{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/five-stock-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/five-stock-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Is Five Below (FIVE) a Buy or Sell today? See the AI trade setup, post earnings price targets, key support levels and risk analysis. Updated daily.",
 "headline": "Five Below, Inc. (FIVE)",
 "published": "2026-09-04T09:17:40+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T00:14:30.435+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T21:00:43.081Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "FIVE",
  "name": "Five Below, Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Consumer Cyclical",
  "industry": "Specialty Retail",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.fivebelow.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 241.28,
  "previousClose": 247.12,
  "change": -5.84,
  "changePercent": -2.36,
  "open": 245.47,
  "high": 250.73,
  "low": 240.825,
  "volume": 1082392,
  "averageVolume": 1405169,
  "marketCap": 13283437564,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 263.88,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 137.77,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T00:14:28.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 21.639463,
  "eps": 11.15,
  "dividendYield": 0,
  "beta": 0.989,
  "priceToSales": 2.4997683,
  "priceToBook": 5.3647585,
  "revenueTtm": 5313867776,
  "grossMargin": 0.48547475094986653,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.28250998
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 52.89,
  "macd": 5.96,
  "sma50": 222.09,
  "sma200": 209.83,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Bullish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 69,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": 300,
  "analystTarget": 300,
  "analystCount": 25,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T00:14:28.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 241.28,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 2.69,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 236.45,
  "aggressiveEntry": 241.28,
  "stopLoss": 219.9,
  "stopLossPercent": 7,
  "targets": [
   248.28,
   260.1,
   271.92
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 148.96,
    "base": 271.53,
    "upside90th": 494.97
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 130.72,
    "base": 305.58,
    "upside90th": 714.31
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 121.56,
    "base": 343.89,
    "upside90th": 972.89
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 116.47,
    "base": 387.01,
    "upside90th": 1285.98
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 113.75,
    "base": 435.54,
    "upside90th": 1667.6
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 112.62,
    "base": 490.15,
    "upside90th": 2133.26
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 112.65,
    "base": 551.6,
    "upside90th": 2700.98
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 113.6,
    "base": 620.76,
    "upside90th": 3392
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 115.33,
    "base": 698.6,
    "upside90th": 4231.5
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 117.75,
    "base": 786.19,
    "upside90th": 5249.4
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "FIVE Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$245.47",
    "Day Range": "$240.83 to $250.73",
    "Prev Close": "$247.12",
    "Volume": "1.08M",
    "52-Week Range": "$137.77 to $263.88",
    "Market Cap": "$13.28B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-0.002482% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "FIVE Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($222.09 and $209.83), indicating a generally positive longer-term trend. However, the stock is currently below its 20-day exponential moving average, suggesting some near-term weakness. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 52.89, which falls into the neutral momentum category, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. Key support levels are indicated by the 50-day SMA at $222.09 and the 200-day SMA at $209.83. Resistance may be found near the recent highs. Volume has been below average recently, which could suggest a lack of strong conviction behind current price movements. The current price action, coupled with neutral RSI, suggests a period of consolidation or a potential shift in momentum.",
    "Current year revenue estimates show a projected growth of 20.00%, significantly exceeding the sector average, indicating strong market demand and expansion potential.",
    "The median analyst price target of $300.00 suggests a potential 24.3% upside from the current stock price of $241.28.",
    "Insiders have sold $23.9 million worth of stock compared to $93.3 thousand in purchases, indicating a net selling trend that warrants investor attention.",
    "While the company has beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, market reactions have been inconsistent, with some beats leading to price declines, highlighting potential volatility.",
    "The outlook for Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) is cautiously optimistic, supported by strong projected revenue growth and a median analyst price target of $300.00, suggesting a 24.3% upside from the current price. The company's ability to consistently grow revenue, outpacing sector averages, positions it well for future performance. The current valuation appears reasonable relative to its growth trajectory and peer group. Potential catalysts for upside include continued strong execution on sales growth and positive earnings surprises, which could drive the stock towards its higher analyst targets. Conversely, increased insider selling, a shift in consumer spending towards discretionary items, or competitive pressures could pose downside risks and impact the stock's trajectory. Investors should monitor insider activity and consumer spending trends closely."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor insider selling trends closely, as significant sales could signal reduced confidence from management.",
     "The stock is trading above key long-term moving averages (50-day and 200-day SMA), suggesting underlying strength, but is currently below the 20-day EMA, indicating potential near-term choppiness.",
     "Consider position sizing carefully given the moderate insider selling signal and the stock's current technical positioning below the 20-day EMA."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Strong Revenue Growth Projections",
