{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/kdp-stock-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/kdp-stock-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Is Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) a Buy or Sell today? AI price target, coffee and refreshment margins, support levels and risk. Updated daily.",
 "headline": "Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP)",
 "published": "2026-09-06T09:27:38+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-09T23:46:45.926+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T20:41:09.879Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "KDP",
  "name": "Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Consumer Defensive",
  "industry": "Beverages - Non-Alcoholic",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.keurigdrpepper.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 31.46,
  "previousClose": 32.08,
  "change": -0.62,
  "changePercent": -1.93,
  "open": 32.25,
  "high": 32.25,
  "low": 31.435,
  "volume": 10092381,
  "averageVolume": 8667408,
  "marketCap": 43655302020,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 33.82,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 24.88,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-09T23:46:43.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 32.661613,
  "eps": 0.99,
  "dividendYield": 0.028678302602508095,
  "beta": 0.414,
  "priceToSales": 2.1902592,
  "priceToBook": 1.7578145,
  "revenueTtm": 20089999360,
  "grossMargin": 0.41948282938842524,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.051
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 59.7,
  "macd": 0.43,
  "sma50": 31.25,
  "sma200": 29.19,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Bullish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 75,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": 38,
  "analystTarget": 38,
  "analystCount": 18,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-09T23:46:43.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 31.46,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 1.71,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 30.83,
  "aggressiveEntry": 31.46,
  "stopLoss": 29.63,
  "stopLossPercent": 3.89,
  "targets": [
   32.37,
   33.91,
   35.46
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 16.15,
    "base": 30.64,
    "upside90th": 58.16
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 12.06,
    "base": 29.85,
    "upside90th": 73.87
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 9.58,
    "base": 29.07,
    "upside90th": 88.21
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 7.86,
    "base": 28.32,
    "upside90th": 102.02
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 6.58,
    "base": 27.58,
    "upside90th": 115.6
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 5.59,
    "base": 26.87,
    "upside90th": 129.1
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 4.8,
    "base": 26.17,
    "upside90th": 142.6
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 4.16,
    "base": 25.49,
    "upside90th": 156.15
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 3.63,
    "base": 24.83,
    "upside90th": 169.77
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 3.19,
    "base": 24.19,
    "upside90th": 183.49
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "KDP Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$32.25",
    "Day Range": "$31.44 to $32.25",
    "Prev Close": "$32.08",
    "Volume": "10.09M",
    "52-Week Range": "$24.88 to $33.82",
    "Market Cap": "$43.66B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+28%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "KDP Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Volume for Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) has increased by 4.6% compared to its average, suggesting growing investor interest. The stock is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($31.25 and $29.19), as well as its 20-day exponential moving average, indicating an overall bullish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 59.7, which is in neutral territory, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. The MACD is positive at 0.43, further supporting the current upward momentum. Key support levels are indicated by the moving averages, with the 50-day SMA at $31.25 and the 200-day SMA at $29.19.",
    "Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) reported 75.6% revenue growth, with current year estimates projecting a 58.00% increase, significantly outperforming sector averages and signaling strong market demand for its products.",
    "The median analyst price target for KDP is $38.00, representing an 18.5% upside from the current price, supported by a consensus 'Buy' rating from 18 analysts.",
    "KDP reported an EPS of $0.57, surpassing the analyst estimate of $0.54 by 5.56% in its latest earnings release, indicating operational efficiency.",
    "Insiders have sold a net $38.8 million more than they purchased in recent transactions, resulting in a 'Moderate Sell Signal' that warrants investor attention.",
    "The base case scenario for Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) anticipates continued growth, supported by strong revenue trends and a median analyst target price of $38.00, implying an 18.5% upside from the current price. The company's ability to sustain its exceptional revenue growth rate will be critical in justifying its premium valuation. Upside potential could be further enhanced by successful product innovation and market share gains within the non-alcoholic beverage sector. Conversely, a slowdown in revenue growth or increased competitive intensity could pressure the stock, especially given its current P/E ratio."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor insider selling activity closely; while currently a moderate sell signal, a significant acceleration could indicate waning management confidence.",
     "The stock is trading above key moving averages (50-day and 200-day SMA), suggesting positive technical momentum that could continue if support levels hold.",
     "Given the premium valuation (P/E of 32.66 vs. sector average of 25.5), investors should focus on the company's ability to consistently deliver its projected high revenue growth to justify the current stock price."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Strong Revenue Growth Exceeds Expectations",
     "text": "Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) reported 75.6% revenue growth, with current year estimates projecting a 58.00% increase, significantly outperforming sector averages and signaling strong market demand for its products.",
     "source": "Company Data"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets",
     "text": "The median analyst price target for KDP is $38.00, representing an 18.5% upside from the current price, supported by a consensus 'Buy' rating from 18 analysts.",
     "source": "Wall Street Summary"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Recent EPS Beat",
     "text": "KDP reported an EPS of $0.57, surpassing the analyst estimate of $0.54 by 5.56% in its latest earnings release, indicating operational efficiency.",
     "source": "Earnings Data"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Moderate Insider Selling Signal",
     "text": "Insiders have sold a net $38.8 million more than they purchased in recent transactions, resulting in a 'Moderate Sell Signal' that warrants investor attention.",
     "source": "Insider Summary"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) trades at a P/E ratio of 32.66, which is higher than the sector average of 25.5, suggesting a premium valuation. However, its reported revenue growth of 75.6% is exceptionally high and significantly exceeds the sector average of 10.0%. The company's earnings per share (EPS) is $0.99. While the P/E ratio is elevated, the extraordinary revenue growth may justify this premium. Further analysis of profit margins and balance sheet strength is recommended to fully assess the valuation in context.",
    "Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) recently reported an EPS of $0.57 for its latest quarter, beating the estimate of $0.54 by 5.56%, although the stock saw a 1.19% decrease on the news. Prior quarters show a mixed performance, including a significant beat in June 2026 where actual EPS of -$0.02 surpassed estimates of -$0.11 by 81.82%, followed by a 2.3% stock decline. The company's revenue growth trajectory remains strong, with current year estimates projecting a 58.00% increase.",
