{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/ferg-ferguson-enterprises/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/ferg-ferguson-enterprises/data.json",
 "title": "Ferguson (FERG) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG) stock: Industrials, Industrial Distribution. $43.1B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG)",
 "published": "2026-08-02T09:10:32+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-27T06:30:53.011+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T14:27:32.298Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "FERG",
  "name": "Ferguson Enterprises Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Industrials",
  "industry": "Industrial Distribution",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.corporate.ferguson.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 222.74,
  "previousClose": 220.17,
  "change": 2.57,
  "changePercent": 1.17,
  "open": 220.12,
  "high": 224.22,
  "low": 218.97,
  "volume": 1228000,
  "averageVolume": 1477550,
  "marketCap": 43089660119,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 271.64001,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 207.64,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-27T06:30:52.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 21.777449,
  "eps": 10.11,
  "dividendYield": 0.015982042648709317,
  "beta": 1.112,
  "priceToSales": 1.3544557,
  "priceToBook": 6.8687215,
  "revenueTtm": 31446200320,
  "grossMargin": 0.30990743914981145,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 39.79,
  "macd": -3.97,
  "sma50": 232.52,
  "sma200": 237.88,
  "rsiSignal": "Bearish",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 55,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 290,
  "analystTarget": 290,
  "analystCount": 22,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-27T06:30:52.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 222.74001,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 1.38,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 220.51,
  "aggressiveEntry": 222.74,
  "stopLoss": 212.57,
  "stopLossPercent": 3.6,
  "targets": [
   227.13,
   231.54,
   238.15
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 164.53,
    "base": 245.92,
    "upside90th": 367.57
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 153.79,
    "base": 271.51,
    "upside90th": 479.33
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 149.43,
    "base": 299.76,
    "upside90th": 601.33
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 148.14,
    "base": 330.95,
    "upside90th": 739.39
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 148.75,
    "base": 365.39,
    "upside90th": 897.58
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 150.73,
    "base": 403.42,
    "upside90th": 1079.74
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 153.79,
    "base": 445.4,
    "upside90th": 1289.94
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 157.77,
    "base": 491.74,
    "upside90th": 1532.67
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 162.58,
    "base": 542.91,
    "upside90th": 1812.96
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 168.17,
    "base": 599.41,
    "upside90th": 2136.52
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "FERG Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$220.12",
    "Day Range": "$218.97 to $224.22",
    "Prev Close": "$220.17",
    "Volume": "1.23M",
    "52-Week Range": "$207.64 to $271.64",
    "Market Cap": "$43.09B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-36%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "FERG Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, FERG beat estimates 3 times. However, the stock fell 3 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often \"priced in\" or investors are selling the news."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "FERG Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Ferguson Enterprises Inc. is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($232.52 and $237.88), at $232.52 and $237.88 respectively, suggesting a bearish trend. The 20-day exponential moving average is also acting as resistance at $222.79. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 39.79, indicating bearish momentum, and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is at 41.53, suggesting neutral to slightly bearish conditions. Volume has been below average recently, with 1.23 million shares traded compared to a 30-day average of 1.48 million, which may suggest a lack of conviction behind the current price action.",
    "Ferguson Enterprises Inc. has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, indicating operational efficiency and potential for continued outperformance.",
    "The median analyst price target of $290.00 suggests a 30.2% upside potential from the current stock price, indicating Wall Street's confidence in future appreciation.",
    "The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($232.52 and $237.88), signaling bearish momentum and potential for further downside if these levels are not reclaimed.",
    "Ferguson's revenue growth of 4.6% is significantly below the sector median of 11.7%, potentially indicating competitive pressures or slower market penetration.",
    "Ferguson Enterprises Inc. is expected to maintain its current trading range in the near term, influenced by its bearish technical indicators. The median analyst price target of $290.00 suggests a significant upside potential, but this will likely depend on a reversal of the current technical weakness and a pickup in revenue growth. The company's ability to overcome its current technical challenges and accelerate revenue growth beyond the current 4.6% will be critical. Positive catalysts could include stronger-than-expected earnings reports or a broader market rotation into value-oriented industrial stocks. Conversely, persistent technical weakness or a slowdown in the construction and renovation markets could pressure the stock lower."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor the stock's ability to reclaim its 50-day and 200-day moving averages for signs of a technical trend reversal.",
     "Given the current bearish technical momentum, consider risk management strategies such as setting stop-loss orders below key support levels.",
     "The company's revenue growth is below the sector median; watch for any signs of acceleration or further deceleration in upcoming earnings reports."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Positive Earnings Surprises",
