{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/ibm-international-business-machines/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/ibm-international-business-machines/data.json",
 "title": "International (IBM) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Is IBM a Buy? Get daily AI trade plans. Analysis of Enterprise AI growth, dividend safety, and key support levels for this high-yield tech stock.",
 "headline": "International Business Machines Corporation (IBM)",
 "published": "2026-01-28T21:05:56+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-27T08:06:32.158+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T14:22:46.092Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "IBM",
  "name": "International Business Machines Corporation",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Technology",
  "industry": "Information Technology Services",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.ibm.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 225.51,
  "previousClose": 227.06,
  "change": -1.55,
  "changePercent": -0.68,
  "open": 226.14999,
  "high": 228.99001,
  "low": 225.19,
  "volume": 4143500,
  "averageVolume": 6279720,
  "marketCap": 212460716867,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 332.45999,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 199.19,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-27T08:06:32.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 20.045332,
  "eps": 11.25,
  "dividendYield": 0.029981815600306487,
  "beta": 0.708,
  "priceToSales": 3.0749073,
  "priceToBook": 6.166867,
  "revenueTtm": 69094998016,
  "grossMargin": 0.5772637221769025,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.34460998
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 42.59,
  "macd": -1.7,
  "sma50": 230.66,
  "sma200": 257.71,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 59,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 245,
  "analystTarget": 245,
  "analystCount": 25,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-27T08:06:32.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 225.50999,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 2.06,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 223.25,
  "aggressiveEntry": 225.51,
  "stopLoss": 216.36,
  "stopLossPercent": 3.09,
  "targets": [
   229.95,
   234.42,
   241.12
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 164.55,
    "base": 238.05,
    "upside90th": 344.37
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 149.06,
    "base": 251.28,
    "upside90th": 423.59
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 139.93,
    "base": 265.25,
    "upside90th": 502.81
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 133.79,
    "base": 279.99,
    "upside90th": 585.96
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 129.44,
    "base": 295.56,
    "upside90th": 674.87
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 126.28,
    "base": 311.99,
    "upside90th": 770.8
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 123.98,
    "base": 329.33,
    "upside90th": 874.8
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 122.34,
    "base": 347.64,
    "upside90th": 987.87
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 121.21,
    "base": 366.97,
    "upside90th": 1110.98
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 120.51,
    "base": 387.36,
    "upside90th": 1245.16
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "IBM Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$226.15",
    "Day Range": "$225.19 to $228.99",
    "Prev Close": "$227.06",
    "Volume": "4.14M",
    "52-Week Range": "$199.19 to $332.46",
    "Market Cap": "$212.46B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-41%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "IBM Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, IBM beat estimates 4 times. The stock rose 3 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "IBM Analysis",
   "text": [
    "International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($230.66 and $257.71), signaling a bearish trend. The 50-day SMA is at $230.66 and the 200-day SMA is at $257.71, both acting as resistance levels. The RSI is at 42.59, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD is negative at -1.70, suggesting downward pressure. Volume on the latest trading day was 4,143,500, which is 34% below the average volume of 6,279,720. This lower volume suggests a lack of strong conviction behind the current price action. The current price of $225.51 is below recent moving averages, indicating potential for further downside if these resistance levels are not overcome.",
    "Insiders have sold $5.8 million worth of stock against $417,200 in purchases, indicating a 'Moderate Sell Signal' that could weigh on short-term price action.",
    "IBM is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($230.66 and $257.71), suggesting bearish short-term momentum and potential resistance at these levels.",
    "With 10 out of 25 analysts rating IBM as 'Hold', the market sentiment is balanced, with no strong conviction for significant near-term price movement.",
    "IBM's revenue growth of 1.1% lags significantly behind the technology sector median of 24.1%, indicating a challenge in expanding its top line relative to peers.",
    "International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) faces a neutral to slightly bearish outlook in the near term, with its price trading below key moving averages and facing resistance at its 50-day ($230.66) and 200-day ($257.71) SMAs. The median analyst price target of $245.00 suggests a modest 8.6% upside, aligning with a 'Hold' consensus rating. The company's strong return on equity and profit margins are positives, but sluggish revenue growth of 1.1% compared to the sector median of 24.1% presents a headwind. Future performance will likely depend on IBM's ability to accelerate revenue growth and capitalize on its technological strengths in areas like hybrid cloud and AI. Potential catalysts include successful new product launches or strategic partnerships that could drive top-line expansion. Conversely, continued underperformance relative to sector peers or increasing competitive pressures could lead to downside, pushing the stock towards its lower support levels."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Consider the moderate insider selling signal as a cautionary indicator, suggesting a lack of strong conviction from management in the immediate future.",
