{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/key-stock-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/key-stock-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "KeyCorp (KEY) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "KeyCorp (KEY) stock: Financial Services, Banks - Regional. $22.0B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "KeyCorp (KEY)",
 "published": "2026-07-19T09:23:10+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-26T20:06:46.869+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T15:05:47.775Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "KEY",
  "name": "KeyCorp",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Financial Services",
  "industry": "Banks - Regional",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.key.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 20.61,
  "previousClose": 20.25,
  "change": 0.36,
  "changePercent": 1.78,
  "open": 20.33,
  "high": 20.67,
  "low": 20.3,
  "volume": 15833400,
  "averageVolume": 17849810,
  "marketCap": 21993519497,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 24.07,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 16.47,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-26T20:06:46.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 12.052631,
  "eps": 1.71,
  "dividendYield": 0.03978651022398065,
  "beta": 1.023,
  "priceToSales": 2.9837909,
  "priceToBook": 1.2772683,
  "revenueTtm": 7370999808,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.1033
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 26.14,
  "macd": -0.49,
  "sma50": 22.12,
  "sma200": 21.62,
  "rsiSignal": "Oversold",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 59,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 25,
  "analystTarget": 25,
  "analystCount": 19,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-26T20:06:46.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 20.61,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 1.43,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 20.4,
  "aggressiveEntry": 20.61,
  "stopLoss": 19.73,
  "stopLossPercent": 3.3,
  "targets": [
   21.02,
   21.42,
   22.04
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 13.1,
    "base": 21.91,
    "upside90th": 36.66
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 11.25,
    "base": 23.29,
    "upside90th": 48.23
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 10.16,
    "base": 24.77,
    "upside90th": 60.38
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 9.41,
    "base": 26.33,
    "upside90th": 73.69
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 8.86,
    "base": 27.99,
    "upside90th": 88.46
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 8.44,
    "base": 29.76,
    "upside90th": 104.96
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 8.11,
    "base": 31.64,
    "upside90th": 123.44
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 7.85,
    "base": 33.64,
    "upside90th": 144.17
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 7.64,
    "base": 35.76,
    "upside90th": 167.42
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 7.47,
    "base": 38.02,
    "upside90th": 193.49
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "KEY Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$20.33",
    "Day Range": "$20.30 to $20.67",
    "Prev Close": "$20.25",
    "Volume": "15.83M",
    "52-Week Range": "$16.47 to $24.07",
    "Market Cap": "$21.99B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-27%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "KEY Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 2 quarters, KEY beat estimates 2 times. The stock rose 2 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "KEY Analysis",
   "text": [
    "KeyCorp's stock is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($22.12 and $21.62), indicating a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 26.14, firmly in oversold territory, suggesting a potential for a short-term bounce. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is at -0.49, also signaling bearish momentum. Volume has been below average recently, with 15.83 million shares traded compared to a 17.85 million average, suggesting a lack of strong conviction behind the current price action. Key support levels are not clearly defined due to the oversold RSI, but the current price of $20.61 is approaching historical lows relative to its moving averages. A move above the 50-day SMA would be the first indication of a potential trend reversal.",
    "Insiders have sold approximately $9.7 million worth of stock against only $151.8 thousand in purchases, indicating a moderate sell signal and potential lack of confidence in near-term price appreciation.",
    "The stock's RSI is at 26.14, indicating oversold conditions that often precede a price reversal or bounce, potentially offering a short-term trading opportunity.",
    "KeyCorp has a recent history of beating EPS estimates, including a 4.76% surprise in the quarter ending June 2026. This consistent performance could provide underlying support.",
    "KeyCorp's P/E and P/S ratios are below sector medians, suggesting its valuation may be attractive relative to peers, which could draw investor interest if market sentiment improves.",
    "The base case for KeyCorp over the next 6-12 months suggests a potential move towards its median analyst target price of $25, representing a 21.3% upside from the current $20.61. This outlook is supported by favorable valuation metrics compared to the regional banking sector and a history of earnings beats. The company's strong profit margins and minimal debt also provide a stable financial foundation. However, the outlook is tempered by bearish technical indicators, including prices below key moving averages and oversold RSI conditions that have not yet translated into a sustained upward trend. Significant insider selling also raises concerns about management's near-term confidence. A catalyst for upside could be a clear shift in insider sentiment or a broader market rally that lifts regional banks. Conversely, persistent weakness in the banking sector or further negative insider activity could pressure the stock towards its downside projection of $9.41."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor insider transaction trends closely; a shift from net selling to net buying could signal renewed management confidence.",