     "text": "Ferguson Enterprises Inc. has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, indicating operational efficiency and potential for continued outperformance.",
     "source": "Earnings Reports"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Analyst Price Target Upside",
     "text": "The median analyst price target of $290.00 suggests a 30.2% upside potential from the current stock price, indicating Wall Street's confidence in future appreciation.",
     "source": "Wall Street Analysts"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Below Moving Average Trading",
     "text": "The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($232.52 and $237.88), signaling bearish momentum and potential for further downside if these levels are not reclaimed.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Lagging Revenue Growth",
     "text": "Ferguson's revenue growth of 4.6% is significantly below the sector median of 11.7%, potentially indicating competitive pressures or slower market penetration.",
     "source": "Company Fundamentals"
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "CCI",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/cci-stock-analysis/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Ferguson Enterprises Inc. exhibits a P/E ratio of 21.78, which is below the sector median of 34, suggesting a potential valuation discount relative to peers. The company's price-to-sales ratio stands at 1.35, also below the sector median of 4.0. Profit margin is reported at 6.32% and operating margin at 10.16%. While the company's valuation appears attractive compared to the sector, its revenue growth of 4.6% lags behind the sector median of 11.7%. The debt-to-equity ratio is 1.11, which is slightly above the sector median, indicating a moderate level of financial leverage.",
    "Ferguson Enterprises Inc. has demonstrated consistent earnings beats in recent quarters. For the quarter ending June 2026, EPS actual was $3.39 against an estimate of $3.30, a 2.73% surprise, though the stock saw a 4.65% decline. The prior two quarters also showed positive surprises, with price reactions being largely flat or slightly negative. Revenue growth for the next quarter is projected at +7.00% year-over-year, and for the current year at +5.00%. Forward EPS estimates show growth, with current year EPS estimated at $11.31 and next year at $12.53.",
    "Ferguson Enterprises Inc. faces near-term risks due to its current technical positioning, trading below key moving averages and exhibiting bearish momentum. The company's revenue growth of 4.6% is notably lower than the sector median of 11.7%, indicating potential market share challenges or slower industry expansion. Also, the insider transaction data is stale, providing no current insight into management's conviction. While Wall Street remains largely positive, the divergence between the current bearish technicals and the analyst consensus warrants caution."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "43.09B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "21.78"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "10.11"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "1.60%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "271.64"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "207.64"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Bearish SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $232.52, 200-day: $237.88), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Bearish",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "39.79"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-3.97"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "232.52"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "237.88"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.51",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.45",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "-0.05",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.13"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "FERG Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (39.8) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$227.13",
    "TARGET 2": "$231.54",
    "TARGET 3": "$238.15",
    "STOP LOSS": "$212.57"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+3.04%",
    "Average Feb return": "+0.57%",
    "Average Mar return": "-6.96%",
    "Average Apr return": "+4.93%",
    "Average May return": "+0.75%",
    "Average Jun return": "+2.27%",
    "Average Jul return": "+4.91%",
    "Average Aug return": "-0.64%",
    "Average Sep return": "+0.20%",
    "Average Oct return": "+0.02%",
    "Average Nov return": "+5.47%",
    "Average Dec return": "+1.64%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "1.38%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in FERG in September 2016 would be worth about $36,589 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in FERG today could grow to about $26,911 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $95,920 and a bear case around $7,550. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "FERG Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $331 for FERG by 2030 in the base case, from $223 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $148. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on FERG's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using FERG's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "FERG simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$165",
        "$246",
        "$368"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$154",
        "$272",
        "$479"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$149",
        "$300",
        "$601"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$148",
        "$331",
        "$739"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$149",
        "$365",
        "$898"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$151",
        "$403",
        "$1,080"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$154",
        "$445",
        "$1,290"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$158",
        "$492",
        "$1,533"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$163",
        "$543",
        "$1,813"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$168",
        "$599",
        "$2,137"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
   "links": [
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    },
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/aerovironment-avav/"
    },
    {
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    },