     "Monitor IBM's ability to accelerate revenue growth to close the gap with its technology sector peers, as this is a key factor for future stock appreciation.",
     "Given the stock's position below key moving averages, risk-averse investors may want to wait for a confirmed break above resistance levels before initiating or adding to positions."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Moderate Insider Selling Trend",
     "text": "Insiders have sold $5.8 million worth of stock against $417,200 in purchases, indicating a 'Moderate Sell Signal' that could weigh on short-term price action.",
     "source": "Insider Transactions"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Trading Below Key Moving Averages",
     "text": "IBM is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($230.66 and $257.71), suggesting bearish short-term momentum and potential resistance at these levels.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Analyst Consensus Remains 'Hold'",
     "text": "With 10 out of 25 analysts rating IBM as 'Hold', the market sentiment is balanced, with no strong conviction for significant near-term price movement.",
     "source": "Wall Street Consensus"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Modest Revenue Growth",
     "text": "IBM's revenue growth of 1.1% lags significantly behind the technology sector median of 24.1%, indicating a challenge in expanding its top line relative to peers.",
     "source": "Fundamental Analysis"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) exhibits a mixed fundamental picture, with a price-to-sales ratio of 3.07 that is notably lower than the sector median of 7.5, suggesting potential undervaluation on a sales basis. However, its debt-to-equity ratio of 1.89 aligns with the sector median, while its return on equity at 34.46% significantly outperforms the sector average of 13.4%, indicating strong profitability from its equity base. The company's profit margin of 15.52% and operating margin of 16.55% are strong, yet its revenue growth of 1.1% is considerably lower than the sector's median growth of 24.1%. This suggests that while IBM is efficient in converting sales to profit, its top-line expansion is lagging behind industry peers, which could temper future growth prospects.",
    "International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) most recently reported earnings for the quarter ending September 2026, with an actual EPS of $0.21, beating the estimated $0.17 by 23.53%, leading to a slight price increase of 0.13%. Prior to this, the company met estimates for the quarter ending June 2026 with an EPS of $2.93, resulting in a 0.43% price change. The company has shown a pattern of meeting or beating earnings estimates in recent quarters, with a notable positive price reaction in the quarter ending March 2026, despite a small miss on EPS.",
    "International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) faces moderate selling pressure from insiders, with total sales of $5.8 million against $417,200 in purchases, indicating a 'Moderate Sell Signal'. The company's revenue growth of 1.1% significantly trails the technology sector's median of 24.1%, posing a risk to its long-term expansion potential. Also, the stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($230.66 and $257.71), suggesting potential for continued downward price momentum."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "212.46B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "20.05"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "11.25"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "2.99%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "332.46"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "199.19"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $230.66, 200-day: $257.71), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "42.59"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-1.70"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "230.66"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "257.71"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.30",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.23",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.08",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "-0.01"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "IBM Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (42.6) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$229.95",
    "TARGET 2": "$234.42",
    "TARGET 3": "$241.12",
    "STOP LOSS": "$216.36"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+5.80%",
    "Average Feb return": "-5.20%",
    "Average Mar return": "+0.13%",
    "Average Apr return": "-1.13%",
    "Average May return": "+2.98%",
    "Average Jun return": "+1.35%",
    "Average Jul return": "-2.24%",
    "Average Aug return": "-0.28%",
    "Average Sep return": "+2.40%",
    "Average Oct return": "-3.13%",
    "Average Nov return": "+4.54%",
    "Average Dec return": "+0.10%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "2.06%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in IBM in September 2016 would be worth about $15,046 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in IBM today could grow to about $17,177 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $55,215 and a bear case around $5,344. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "IBM Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $280 for IBM by 2030 in the base case, from $226 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $134. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on IBM's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using IBM's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "IBM simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$165",
        "$238",
        "$344"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$149",
        "$251",
        "$424"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$140",
        "$265",
