{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/gpi-stock-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/gpi-stock-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "Group 1 Automotive Inc (GPI) Stock Forecast (2026)",
 "description": "Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI) stock: Consumer Cyclical, Auto & Truck Dealerships. $3.3B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI)",
 "published": "2026-08-14T06:31:05+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T20:52:29.354+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T21:15:28.530Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "GPI",
  "name": "Group 1 Automotive, Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Consumer Cyclical",
  "industry": "Auto & Truck Dealerships",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.group1auto.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 278.1,
  "previousClose": 281.84,
  "change": -3.74,
  "changePercent": -1.33,
  "open": 286.315,
  "high": 286.315,
  "low": 277.705,
  "volume": 6582,
  "averageVolume": 243698,
  "marketCap": 3315570772,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 488.39001,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 249.53999,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T20:52:28.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 11.660736,
  "eps": 24.17,
  "dividendYield": 0.007910823444804028,
  "beta": 0.823,
  "priceToSales": 0.15166736,
  "priceToBook": 1.1262608,
  "revenueTtm": 22154799104,
  "grossMargin": 0.15981133126590036,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.0949
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 59.63,
  "macd": -0.22,
  "sma50": 288.86,
  "sma200": 334.53,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Neutral",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 71,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": 372.5,
  "analystTarget": 372.5,
  "analystCount": 12,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T20:52:28.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 278.1,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 2.53,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 272.54,
  "aggressiveEntry": 278.1,
  "stopLoss": 259.86,
  "stopLossPercent": 4.65,
  "targets": [
   286.16,
   299.79,
   313.42
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 174.37,
    "base": 310.13,
    "upside90th": 551.58
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 153.18,
    "base": 345.84,
    "upside90th": 780.79
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 142.25,
    "base": 385.66,
    "upside90th": 1045.57
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 135.96,
    "base": 430.08,
    "upside90th": 1360.49
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 132.34,
    "base": 479.6,
    "upside90th": 1738.07
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 130.52,
    "base": 534.83,
    "upside90th": 2191.67
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 129.99,
    "base": 596.42,
    "upside90th": 2736.47
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 130.49,
    "base": 665.11,
    "upside90th": 3390.08
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 131.83,
    "base": 741.7,
    "upside90th": 4173.04
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 133.89,
    "base": 827.11,
    "upside90th": 5109.4
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "GPI Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$286.32",
    "Day Range": "$277.71 to $286.32",
    "Prev Close": "$281.84",
    "Volume": "6.6K",
    "52-Week Range": "$249.54 to $488.39",
    "Market Cap": "$3.32B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-44%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "GPI Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, GPI beat estimates 1 times. The stock rose 1 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "GPI Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI) is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($288.86 and $334.53), indicating a bearish trend in the medium to long term. However, the stock is positioned above its 20-day exponential moving average, suggesting some short-term positive momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 59.63, which falls within the neutral territory, implying neither overbought nor oversold conditions. Key support levels are not explicitly provided, but the current price action suggests that the 20-day EMA at $277.51 is acting as immediate support. Volume has been significantly below average recently, which could indicate a lack of strong conviction from traders. The chart structure, with prices below longer-term averages but above the short-term EMA, points to a period of consolidation or potential transition, with insider buying potentially providing a floor.",
    "Insiders have purchased $48.9 million in stock versus $6.8 million in sales, indicating strong confidence in the company's future prospects and potentially signaling an undervalued stock.",
    "GPI's P/E ratio of 11.66 is significantly lower than the sector median of 20.8, presenting a potential value opportunity for investors.",
    "The company reported a -5.6% revenue growth and missed earnings estimates in its latest quarter, raising concerns about near-term performance.",
    "While the overall consensus is 'Buy', analyst ratings show a mix of 'Overweight', 'Equal-Weight', and 'Neutral' ratings, with price targets ranging from $275 to $450.",
    "The base case outlook for Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI) suggests a potential recovery towards its median analyst target price of $372.50 over the next 6-12 months, implying a 33.9% upside. This optimism is primarily driven by substantial insider selling and a valuation that appears attractive relative to sector peers. The company's ability to navigate current revenue headwinds and consistently meet earnings expectations will be critical for achieving this target. Potential catalysts for upside include a broader market recovery in the automotive sector, successful integration of any new dealership acquisitions, or improved consumer spending. Conversely, persistent revenue declines, increased competition, or unfavorable economic conditions could pressure the stock lower, potentially testing the downside projection of $135.96. The company's strategic initiatives and management's execution will be key determinants of its future performance."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Significant insider buying totaling $48.9 million suggests strong conviction from management, potentially signaling an undervalued stock.",
