{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/fedex-fdx/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/fedex-fdx/data.json",
 "title": "FedEx (FDX) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "FedEx Corp. (FDX) stock: Industrials, Integrated Freight & Logistics. $73.2B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "FedEx Corp. (FDX)",
 "published": "2026-06-30T09:34:49+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-09T21:48:43.749+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T20:00:43.642Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "FDX",
  "name": "FedEx Corp.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Industrials",
  "industry": "Integrated Freight & Logistics",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.fedex.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 309.09,
  "previousClose": 309.19,
  "change": -0.1,
  "changePercent": -0.03,
  "open": 308.26,
  "high": 310.16,
  "low": 307.19,
  "volume": 859,
  "averageVolume": 1429526,
  "marketCap": 73187962952,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 345.37,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 178.33199,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-09T21:48:41.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 16.625202,
  "eps": 18.57,
  "dividendYield": 0.015780623962319416,
  "beta": 1.364,
  "priceToSales": 0.7714027,
  "priceToBook": 2.3412936,
  "revenueTtm": 94720000000,
  "grossMargin": 0.22685648018554805,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.14846
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 33.26,
  "macd": -1.07,
  "sma50": 319.03,
  "sma200": 292.65,
  "rsiSignal": "Bearish",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 55,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 359.5,
  "analystTarget": 359.5,
  "analystCount": 28,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-09T21:48:41.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 309.09,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 1.51,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 306,
  "aggressiveEntry": 309.09,
  "stopLoss": 296.82,
  "stopLossPercent": 3,
  "targets": [
   315.18,
   321.3,
   330.48
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 218.16,
    "base": 334.59,
    "upside90th": 513.15
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 197.82,
    "base": 362.19,
    "upside90th": 663.14
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 186.92,
    "base": 392.07,
    "upside90th": 822.37
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 180.44,
    "base": 424.42,
    "upside90th": 998.3
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 176.57,
    "base": 459.43,
    "upside90th": 1195.46
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 174.46,
    "base": 497.33,
    "upside90th": 1417.75
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 173.65,
    "base": 538.36,
    "upside90th": 1669.09
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 173.85,
    "base": 582.78,
    "upside90th": 1953.61
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 174.88,
    "base": 630.86,
    "upside90th": 2275.78
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 176.61,
    "base": 682.9,
    "upside90th": 2640.58
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "FDX Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$308.26",
    "Day Range": "$307.19 to $310.16",
    "Prev Close": "$309.19",
    "Volume": "859",
    "52-Week Range": "$178.33 to $345.37",
    "Market Cap": "$73.19B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-35%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "FDX Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, FDX beat estimates 5 times. The stock rose 3 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "FDX Analysis",
   "text": [
    "FedEx Corp. (FDX) is trading below its 50-day SMA of $319.03 and its 20-day EMA of $322.90, indicating short-term weakness, though it remains above its 200-day SMA of $292.65. The RSI is at 33.26, classified as bearish, reinforcing the notion of weakening momentum. MACD is also negative at -1.07, further supporting a bearish technical outlook. Volume has been below average recently, with the latest volume at 1.01 million compared to an average of 1.51 million, suggesting a lack of conviction behind current price movements. Key support is identified at the 200-day SMA, while resistance lies at the 50-day SMA and the 20-day EMA. The current price action suggests a potential for further downside if the 200-day SMA is breached, given the bearish technical indicators. Investors should monitor volume for signs of increased conviction in either direction.",
    "Current year revenue is projected to decline by 6.00%, indicating significant headwinds for the company's top line.",
    "Insiders have sold $26 million worth of stock with no reported purchases, signaling a lack of confidence in near-term price appreciation.",
    "A majority of Wall Street analysts maintain a Buy rating, with a median price target of $359.50, suggesting a potential 16.3% upside from current levels.",
    "FedEx has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, demonstrating operational efficiency despite revenue challenges.",
    "FedEx Corp. (FDX) faces a challenging near-term outlook, with projected revenue declines of -6.00% for the current year and a modest rebound to +4.00% expected next year. The company's technical indicators are bearish, with the RSI at 33.26 and the stock trading below key moving averages, suggesting potential for further price pressure. The median analyst price target of $359.50 indicates a 16.3% upside, but this is contingent on the company reversing its revenue contraction trend. Key catalysts for a bullish shift would include stronger-than-expected revenue growth, a reversal in insider selling trends, and a sustained move above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. Conversely, continued revenue declines, increased insider selling, or a breach of the 200-day SMA could lead to further downside, potentially testing the lower end of analyst targets and long-range projections."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor FedEx's upcoming earnings reports closely for signs of revenue stabilization or continued contraction, as this will be a key driver of future performance.",
