4.73B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "126.59"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "0.2700"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.00%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "118.38"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "32.20"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Bearish SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $46.69, 200-day: $69.65), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Bearish",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "37.96"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-3.87"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "46.69"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "69.65"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.40",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.38",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.26",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.25"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "KRMN Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (38.0) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$36.73",
    "TARGET 2": "$38.47",
    "TARGET 3": "$40.22",
    "STOP LOSS": "$31.17"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Limited data: Based on ~2 years of trading history. Patterns may not be statistically significant."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+35.07%",
    "Average Feb return": "-4.69%",
    "Average Mar return": "-7.00%",
    "Average Apr return": "-5.76%",
    "Average May return": "+2.78%",
    "Average Jun return": "+3.52%",
    "Average Jul return": "+1.39%",
    "Average Aug return": "+10.87%",
    "Average Sep return": "+33.98%",
    "Average Oct return": "+14.66%",
    "Average Nov return": "-22.99%",
    "Average Dec return": "+14.85%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "3.73%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in KRMN in February 2025 would be worth about $11,877 today, compared with about $12,651 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in KRMN today could grow to about $21,856 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $165,816 and a bear case around $2,881. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "KRMN Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $48.80 for KRMN by 2030 in the base case, from $35.69 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $13.55. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on KRMN's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using KRMN's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "KRMN simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$20.33",
        "$38.59",
        "$73.25"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$16.86",
        "$41.73",
        "$103"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$14.87",
        "$45.13",
        "$137"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$13.55",
        "$48.80",
        "$176"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$12.59",
        "$52.76",
        "$221"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$11.87",
        "$57.05",
        "$274"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$11.32",
        "$61.70",
        "$336"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$10.89",
        "$66.71",
        "$409"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$10.55",
        "$72.14",
        "$493"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$10.28",
        "$78.01",
        "$592"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vug-vs-schg/"
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  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "KRMN Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$1.2B",
    "Insiders": "14",
    "Avg Transaction": "$87.5M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in KRMN",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Jul 25, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "TCFIII SPACECO SPV LP Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "23.6M",
        "$1.2B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 14, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "TCFIII SPACECO SPV LP Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "9.7M",
        "$310.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 25, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "KOBLINSKI TONY Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "250.0K",
        "$12.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 14, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "KOBLINSKI TONY Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "381.8K",
        "$12.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 17, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "WILLIS MICHAEL Chief Financial Officer",
        "Sell",
        "115.0K",
        "$6.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 12, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "RADUENZ BRIAN D. Director",
        "Sell",
        "90.0K",
        "$6.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 12, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "KOBLINSKI TONY Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "75.0K",
        "$5.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 28, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "KOBLINSKI TONY Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "75.0K",
        "$5.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 5, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "KOBLINSKI TONY Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "75.0K",
        "$5.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 25, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "WILLIS MICHAEL Chief Financial Officer",
        "Sell",
        "100.0K",
        "$4.9M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Karman+Holdings+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is KRMN stock forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "The long-range projection for Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) in 2030 indicates a base case price of $48.80. The downside scenario suggests a price of $13.55, while the upside scenario projects $175.78. These figures are derived from Monte Carlo simulations and are not definitive price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is Karman Holdings Inc. stock a buy?",
   "answer": "With a median analyst target price of $85.00, implying a 138.2% upside from the current price of $35.69, and strong revenue growth, Karman Holdings Inc. presents a compelling buy case. However, the current bearish technical trend and high valuation multiples should be considered."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is Karman Holdings Inc.'s current technical position?",
   "answer": "Karman Holdings Inc. is currently in a bearish technical trend, trading below its 50-day SMA ($46.69) and 200-day SMA ($69.65). The RSI is at 37.96, indicating bearish momentum."
  },
  {
   "question": "How are Karman Holdings Inc.'s recent earnings?",
   "answer": "Karman Holdings Inc. recently beat EPS estimates for the quarter ending June 2026 by 7.69%, leading to a positive stock price reaction. While prior quarters showed mixed results, the company consistently demonstrates strong revenue growth, with current quarter estimates projecting a 59.00% increase."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the main risks for Karman Holdings Inc.?",
   "answer": "Key risks for Karman Holdings Inc. include its current bearish technical trend, a high price-to-sales ratio of 7.68, and an elevated debt-to-equity ratio of 2.08. Investors should monitor these factors closely."
  },
  {
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  "news": [
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      "text": "Key risks for Karman Holdings Inc. include its current bearish technical trend, a high price-to-sales ratio of 7.68, and an elevated debt-to-equity ratio of 2.08. Investors should monitor these factors closely."
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      "text": "Karman Holdings Inc. significantly outperforms its sector peers in revenue growth (58.2% vs. 11.7%) but trades at a higher price-to-sales ratio (7.68 vs. 4.00). Its debt-to-equity ratio of 2.08 is also higher than the sector median."
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}