{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/fico-stock-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/fico-stock-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "Fair Isaac Corp. (FICO) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Fair Isaac (FICO) after the mortgage scoring shake up: see the AI trade setup, valuation, key support levels and downside risks. Updated daily.",
 "headline": "Fair Isaac Corp. (FICO)",
 "published": "2026-09-06T09:17:30+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T12:42:28.376+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T20:01:29.507Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "FICO",
  "name": "Fair Isaac Corp.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Technology",
  "industry": "Software - Application",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.fico.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 960.67,
  "previousClose": 983.19,
  "change": -22.52,
  "changePercent": -2.29,
  "open": 973.71002,
  "high": 982.98999,
  "low": 947.90997,
  "volume": 365500,
  "averageVolume": 446180,
  "marketCap": 20748199583,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 1998.01001,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 870.01001,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T12:42:26.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 27.837439,
  "eps": 34.51,
  "dividendYield": 0.00008328475077385266,
  "beta": 1.318,
  "priceToSales": 8.668289,
  "priceToBook": -5.314907891649487,
  "revenueTtm": 2393574912,
  "grossMargin": 0.8709306602906014,
  "returnOnEquity": -0.3734402423209286
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 27.62,
  "macd": -43.37,
  "sma50": 1154.02,
  "sma200": 1293.06,
  "rsiSignal": "Oversold",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Sell",
  "score": 21,
  "consensus": "Sell",
  "fairValue": 960.67,
  "analystTarget": 1530,
  "analystCount": 21,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T12:42:26.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 960.66998,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 4.36,
   "risk": "volatile"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bearish",
  "conservativeEntry": 979.88,
  "aggressiveEntry": 960.67,
  "stopLoss": 1055.33,
  "stopLossPercent": 7.7,
  "targets": [
   930.89,
   881.9,
   832.9
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 659.94,
    "base": 1090.52,
    "upside90th": 1802.03
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 608.44,
    "base": 1237.93,
    "upside90th": 2518.69
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 588.77,
    "base": 1405.26,
    "upside90th": 3354.01
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 584.2,
    "base": 1595.21,
    "upside90th": 4355.85
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 589.02,
    "base": 1810.83,
    "upside90th": 5567.06
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 600.67,
    "base": 2055.6,
    "upside90th": 7034.61
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 617.85,
    "base": 2333.45,
    "upside90th": 8812.74
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 639.88,
    "base": 2648.86,
    "upside90th": 10965.24
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 666.4,
    "base": 3006.91,
    "upside90th": 13567.62
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 697.27,
    "base": 3413.35,
    "upside90th": 16709.43
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "FICO Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$973.71",
    "Day Range": "$947.91 to $982.99",
    "Prev Close": "$983.19",
    "Volume": "365.5K",
    "52-Week Range": "$870.01 to $1,998.01",
    "Market Cap": "$20.75B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-18% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "FICO Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Fair Isaac Corp. (FICO) is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($1,154.02 and $1,293.06), indicating a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 27.62, signaling oversold conditions that could precede a bounce, but the MACD at -43.37 further reinforces the current downward momentum. Volume has been below average recently, suggesting a lack of conviction behind the current price action. Key support levels are not clearly defined given the downward trajectory, while resistance sits at the aforementioned moving averages.",
    "Insiders have sold over $94 million worth of FICO stock, indicating a lack of confidence or a need for liquidity among management, which could pressure the stock price.",
    "The stock's RSI is at 27.62, signaling oversold conditions, and it is trading significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($1,154.02 and $1,293.06), suggesting further downside potential.",
    "Fair Isaac Corp. reported a significant EPS miss in Q2 2026 (-150% surprise), leading to a price decline, which raises concerns about the predictability of its earnings.",
    "The company continues to demonstrate strong revenue growth, with a year-over-year increase of 25.7%, indicating underlying business strength.",
    "The median analyst price target for FICO is $1530, representing a potential upside of 59.3% from the current price, suggesting long-term optimism from analysts.",
    "The base case for Fair Isaac Corp. (FICO) over the next 6-12 months is cautious, given the significant insider selling and oversold technicals, despite a strong revenue growth rate of 25.7%. While Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' rating with a median target of $1530, the current price action and insider activity suggest near-term headwinds. A potential upside catalyst could be a strong earnings beat in the upcoming quarters or a shift in insider sentiment, but the immediate risk lies in the continuation of the bearish technical trend and the implications of heavy insider dispositions."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor insider transaction activity closely; the recent heavy selling pressure is a significant bearish signal that warrants caution.",
     "Given the oversold RSI of 27.62 and price below key moving averages, consider waiting for a technical confirmation of a bottom before initiating new positions.",
     "While FICO's P/E is below the sector median, the heavy insider selling and recent earnings misses suggest that valuation alone may not be sufficient to drive the stock higher in the near term."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Heavy Insider Selling Exceeds $94 Million",
     "text": "Insiders have sold over $94 million worth of FICO stock, indicating a lack of confidence or a need for liquidity among management, which could pressure the stock price.",
     "source": "Insider Summary"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Oversold Technical Conditions",
     "text": "The stock's RSI is at 27.62, signaling oversold conditions, and it is trading significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($1,154.02 and $1,293.06), suggesting further downside potential.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Recent Earnings Miss in Q2 2026",
     "text": "Fair Isaac Corp. reported a significant EPS miss in Q2 2026 (-150% surprise), leading to a price decline, which raises concerns about the predictability of its earnings.",
     "source": "Earnings Data"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Strong Revenue Growth",
     "text": "The company continues to demonstrate strong revenue growth, with a year-over-year increase of 25.7%, indicating underlying business strength.",
     "source": "Fundamental Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Wall Street Price Target of $1530",
     "text": "The median analyst price target for FICO is $1530, representing a potential upside of 59.3% from the current price, suggesting long-term optimism from analysts.",
     "source": "Wall Street Summary"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Fair Isaac Corp. (FICO) exhibits a P/E ratio of 27.84, which is below the sector median of 34, suggesting a potential valuation discount relative to peers. However, this is juxtaposed against significant insider selling totaling over $94 million, raising concerns about management's near-term confidence. While the company has demonstrated strong revenue growth of 25.7%, the recent mixed earnings performance, including a substantial EPS miss in Q2 2026, warrants caution. The balance sheet strength is not detailed, but the current insider activity overshadows the seemingly attractive valuation metrics.",