     "Given the bearish technicals and moderate insider selling, consider a more conservative position sizing until a clear bullish trend emerges.",
     "The company's dividend yield of approximately 1.53% provides a modest income stream, but investors should prioritize capital appreciation given the current growth challenges."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Projected Revenue Decline",
     "text": "Current year revenue is projected to decline by 6.00%, indicating significant headwinds for the company's top line.",
     "source": "Wall Street Revenue Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Moderate Insider Selling",
     "text": "Insiders have sold $26 million worth of stock with no reported purchases, signaling a lack of confidence in near-term price appreciation.",
     "source": "Insider Transaction Data"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Positive Wall Street Consensus",
     "text": "A majority of Wall Street analysts maintain a Buy rating, with a median price target of $359.50, suggesting a potential 16.3% upside from current levels.",
     "source": "Wall Street Summary"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Earnings Beat in Recent Quarters",
     "text": "FedEx has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, demonstrating operational efficiency despite revenue challenges.",
     "source": "Recent Earnings Data"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "FedEx Corp. (FDX) exhibits a P/E ratio of 16.63, which is below the Industrials sector average of 25.5, suggesting a potential valuation discount. However, this is tempered by a projected negative revenue growth of -6.00% for the current year, significantly underperforming the sector average of 10.00%. While forward revenue growth is expected to turn positive next year at +4.00%, it remains below the sector's historical growth rate. The company's profitability, as indicated by its EPS of $18.57, appears solid on a trailing twelve-month basis. However, the forward revenue outlook and the moderate health score of 3 suggest that the company may face challenges in translating its current valuation into significant future growth. The dividend yield of approximately 1.53% offers some return to shareholders, but the overall fundamental picture is mixed, with valuation appearing attractive relative to peers but growth prospects lagging.",
    "FedEx Corp. (FDX) most recently reported Q4 2026 earnings on July 22, 2026, with an EPS of $2.99, beating the estimate of $2.91 by 2.75%. This beat was accompanied by a -1.68% price change. Prior quarters also showed a pattern of earnings beats, including a significant 25.6% surprise in Q3 2026 and a 16.15% surprise in Q2 2026. Despite these positive earnings surprises, the stock price reaction has been mixed, with recent quarters showing slight declines or minimal gains.",
    "FedEx Corp. (FDX) faces significant risks from projected revenue declines of -6.00% for the current year, which is substantially below the sector average. Also, moderate insider selling, with $26 million in sales versus no purchases, signals a lack of strong conviction from management. The company's technical indicators are also bearish, with the RSI below 40 and the stock trading below key moving averages, suggesting potential for further price depreciation."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "73.19B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "16.63"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "18.57"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "1.53%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "345.37"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "178.33"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Bearish SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($319.03) above the 200-day SMA ($292.65), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Bearish",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "33.26"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-1.07"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "319.03"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "292.65"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.49",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.39",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.02",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.05"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "FDX Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (33.3) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$315.18",
    "TARGET 2": "$321.30",
    "TARGET 3": "$330.48",
    "STOP LOSS": "$296.82"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+0.43%",
    "Average Feb return": "+1.65%",
    "Average Mar return": "+1.49%",
    "Average Apr return": "-0.16%",
    "Average May return": "+1.61%",
    "Average Jun return": "+4.61%",
    "Average Jul return": "+1.64%",
    "Average Aug return": "+2.30%",
    "Average Sep return": "-3.21%",
    "Average Oct return": "+1.13%",
    "Average Nov return": "+6.49%",
    "Average Dec return": "-3.33%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "1.51%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in FDX in September 2016 would be worth about $24,236 today, compared with about $35,913 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in FDX today could grow to about $22,094 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $85,431 and a bear case around $5,714. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "FDX Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $424 for FDX by 2030 in the base case, from $309 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $180. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on FDX's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using FDX's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "FDX simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$218",
