{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/joby-stock-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/joby-stock-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "Joby Aviation (JOBY) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY) stock: Industrials, Airports & Air Services. $6.3B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY)",
 "published": "2026-07-20T09:55:01+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-12T20:26:22.662+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-12T22:00:10.979Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "JOBY",
  "name": "Joby Aviation, Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Industrials",
  "industry": "Airports & Air Services",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.jobyaviation.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 6.39,
  "previousClose": 6.31,
  "change": 0.08,
  "changePercent": 1.27,
  "open": 6.31,
  "high": 6.47,
  "low": 6.24,
  "volume": 32716800,
  "averageVolume": 27414110,
  "marketCap": 6320503874,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 19.98,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 6.24,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-12T20:26:22.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": -5.6515043815680315,
  "eps": -0.98,
  "dividendYield": 0,
  "beta": 2.683,
  "priceToSales": 54.609894,
  "priceToBook": 3.5678391,
  "revenueTtm": 116295000,
  "grossMargin": 0.26763114987447917,
  "returnOnEquity": -0.65902
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 20.62,
  "macd": -0.37,
  "sma50": 7.5,
  "sma200": 10.21,
  "rsiSignal": "Oversold",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 50,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 11.5,
  "analystTarget": 11.5,
  "analystCount": 11,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-12T20:26:22.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 6.39,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 3.32,
   "risk": "volatile"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 6.33,
  "aggressiveEntry": 6.39,
  "stopLoss": 5.94,
  "stopLossPercent": 6.08,
  "targets": [
   6.52,
   6.64,
   6.83
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 3.31,
    "base": 6.28,
    "upside90th": 11.92
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 2.49,
    "base": 6.17,
    "upside90th": 15.28
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 2,
    "base": 6.07,
    "upside90th": 18.41
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 1.66,
    "base": 5.97,
    "upside90th": 21.49
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 1.4,
    "base": 5.86,
    "upside90th": 24.57
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 1.2,
    "base": 5.76,
    "upside90th": 27.69
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 1.04,
    "base": 5.67,
    "upside90th": 30.87
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 0.91,
    "base": 5.57,
    "upside90th": 34.11
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 0.8,
    "base": 5.47,
    "upside90th": 37.42
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 0.71,
    "base": 5.38,
    "upside90th": 40.82
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "JOBY Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$6.31",
    "Day Range": "$6.24 to $6.47",
    "Prev Close": "$6.31",
    "Volume": "32.72M",
    "52-Week Range": "$6.24 to $19.98",
    "Market Cap": "$6.32B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, JOBY trades at 54.61x, far above the sector average of 4.00x."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "JOBY Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, JOBY beat estimates 1 times. The stock rose 1 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "JOBY Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Joby Aviation (JOBY) is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($7.50 and $10.21), signaling a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 20.62, indicating the stock is oversold and may be due for a bounce. The MACD is also negative at -0.37, suggesting bearish momentum. Key support levels are not clearly defined given the limited trading history and current downtrend, but the current price of $6.39 is approaching the lower end of its recent trading range. Volume has been above average recently, suggesting increased investor interest, though this has not yet translated into a sustained upward price movement. The oversold RSI suggests a potential short-term reversal could be imminent if buying pressure increases.",
    "Insiders have purchased $330 million worth of stock against $100.5 million in sales, indicating strong confidence, with Toyota Motor Corp. being a major participant.",
    "The median analyst price target for Joby Aviation (JOBY) is $11.50, representing an 80% upside potential from the current stock price of $6.39.",
    "The RSI is at 20.62, suggesting the stock is oversold and may be due for a technical bounce or reversal.",
    "Joby Aviation (JOBY) is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($7.50 and $10.21), indicating a bearish technical trend.",
    "The company recently missed EPS estimates, highlighting ongoing profitability challenges, although revenue growth remains a strong point.",
    "Joby Aviation (JOBY) is expected to continue its focus on scaling production and achieving certification for its eVTOL aircraft over the next 6-12 months. The base case scenario anticipates a gradual recovery in stock price, potentially moving towards the median analyst target price of $11.50, driven by progress in its commercialization roadmap and continued strong revenue growth. Upside catalysts include successful flight demonstrations, securing key regulatory approvals, and landing significant pre-order commitments or partnerships. Conversely, delays in certification, higher-than-expected cash burn, or intensified competition could pressure the stock lower, potentially testing the lower end of analyst price targets and long-range projections."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "an insider's substantial insider buying, led by Toyota Motor Corp., signals strong conviction from key stakeholders in the company's long-term vision.",
     "Given the oversold technical conditions and the stock trading below key moving averages, investors may consider waiting for confirmation of a trend reversal before initiating or increasing positions.",
     "The company's focus on electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) technology places it in a high-growth sector, but investors should remain aware of the significant capital requirements and regulatory hurdles inherent in this industry."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Significant Insider Buying Activity",
     "text": "Insiders have purchased $330 million worth of stock against $100.5 million in sales, indicating strong confidence, with Toyota Motor Corp. being a major participant.",
     "source": "Insider Trading Data"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Positive Analyst Price Target Upside",
     "text": "The median analyst price target for Joby Aviation (JOBY) is $11.50, representing an 80% upside potential from the current stock price of $6.39.",
     "source": "Wall Street Analysts"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Oversold Technical Conditions",
     "text": "The RSI is at 20.62, suggesting the stock is oversold and may be due for a technical bounce or reversal.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Trading Below Key Moving Averages",
     "text": "Joby Aviation (JOBY) is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($7.50 and $10.21), indicating a bearish technical trend.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Mixed Earnings Performance",
     "text": "The company recently missed EPS estimates, highlighting ongoing profitability challenges, although revenue growth remains a strong point.",
     "source": "Earnings Reports"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Joby Aviation (JOBY) exhibits a negative P/E ratio due to its current net loss of -$0.98 per share, making traditional valuation metrics difficult to apply. The company's reported revenue growth of 257,493.3% is exceptionally high, reflecting its early-stage development and scaling efforts, but it is not yet profitable. Its balance sheet strength is supported by significant insider investment, with Toyota Motor Corp. injecting substantial capital. Compared to the Industrials sector averages, Joby Aviation's revenue growth is vastly superior, but its profitability metrics (P/E, ROE) are not comparable due to its developmental stage. The company's focus on eVTOL technology positions it in a high-growth industry, but the path to profitability remains a significant factor for future valuation.",
