{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/hwm-stock-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/hwm-stock-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "Howmet Aerospace (HWM) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) stock: Industrials, Aerospace & Defense. $91.6B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM)",
 "published": "2026-07-18T09:48:36+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-12T13:56:21.962+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-12T21:58:51.831Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "HWM",
  "name": "Howmet Aerospace Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Industrials",
  "industry": "Aerospace & Defense",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.howmet.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 229.61,
  "previousClose": 227.91,
  "change": 1.7,
  "changePercent": 0.75,
  "open": 231.72,
  "high": 232.36,
  "low": 227.73,
  "volume": 3730900,
  "averageVolume": 5207500,
  "marketCap": 91568789224,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 310,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 170.81,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-12T13:56:19.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 49.22462,
  "eps": 4.63,
  "dividendYield": 0.0024396620039189975,
  "beta": 1.186,
  "priceToSales": 9.969379,
  "priceToBook": 15.904397,
  "revenueTtm": 9116999680,
  "grossMargin": 0.37338044758539457,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.34732
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 27.79,
  "macd": -12.06,
  "sma50": 272.31,
  "sma200": 246.15,
  "rsiSignal": "Oversold",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Sell",
  "score": 21,
  "consensus": "Sell",
  "fairValue": 229.61,
  "analystTarget": 340,
  "analystCount": 22,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-12T13:56:19.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 229.61,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 2.91,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bearish",
  "conservativeEntry": 234.2,
  "aggressiveEntry": 229.61,
  "stopLoss": 245.44,
  "stopLossPercent": 4.8,
  "targets": [
   222.49,
   210.78,
   199.07
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 158.54,
    "base": 265.09,
    "upside90th": 443.27
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 147.93,
    "base": 306.06,
    "upside90th": 633.22
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 145.04,
    "base": 353.36,
    "upside90th": 860.85
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 145.91,
    "base": 407.96,
    "upside90th": 1140.67
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 149.2,
    "base": 471,
    "upside90th": 1486.87
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 154.36,
    "base": 543.79,
    "upside90th": 1915.71
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 161.11,
    "base": 627.83,
    "upside90th": 2446.56
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 169.33,
    "base": 724.85,
    "upside90th": 3102.76
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 179,
    "base": 836.86,
    "upside90th": 3912.58
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 190.12,
    "base": 966.18,
    "upside90th": 4910.22
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "HWM Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$231.72",
    "Day Range": "$227.73 to $232.36",
    "Prev Close": "$227.91",
    "Volume": "3.73M",
    "52-Week Range": "$170.81 to $310.00",
    "Market Cap": "$91.57B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+45%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "HWM Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, HWM beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often \"priced in\" or investors are selling the news."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "HWM Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Howmet Aerospace Inc. is currently trading below its 50-day SMA of $272.31 and its 200-day SMA of $246.15, indicating a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 27.79, signaling an oversold condition, which could suggest a potential short-term bounce. However, the MACD is at -12.06, below its signal line, reinforcing the bearish momentum. Key support is near the 200-day SMA, while resistance lies at the 50-day SMA. Volume has been below average recently, suggesting a lack of conviction behind the current price action.",
    "Insiders have sold $155.8 million in stock with no reported purchases, indicating a strong bearish signal from management regarding the company's current valuation and future prospects.",
    "The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($272.31 and $246.15), with a bearish MACD and oversold RSI, suggesting potential for further downside.",
    "Howmet Aerospace reported a revenue growth of 24.1%, significantly outpacing the sector average of 11.7%, which could support future earnings if sustained.",
    "The median analyst price target of $340.00 suggests an upside potential of 48.1% from the current price, indicating analyst confidence in future performance.",
    "The base case outlook for Howmet Aerospace Inc. over the next 6-12 months is cautious, given the significant insider selling and bearish technical indicators. Despite a Wall Street median price target of $340.00, implying substantial upside, the current price action below key moving averages and an elevated P/E ratio present headwinds. The strong revenue growth of 24.1% is a positive fundamental aspect, but it is overshadowed by the negative sentiment signaled by heavy insider dispositions. Potential catalysts for upside could include a significant contract win or a positive shift in insider sentiment. Conversely, continued insider selling, a failure to break above the 50-day SMA, or broader aerospace sector headwinds could pressure the stock lower, potentially testing the 200-day SMA and beyond."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Given the heavy insider selling totaling over $155 million, investors should closely monitor any further transactions and consider the implications for management's confidence in the current valuation.",
     "The stock is currently oversold according to the RSI, which may present a short-term trading opportunity, but the bearish trend below the 50-day and 200-day SMAs suggests caution for longer-term positions.",