    "Fair Isaac Corp. (FICO) reported mixed earnings results in its most recent quarters. The company beat EPS estimates by 6.02% in Q3 2026, leading to a 2.59% price increase, but missed significantly in Q2 2026 with a -150% surprise, resulting in a 2.23% price drop. Prior quarters showed a 13.95% beat in Q1 2026 and a 3.53% beat in Q4 2025. This inconsistency in earnings performance, particularly the recent miss, adds to the uncertainty surrounding the stock's near-term trajectory.",
    "The primary risk for Fair Isaac Corp. (FICO) is the significant insider selling, with over $94 million in dispositions recently, signaling potential concerns among management. Technically, the stock is significantly oversold with its RSI at 27.62 and trading well below key moving averages, indicating a strong bearish trend that could persist. Also, the mixed recent earnings performance, including a substantial miss in Q2 2026, introduces uncertainty regarding the company's short-term operational execution."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "20.75B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "27.84"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "34.51"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.008328%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "1,998.01"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "870.01"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Oversold SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $1,154.02, 200-day: $1,293.06), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 27.6 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Oversold",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "27.62"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-43.37"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "1,154.02"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "1,293.06"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.27",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.20",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.21",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.04"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "FICO Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for rally",
    "Higher risk, chasing the move",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (27.6) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$930.89",
    "TARGET 2": "$881.90",
    "TARGET 3": "$832.90",
    "STOP LOSS": "$1,055.33"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "4.36%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in FICO in September 2016 would be worth about $72,927 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in FICO today could grow to about $35,531 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $173,935 and a bear case around $7,258. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "FICO Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $1,595 for FICO by 2030 in the base case, from $961 today (1.7x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $584. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on FICO's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using FICO's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "FICO simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$660",
        "$1,091",
        "$1,802"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$608",
        "$1,238",
        "$2,519"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$589",
        "$1,405",
        "$3,354"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$584",
        "$1,595",
        "$4,356"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$589",
        "$1,811",
        "$5,567"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$601",
        "$2,056",
        "$7,035"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$618",
        "$2,333",
        "$8,813"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$640",
        "$2,649",
        "$10,965"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$666",
        "$3,007",
        "$13,568"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$697",
        "$3,413",
        "$16,709"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
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  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "FICO Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$94.3M",
    "Insiders": "14",
    "Avg Transaction": "$4.5M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in FICO",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Jun 12, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "DEAL RICHARD S Officer",
        "Sell",
        "13.6K",
        "$18.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 19, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "LANSING WILLIAM J Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "28.5K",
        "$12.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 30, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "LANSING WILLIAM J Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "28.5K",
        "$12.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 9, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "LANSING WILLIAM J Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "28.5K",
        "$11.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 13, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "LANSING WILLIAM J Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "5.4K",
        "$11.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 11, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "REY DAVID A Director",
        "Sell",
        "4.7K",
        "$10.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 11, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "LANSING WILLIAM J Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "6.0K",
        "$10.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 3, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "LANSING WILLIAM J Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "24.3K",
        "$10.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 10, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "LANSING WILLIAM J Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "6.0K",
        "$10.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 24, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "SCADINA MARK R General Counsel",
        "Sell",
        "7.7K",
        "$10.6M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Fair+Isaac+Corp.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "Is FICO stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "FICO stock is currently trading at $960.67 and is rated as a Sell by our consensus score of 15. While Wall Street has a median price target of $1530, implying significant upside, heavy insider selling and oversold technicals present considerable near-term risks."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is Fair Isaac Corp.'s price target for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Fair Isaac Corp.'s projected base case price for 2030 is $1595.21, with a downside projection of $584.21 and an upside projection of $4355.85. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the biggest risks facing FICO stock?",
   "answer": "The most significant risks for FICO include heavy insider selling exceeding $94 million, significantly oversold technical indicators like an RSI at 27.6, and recent mixed earnings performance, including a notable miss in Q2 2026."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does FICO's valuation compare to its sector peers?",
   "answer": "Fair Isaac Corp. has a P/E ratio of 27.84, which is below the sector median of 34. This suggests FICO may be trading at a discount compared to other Technology companies."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the Wall Street consensus on FICO stock?",
   "answer": "The Wall Street consensus for FICO is 'Buy', with a score of 71 out of 100, based on 21 analysts. The median price target is $1530, indicating a potential upside of 59.3% from the current price."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has FICO performed in recent earnings reports?",
   "answer": "FICO's recent earnings have been mixed. While it beat estimates in Q3 2026, it significantly missed in Q2 2026. This inconsistency raises concerns about predictable earnings performance."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the current technical outlook for FICO stock?",
   "answer": "Technically, FICO is in a bearish trend, trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($1,154.02 and $1,293.06). The RSI is significantly oversold at 27.62, suggesting a potential for a short-term bounce, but the MACD indicates continued downward momentum."
  }
 ],
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