{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/ford-motor-company-f/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/ford-motor-company-f/data.json",
 "title": "Ford Motor (F) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Ford Motor Co. (F) stock: Consumer Cyclical, Auto Manufacturers. $55.3B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Ford Motor Co. (F)",
 "published": "2026-06-17T09:11:11+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T18:56:01.785+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T21:03:50.469Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "F",
  "name": "Ford Motor Co.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Consumer Cyclical",
  "industry": "Auto Manufacturers",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.ford.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 13.97,
  "previousClose": 13.88,
  "change": 0.08,
  "changePercent": 0.61,
  "open": 14.1,
  "high": 14.12,
  "low": 13.955,
  "volume": 1638710,
  "averageVolume": 43468271,
  "marketCap": 55347827857,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 17.78,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 11.11,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T18:56:00.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": -7.47,
  "eps": -1.87,
  "dividendYield": 0.04293381037567084,
  "beta": 1.835,
  "priceToSales": 0.29444566,
  "priceToBook": 1.549453,
  "revenueTtm": 187972993024,
  "grossMargin": 0.0687841643200265,
  "returnOnEquity": -0.18252
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 43.25,
  "macd": -0.06,
  "sma50": 14.11,
  "sma200": 13.52,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 59,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 13.97,
  "analystTarget": 15.92,
  "analystCount": 21,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T18:56:00.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 13.965,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 2.17,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 13.83,
  "aggressiveEntry": 13.97,
  "stopLoss": 13.38,
  "stopLossPercent": 3.25,
  "targets": [
   14.24,
   14.52,
   14.93
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 8.95,
    "base": 14.48,
    "upside90th": 23.44
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 7.6,
    "base": 15.02,
    "upside90th": 29.68
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 6.76,
    "base": 15.57,
    "upside90th": 35.86
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 6.16,
    "base": 16.15,
    "upside90th": 42.31
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 5.7,
    "base": 16.74,
    "upside90th": 49.16
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 5.33,
    "base": 17.36,
    "upside90th": 56.49
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 5.03,
    "base": 18,
    "upside90th": 64.39
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 4.78,
    "base": 18.67,
    "upside90th": 72.91
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 4.56,
    "base": 19.36,
    "upside90th": 82.12
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 4.38,
    "base": 20.07,
    "upside90th": 92.07
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "F Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$14.10",
    "Day Range": "$13.96 to $14.12",
    "Prev Close": "$13.88",
    "Volume": "1.64M",
    "52-Week Range": "$11.11 to $17.78",
    "Market Cap": "$55.35B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-20%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "F Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, F beat estimates 2 times. The stock rose 2 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "F Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Ford Motor Co. is trading below its 20-day and 50-day exponential moving averages at $14.04 and $14.11 respectively, suggesting near-term downward pressure. However, the stock remains above its 200-day simple moving average of $13.52, indicating a positive long-term trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 43.25, falling within the neutral momentum range, and the MACD is slightly negative at -0.059, signaling a lack of strong directional momentum. Key support is observed around the 200-day SMA, while resistance may be encountered near the 50-day SMA. Trading volume has been significantly below average recently, which could indicate a lack of conviction from market participants. The current technical setup suggests a period of consolidation or a potential retest of support levels before any significant upward movement.",
    "Insiders have demonstrated a moderate insider buying with net purchases totaling $2.2 million versus $675,000 in sales, indicating confidence from management.",
    "Ford has recently exceeded analyst EPS estimates in its latest earnings report, posting $0.42 against expectations of $0.35, which historically has supported positive price action.",
    "The median analyst price target for Ford stands at $15.92, suggesting a potential upside of 14% from the current trading price of $13.965.",
    "Ford's revenue growth has contracted by 3.8% and the company reports a negative EPS of -1.87, raising concerns about profitability and the sustainability of its dividend.",
    "The stock is trading below its 50-day moving average and has seen significantly below-average trading volume, indicating a lack of strong bullish momentum.",
    "Ford Motor Co.'s outlook is cautiously neutral, with a base case projection of $16.15 by 2030, reflecting a modest upside from current levels. The company's ability to consistently beat EPS estimates provides a foundation, but the slow revenue growth and negative EPS are significant headwinds. The current 'Hold' consensus from Wall Street and a moderate insider buying signal suggest that significant catalysts would be needed to drive substantial price appreciation. Upside potential could be realized through stronger-than-expected EV adoption and profitability, successful cost-saving initiatives, or a broader market rally favoring cyclical stocks. Conversely, increased competition, persistent supply chain issues, or a downturn in consumer spending could push the stock towards its downside projection of $6.16. Investors should monitor EV sales performance and profitability margins closely."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Ford Motor Co. offers a dividend yield of approximately 4.29%, which may appeal to income-focused investors, but ensure this is sustainable given the company's negative EPS.",