     "text": "Current year revenue estimates show a projected growth of 20.00%, significantly exceeding the sector average, indicating strong market demand and expansion potential.",
     "source": "Wall Street Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Median Analyst Price Target Upside",
     "text": "The median analyst price target of $300.00 suggests a potential 24.3% upside from the current stock price of $241.28.",
     "source": "Wall Street Summary"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Moderate Insider Selling Signal",
     "text": "Insiders have sold $23.9 million worth of stock compared to $93.3 thousand in purchases, indicating a net selling trend that warrants investor attention.",
     "source": "Insider Summary"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Mixed Earnings Reaction",
     "text": "While the company has beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, market reactions have been inconsistent, with some beats leading to price declines, highlighting potential volatility.",
     "source": "Earnings Recent"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) exhibits a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 21.64, which appears reasonable when compared to the sector average P/E of 21.64, suggesting the stock is trading in line with its peers on this metric. The company's revenue growth is strong, with current year estimates at 20.00%, outpacing the sector average of 10.00%. Profitability metrics, such as Net Profit Margin and Return on Equity (ROE), are not explicitly provided in the data, but the positive EPS of $11.15 suggests profitability. Valuation appears attractive given the projected revenue growth and the median analyst target price, which implies a significant upside from the current trading level. The company's balance sheet strength and cash flow generation capabilities would be key factors to assess further, though not detailed here. The current valuation does not appear excessively stretched relative to its growth prospects and sector averages.",
    "Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) has shown mixed performance in its recent earnings reports. The latest quarter ending July 28, 2026, saw an EPS beat of $0.89 against an estimate of $0.87, with a modest 0.72% price increase. The prior quarter ending June 25, 2026, missed estimates with an EPS of -$0.16 versus -$0.14, resulting in a 0.95% price increase. The quarter ending June 3, 2026, significantly beat estimates with $2.22 versus $1.79, though the stock declined 13.78%. Overall, the company has demonstrated an ability to beat estimates, but the market reaction has been inconsistent.",
    "A primary risk for Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) is the moderate insider selling signal, with total sales significantly exceeding total purchases, indicating potential caution among management. Additionally, the stock's recent performance shows it trading below its 20-day EMA, suggesting potential near-term downward pressure. While revenue growth is strong, the inconsistent market reaction to earnings beats and misses highlights potential volatility and investor sentiment risks."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "13.28B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "21.64"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "11.15"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.00%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "263.88"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "137.77"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bullish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bullish MACD Bullish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($222.09) above the 200-day SMA ($209.83), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bullish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "52.89"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "5.96"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "222.09"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "209.83"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.41",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.38",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.20",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.02"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "FIVE Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (52.9) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$248.28",
    "TARGET 2": "$260.10",
    "TARGET 3": "$271.92",
    "STOP LOSS": "$219.90"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "2.69%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in FIVE in September 2016 would be worth about $57,681 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in FIVE today could grow to about $32,584 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $217,565 and a bear case around $4,880. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "FIVE Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $387 for FIVE by 2030 in the base case, from $241 today (1.6x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $116. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on FIVE's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using FIVE's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. FIVE is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "FIVE simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$149",
        "$272",
        "$495"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$131",
        "$306",
        "$714"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$122",
        "$344",
        "$973"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$116",
        "$387",
        "$1,286"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$114",
        "$436",
        "$1,668"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$113",
        "$490",
        "$2,133"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$113",
        "$552",
        "$2,701"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$114",
        "$621",
        "$3,392"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$115",
        "$699",
        "$4,232"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$118",
        "$786",
        "$5,249"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "DHI D.R. Horton, Inc. NYSE $137.98 +1.78%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/dhi-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "WEN The Wendy's Company NASDAQ $7.62 +2.42%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/wen-wendys-company/"
