{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/four-stock-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/four-stock-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "Shift4 Payments (FOUR) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Shift4 Payments Inc. (FOUR) stock: Technology, Software - Infrastructure. $3.4B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Shift4 Payments Inc. (FOUR)",
 "published": "2026-07-19T09:50:52+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T00:38:40.105+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T21:01:02.632Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "FOUR",
  "name": "Shift4 Payments Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Technology",
  "industry": "Software - Infrastructure",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.shift4.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 43.03,
  "previousClose": 41.13,
  "change": 1.9,
  "changePercent": 4.62,
  "open": 41.2,
  "high": 43.64,
  "low": 40.93,
  "volume": 3561439,
  "averageVolume": 2078114,
  "marketCap": 3397653884,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 92.47,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 34.56,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T00:38:38.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 66.078125,
  "eps": 0.64,
  "dividendYield": 0,
  "beta": 1.377,
  "priceToSales": 0.69829017,
  "priceToBook": 5.447636,
  "revenueTtm": 4782000128,
  "grossMargin": 0.3444015444015444,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.064899996
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 37.12,
  "macd": -1.33,
  "sma50": 47.83,
  "sma200": 51.31,
  "rsiSignal": "Bearish",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 59,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 51.5,
  "analystTarget": 51.5,
  "analystCount": 23,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T00:38:38.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 43.029999,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 5.48,
   "risk": "volatile"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 42.6,
  "aggressiveEntry": 43.03,
  "stopLoss": 38.37,
  "stopLossPercent": 9.93,
  "targets": [
   43.88,
   44.73,
   46.01
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 23.92,
    "base": 45.4,
    "upside90th": 86.16
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 19.35,
    "base": 47.89,
    "upside90th": 118.53
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 16.65,
    "base": 50.52,
    "upside90th": 153.29
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 14.8,
    "base": 53.3,
    "upside90th": 192.01
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 13.42,
    "base": 56.23,
    "upside90th": 235.64
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 12.35,
    "base": 59.32,
    "upside90th": 285.03
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 11.49,
    "base": 62.58,
    "upside90th": 340.99
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 10.78,
    "base": 66.02,
    "upside90th": 404.41
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 10.19,
    "base": 69.65,
    "upside90th": 476.22
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 9.69,
    "base": 73.48,
    "upside90th": 557.46
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "FOUR Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$41.20",
    "Day Range": "$40.93 to $43.64",
    "Prev Close": "$41.13",
    "Volume": "3.56M",
    "52-Week Range": "$34.56 to $92.47",
    "Market Cap": "$3.40B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+159%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "FOUR Financial Performance"
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "FOUR Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Shift4 Payments Inc. (FOUR) is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($47.83 and $51.31), signaling bearish momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 37.12, indicating bearish momentum, and the MACD is negative at -1.33. The stock's current price is also below its 20-day exponential moving average. Key support levels are not clearly defined given the recent price action, and volume has been above average recently, suggesting increased trading activity but without a clear directional signal.",
    "Insiders have purchased approximately $49.9 million worth of stock, far exceeding sales of $5.2 million, indicating a moderate level of confidence in the company's future prospects.",
    "Recent analyst rating changes show a mix of upgrades and downgrades, contributing to the overall 'Hold' consensus and suggesting a lack of strong conviction from the sell-side.",
    "The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($47.83 and $51.31), with a bearish RSI and MACD, indicating negative momentum and potential for further downside.",
    "Shift4 Payments Inc. trades at a P/E ratio of 66.08, significantly higher than the sector average, which could limit upside potential unless growth significantly exceeds expectations.",
    "Shift4 Payments Inc. (FOUR) faces a neutral outlook in the medium term, with a median Wall Street price target of $51.50 suggesting limited upside from the current $43.03. The company's strong revenue growth trajectory, projected at 22.00% for the year, provides a foundation, but the elevated P/E ratio of 66.08 presents a valuation headwind. The stock's bearish technical positioning, trading below key moving averages, further supports a cautious near-term view."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Insider buying totaling nearly $50 million signals moderate conviction from management, warranting attention despite current technical weakness.",
     "The stock's bearish technical setup, trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($47.83 and $51.31), suggests caution until a clear upward trend emerges.",
     "Given the high P/E ratio, investors should monitor forward revenue growth estimates closely for any signs of deceleration, which could pressure the stock."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Significant Insider Buying Activity",
