{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/gwre-stock-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/gwre-stock-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "Guidewire Software Inc (GWRE) Stock Forecast (2026)",
 "description": "Is Guidewire Software (GWRE) a Buy or Sell after its guidance reset? Get the AI trade setup, key support levels and risk analysis. Updated daily.",
 "headline": "Guidewire Software Inc. (GWRE)",
 "published": "2026-09-06T09:49:05+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-09T22:11:05.202+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T19:04:40.278Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "GWRE",
  "name": "Guidewire Software Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Technology",
  "industry": "Software - Application",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.guidewire.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 140.09,
  "previousClose": 142.24,
  "change": -2.15,
  "changePercent": -1.51,
  "open": 142.42999,
  "high": 147.22,
  "low": 139.7021,
  "volume": 1330091,
  "averageVolume": 2002829,
  "marketCap": 11842386047,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 272.60001,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 102.3,
  "marketOpen": true,
  "asOf": "2026-09-09T22:11:04.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 80.05883,
  "eps": 1.87,
  "dividendYield": 0,
  "beta": 0.967,
  "priceToSales": 8.448301,
  "priceToBook": 10.3936405,
  "revenueTtm": 1475362944,
  "grossMargin": 0.6352186739177701,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.10508
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 33.15,
  "macd": 1.37,
  "sma50": 161.78,
  "sma200": 156.39,
  "rsiSignal": "Bearish",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Neutral"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Sell",
  "score": 21,
  "consensus": "Sell",
  "fairValue": 142.24,
  "analystTarget": 215,
  "analystCount": 16,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-09T22:11:04.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 140.089996,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 5.22,
   "risk": "volatile"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bearish",
  "conservativeEntry": 142.89,
  "aggressiveEntry": 140.09,
  "stopLoss": 154.42,
  "stopLossPercent": 8.07,
  "targets": [
   135.75,
   128.6,
   121.46
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 93.96,
    "base": 151.69,
    "upside90th": 244.88
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 83.44,
    "base": 164.25,
    "upside90th": 323.34
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 77.59,
    "base": 177.85,
    "upside90th": 407.69
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 73.9,
    "base": 192.58,
    "upside90th": 501.89
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 71.46,
    "base": 208.53,
    "upside90th": 608.5
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 69.86,
    "base": 225.8,
    "upside90th": 729.81
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 68.86,
    "base": 244.5,
    "upside90th": 868.12
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 68.32,
    "base": 264.74,
    "upside90th": 1025.96
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 68.14,
    "base": 286.67,
    "upside90th": 1206.06
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 68.26,
    "base": 310.41,
    "upside90th": 1411.48
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 8,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "GWRE Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$142.43",
    "Day Range": "$139.70 to $147.22",
    "Prev Close": "$142.24",
    "Volume": "1.33M",
    "52-Week Range": "$102.30 to $272.60",
    "Market Cap": "$11.84B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+214%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "GWRE Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Guidewire Software Inc. (GWRE) is exhibiting bearish momentum, with its Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 33.15. The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($161.78 and $156.39), indicating a downtrend. The MACD is at 1.37, suggesting some underlying positive momentum, but this is contradicted by the RSI and moving average positions. Key support levels are being tested, and the current price action suggests a potential for further declines. Volume on the latest trading day was slightly above average at 2.05 million shares, but this has not been enough to break the bearish trend. The stock's position below its 20-day EMA of $177.28 further reinforces the bearish technical outlook.",
    "Insiders have sold over $72.5 million worth of Guidewire Software Inc. stock with no reported purchases, indicating a strong lack of confidence from management and a significant bearish signal.",
    "Guidewire Software Inc. is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($161.78 and $156.39), signaling a bearish trend and potential for further downside.",
    "The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 33.15, indicating bearish momentum and suggesting that selling pressure may continue.",
    "Guidewire Software Inc. has reported a strong revenue growth of 15.3%, indicating continued demand for its products and services.",
    "The median analyst price target for Guidewire Software Inc. is $215, representing a potential upside of 51.2% from the current price, suggesting analyst optimism.",
    "The near-term outlook for Guidewire Software Inc. (GWRE) is bearish, driven by heavy insider selling and a negative technical setup. The stock is trading below key moving averages, and the RSI indicates bearish momentum. Despite positive revenue growth and a Wall Street consensus rating of 'Buy' with a median price target of $215, the current market sentiment and insider activity suggest that the stock may face further downward pressure. Potential catalysts for a turnaround would require a significant shift in insider behavior, a break above key resistance levels, or a substantial improvement in market sentiment towards growth stocks. Conversely, continued insider selling, failure to break key technical levels, or a miss on future earnings expectations could lead to a retest of lower price levels, potentially towards the downside projection of $75.03 by 2030."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor insider transactions closely; the current heavy selling pressure is a significant bearish signal for Guidewire Software Inc.",
