{ "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt", "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/hormel-foods-hrl/", "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/hormel-foods-hrl/data.json", "title": "Hormel Foods (HRL) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)", "description": "Is Hormel Foods (HRL) a Buy or Sell today? See the AI trade setup, dividend and valuation context plus key risk levels. Updated daily.", "headline": "Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL)", "published": "2026-08-27T09:20:17+00:00", "modified": "2026-09-10T23:04:33.76+00:00", "generated": "2026-09-11T21:17:45.983Z", "language": "en-US", "publisher": { "name": "CleaRank", "url": "https://clearank.com/" }, "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.", "asset": { "ticker": "HRL", "name": "Hormel Foods Corporation", "type": "Common Stock", "exchange": "NYSE", "currency": "USD", "sector": "Consumer Defensive", "industry": "Packaged Foods", "country": "United States", "website": "https://www.hormelfoods.com" }, "quote": { "price": 20.84, "previousClose": 20.97, "change": -0.13, "changePercent": -0.62, "open": 21, "high": 21.02, "low": 20.75, "volume": 4097939, "averageVolume": 6841774, "marketCap": 11469310672, "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 26.6, "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 19.7, "marketOpen": false, "asOf": "2026-09-10T23:04:29.000Z" }, "statistics": { "pe": 34.37705, "eps": 0.61, "dividendYield": 0.05621103014662799, "beta": 0.315, "priceToSales": 0.9501062, "priceToBook": 1.4713724, "revenueTtm": 12146911232, "grossMargin": 0.15922390355964697, "returnOnEquity": 0.042930003 }, "technicals": { "rsi": 18.85, "macd": -0.95, "sma50": 24.15, "sma200": 23.42, "rsiSignal": "Oversold", "trend": "Bullish", "pricePosition": "Bearish", "macdSignal": "Bearish", "rating": "Bearish" }, "analysis": { "rating": "Hold", "score": 59, "consensus": "Hold", "fairValue": 26, "analystTarget": 26, "analystCount": 10, "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold", "generatedAt": "2026-09-10T23:04:29.000Z", "priceAtAnalysis": 20.84, "volatility": { "daily": 2.06, "risk": "standard" } }, "tradePlan": { "bias": "Neutral", "conservativeEntry": 20.63, "aggressiveEntry": 20.84, "stopLoss": 19.93, "stopLossPercent": 3.4, "targets": [ 21.25, 21.66, 22.28 ] }, "projections": { "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets", "years": [ { "year": 2027, "downside10th": 15.38, "base": 20.83, "upside90th": 28.21 }, { "year": 2028, "downside10th": 13.56, "base": 20.82, "upside90th": 31.97 }, { "year": 2029, "downside10th": 12.31, "base": 20.81, "upside90th": 35.19 }, { "year": 2030, "downside10th": 11.34, "base": 20.8, "upside90th": 38.16 }, { "year": 2031, "downside10th": 10.55, "base": 20.79, "upside90th": 40.97 }, { "year": 2032, "downside10th": 9.89, "base": 20.79, "upside90th": 43.69 }, { "year": 2033, "downside10th": 9.31, "base": 20.78, "upside90th": 46.35 }, { "year": 2034, "downside10th": 8.81, "base": 20.77, "upside90th": 48.97 }, { "year": 2035, "downside10th": 8.36, "base": 20.76, "upside90th": 51.57 }, { "year": 2036, "downside10th": 7.95, "base": 20.75, "upside90th": 54.14 } ] }, "faqCount": 7, "sources": [ "TwelveData", "Wall Street consensus" ], "sections": [ { "id": "price", "title": "HRL Price Analysis" }, { "id": "market-metrics", "title": "Market Metrics", "facts": { "Open": "$21.00", "Day Range": "$20.75 to $21.02", "Prev Close": "$20.97", "Volume": "4.10M", "52-Week Range": "$19.70 to $26.60", "Market Cap": "$11.47B" } }, { "id": "peer-benchmarking", "title": "Peer Benchmarking", "text": [ "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+35%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position." ] }, { "id": "analysis", "title": "HRL Analysis", "text": [ "Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($24.15 and $23.42), indicating a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 18.85, classifying it as oversold, which could suggest a potential for a short-term bounce. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is also negative at -0.95, reinforcing the bearish momentum. Key support levels are not clearly defined due to the current downward trend, but the oversold RSI suggests that significant downside may be limited in the immediate term. Trading volume has been below average recently, which could indicate a lack of conviction from either buyers or sellers. The current price action points towards continued weakness unless a significant catalyst emerges to reverse the trend.", "Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) has a track record of beating analyst EPS estimates, as seen in the latest quarter's $0.37 actual vs $0.35 estimate.", "Insiders have sold $953.6K worth of stock versus $0 in purchases, indicating a lack of strong buying conviction.", "Current revenue growth is negative (-2.9%), and forward estimates project flat to minimal year-over-year growth for upcoming quarters and the current year.", "The stock offers a dividend yield of approximately 5.61%, which may appeal to income-focused investors.", "The base case scenario for Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) over the next 6-12 months suggests limited upside, with the median analyst target price at $26.00. The current oversold technical conditions may provide a short-term floor, but the lack of strong revenue growth and a premium valuation present headwinds. The company's ability to maintain its dividend yield of 5.61% will be a key factor for income-focused investors. Potential catalysts for a positive shift include a significant improvement in revenue growth, a more favorable valuation compared to peers, or a change in insider sentiment. Conversely, continued stagnation in sales, increased competition within the packaged foods sector, or a broader market downturn could pressure the stock lower, potentially testing the downside projection of $11.34." ], "lists": { "ProTips": [ "Investors should monitor Hormel Foods Corporation's (HRL) ability to reignite revenue growth, as current projections show minimal expansion.", "The stock's oversold RSI suggests a potential for a short-term bounce, but the underlying bearish trend and insider selling warrant caution.", "Given the current valuation premium and moderate insider selling, consider a more conservative position size until a clear bullish catalyst emerges." ] }, "catalysts": [ { "type": "Bullish", "title": "Consistent EPS Beats", "text": "Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) has a track record of beating analyst EPS estimates, as seen in the latest quarter's $0.37 actual vs $0.35 estimate.", "source": "Earnings Reports" }, { "type": "Bearish", "title": "Moderate Insider Selling", "text": "Insiders have sold $953.6K worth of stock versus $0 in purchases, indicating a lack of strong buying conviction.", "source": "Insider Transactions" }, { "type": "Bearish", "title": "Stagnant Revenue Growth", "text": "Current revenue growth is negative (-2.9%), and forward estimates project flat to minimal year-over-year growth for upcoming quarters and the current year.", "source": "Revenue Estimates" }, { "type": "Neutral", "title": "Attractive Dividend Yield", "text": "The stock offers a dividend yield of approximately 5.61%, which may appeal to income-focused investors.", "source": "Dividend Data" } ] }, { "id": "key-statistics", "title": "Key Statistics", "text": [ "Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) exhibits a P/E ratio of 34.38, which is above the sector average of 25.5, suggesting it is trading at a premium relative to its peers. Its earnings per share (EPS) stands at $0.61. The company's revenue growth has been negative at -2.9%, and forward estimates project minimal growth for the current and next quarters, with only a 1.00% growth expected for the current year. While the company has a history of beating earnings estimates, the lack of strong revenue growth and a higher-than-average P/E ratio present valuation concerns. The dividend yield is 5.61%, offering some income to investors, but the overall fundamental picture suggests limited upside potential without a significant improvement in sales or a more attractive valuation.", "Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) has demonstrated a pattern of beating earnings per share estimates in recent quarters. The most recent report on August 27, 2026, showed an EPS of $0.37, exceeding the estimate of $0.35 by 5.71%, and the stock saw a positive price change of 1.36%. Prior quarters also showed positive surprises, though price reactions varied. Despite these EPS beats, the company's revenue growth has been stagnant, with current estimates projecting flat year-over-year growth for the current quarter.", "Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) faces risks associated with its premium valuation relative to sector averages, as indicated by its P/E ratio of 34.38 compared to the sector average of 25.5. Moderate insider selling, with $953.6K in total sales versus $0 in purchases, suggests a lack of strong conviction from management. Also, the company's negative revenue growth and minimal forward projections present a challenge to future earnings expansion." ], "tables": [ { "caption": "", "columns": [], "rows": [ { "label": "Market Cap", "cells": [ "11.47B" ] }, { "label": "P/E Ratio", "cells": [ "34.38" ] }, { "label": "EPS (TTM)", "cells": [ "0.6100" ] }, { "label": "Dividend Yield", "cells": [ "5.61%" ] }, { "label": "52 Week High", "cells": [ "26.60" ] }, { "label": "52 Week Low", "cells": [ "19.70" ] } ] } ] }, { "id": "technical-indicators", "title": "Technical Indicators", "text": [ "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Oversold SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($24.15) above the 200-day SMA ($23.42), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 18.9 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup." ], "facts": { "RSI": "Oversold", "SMA Cross": "Bullish", "Price vs SMA": "Bearish", "MACD": "Bearish" }, "tables": [ { "caption": "", "columns": [], "rows": [ { "label": "RSI (14)", "cells": [ "18.85" ] }, { "label": "MACD", "cells": [ "-0.95" ] }, { "label": "SMA 50", "cells": [ "24.15" ] }, { "label": "SMA 200", "cells": [ "23.42" ] } ] } ] }, { "id": "correlations", "title": "Market Correlations", "text": [ "How this stock moves relative to other assets", "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods." ], "facts": { "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.01", "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "-0.09", "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "-0.28", "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.03" } }, { "id": "trade-plans", "title": "HRL Trade Plans", "text": [ "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels", "Enter now if confident", "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (18.9) and current market volatility", "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3" ], "facts": { "TARGET 1": "$21.25", "TARGET 2": "$21.66", "TARGET 3": "$22.28", "STOP LOSS": "$19.93" } }, { "id": "risk", "title": "Risk & Volatility", "facts": { "Daily Volatility": "2.06%" }, "lists": { "Risk considerations": [ "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels", "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range", "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure" ] } }, { "id": "growth", "title": "Growth of $10,000", "text": [ "A $10,000 investment in HRL in September 2016 would be worth about $5,747 today, compared with about $35,241 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark." ] }, { "id": "monte-carlo", "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)", "text": [ "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in HRL today could grow to about $9,957 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $25,981 and a bear case around $3,816. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees." ] }, { "id": "price-prediction", "title": "HRL Stock Price Prediction: 2030", "text": [ "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $20.80 for HRL by 2030 in the base case, from $20.84 today (1.0x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $11.34. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on HRL's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.", "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using HRL's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice." ], "tables": [ { "caption": "HRL simulated price paths by year", "columns": [ "Year", "Downside (10th pct)", "Base case", "Upside (90th pct)" ], "rows": [ { "label": "2027", "cells": [ "$15.38", "$20.83", "$28.21" ] }, { "label": "2028", "cells": [ "$13.56", "$20.82", "$31.97" ] }, { "label": "2029", "cells": [ "$12.31", "$20.81", "$35.19" ] }, { "label": "2030", "cells": [ "$11.34", "$20.80", "$38.16" ] }, { "label": "2031", "cells": [ "$10.55", "$20.79", "$40.97" ] }, { "label": "2032", "cells": [ "$9.89", "$20.79", "$43.69" ] }, { "label": "2033", "cells": [ "$9.31", "$20.78", "$46.35" ] }, { "label": "2034", "cells": [ "$8.81", "$20.77", "$48.97" ] }, { "label": "2035", "cells": [ "$8.36", "$20.76", "$51.57" ] }, { "label": "2036", "cells": [ "$7.95", "$20.75", "$54.14" ] } ] } ] }, { "id": "people-also-watch", "title": "People Also Watch", "links": [ { "text": "COST Costco Wholesale Corporation NASDAQ $902.38 -0.0244%", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/costco-cost/" }, { "text": "MNST Monster Beverage Corporation NASDAQ $43.09 +0.5836%", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/mnst-stock-analysis/" }, { "text": "DG Dollar General Corp. NYSE $122.99 -1.27%", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/dollar-general-dg/" }, { "text": "MDLZ Mondelēz International, Inc. NASDAQ $62.27 -0.3202%", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/mdlz-stock-analysis/" }, { "text": "PG Procter & Gamble Co. NYSE $142.19 -0.3190%", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/pg-stock-analysis/" }, { "text": "ELF