        "$503"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$134",
        "$280",
        "$586"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$129",
        "$296",
        "$675"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$126",
        "$312",
        "$771"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$124",
        "$329",
        "$875"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$122",
        "$348",
        "$988"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$121",
        "$367",
        "$1,111"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$121",
        "$387",
        "$1,245"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/pagaya-technologies-pgy/"
    },
    {
     "text": "AXTI AXT Inc. NASDAQ $78.94 +4.01%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/axti-axt-inc/"
    },
    {
     "text": "SAP SAP SE Sponsored NYSE $210.68 +0.75%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/sap-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "PRGS Progress Software Corp. NASDAQ $39.34 -2.21%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/prgs-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "CIFR Cipher Mining Inc. NASDAQ $17.73 -2.04%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/cifr-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "MDB MongoDB, Inc. NASDAQ $410.44 -2.60%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/mongodb-mdb/"
    },
    {
     "text": "APH Amphenol Corp NYSE $84.09 +1.22%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/aph-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "ONDS Ondas Inc. NASDAQ $7.64 +0.53%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/ondas-holdings-onds/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "UNH vs CI Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/unh-vs-ci/"
    },
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/ionq-vs-qbts/"
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/avgo-vs-nvda/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "IBM Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "$417.2K",
    "Sold": "$5.8M",
    "Insiders": "10",
    "Avg Transaction": "$1.5M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in IBM",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Mar 3, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "THOMAS ROBERT DAVID Officer",
        "Sell",
        "26.5K",
        "$6.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 26, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "THOMAS ROBERT DAVID Officer",
        "Sell",
        "25.0K",
        "$5.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 1, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "KAVANAUGH JAMES J. Chief Financial Officer",
        "Sell",
        "38.5K",
        "$5.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 23, 2018",
       "cells": [
        "CLEMENTI ERICH Officer",
        "Sell",
        "13.0K",
        "$2.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 1, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "BROWDY MICHELLE H Officer",
        "Sell",
        "9.8K",
        "$1.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 1, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "CLEMENTI ERICH Officer",
        "Sell",
        "13.0K",
        "$1.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 3, 2018",
       "cells": [
        "GHERSON DIANE J Officer",
        "Sell",
        "11.5K",
        "$1.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 13, 2017",
       "cells": [
        "GHERSON DIANE J Officer",
        "Sell",
        "5.0K",
        "$895.9K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 6, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "GHERSON DIANE J Officer",
        "Sell",
        "5.8K",
        "$780.6K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 26, 2018",
       "cells": [
        "GHERSON DIANE J Officer",
        "Sell",
        "5.0K",
        "$780.0K"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=International+Business+Machines+Corporation&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is IBM's stock price prediction for 2030?",
   "answer": "IBM's stock price projection for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, indicates a base case of $279.99, with a downside projection of $133.79 and an upside projection of $585.96. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is IBM stock a buy or sell right now?",
   "answer": "IBM is currently rated as a 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 59 out of 100. While the median analyst price target suggests an 8.6% upside, insider transactions show a moderate selling signal, and the stock is trading below key moving averages."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are IBM's key technical levels?",
   "answer": "IBM is currently trading at $225.51, below its 50-day SMA of $230.66 and its 200-day SMA of $257.71. These moving averages are currently acting as resistance levels, while the RSI is neutral at 42.59, indicating no immediate overbought or oversold conditions."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does IBM's valuation compare to its sector peers?",
   "answer": "IBM's price-to-sales ratio of 3.07 is below the technology sector median of 7.5. However, its debt-to-equity ratio of 1.89 is in line with the sector median, and its return on equity of 34.46% significantly exceeds the sector average of 13.4%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the recent insider trading activity for IBM?",
   "answer": "Insider transactions for IBM indicate a 'Moderate Sell Signal', with total sales amounting to $5.8 million compared to $417,200 in purchases in recent filings. This suggests a net selling trend among insiders."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is IBM's revenue growth outlook?",
   "answer": "IBM's revenue growth is projected to be 3.00% for the current quarter and 4.00% for the next quarter and year. While this shows modest top-line expansion, it lags significantly behind the technology sector's median revenue growth of 24.1%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the consensus rating for IBM stock?",
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}