     "Given the bearish technicals, consider waiting for a confirmed break above the 50-day or 200-day moving averages before considering a long position.",
     "The high P/E ratio of 80.06 suggests that Guidewire Software Inc. is priced for perfection; any deviation from expected growth could lead to significant price corrections."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Heavy Insider Selling Exceeds $72 Million",
     "text": "Insiders have sold over $72.5 million worth of Guidewire Software Inc. stock with no reported purchases, indicating a strong lack of confidence from management and a significant bearish signal.",
     "source": "Insider Trading Data"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Trading Below Key Moving Averages",
     "text": "Guidewire Software Inc. is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($161.78 and $156.39), signaling a bearish trend and potential for further downside.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Negative RSI Momentum",
     "text": "The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 33.15, indicating bearish momentum and suggesting that selling pressure may continue.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Positive Revenue Growth",
     "text": "Guidewire Software Inc. has reported a strong revenue growth of 15.3%, indicating continued demand for its products and services.",
     "source": "Fundamental Data"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Wall Street Price Target Upside",
     "text": "The median analyst price target for Guidewire Software Inc. is $215, representing a potential upside of 51.2% from the current price, suggesting analyst optimism.",
     "source": "Wall Street Summary"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Guidewire Software Inc. (GWRE) trades at a P/E ratio of 80.06, which is considerably higher than the technology sector average of 25.5. This valuation suggests that the market has high growth expectations priced into the stock. While the company has demonstrated strong revenue growth of 15.3%, its earnings per share (EPS) of $1.87 may not fully justify the current P/E multiple when compared to sector peers. The company's balance sheet strength and profitability metrics are not detailed, making a comprehensive fundamental assessment challenging. However, the high P/E ratio, coupled with significant insider selling, raises concerns about the stock's current valuation and potential downside risk if growth expectations are not met.",
    "Guidewire Software Inc. (GWRE) recently reported earnings on September 3, 2026, with an EPS of $0.99, beating the estimate of $0.94 by 5.32%. However, this positive earnings surprise was met with a significant price drop of -19.93%. Prior to this, the company beat estimates on March 5, 2026, with a 51.95% surprise and saw a price increase of 4.99%. The earnings trajectory shows a pattern of beats, but the market reaction has been increasingly negative, suggesting that even positive results are not enough to sustain the stock price under current conditions.",
    "The primary risk for Guidewire Software Inc. (GWRE) is the significant insider selling, with over $72 million in dispositions and no reported purchases, indicating a lack of confidence from management. Additionally, the stock is trading below key technical indicators, including its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, suggesting a bearish trend and potential for further price declines. The high P/E ratio of 80.06 also presents a valuation risk, as it implies high growth expectations that may be difficult to meet."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "11.84B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "80.06"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "1.87"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.00%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "272.60"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "102.30"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Neutral RSI Bearish SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bullish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($161.78) above the 200-day SMA ($156.39), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Bearish",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "33.15"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "1.37"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "161.78"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "156.39"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.25",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.20",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.06",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.10"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "GWRE Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for rally",
    "Higher risk, chasing the move",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (33.2) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$135.75",
    "TARGET 2": "$128.60",
    "TARGET 3": "$121.46",
    "STOP LOSS": "$154.42"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "5.22%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in GWRE in September 2016 would be worth about $24,375 today, compared with about $35,913 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in GWRE today could grow to about $22,158 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $100,755 and a bear case around $4,873. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "GWRE Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $193 for GWRE by 2030 in the base case, from $140 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $73.90. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on GWRE's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using GWRE's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "GWRE simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$93.96",
        "$152",