e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. NYSE $96.95 +1.24%", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/elf-beauty-elf/" }, { "text": "KO The Coca-Cola Company NYSE $88.11 +0.3188%", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/coca-cola-ko/" }, { "text": "MO Altria Group, Inc. NYSE $69.02 +0.3343%", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/altria-group-mo/" } ] }, { "id": "related-comparisons", "title": "Popular Comparisons", "links": [ { "text": "Gold vs Bitcoin Analysis and Targets Head-to-head analysis →", "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/gold-vs-bitcoin/" }, { "text": "WMT vs TGT Comparison Head-to-head analysis →", "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/wmt-vs-tgt/" }, { "text": "ZS vs FTNT Comparison Head-to-head analysis →", "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/zs-vs-ftnt/" } ] }, { "id": "insider-trading", "title": "HRL Insider Trading Analysis", "facts": { "Bought": "None", "Sold": "$953.6K", "Insiders": "22", "Avg Transaction": "$317.9K" }, "tables": [ { "caption": "Recent insider transactions in HRL", "columns": [ "Date", "Insider", "Type", "Shares", "Value" ], "rows": [ { "label": "Feb 25, 2021", "cells": [ "LEITCH GLENN R Officer", "Sell", "140.0K", "$6.6M" ] }, { "label": "Jan 9, 2020", "cells": [ "VORPAHL LARRY L Officer", "Sell", "146.8K", "$6.6M" ] }, { "label": "Jun 8, 2020", "cells": [ "MARCO LORI J General Counsel", "Sell", "109.1K", "$5.2M" ] }, { "label": "Mar 5, 2021", "cells": [ "LEITCH GLENN R Officer", "Sell", "87.0K", "$4.1M" ] }, { "label": "Sep 3, 2020", "cells": [ "MARCO LORI J General Counsel", "Sell", "64.1K", "$3.3M" ] }, { "label": "Sep 9, 2020", "cells": [ "BRADY DEANNA T Officer", "Sell", "52.6K", "$2.7M" ] }, { "label": "Jun 22, 2020", "cells": [ "LEITCH GLENN R Officer", "Sell", "51.8K", "$2.5M" ] }, { "label": "Mar 19, 2020", "cells": [ "DAY THOMAS R Officer", "Sell", "46.2K", "$2.3M" ] }, { "label": "May 28, 2021", "cells": [ "SHEEHAN JAMES N Chief Financial Officer", "Sell", "39.6K", "$1.9M" ] }, { "label": "Jun 8, 2020", "cells": [ "SPLINTER JAMES M Officer", "Sell", "40.0K", "$1.9M" ] } ] } ], "links": [ { "text": "SEC Form 4", "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Hormel+Foods+Corporation&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany" } ] }, { "id": "faq", "title": "Frequently Asked Questions" } ], "faq": [ { "question": "What is Hormel Foods Corporation's current stock price?", "answer": "Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) is currently trading at $20.84 as of September 10, 2026." }, { "question": "Is Hormel Foods Corporation stock a buy right now?", "answer": "Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) is rated Hold by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 63. While the stock is technically oversold, its premium valuation and moderate insider selling suggest caution, making it not an immediate buy." }, { "question": "What is the median analyst price target for HRL stock?", "answer": "The median analyst price target for Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) is $26.00, indicating a potential upside of 24.8% from its current price of $20.84." }, { "question": "How has Hormel Foods Corporation performed in recent earnings reports?", "answer": "Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, with the latest report showing an EPS of $0.37 versus an estimate of $0.35. However, revenue growth has been flat to negative." }, { "question": "What are the key risks for Hormel Foods Corporation?", "answer": "Key risks for Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) include its premium valuation compared to sector peers, moderate insider selling, and stagnant revenue growth projections." }, { "question": "What is Hormel Foods Corporation's dividend yield?", "answer": "Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) offers a dividend yield of approximately 5.61%." }, { "question": "What is the long-range projection for Hormel Foods Corporation stock?", "answer": "The long-range projection for Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) in 2030 shows a base case price of $20.80, with a downside projection of $11.34 and an upside projection of $38.16, based on Monte Carlo simulations." } ], "related": { "peopleAlsoWatch": [ { "ticker": "COST", "name": "Costco Wholesale Corporation NASDAQ", "price": "$902.38", "change": "-0.0244%", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/costco-cost/" }, { "ticker": "MNST", "name": "Monster Beverage Corporation NASDAQ", "price": "$43.09", "change": "+0.5836%", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/mnst-stock-analysis/" }, { "ticker": "DG", "name": "Dollar General Corp. 