     "The stock is trading below its 50-day moving average, suggesting caution for short-term traders. Monitor for a break above the $14.11 level for potential upward momentum.",
     "Given the intense competition and rapid technological shifts in the automotive industry, particularly towards EVs, maintaining a diversified portfolio is advisable."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Insider Buying Signal",
     "text": "Insiders have demonstrated a moderate insider buying with net purchases totaling $2.2 million versus $675,000 in sales, indicating confidence from management.",
     "source": "Insider Transactions"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Consistent EPS Beats",
     "text": "Ford has recently exceeded analyst EPS estimates in its latest earnings report, posting $0.42 against expectations of $0.35, which historically has supported positive price action.",
     "source": "Earnings Reports"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Analyst Target Price Upside",
     "text": "The median analyst price target for Ford stands at $15.92, suggesting a potential upside of 14% from the current trading price of $13.965.",
     "source": "Wall Street Analysts"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Negative Revenue Growth and EPS",
     "text": "Ford's revenue growth has contracted by 3.8% and the company reports a negative EPS of -1.87, raising concerns about profitability and the sustainability of its dividend.",
     "source": "Financial Statements"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Mixed Technical Indicators",
     "text": "The stock is trading below its 50-day moving average and has seen significantly below-average trading volume, indicating a lack of strong bullish momentum.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Ford Motor Co. presents a mixed fundamental picture, with its Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio not applicable due to negative EPS of -1.87. The company's revenue growth has contracted by 3.8% over the last reported period, and current quarter revenue estimates show a slight year-over-year decline of 1.00%. While forward revenue growth is projected to be around 2.00% for both the current and next year, this indicates a slow recovery. The company pays a dividend yield of approximately 4.29%, which is relatively attractive. However, the negative EPS and recent revenue contraction raise concerns about profitability and growth sustainability. The sector averages for P/E and revenue growth are 15.0 and 5.0% respectively, suggesting Ford is not trading at a premium valuation but is underperforming on growth metrics compared to its peers.",
    "Ford Motor Co. has demonstrated a consistent ability to beat analyst EPS estimates in recent quarters, with the latest reported EPS of $0.42 exceeding the $0.35 estimate by 20%. This positive earnings surprise was accompanied by a 2.14% stock price increase. However, the company missed EPS estimates in February 2026 and showed a significant beat in April 2026, indicating some volatility in performance relative to expectations.",
    "Ford Motor Co. faces risks related to its slow revenue growth and negative EPS, which could pressure its valuation and dividend sustainability. The stock's technicals are mixed, trading below key short-term moving averages, and recent trading volume has been notably low, suggesting a lack of investor enthusiasm. Competition within the automotive sector remains intense, with ongoing shifts towards electric vehicles posing a significant strategic challenge."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "55.35B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "N/A (Negative EPS)"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "-1.87"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "4.29%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "17.78"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "11.11"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($14.11) above the 200-day SMA ($13.52), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "43.25"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-0.06"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "14.11"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "13.52"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.42",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.35",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.16",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.10"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "F Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (43.3) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$14.24",
    "TARGET 2": "$14.52",
    "TARGET 3": "$14.93",
    "STOP LOSS": "$13.38"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+2.72%",
    "Average Feb return": "-4.11%",
    "Average Mar return": "-2.82%",
    "Average Apr return": "+0.49%",
    "Average May return": "+7.69%",
    "Average Jun return": "+0.52%",
    "Average Jul return": "-0.81%",
    "Average Aug return": "-0.34%",
    "Average Sep return": "-1.94%",
    "Average Oct return": "+3.11%",
    "Average Nov return": "+5.05%",
    "Average Dec return": "-3.13%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "2.17%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in F in September 2016 would be worth about $10,929 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in F today could grow to about $14,373 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $65,931 and a bear case around $3,133. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "F Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $16.15 for F by 2030 in the base case, from $13.97 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $6.16. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on F's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using F's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "F simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$8.95",
        "$14.48",
        "$23.44"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$7.60",