    },
    {
     "text": "PTON Peloton Interactive Inc. NASDAQ $4.92 -2.77%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/peloton-pton/"
    },
    {
     "text": "QSR Restaurant Brands International Inc. NYSE $76.96 +0.6145%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/qsr-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "ANF Abercrombie & Fitch Co. NYSE $146.08 +2.20%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/abercrombie-fitch-anf/"
    },
    {
     "text": "HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. NYSE $306.12 -0.0392%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/hilton-worldwide-hlt/"
    },
    {
     "text": "RH RH Inc. NYSE $136.83 +2.10%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/rh-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "LEN Lennar Corp. NYSE $79.86 +2.51%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/lennar-len/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vgt-vs-ftec/"
    },
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "FIVE Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "$93.3K",
    "Sold": "$23.9M",
    "Insiders": "25",
    "Avg Transaction": "$1.2M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in FIVE",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Jun 23, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "VELLIOS THOMAS G Director",
        "Sell",
        "100.0K",
        "$11.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 6, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "VELLIOS THOMAS G Director",
        "Sell",
        "100.0K",
        "$10.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 2, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "VELLIOS THOMAS G Director",
        "Sell",
        "50.0K",
        "$9.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 17, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "VELLIOS THOMAS G Director",
        "Sell",
        "60.0K",
        "$8.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 4, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "ANDERSON JOEL D Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "35.7K",
        "$5.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 24, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "SARGENT RONALD L Director",
        "Sell",
        "20.0K",
        "$4.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 11, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "VELLIOS THOMAS G Director",
        "Sell",
        "20.0K",
        "$4.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 5, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "BULL KENNETH R Chief Operating Officer",
        "Sell",
        "25.0K",
        "$4.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 18, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "SARGENT RONALD L Director",
        "Sell",
        "30.0K",
        "$4.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 11, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "ANDERSON JOEL D Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "30.0K",
        "$3.9M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Five+Below%2C+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "Is Five Below (FIVE) stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Five Below (FIVE) is currently rated a 'Buy' by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 69 out of 100. The median analyst price target of $300.00 suggests a potential upside of 24.3% from the current price of $241.28."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is Five Below's (FIVE) price target for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Five Below's (FIVE) projected price for 2030 is $387.01 as a base case, with a downside projection of $116.47 and an upside projection of $1285.98. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the biggest risks facing Five Below (FIVE)?",
   "answer": "Key risks include moderate insider selling, with total sales significantly exceeding purchases, and recent price action trading below the 20-day EMA. Inconsistent market reactions to earnings also present a risk."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does Five Below (FIVE) compare to its sector averages?",
   "answer": "Five Below's (FIVE) P/E ratio is in line with the sector average of 21.64. Its projected revenue growth of 20.00% for the current year significantly outpaces the sector average of 10.00%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What was Five Below's (FIVE) most recent earnings performance?",
   "answer": "In the most recent quarter ending July 28, 2026, Five Below (FIVE) reported an EPS of $0.89, beating the estimate of $0.87 by 2.3%, and the stock saw a 0.72% price increase."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the analyst consensus for Five Below (FIVE)?",
   "answer": "The Wall Street consensus for Five Below (FIVE) is 'Buy', with 2 Strong Buy, 15 Buy, and 8 Hold ratings from 25 analysts. The overall Wall Street score is 69 out of 100."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the technical outlook for Five Below (FIVE) stock?",
   "answer": "Five Below (FIVE) is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($222.09 and $209.83) but below its 20-day EMA, indicating a neutral to slightly cautious short-term technical picture. The RSI is neutral at 52.89."
  }
 ],
 "related": {
  "peopleAlsoWatch": [
   {
    "ticker": "DHI",
    "name": "D.R. Horton, Inc. NYSE",
    "price": "$137.98",
    "change": "+1.78%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/dhi-stock-analysis/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "WEN",
    "name": "The Wendy's Company NASDAQ",
    "price": "$7.62",
    "change": "+2.42%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/wen-wendys-company/"
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   {
    "ticker": "PTON",
    "name": "Peloton Interactive Inc. NASDAQ",
    "price": "$4.92",
    "change": "-2.77%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/peloton-pton/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "QSR",
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      "text": "Five Below (FIVE) is trading above its 50-day and 200-day SMAs but below its 20-day EMA, indicating a neutral to slightly cautious short-term technical picture. The RSI is neutral at 52.89."
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}