     "KeyCorp's oversold RSI suggests a potential for a short-term bounce, but confirmation requires breaking above the 50-day SMA at $22.12.",
     "Given the moderate insider selling signal, consider position sizing carefully and avoid over-allocating until a clear bullish trend emerges."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Moderate Insider Selling Signal",
     "text": "Insiders have sold approximately $9.7 million worth of stock against only $151.8 thousand in purchases, indicating a moderate sell signal and potential lack of confidence in near-term price appreciation.",
     "source": "Insider Transactions"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Oversold Technical Conditions",
     "text": "The stock's RSI is at 26.14, indicating oversold conditions that often precede a price reversal or bounce, potentially offering a short-term trading opportunity.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Earnings Beat Trend",
     "text": "KeyCorp has a recent history of beating EPS estimates, including a 4.76% surprise in the quarter ending June 2026. This consistent performance could provide underlying support.",
     "source": "Earnings Reports"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Favorable Sector Valuation",
     "text": "KeyCorp's P/E and P/S ratios are below sector medians, suggesting its valuation may be attractive relative to peers, which could draw investor interest if market sentiment improves.",
     "source": "Fundamental Analysis"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "KeyCorp's valuation appears attractive relative to its peers, with a P/E ratio of 12.05, which is below the sector median of 16.5. Its price-to-sales ratio of 2.98 is also lower than the sector average of 3.8, suggesting the stock may be undervalued on a sales basis. The company demonstrates a profit margin of 27.54% and an operating margin of 34.71%, indicating efficient operations. However, the return on equity stands at 10.33%, which is slightly below the sector median of 13.8. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is a very low 0.01, indicating a strong balance sheet with minimal leverage. While the valuation metrics are favorable, the slightly lower ROE compared to peers and the moderate insider selling signal warrant a cautious approach.",
    "KeyCorp recently reported earnings for the quarter ending June 2026, with an EPS of $0.44, beating the estimate of $0.42 by 4.76%. This followed a similar beat in the prior quarter, where EPS was $0.44 against an estimate of $0.41. The stock saw positive price reactions following both of these earnings reports. Revenue growth for the current quarter is estimated at +8.00% year-over-year, with full-year revenue growth projected at 7.00%.",
    "KeyCorp faces moderate selling pressure from insiders, with significant sales totaling $9.7 million, indicating a potential lack of confidence from management in the short term. The stock is trading in oversold territory according to its RSI, but its current price is below key moving averages, suggesting that the bearish technical trend may persist despite the oversold conditions. Also, the company's return on equity of 10.33% is slightly below the sector median, indicating potential room for operational improvement."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "21.99B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "12.05"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "1.71"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "3.98%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "24.07"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "16.47"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Oversold SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($22.12) above the 200-day SMA ($21.62), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 26.1 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Oversold",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "26.14"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-0.49"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "22.12"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "21.62"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.62",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.51",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.10",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.01"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "KEY Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (26.1) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$21.02",
    "TARGET 2": "$21.42",
    "TARGET 3": "$22.04",
    "STOP LOSS": "$19.73"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+3.32%",
    "Average Feb return": "-0.53%",
    "Average Mar return": "-10.10%",
    "Average Apr return": "+2.19%",
    "Average May return": "-1.37%",
    "Average Jun return": "+1.17%",
    "Average Jul return": "+4.38%",
    "Average Aug return": "+0.93%",
    "Average Sep return": "-0.44%",
    "Average Oct return": "+2.81%",
    "Average Nov return": "+8.65%",
    "Average Dec return": "+0.50%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "1.43%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in KEY in September 2016 would be worth about $17,161 today, compared with about $36,004 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in KEY today could grow to about $18,446 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $93,883 and a bear case around $3,624. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "KEY Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $26.33 for KEY by 2030 in the base case, from $20.61 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $9.41. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on KEY's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using KEY's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "KEY simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$13.10",
        "$21.91",
        "$36.66"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$11.25",
        "$23.29",
        "$48.23"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$10.16",
        "$24.77",
        "$60.38"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$9.41",
        "$26.33",