     "Monitor the 20-day EMA at $277.51 as a key short-term support level; a break below could signal further weakness.",
     "Given the mixed earnings and negative revenue growth, consider position sizing carefully and maintaining a disciplined stop-loss strategy, potentially around 1.5x the daily volatility of 7.9% (implying a stop loss >11.85% away from entry)."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Substantial Insider Net Buying",
     "text": "Insiders have purchased $48.9 million in stock versus $6.8 million in sales, indicating strong confidence in the company's future prospects and potentially signaling an undervalued stock.",
     "source": "Insider Trading Data"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Attractive Valuation Relative to Peers",
     "text": "GPI's P/E ratio of 11.66 is significantly lower than the sector median of 20.8, presenting a potential value opportunity for investors.",
     "source": "Fundamental Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Recent Revenue Decline and Earnings Misses",
     "text": "The company reported a -5.6% revenue growth and missed earnings estimates in its latest quarter, raising concerns about near-term performance.",
     "source": "Earnings Report"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Mixed Analyst Ratings and Price Targets",
     "text": "While the overall consensus is 'Buy', analyst ratings show a mix of 'Overweight', 'Equal-Weight', and 'Neutral' ratings, with price targets ranging from $275 to $450.",
     "source": "Wall Street Consensus"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI) exhibits a P/E ratio of 11.66, which is notably lower than the sector median of 20.8, suggesting that the stock may be undervalued relative to its peers. The company's earnings per share (EPS) stands at $24.17. While the current revenue growth is negative at -5.6%, forward estimates indicate a slight recovery with projected revenue growth of 6.00% for next year, aligning with the sector median of 6.7%. The company's return on equity (ROE) is 12.5%, which is in line with the sector average. However, the recent earnings reports have shown misses against analyst expectations, with the latest quarter showing a -9.34% surprise. Despite these mixed earnings, the strong insider selling activity provides a positive fundamental signal, indicating management's confidence in the company's future prospects and potentially signaling that current valuation levels are attractive.",
    "Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI) has recently reported mixed earnings results. The most recent quarter ending July 30, 2026, saw EPS of $9.61, missing the analyst estimate of $10.60 by 9.34%, leading to a price decline of 3.35%. Prior quarters also showed misses, with the quarter ending January 29, 2026, missing estimates by 7.31%. However, the quarter ending January 7, 2026, did beat expectations by 9.79%. This pattern suggests some inconsistency in meeting analyst expectations, which could be a point of concern for investors.",
    "Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI) faces risks related to its recent revenue decline of -5.6% and the mixed performance in meeting earnings estimates, as evidenced by the latest quarterly miss. The stock is also trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($288.86 and $334.53), indicating potential downward pressure or a period of recovery needed. Also, the automotive retail sector is subject to cyclical demand and competitive pressures, which could impact future sales and profitability."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "3.32B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "11.66"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "24.17"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.7731%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "488.39"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "249.54"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Neutral Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $288.86, 200-day: $334.53), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Neutral"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "59.63"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-0.22"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "288.86"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "334.53"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.32",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.23",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.37",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.04"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "GPI Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (59.6) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$286.16",
    "TARGET 2": "$299.79",
    "TARGET 3": "$313.42",
    "STOP LOSS": "$259.86"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+2.72%",
    "Average Feb return": "-2.01%",
    "Average Mar return": "-6.40%",
    "Average Apr return": "+8.70%",
    "Average May return": "-0.17%",
    "Average Jun return": "-0.13%",
    "Average Jul return": "+6.03%",
    "Average Aug return": "+0.73%",
    "Average Sep return": "+2.45%",
    "Average Oct return": "+1.05%",
    "Average Nov return": "+6.78%",
    "Average Dec return": "-1.05%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "2.53%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in GPI in September 2016 would be worth about $46,007 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in GPI today could grow to about $29,741 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $183,725 and a bear case around $4,815. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "GPI Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $430 for GPI by 2030 in the base case, from $278 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $136. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on GPI's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using GPI's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "GPI simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$174",