        "$15.02",
        "$29.68"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$6.76",
        "$15.57",
        "$35.86"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$6.16",
        "$16.15",
        "$42.31"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$5.70",
        "$16.74",
        "$49.16"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$5.33",
        "$17.36",
        "$56.49"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$5.03",
        "$18.00",
        "$64.39"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$4.78",
        "$18.67",
        "$72.91"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$4.56",
        "$19.36",
        "$82.12"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$4.38",
        "$20.07",
        "$92.07"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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    },
    {
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    },
    {
     "text": "TSLA Tesla, Inc. NASDAQ $367.81 -0.0951%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/tesla-tsla/"
    },
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/mar-stock-analysis/"
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    {
     "text": "PDD PDD Holdings Inc. NASDAQ $77.84 -0.9795%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/pdd-holdings-pdd/"
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    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/alibaba-baba/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare F",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "F vs GM Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/f-vs-gm/"
    },
    {
     "text": "SOFI vs AFRM Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/sofi-vs-afrm/"
    },
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/csx-vs-nsc/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "F Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "$2.2M",
    "Sold": "$675.0K",
    "Insiders": "21",
    "Avg Transaction": "$714.4K"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in F",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Mar 2, 2018",
       "cells": [
        "FORD WILLIAM CLAY JR Chairman of the Board",
        "Sell",
        "454.3K",
        "$4.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 3, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "FARLEY JAMES D JR Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "185.3K",
        "$3.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 3, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "O'CALLAGHAN CATHERINE A Officer",
        "Sell",
        "73.0K",
        "$1.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 10, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "THAI-TANG HAU N Chief Operating Officer",
        "Sell",
        "90.0K",
        "$1.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 3, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "FARLEY JAMES D JR Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "79.9K",
        "$1.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 24, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "HUNTSMAN JON M JR Director",
        "Sell",
        "81.2K",
        "$982.2K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 4, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "ROBINSON KIERSTEN Officer",
        "Sell",
        "60.0K",
        "$972.0K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 21, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "ROWLEY STUART JOHN Officer",
        "Sell",
        "52.4K",
        "$773.8K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 2, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "FRICK ANDREW Officer",
        "Sell",
        "60.0K",
        "$675.0K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 29, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "O'CALLAGHAN CATHERINE A Officer",
        "Sell",
        "53.0K",
        "$547.6K"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Ford+Motor+Co.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Ford Motor Co.'s stock price forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "Ford Motor Co.'s stock price forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case of $16.15, with a downside scenario of $6.16 and an upside scenario of $42.31. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is Ford Motor Co. stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Ford Motor Co. is currently rated as 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 62 out of 100. While insider transactions show a moderate buying signal, the stock is trading below its short-term moving averages and faces challenges with revenue growth, suggesting a cautious approach is warranted."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is Ford's current dividend yield?",
   "answer": "Ford Motor Co. offers a dividend yield of approximately 4.29%, providing a notable income stream for investors."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the main risks facing Ford Motor Co.?",
   "answer": "Key risks for Ford include intense competition in the automotive market, the ongoing transition to electric vehicles which requires significant investment, and the company's current negative EPS and slow revenue growth, which could impact future profitability and stock performance."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has Ford Motor Co. performed in recent earnings reports?",
   "answer": "Ford has recently shown a tendency to beat analyst EPS estimates, with the latest quarter's actual EPS of $0.42 surpassing the estimated $0.35 by 20%. This pattern suggests operational efficiency in meeting earnings expectations, although revenue growth remains a point of concern."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the outlook for Ford's revenue growth?",
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      "text": "The consensus among 21 Wall Street analysts for Ford Motor Co. is 'Hold', with a median price target of $15.92, implying a 14% upside from the current price. The overall analyst score is 62 out of 100, reflecting a neutral to cautiously optimistic view."
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}