        "$73.69"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$8.86",
        "$27.99",
        "$88.46"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$8.44",
        "$29.76",
        "$105"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$8.11",
        "$31.64",
        "$123"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$7.85",
        "$33.64",
        "$144"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$7.64",
        "$35.76",
        "$167"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$7.47",
        "$38.02",
        "$193"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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    {
     "text": "ETOR eToro Group Ltd. Class A Common Shares NASDAQ $26.39 -1.57%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/etor-etoro-group/"
    },
    {
     "text": "ALL The Allstate Corporation NYSE $227.60 +0.19%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/allstate-all/"
    },
    {
     "text": "MTB M&T Bank Corporation NYSE $221.19 +1.16%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/mtb-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "WULF TeraWulf Inc. NASDAQ $15.74 -3.38%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/terawulf-wulf/"
    },
    {
     "text": "COIN Coinbase Global Inc. NASDAQ $195.11 -2.06%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/coinbase-coin/"
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    {
     "text": "PRU Prudential Financial, Inc. NYSE $119.45 +0.59%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/prudential-financial-pru/"
    },
    {
     "text": "SCHW The Charles Schwab Corporation NYSE $99.03 -0.46%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/charles-schwab-schw/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "KEY Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "$151.8K",
    "Sold": "$9.7M",
    "Insiders": "24",
    "Avg Transaction": "$617.6K"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in KEY",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Oct 22, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "MOONEY BETH E Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "437.7K",
        "$8.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 23, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "MOONEY BETH E Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "362.6K",
        "$6.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 24, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "GORMAN CHRISTOPHER M Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "222.7K",
        "$5.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 29, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "HARRIS PAUL N General Counsel",
        "Sell",
        "173.8K",
        "$3.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 26, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "GORMAN CHRISTOPHER M Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "101.9K",
        "$2.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 23, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "GORMAN CHRISTOPHER M Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "112.1K",
        "$2.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 25, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "PAINE ANDREW J III Officer",
        "Sell",
        "100.0K",
        "$1.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 22, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "BRADY AMY G Chief Technology Officer",
        "Sell",
        "66.5K",
        "$1.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 6, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "PAINE ANDREW J III Officer",
        "Sell",
        "66.0K",
        "$1.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jan 29, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "MAGO ANGELA G Officer",
        "Sell",
        "62.9K",
        "$1.4M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=KeyCorp&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is KeyCorp's stock price forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "KeyCorp's stock price forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, suggests a base case of $26.33, with a downside projection of $9.41 and an upside potential of $73.69. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is KeyCorp stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "KeyCorp is currently rated a 'Hold' with a consensus score of 59. While the median analyst target price of $25 suggests a 21.3% upside, the stock is trading below its key moving averages and exhibits moderate insider selling, warranting caution."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are KeyCorp's recent earnings results?",
   "answer": "KeyCorp most recently reported an EPS of $0.44 for the quarter ending June 2026, beating the analyst estimate of $0.42 by 4.76%. This continues a trend of positive earnings surprises, with the stock reacting favorably to recent reports."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does KeyCorp's valuation compare to the regional banking sector?",
   "answer": "KeyCorp's P/E ratio of 12.05 and price-to-sales ratio of 2.98 are both below the sector medians of 16.5 and 3.8, respectively, suggesting a potentially attractive valuation. However, its return on equity of 10.33% is slightly below the sector average of 13.8."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the technical outlook for KeyCorp stock?",
   "answer": "Technically, KeyCorp is in a bearish trend, trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($22.12 and $21.62). The RSI is in oversold territory at 26.14, indicating potential for a bounce, but volume has been below average, suggesting weak conviction."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the main risks facing KeyCorp?",
   "answer": "Key risks include moderate insider selling totaling $9.7 million, a bearish technical trend indicated by prices below key moving averages, and a return on equity that lags the sector median. These factors suggest potential headwinds despite favorable valuation metrics."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the consensus rating for KeyCorp among Wall Street analysts?",
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