        "$310",
        "$552"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$153",
        "$346",
        "$781"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$142",
        "$386",
        "$1,046"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$136",
        "$430",
        "$1,360"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$132",
        "$480",
        "$1,738"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$131",
        "$535",
        "$2,192"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$130",
        "$596",
        "$2,736"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$130",
        "$665",
        "$3,390"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$132",
        "$742",
        "$4,173"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$134",
        "$827",
        "$5,109"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
   "links": [
    {
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    },
    {
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    },
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/hilton-worldwide-hlt/"
    },
    {
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    },
    {
     "text": "WOOF Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. NASDAQ $2.45 +0.6173%",
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    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/nio-inc-nio/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SMH vs SOXX Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/smh-vs-soxx/"
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "GPI Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "$48.9M",
    "Sold": "$6.8M",
    "Insiders": "13",
    "Avg Transaction": "$9.3M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in GPI",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Jan 31, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "PEREIRA LINCOLN Director",
        "Sell",
        "40.0K",
        "$8.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 3, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "KENNINGHAM DARYL A Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "15.1K",
        "$6.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 9, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "PEREIRA LINCOLN Director",
        "Sell",
        "30.0K",
        "$6.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 27, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "HESTERBERG EARL J JR. Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "30.0K",
        "$5.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 10, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "HESTERBERG EARL J JR. Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "20.0K",
        "$3.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 26, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "PEREIRA LINCOLN Director",
        "Sell",
        "7.0K",
        "$3.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jan 11, 2018",
       "cells": [
        "HESTERBERG EARL J JR. Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "40.0K",
        "$3.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jan 9, 2018",
       "cells": [
        "HESTERBERG EARL J JR. Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "40.0K",
        "$3.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 5, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "PEREIRA LINCOLN Director",
        "Sell",
        "30.0K",
        "$3.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 6, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "HESTERBERG EARL J JR. Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "15.0K",
        "$2.8M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Group+1+Automotive%2C+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Group 1 Automotive, Inc.'s (GPI) current stock price and consensus rating?",
   "answer": "As of September 11, 2026, Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI) is trading at $278.10. The consensus rating among Wall Street analysts is 'Buy', supported by a consensus score of 71 out of 100."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the median analyst price target for GPI stock?",
   "answer": "The median analyst price target for Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI) is $372.50, suggesting an upside potential of 33.9% from the current price of $278.10."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has GPI performed in recent earnings reports?",
   "answer": "Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI) has shown mixed earnings performance. The latest quarter ending July 30, 2026, missed estimates by 9.34%, and previous quarters have also seen some misses, though one quarter did beat expectations."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key risks facing Group 1 Automotive, Inc.?",
   "answer": "Key risks for GPI include a recent revenue decline of -5.6%, mixed earnings performance, and trading below its longer-term moving averages. The cyclical nature of the auto industry and competitive pressures also pose risks."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is there significant insider activity in GPI stock?",
   "answer": "Yes, there is significant insider selling activity in GPI. Insiders have purchased approximately $48.9 million worth of stock, far exceeding the $6.8 million in sales, indicating a 'Moderate Buy Signal' and strong management conviction."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does GPI's valuation compare to its sector peers?",
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  {
   "question": "What is the long-range forecast for GPI stock?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the base case forecast for GPI stock in 2030 is $430.08, with a downside projection of $135.96 and an upside projection of $1360.49. These are statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets."
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}