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NYSE", "price": "$69.02", "change": "+0.3343%", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/altria-group-mo/" } ], "comparisons": [ { "ticker": "Gold vs Bitcoin Analysis and Targets", "name": "", "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/gold-vs-bitcoin/" }, { "ticker": "WMT vs TGT Comparison", "name": "", "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/wmt-vs-tgt/" }, { "ticker": "ZS vs FTNT Comparison", "name": "", "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/zs-vs-ftnt/" } ], "sectorHub": { "text": "Browse all Consumer Defensive →", "url": "https://clearank.com/sector/consumer-defensive/" }, "Newly Tracked": [ { "ticker": "DEO", "text": "Diageo plc Sponsored", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/deo-stock-analysis/" }, { "ticker": "KMB", "text": "Kimberly-Clark Corporation", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/kmb-stock-analysis/" }, { "ticker": "SYY", "text": "Sysco Corp.", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/syy-stock-analysis/" }, { "ticker": "CDE", "text": "Coeur Mining Inc.", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/cde-stock-analysis/" }, { "ticker": "CCI", "text": "Crown Castle Inc.", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/cci-stock-analysis/" } ], "Top Movers (24h)": [ { "ticker": "EIGEN/USD", "text": "↑ 9.39%", "url": "https://clearank.com/crypto/eigen-usd-crypto-analysis/" }, { "ticker": "EGLD/USD", "text": "↓ 9.23%", "url": "https://clearank.com/crypto/egld-usd-crypto-analysis/" }, { "ticker": "AERO/USD", "text": "↑ 8.90%", "url": "https://clearank.com/crypto/aero-usd-crypto-analysis/" }, { "ticker": "HUT", "text": "↑ 8.77%", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/hut-stock-analysis/" }, { "ticker": "MRNA", "text": "↑ 8.44%", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/moderna-mrna/" } ], "Also in Consumer Defensive": [ { "ticker": "DLTR", "text": "Dollar Tree Inc.", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/dollar-tree-dltr/" }, { "ticker": "ELF", "text": "e.l.f. 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We use our proprietary technology, expert analysis and verified trader insights, to deliver data driven broker evaluations you can trust. Our CLEAR™ Score is our foundation, a transparent, unbiased methodology that assesses brokers and firms based on the most critical factors including regulation, fees, platform reliability, and real user experiences. We are here to change an unfair system and unlike other review sites that are influenced by partnerships or subjective opinions, CleaRank is 100% independent–abiding by our rigorous CLEAR™ editorial code. We do not accept financial incentives from brokers, so what you see is what you get with no hidden agendas, just honest, actionable feedback. Clear data. Honest reviews. 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While the stock is technically oversold, its premium valuation and moderate insider selling suggest caution, making it not an immediate buy." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What is the median analyst price target for HRL stock?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "The median analyst price target for Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) is $26.00, indicating a potential upside of 24.8% from its current price of $20.84." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "How has Hormel Foods Corporation performed in recent earnings reports?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, with the latest report showing an EPS of $0.37 versus an estimate of $0.35. However, revenue growth has been flat to negative." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What are the key risks for Hormel Foods Corporation?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "Key risks for Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) include its premium valuation compared to sector peers, moderate insider selling, and stagnant revenue growth projections." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What is Hormel Foods Corporation's dividend yield?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) offers a dividend yield of approximately 5.61%." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What is the long-range projection for Hormel Foods Corporation stock?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "The long-range projection for Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) in 2030 shows a base case price of $20.80, with a downside projection of $11.34 and an upside projection of $38.16, based on Monte Carlo simulations." } } ] } ] }