     "With a P/E ratio of 49.22, significantly above the sector median of 34.0, investors should assess whether the company's strong revenue growth justifies the premium valuation, especially in light of insider selling."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Heavy Insider Selling Pressure",
     "text": "Insiders have sold $155.8 million in stock with no reported purchases, indicating a strong bearish signal from management regarding the company's current valuation and future prospects.",
     "source": "Insider Transactions"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Bearish Technical Setup",
     "text": "The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($272.31 and $246.15), with a bearish MACD and oversold RSI, suggesting potential for further downside.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Strong Revenue Growth",
     "text": "Howmet Aerospace reported a revenue growth of 24.1%, significantly outpacing the sector average of 11.7%, which could support future earnings if sustained.",
     "source": "Fundamental Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Wall Street Price Target Upside",
     "text": "The median analyst price target of $340.00 suggests an upside potential of 48.1% from the current price, indicating analyst confidence in future performance.",
     "source": "Wall Street Consensus"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "With a P/E ratio of 49.22, Howmet Aerospace trades at a premium compared to the sector median P/E of 34.0. The company reported a revenue growth of 24.1%, significantly above the sector average of 11.7%. However, the heavy insider selling, with $155.8 million in dispositions and no purchases, raises concerns about management's confidence in the company's valuation and future prospects. While the company's revenue growth is strong, the high P/E ratio coupled with significant insider selling suggests that the stock may be overvalued.",
    "Howmet Aerospace Inc. has demonstrated mixed earnings performance recently. The most recent quarter ending August 6, 2026, saw an EPS of $1.33, beating the estimate of $1.25 by 6.4%, though the stock price declined by 2.71%. The prior quarter also beat estimates but resulted in a price drop. Prior to that, the company missed estimates in November 2025, leading to a 2.86% price decrease. This pattern of earnings beats not translating into sustained positive price action, coupled with recent misses, suggests that market expectations may be high or that other factors are weighing on the stock.",
    "The primary risk for Howmet Aerospace Inc. stems from the heavy insider selling from insider transactions, with over $155 million in stock sold and no purchases, indicating a lack of confidence from management. Additionally, the stock is trading below key moving averages (50-day and 200-day SMAs), suggesting bearish technical momentum. The current P/E ratio of 49.22 is also significantly higher than the sector median, raising concerns about valuation stretch."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "91.57B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "49.22"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "4.63"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.22%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "310.00"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "170.81"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Oversold SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($272.31) above the 200-day SMA ($246.15), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 27.8 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Oversold",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "27.79"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-12.06"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "272.31"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "246.15"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.56",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.49",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.09",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.12"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "HWM Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for rally",
    "Higher risk, chasing the move",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (27.8) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$222.49",
    "TARGET 2": "$210.78",
    "TARGET 3": "$199.07",
    "STOP LOSS": "$245.44"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+3.25%",
    "Average Feb return": "+7.30%",
    "Average Mar return": "-5.25%",
    "Average Apr return": "-0.14%",
    "Average May return": "+6.93%",
    "Average Jun return": "+1.48%",
    "Average Jul return": "+7.69%",
    "Average Aug return": "+1.61%",
    "Average Sep return": "-0.81%",
    "Average Oct return": "+0.17%",
    "Average Nov return": "+7.12%",
    "Average Dec return": "+2.25%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "2.91%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in HWM in November 2016 would be worth about $121,358 today, compared with about $36,221 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in HWM today could grow to about $42,079 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $213,851 and a bear case around $8,280. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "HWM Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $408 for HWM by 2030 in the base case, from $230 today (1.8x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $146. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on HWM's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using HWM's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "HWM simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$159",
        "$265",
        "$443"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$148",
        "$306",
        "$633"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$145",
        "$353",
        "$861"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$146",
        "$408",
        "$1,141"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$149",
        "$471",
        "$1,487"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$154",
        "$544",
        "$1,916"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$161",