    "A primary risk for Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) is its elevated P/E ratio of 32.66 compared to the sector average of 25.5, indicating a potentially overvalued stock. Recent insider transactions reveal a net seller position, with significant sales totaling $39.8 million, signaling moderate caution from management. While revenue growth is exceptional, sustained profitability and the ability to maintain this growth rate against competitive pressures in the beverages sector are key factors to monitor."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "43.66B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "32.66"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "0.9900"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "2.87%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "33.82"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "24.88"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bullish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bullish MACD Bullish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($31.25) above the 200-day SMA ($29.19), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bullish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "59.70"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "0.43"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "31.25"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "29.19"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.10",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.02",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "-0.04",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.00"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "KDP Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (59.7) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$32.37",
    "TARGET 2": "$33.91",
    "TARGET 3": "$35.46",
    "STOP LOSS": "$29.63"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "1.71%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in KDP in September 2016 would be worth about $3,623 today, compared with about $35,913 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in KDP today could grow to about $7,688 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $58,324 and a bear case around $1,013. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "KDP Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $28.32 for KDP by 2030 in the base case, from $31.46 today (0.9x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $7.86. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on KDP's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using KDP's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "KDP simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$16.15",
        "$30.64",
        "$58.16"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$12.06",
        "$29.85",
        "$73.87"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$9.58",
        "$29.07",
        "$88.21"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$7.86",
        "$28.32",
        "$102"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$6.58",
        "$27.58",
        "$116"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$5.59",
        "$26.87",
        "$129"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$4.80",
        "$26.17",
        "$143"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$4.16",
        "$25.49",
        "$156"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$3.63",
        "$24.83",
        "$170"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$3.19",
        "$24.19",
        "$183"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
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  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "KDP Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "$1.0M",
    "Sold": "$39.8M",
    "Insiders": "15",
    "Avg Transaction": "$2.0M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in KDP",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Feb 26, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "JAB BEVCO B.V. Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "84.0M",
        "$2.7B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 30, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "JAB BEVCO B.V. Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "69.0M",
        "$2.3B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 5, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "JAB BEVCO B.V. Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "52.0M",
        "$1.5B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 17, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "MAPLE HOLDINGS BV Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "52.9M",
        "$1.5B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 17, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "JAB HOLDINGS B V Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "45.0M",
        "$1.3B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 17, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "MAPLE HOLDINGS BV Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "45.0M",
        "$1.3B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 17, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "MONDELEZ INTERNATIONAL INC Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "40.0M",
        "$1.1B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 20, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "JAB HOLDINGS B V Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "40.0M",
        "$1.1B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 20, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "MAPLE HOLDINGS BV Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "40.0M",
        "$1.1B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 27, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "MONDELEZ INTERNATIONAL INC Director",
        "Sell",
        "30.0M",
        "$1.0B"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Keurig+Dr+Pepper+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.'s consensus rating and score?",
   "answer": "Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) currently holds a 'Buy' consensus rating with a consensus score of 75 out of 100, based on the analysis of Wall Street analysts."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the median analyst price target for KDP stock?",
   "answer": "The median analyst price target for Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) is $38.00, suggesting an upside of 18.5% from the current price of $32.08."
  },
  {
   "question": "How is KDP's revenue growth compared to its sector?",
   "answer": "Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) is demonstrating exceptional revenue growth, with current year estimates showing a 58.00% increase year-over-year, significantly outpacing the Consumer Defensive sector average of 10.00%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What do recent insider transactions indicate for KDP?",
   "answer": "Recent insider activity for Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) shows a net seller position, with total sales of $39.8 million against $1 million in purchases, resulting in a 'Moderate Sell Signal'."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is KDP stock technically bullish or bearish?",
   "answer": "Technically, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) exhibits bullish momentum, trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($31.25 and $29.19) with positive MACD and neutral RSI, supported by increased trading volume."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the long-term outlook for KDP based on Monte Carlo simulations?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations for 2030, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) has a base case projection of $28.88, a downside projection of $8.02, and an upside projection of $104.03. These are simulation outcomes, not guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does KDP's valuation compare to its sector?",
   "answer": "Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) trades at a P/E ratio of 32.66, which is higher than the sector average of 25.5, indicating a premium valuation that is supported by its exceptionally high revenue growth."
  }
 ],
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    "price": "$26.63",
    "change": "-3.65%",
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