        "$245"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$83.44",
        "$164",
        "$323"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$77.59",
        "$178",
        "$408"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$73.90",
        "$193",
        "$502"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$71.46",
        "$209",
        "$609"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$69.86",
        "$226",
        "$730"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$68.86",
        "$244",
        "$868"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$68.32",
        "$265",
        "$1,026"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$68.14",
        "$287",
        "$1,206"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$68.26",
        "$310",
        "$1,411"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
   "links": [
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/fitb-vs-hban/"
    },
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "GWRE Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$72.2M",
    "Insiders": "13",
    "Avg Transaction": "$555.7K"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in GWRE",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Sep 16, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "ROSENBAUM MICHAEL GEORGE Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "30.3K",
        "$7.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 20, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "RYU MARCUS S Director",
        "Sell",
        "45.9K",
        "$5.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 17, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "ROSENBAUM MICHAEL GEORGE Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "23.4K",
        "$4.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 16, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "MULLEN JOHN P President",
        "Sell",
        "15.9K",
        "$3.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 16, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "COOPER JEFFREY ELLIOTT Chief Financial Officer",
        "Sell",
        "14.1K",
        "$3.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 25, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "MULLEN JOHN P President",
        "Sell",
        "18.0K",
        "$3.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 19, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "MULLEN JOHN P President",
        "Sell",
        "14.4K",
        "$2.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 19, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "RYU MARCUS S Director",
        "Sell",
        "25.1K",
        "$2.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 19, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "COOPER JEFFREY ELLIOTT Chief Financial Officer",
        "Sell",
        "15.3K",
        "$2.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 17, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "RYU MARCUS S Director",
        "Sell",
        "23.4K",
        "$2.5M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Guidewire+Software+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "Is Guidewire Software Inc. stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Guidewire Software Inc. (GWRE) is currently rated as a Sell by our consensus score of 18. The stock is trading below its key moving averages and exhibits significant insider selling, suggesting potential downside risk despite a positive revenue growth rate."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is Guidewire Software Inc.'s long-term outlook?",
   "answer": "Guidewire Software Inc.'s long-term outlook is uncertain, with a Monte Carlo simulation projecting a base case price of $195.54 by 2030, but a downside scenario of $75.03. While revenue growth is positive, significant insider selling and bearish technicals pose considerable risks to long-term appreciation."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key risks facing Guidewire Software Inc.?",
   "answer": "The main risks for Guidewire Software Inc. include heavy insider selling totaling over $72 million, a bearish technical setup with the stock trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($161.78 and $156.39), and a high P/E ratio of 80.06 which suggests a stretched valuation."
  },
  {
   "question": "How is Guidewire Software Inc. performing technically?",
   "answer": "Technically, Guidewire Software Inc. (GWRE) is showing bearish momentum with an RSI at 33.2 and trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($161.78 and $156.39). This suggests a downtrend and potential for further price declines."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the Wall Street consensus for Guidewire Software Inc.?",
   "answer": "Wall Street analysts maintain a generally positive view, with a consensus rating of 'Buy' based on 16 analysts. The median price target is $215, suggesting a potential upside of 51.2% from the current price."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does Guidewire Software Inc.'s revenue growth compare to its sector?",
   "answer": "Guidewire Software Inc. reported revenue growth of 15.3%, which is higher than the technology sector average of 10.0%. However, this growth is not currently reflected in the stock's price action or insider sentiment."
  },
  {
   "question": "What was Guidewire Software Inc.'s most recent earnings performance?",
   "answer": "Guidewire Software Inc. recently reported an EPS of $0.99, beating estimates by 5.32%, but the stock price dropped by 19.93%. This follows a pattern where positive earnings surprises have not translated into sustained stock price gains."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is Guidewire Software Inc.'s stock price prediction for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Guidewire Software Inc.'s stock price prediction for 2030 has a base case of $195.54 and a downside projection of $75.03. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees."
  }
 ],
 "related": {
  "peopleAlsoWatch": [
   {
    "ticker": "WOLF",
    "name": "Wolfspeed Inc. NYSE",
    "price": "$25.17",
    "change": "-7.73%",
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