     "text": "Insiders have purchased approximately $49.9 million worth of stock, far exceeding sales of $5.2 million, indicating a moderate level of confidence in the company's future prospects.",
     "source": "Insider Trading Data"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Mixed Analyst Sentiment",
     "text": "Recent analyst rating changes show a mix of upgrades and downgrades, contributing to the overall 'Hold' consensus and suggesting a lack of strong conviction from the sell-side.",
     "source": "Wall Street Analyst Ratings"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Bearish Technical Indicators",
     "text": "The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($47.83 and $51.31), with a bearish RSI and MACD, indicating negative momentum and potential for further downside.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis Data"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Elevated Valuation",
     "text": "Shift4 Payments Inc. trades at a P/E ratio of 66.08, significantly higher than the sector average, which could limit upside potential unless growth significantly exceeds expectations.",
     "source": "Fundamental Analysis Data"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Shift4 Payments Inc. (FOUR) exhibits strong revenue growth, with a projected 22.00% increase for the current year, outpacing the sector average of 10.00%. However, its P/E ratio of 66.08 is significantly higher than the sector average of 25.5, suggesting a premium valuation. The company's earnings per share (EPS) of $0.64 is positive, but the high P/E ratio implies that future growth is heavily priced in. Balance sheet strength and profit margins would need further examination to fully assess the fundamental picture against its valuation.",
    "Shift4 Payments Inc. (FOUR) is expected to report revenue growth of 13.00% for the current quarter and 15.00% for the next quarter, indicating continued top-line expansion. Full-year revenue growth is projected at 22.00%. While specific recent earnings beats or misses are not detailed, the forward revenue estimates suggest ongoing business momentum.",
    "Shift4 Payments Inc. (FOUR) faces valuation risk, with its P/E ratio significantly exceeding sector averages, implying high expectations for future growth. The stock is also trading below key moving averages, indicating bearish technical momentum. Also, recent analyst rating changes have shown mixed sentiment, contributing to the neutral Wall Street consensus."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "3.40B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "66.08"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "0.6400"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.00%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "92.47"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "34.56"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Bearish SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $47.83, 200-day: $51.31), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Bearish",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "37.12"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-1.33"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "47.83"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "51.31"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.38",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.32",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.13",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.00"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "FOUR Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (37.1) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$43.88",
    "TARGET 2": "$44.73",
    "TARGET 3": "$46.01",
    "STOP LOSS": "$38.37"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+0.65%",
    "Average Feb return": "-3.29%",
    "Average Mar return": "+0.74%",
    "Average Apr return": "-3.75%",
    "Average May return": "+0.00%",
    "Average Jun return": "+0.15%",
    "Average Jul return": "+2.70%",
    "Average Aug return": "+4.51%",
    "Average Sep return": "-3.26%",
    "Average Oct return": "-6.99%",
    "Average Nov return": "+14.92%",
    "Average Dec return": "+8.03%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "5.48%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in FOUR in June 2020 would be worth about $12,829 today, compared with about $23,731 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in FOUR today could grow to about $17,076 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $129,551 and a bear case around $2,251. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "FOUR Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $53.30 for FOUR by 2030 in the base case, from $43.03 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $14.80. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on FOUR's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using FOUR's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "FOUR simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$23.92",
        "$45.40",
        "$86.16"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$19.35",
        "$47.89",
        "$119"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$16.65",
        "$50.52",
        "$153"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$14.80",
        "$53.30",
        "$192"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$13.42",
        "$56.23",
        "$236"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$12.35",
        "$59.32",
        "$285"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$11.49",
        "$62.58",
        "$341"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$10.78",
        "$66.02",
        "$404"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$10.19",
        "$69.65",
        "$476"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$9.69",
        "$73.48",
        "$557"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
   "links": [