        "$335",
        "$513"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$198",
        "$362",
        "$663"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$187",
        "$392",
        "$822"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$180",
        "$424",
        "$998"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$177",
        "$459",
        "$1,195"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$174",
        "$497",
        "$1,418"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$174",
        "$538",
        "$1,669"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$174",
        "$583",
        "$1,954"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$175",
        "$631",
        "$2,276"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$177",
        "$683",
        "$2,641"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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    },
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/hwm-stock-analysis/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
   "links": [
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/amat-vs-lrcx/"
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  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "FDX Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$26.0M",
    "Insiders": "25",
    "Avg Transaction": "$2.2M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in FDX",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Apr 9, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "SMITH FREDERICK W Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "113.4K",
        "$31.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 11, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "SMITH FREDERICK W Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "131.8K",
        "$30.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 15, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "SMITH FREDERICK W Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "102.0K",
        "$29.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 28, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "ALLEN MARK RUSSELL General Counsel",
        "Sell",
        "77.9K",
        "$23.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 7, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "SMITH FREDERICK W Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "155.8K",
        "$18.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 14, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "ADAMS GINA F General Counsel",
        "Sell",
        "20.5K",
        "$7.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 15, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "BRIGHTMAN TRACY B Officer",
        "Sell",
        "17.0K",
        "$6.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 18, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "MERINO JOHN L Officer",
        "Sell",
        "25.0K",
        "$6.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 5, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "MAIER HENRY J Officer",
        "Sell",
        "19.4K",
        "$5.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 3, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "COLLERAN DONALD F Officer",
        "Sell",
        "17.2K",
        "$5.2M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=FedEx+Corp.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "Is FedEx Corp. (FDX) stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "FedEx Corp. (FDX) is currently rated Hold, with a consensus score of 55. While Wall Street analysts have a positive outlook with a median price target of $359.50, suggesting a 16.3% upside, the stock faces headwinds from projected revenue declines and moderate insider selling."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is FedEx Corp.'s (FDX) long-term outlook?",
   "answer": "FedEx Corp.'s (FDX) long-term outlook is moderately positive, with a projected revenue growth of +4.00% for next year and a Monte Carlo simulation suggesting a base case price of $424.62 by 2030. However, this is balanced by a downside projection of $180.52, indicating significant volatility potential."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the biggest risks for FedEx Corp. (FDX)?",
   "answer": "The primary risks for FedEx Corp. (FDX) include projected revenue contraction in the current year, a bearish technical momentum indicated by its RSI and moving average positions, and moderate insider selling activity totaling $26 million."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does FedEx Corp. (FDX) compare to its sector averages?",
   "answer": "FedEx Corp. (FDX) trades at a lower P/E ratio (16.63) than the Industrials sector average (25.5), but its projected revenue growth (-6.00%) significantly lags the sector average of 10.00%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is FedEx Corp.'s (FDX) current valuation?",
   "answer": "FedEx Corp. (FDX) has a P/E ratio of 16.63 and a price-to-sales ratio that is likely below the sector average, given its current market capitalization relative to its revenue. The fair value is estimated at $359.50, implying a 16.3% upside."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the analyst consensus for FedEx Corp. (FDX)?",
   "answer": "The analyst consensus for FedEx Corp. (FDX) is predominantly Buy, with 4 Strong Buys, 16 Buys, and 6 Holds out of 28 analysts. The overall Wall Street score is 69 out of 100."
  },
  {
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      "text": "The projected base case price for FDX stock in 2030 is $424.62, based on Monte Carlo simulations. The downside projection is $180.52, and the upside projection is $998.78. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees."
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 ]
}