        "$628",
        "$2,447"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$169",
        "$725",
        "$3,103"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$179",
        "$837",
        "$3,913"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$190",
        "$966",
        "$4,910"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
   "links": [
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/ferg-ferguson-enterprises/"
    },
    {
     "text": "PPSI Pioneer Power Solutions Inc. NASDAQ $3.03 +2.02%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/pioneer-power-solutions-ppsi/"
    },
    {
     "text": "RSG Republic Services, Inc. NYSE $222.92 +0.83%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/rsg-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "HEI HEICO Corporation NYSE $316.00 +1.12%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/hei-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "BLDR Builders FirstSource Inc. NYSE $60.37 +2.37%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/bldr-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "GWW W.W. Grainger Inc. NYSE $1,280.00 +0.67%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/gww-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "WM Waste Management Inc. NYSE $213.46 -0.61%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/waste-management-wm/"
    },
    {
     "text": "HON Honeywell International Inc. NASDAQ $202.17 0.00%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/honeywell-hon/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "MU vs WDC Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/mu-vs-wdc/"
    },
    {
     "text": "CMCSA vs DIS Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/cmcsa-vs-dis/"
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    {
     "text": "VOO vs VTI Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/voo-vs-vti/"
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "HWM Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$155.8M",
    "Insiders": "15",
    "Avg Transaction": "$22.3M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in HWM",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "May 12, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "PLANT JOHN C Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "800.0K",
        "$125.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 28, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "ELLIOTT INTERNATIONAL, L.P. Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "4.2M",
        "$105.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 28, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "ELLIOTT ASSOCIATES L P Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "1.9M",
        "$47.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 23, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "ELLIOTT ASSOCIATES L P Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "1.3M",
        "$31.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 23, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "ELLIOTT INTERNATIONAL, L.P. Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "1.2M",
        "$28.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 22, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "GIACOBBE KENNETH J Chief Financial Officer",
        "Sell",
        "154.9K",
        "$15.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 18, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "MARCHUK NEIL EDWARD Officer",
        "Sell",
        "45.2K",
        "$11.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 11, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "MARCHUK NEIL EDWARD Officer",
        "Sell",
        "41.9K",
        "$11.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 23, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "MARCHUK NEIL EDWARD Officer",
        "Sell",
        "70.6K",
        "$6.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 16, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "GIACOBBE KENNETH J Chief Financial Officer",
        "Sell",
        "111.2K",
        "$4.8M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Howmet+Aerospace+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Howmet Aerospace's stock forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Howmet Aerospace's stock price is projected to be $407.96 in 2030 under a base case scenario. The downside projection is $145.91, and the upside projection is $1140.67. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is Howmet Aerospace stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "While Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' consensus with a median price target of $340.00, significant insider selling and bearish technicals suggest caution. The stock is trading below key moving averages, and the P/E ratio is elevated compared to sector averages."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical levels for Howmet Aerospace?",
   "answer": "Howmet Aerospace is currently trading below its 50-day SMA of $272.31 and its 200-day SMA of $246.15. The RSI is in oversold territory at 27.79, while the MACD indicates bearish momentum. Key support is near the 200-day SMA, with resistance at the 50-day SMA."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has Howmet Aerospace performed in recent earnings reports?",
   "answer": "The company recently beat EPS estimates for the quarter ending August 6, 2026, but the stock price declined. Previous quarters have also shown mixed results, with beats not always translating into positive price action and one notable miss in November 2025."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the consensus rating for Howmet Aerospace stock?",
   "answer": "The Wall Street consensus rating for Howmet Aerospace is 'Buy', supported by 4 'Strong Buy' and 15 'Buy' ratings from 22 analysts. The overall Wall Street score is 76 out of 100."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the main risks facing Howmet Aerospace?",
   "answer": "Significant insider selling totaling over $155 million, a bearish technical setup with the stock below key moving averages, and a P/E ratio that is higher than the sector median are the primary risks for Howmet Aerospace."
  },
  {
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}