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/honeywell-hon/"
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    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/gww-stock-analysis/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "ENPH vs FSLR Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/enph-vs-fslr/"
    },
    {
     "text": "CARR vs TT Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/carr-vs-tt/"
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    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/nue-vs-stld/"
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "FERG Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "$2.8M",
    "Sold": "$23.3M",
    "Insiders": "33",
    "Avg Transaction": "$362.8K"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in FERG",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Oct 19, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "Long Samantha J",
        "Sell",
        "16.0K",
        "$2.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 19, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "Murphy (Kevin)",
        "Sell",
        "14.8K",
        "$2.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 19, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "Cross (James)",
        "Sell",
        "14.7K",
        "$2.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 19, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "Sajor (Mike)",
        "Sell",
        "10.9K",
        "$1.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 2, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "Cross (James)",
        "Sell",
        "13.6K",
        "$1.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 19, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "Schlicher (Jake)",
        "Sell",
        "8.9K",
        "$1.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 19, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "Thees (William)",
        "Sell",
        "7.9K",
        "$1.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 2, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "Murphy (Kevin)",
        "Sell",
        "13.7K",
        "$1.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 19, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "Devine (Andrew)",
        "Sell",
        "7.7K",
        "$813.1K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 2, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "Sajor (Mike)",
        "Sell",
        "8.1K",
        "$812.5K"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Ferguson+Enterprises+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Ferguson Enterprises Inc.'s current stock price and technical outlook?",
   "answer": "Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG) is currently trading at $222.74. The stock is positioned below its 50-day SMA ($232.52) and 200-day SMA ($237.88), indicating a bearish technical trend with bearish momentum as suggested by its RSI at 39.8."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the Wall Street consensus rating and price target for FERG stock?",
   "answer": "Wall Street analysts collectively rate Ferguson Enterprises Inc. as a 'Buy', with a median price target of $290.00, implying a potential upside of 30.2% from the current price. There are 22 analysts covering the stock, with 3 Strong Buys, 11 Buys, and 8 Holds."
  },
  {
   "question": "How are Ferguson Enterprises Inc.'s recent earnings performing?",
   "answer": "Ferguson Enterprises Inc. has recently delivered positive earnings surprises, with EPS actual exceeding estimates in the last reported quarters. For the quarter ending June 2026, EPS was $3.39 versus an estimate of $3.30, although the stock experienced a price decline post-announcement."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key fundamental metrics for Ferguson Enterprises Inc. compared to its sector?",
   "answer": "Ferguson Enterprises Inc. trades at a P/E ratio of 21.78 and a price-to-sales ratio of 1.35, both below the sector medians of 34 and 4.0, respectively. Its profit margin is 6.32%, and operating margin is 10.16%. However, its revenue growth of 4.6% trails the sector median of 11.7%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is FERG stock's forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Ferguson Enterprises Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030 includes a base case price of $330.95, a downside projection of $148.14, and an upside projection of $739.39. These figures represent statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the insider sentiment for Ferguson Enterprises Inc.?",
   "answer": "Insider transaction data for Ferguson Enterprises Inc. is currently considered stale, with all recorded transactions older than 18 months. The available data consists solely of stock grants and awards, which are compensation-based and do not reflect open-market buying or selling sentiment."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the main risks facing Ferguson Enterprises Inc.?",
   "answer": "Key risks for Ferguson Enterprises Inc. include its current bearish technical trend, with the stock trading below critical moving averages and showing weak momentum. Additionally, its revenue growth is below the sector average, and the lack of current insider activity provides no additional conviction signal."
  }
 ],
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      "text": "Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG) is currently trading at $222.74. The stock is positioned below its 50-day SMA ($232.52) and 200-day SMA ($237.88), indicating a bearish technical trend with bearish momentum as suggested by its RSI of 39.79."
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      "text": "Insider transaction data for Ferguson Enterprises Inc. is currently considered stale, with all recorded transactions older than 18 months. The available data consists solely of stock grants and awards, which are compensation-based and do not reflect open-market buying or selling sentiment."
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      "text": "Key risks for Ferguson Enterprises Inc. include its current bearish technical trend, with the stock trading below critical moving averages and showing weak momentum. Additionally, its revenue growth is below the sector average, and the lack of current insider activity provides no additional conviction signal."
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   ]
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 ]
}