    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/palo-alto-networks-panw/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "LMT vs RTX Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/lmt-vs-rtx/"
    },
    {
     "text": "JPM vs BAC Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/jpm-vs-bac/"
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/bsx-vs-mdt/"
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "FOUR Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "$49.9M",
    "Sold": "$5.2M",
    "Insiders": "12",
    "Avg Transaction": "$2.9M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in FOUR",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Dec 7, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "SEARCHLIGHT CAPITAL PARTNERS II GP, L.L.C Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "9.2M",
        "$495.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 15, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "SEARCHLIGHT CAPITAL PARTNERS II GP, L.L.C Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "7.9M",
        "$366.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 9, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "SEARCHLIGHT CAPITAL PARTNERS II GP, L.L.C Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "4.3M",
        "$355.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 16, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "SEARCHLIGHT CAPITAL PARTNERS II GP, L.L.C Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "2.0M",
        "$182.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 6, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "SEARCHLIGHT CAPITAL PARTNERS II GP, L.L.C Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "1.5M",
        "$68.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 25, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "SEARCHLIGHT CAPITAL PARTNERS II GP, L.L.C Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "631.9K",
        "$57.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 28, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "SEARCHLIGHT CAPITAL PARTNERS II GP, L.L.C Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "276.0K",
        "$27.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 22, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "SEARCHLIGHT CAPITAL PARTNERS II GP, L.L.C Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "259.8K",
        "$25.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 20, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "SEARCHLIGHT CAPITAL PARTNERS II GP, L.L.C Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "236.3K",
        "$21.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 24, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "SEARCHLIGHT CAPITAL PARTNERS II GP, L.L.C Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "223.5K",
        "$20.3M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Shift4+Payments+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Shift4 Payments Inc.'s stock price forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "Shift4 Payments Inc. (FOUR) has a long-range projection for 2030 with a base case price of $53.30. The downside projection is $14.80, while the upside projection reaches $192.01. These figures are derived from Monte Carlo simulations and are not guaranteed price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is Shift4 Payments Inc. stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Shift4 Payments Inc. (FOUR) is currently rated a Hold by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $51.50, suggesting limited upside from the current price of $43.03. While insider activity shows moderate buying signals, the stock's technicals are bearish, trading below key moving averages."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the biggest risks for Shift4 Payments Inc.?",
   "answer": "The primary risks for Shift4 Payments Inc. (FOUR) include its high valuation, with a P/E ratio significantly above the sector average, and bearish technical indicators, as the stock trades below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($47.83 and $51.31). Mixed analyst sentiment also presents a risk to near-term performance."
  },
  {
   "question": "How is Shift4 Payments Inc. performing financially?",
   "answer": "Shift4 Payments Inc. (FOUR) demonstrates strong revenue growth, projected at 22.00% for the current year, outpacing the sector average. However, its P/E ratio of 66.08 is considerably higher than the sector average of 25.5, indicating a premium valuation."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the Wall Street consensus for Shift4 Payments Inc. stock?",
   "answer": "The Wall Street consensus for Shift4 Payments Inc. (FOUR) is a Hold, with 23 analysts covering the stock. The consensus score is 64 out of 100, and the median price target is $51.50, implying a 19.7% upside from the current price."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the insider sentiment for Shift4 Payments Inc.?",
   "answer": "Insider sentiment for Shift4 Payments Inc. (FOUR) is moderately positive, with insiders being net buyers. Total purchases amount to $49.9 million, significantly outweighing total sales of $5.2 million, indicating a degree of confidence from management."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does Shift4 Payments Inc. compare to its sector averages?",
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      "text": "Shift4 Payments Inc. (FOUR) has a long-range projection for 2030 with a base case price of $53.30. The downside projection is $14.80, while the upside projection reaches $192.01. These figures are derived from Monte Carlo simulations and are not guaranteed price targets."
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      "text": "Shift4 Payments Inc. (FOUR) shows stronger revenue growth (34.1%) than the sector average (10.0%). However, its P/E ratio (66.08) is substantially higher than the sector average (25.5), and its ROE (not provided) is likely lower than the sector average of 15.0% given the valuation."
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}