    "Joby Aviation (JOBY) most recently reported an EPS of -$0.25 for the quarter ending August 5, 2026, missing the estimate of -$0.23 by 8.7%. This followed a beat in the prior quarter where EPS was -$0.12 against an estimate of -$0.21. The company has shown a mixed pattern of earnings surprises, with two misses and two beats in the last four reported quarters. Despite the EPS misses, the stock saw a positive price reaction of 5.51% following the latest earnings report, suggesting that revenue growth and future outlook may be outweighing current profitability concerns.",
    "Joby Aviation (JOBY) faces significant risks related to its early-stage development and the capital-intensive nature of the eVTOL industry. The company's current negative EPS and substantial revenue growth figures, while promising for the future, highlight ongoing operational losses and a lack of profitability. Competition from other aerospace and technology companies entering the eVTOL space also presents a considerable challenge to market share and long-term success."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "6.32B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "N/A (Negative EPS)"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "-0.9800"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.00%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "19.98"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "6.24"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Oversold SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $7.503, 200-day: $10.21), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 20.6 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Oversold",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "20.62"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-0.37"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "7.50"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "10.21"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.44",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.45",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.48",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.17"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "JOBY Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (20.6) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$6.516",
    "TARGET 2": "$6.642",
    "TARGET 3": "$6.832",
    "STOP LOSS": "$5.941"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "-7.57%",
    "Average Feb return": "+0.69%",
    "Average Mar return": "-2.71%",
    "Average Apr return": "-0.29%",
    "Average May return": "+13.95%",
    "Average Jun return": "+13.72%",
    "Average Jul return": "+12.31%",
    "Average Aug return": "-1.74%",
    "Average Sep return": "-5.49%",
    "Average Oct return": "-2.00%",
    "Average Nov return": "+10.20%",
    "Average Dec return": "-2.27%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "3.32%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in JOBY in November 2020 would be worth about $6,086 today, compared with about $21,556 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in JOBY today could grow to about $8,420 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $63,876 and a bear case around $1,110. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "JOBY Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $5.97 for JOBY by 2030 in the base case, from $6.39 today (0.9x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $1.66. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on JOBY's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using JOBY's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "JOBY simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$3.31",
        "$6.28",
        "$11.92"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$2.49",
        "$6.17",
        "$15.28"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$2.00",
        "$6.07",
        "$18.41"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$1.66",
        "$5.97",
        "$21.49"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$1.40",
        "$5.86",
        "$24.57"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$1.20",
        "$5.76",
        "$27.69"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$1.04",
        "$5.67",
        "$30.87"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$0.9091",
        "$5.57",
        "$34.11"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$0.8005",
        "$5.47",
        "$37.42"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$0.7092",
        "$5.38",
        "$40.82"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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    },
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/nano-nuclear-nne/"
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/lite-vs-cohr/"
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  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "JOBY Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "$330.0M",
    "Sold": "$100.5M",
    "Insiders": "17",
    "Avg Transaction": "$3.1M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in JOBY",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Jun 21, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "BEVIRT JOEBEN Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "2.2M",
        "$16.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 29, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "BEVIRT JOEBEN Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "1.2M",
        "$12.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 2, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "BEVIRT JOEBEN Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "458.3K",
        "$7.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 25, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "SCIARRA PAUL CAHILL Director",
        "Sell",
        "500.0K",
        "$7.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 15, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "SCIARRA PAUL CAHILL Director",
        "Sell",
        "500.0K",
        "$7.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 14, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "SCIARRA PAUL CAHILL Director",
        "Sell",
        "500.0K",
        "$6.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 17, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "BEVIRT JOEBEN Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "585.3K",
        "$5.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 10, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "BEVIRT JOEBEN Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "508.8K",
        "$5.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 28, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "SCIARRA PAUL CAHILL Director",
        "Sell",
        "416.7K",
        "$5.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 2, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "BEVIRT JOEBEN Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "504.3K",
        "$5.0M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Joby+Aviation%2C+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Joby Aviation's current stock price and rating?",
   "answer": "As of September 12, 2026, Joby Aviation (JOBY) is trading at $6.39 per share. The consensus rating among analysts is 'Hold', with a consensus score of 50 out of 100."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is Joby Aviation stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Joby Aviation (JOBY) is currently rated 'Hold' by analysts. While the stock is trading below its key moving averages and shows oversold technicals, significant insider buying and a median analyst price target of $11.50 suggest potential upside."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is Joby Aviation's stock price prediction for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Joby Aviation's (JOBY) projected stock price for 2030 is $5.97 as a base case, with a downside projection of $1.66 and an upside projection of $21.49. These are statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical indicators for Joby Aviation stock?",
   "answer": "Joby Aviation (JOBY) exhibits oversold technical conditions with an RSI at 20.6 and is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($7.50 and $10.21), indicating bearish momentum."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has Joby Aviation performed in recent earnings reports?",
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      "text": "Joby Aviation (JOBY) faces risks including its early-stage development, capital-intensive operations leading to ongoing losses, and intense competition within the burgeoning eVTOL market."
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 ]
}