{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/fabrinet-fn/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/fabrinet-fn/data.json",
 "title": "Fabrinet (FN) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Fabrinet (FN) stock analysis: AI price target, optical networking demand outlook, margin risks and key technical levels. Updated daily.",
 "headline": "Fabrinet (FN)",
 "published": "2026-08-19T09:15:30+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T19:27:31.794+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T20:41:01.526Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "FN",
  "name": "Fabrinet",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Technology",
  "industry": "Electronic Components",
  "country": "Cayman Islands",
  "website": "https://www.fabrinet.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 413.76,
  "previousClose": 403.95,
  "change": 9.81,
  "changePercent": 2.43,
  "open": 410.335,
  "high": 418.54,
  "low": 407.3,
  "volume": 16690,
  "averageVolume": 699779,
  "marketCap": 14475493671,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 748.89001,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 313,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T19:27:29.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 32.28089,
  "eps": 13.03,
  "dividendYield": 0,
  "beta": 1.208,
  "priceToSales": 3.2476933,
  "priceToBook": 6.141514,
  "revenueTtm": 4641097216,
  "grossMargin": 0.12011889453316188,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.21326
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 40.64,
  "macd": -25.27,
  "sma50": 472.42,
  "sma200": 536.35,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 78,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": 750,
  "analystTarget": 750,
  "analystCount": 9,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T19:27:29.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 413.76,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 5.77,
   "risk": "volatile"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 405.48,
  "aggressiveEntry": 413.76,
  "stopLoss": 370.37,
  "stopLossPercent": 8.66,
  "targets": [
   425.76,
   446.03,
   466.31
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 251.65,
    "base": 474.4,
    "upside90th": 894.32
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 221.89,
    "base": 543.93,
    "upside90th": 1333.35
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 207.98,
    "base": 623.65,
    "upside90th": 1870.07
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 201.21,
    "base": 715.05,
    "upside90th": 2541.18
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 198.63,
    "base": 819.85,
    "upside90th": 3384.03
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 198.92,
    "base": 940.01,
    "upside90th": 4442.19
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 201.39,
    "base": 1077.78,
    "upside90th": 5768.12
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 205.65,
    "base": 1235.75,
    "upside90th": 7425.6
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 211.49,
    "base": 1416.86,
    "upside90th": 9492.3
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 218.77,
    "base": 1624.52,
    "upside90th": 12062.91
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "FN Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$410.34",
    "Day Range": "$407.30 to $418.54",
    "Prev Close": "$403.95",
    "Volume": "16.7K",
    "52-Week Range": "$313.00 to $748.89",
    "Market Cap": "$14.48B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (0.002757% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "FN Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, FN beat estimates 3 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often \"priced in\" or investors are selling the news."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "FN Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Fabrinet is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($472.42 and $536.35), signaling a bearish trend in the short to medium term. The RSI is at 40.64, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD is negative at -25.27. Volume has been significantly below average recently, suggesting a lack of strong conviction from traders. Key support levels are not clearly defined given the current trend, and resistance is expected around the 50-day SMA.",
    "Fabrinet's current quarter revenue is estimated to grow by 43.00% year-over-year, reaching $1.4 billion, and full-year estimates project 32.00% growth, indicating strong business expansion.",
    "The median analyst price target for Fabrinet is $750.00, representing an 81.3% upside from the current price of $413.76, reflecting strong conviction from the analyst community.",
    "Insiders have sold a total of $43.7 million worth of stock across 45 transactions, indicating a net seller position and potentially signaling a lack of confidence in near-term price appreciation.",
    "Fabrinet's stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($472.42 and $536.35), suggesting a bearish technical trend and potential for further downside if support levels are breached.",
    "Fabrinet's latest earnings report on August 17, 2026, showed an EPS beat of 7.61%, demonstrating operational efficiency despite a negative market reaction.",
    "Fabrinet's outlook is cautiously optimistic, driven by strong revenue growth and positive analyst sentiment. The company is projected to achieve $6.1 billion in revenue for the current year, with further growth expected. The median analyst price target of $750.00 suggests significant upside potential from the current price of $413.76. A key catalyst for upside would be a sustained break above its 50-day moving average, signaling a reversal of the current bearish technical trend."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Consider waiting for confirmation of a technical trend reversal, such as a break above the 50-day moving average, before initiating new positions given the current price action.",
     "Fabrinet's strong revenue growth and positive analyst ratings are key bullish factors to monitor.",
     "The significant insider selling warrants attention; monitor future transactions for any changes in management sentiment."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Strong Revenue Growth Projections",
     "text": "Fabrinet's current quarter revenue is estimated to grow by 43.00% year-over-year, reaching $1.4 billion, and full-year estimates project 32.00% growth, indicating strong business expansion.",
     "source": "Wall Street Revenue Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "High Analyst Price Targets",
     "text": "The median analyst price target for Fabrinet is $750.00, representing an 81.3% upside from the current price of $413.76, reflecting strong conviction from the analyst community.",
     "source": "Wall Street Summary"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Insider Selling Activity",
     "text": "Insiders have sold a total of $43.7 million worth of stock across 45 transactions, indicating a net seller position and potentially signaling a lack of confidence in near-term price appreciation.",
     "source": "Insider Summary"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Below Key Moving Averages",
     "text": "Fabrinet's stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($472.42 and $536.35), suggesting a bearish technical trend and potential for further downside if support levels are breached.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Recent EPS Beat",
     "text": "Fabrinet's latest earnings report on August 17, 2026, showed an EPS beat of 7.61%, demonstrating operational efficiency despite a negative market reaction.",
     "source": "Earnings Analysis"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Fabrinet's valuation appears stretched with a P/E ratio of 32.28, which is above the sector average of 25.5, but its exceptional revenue growth of 44.6% and projected 32.00% growth for the current year justify a premium. The company's ability to consistently beat EPS estimates, as seen in the most recent quarter's 7.61% surprise, highlights operational efficiency. The strong revenue trajectory suggests strong business operations that underpin the current valuation.",
    "Fabrinet most recently reported an EPS of $4.10, beating the estimate of $3.81 by 7.61%, though this was accompanied by a significant price drop of -19.38%. Prior to that, the company missed its EPS estimate in the June 2026 quarter but showed a strong positive price reaction of 6.41%. The August 2026 earnings beat suggests continued operational strength, despite the negative market reaction.",
    "The primary risk for Fabrinet lies in its current technical downtrend, trading significantly below key moving averages, which could persist in the short term. Additionally, insider selling activity totaling $43.7 million across 45 transactions indicates a lack of confidence from management, despite the company's strong growth prospects. The high P/E ratio relative to sector averages also presents a valuation risk if growth expectations are not met."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "14.48B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "32.28"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "13.03"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.00%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "748.89"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "313.00"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $472.42, 200-day: $536.35), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "40.64"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-25.27"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "472.42"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "536.35"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.52",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.59",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.22",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.08"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "FN Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (40.6) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$425.76",
    "TARGET 2": "$446.03",
    "TARGET 3": "$466.31",
    "STOP LOSS": "$370.37"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+1.17%",
    "Average Feb return": "+0.08%",
    "Average Mar return": "-2.44%",
    "Average Apr return": "-0.51%",
    "Average May return": "+4.90%",
    "Average Jun return": "+6.18%",
    "Average Jul return": "+2.78%",
    "Average Aug return": "+5.52%",
    "Average Sep return": "+2.11%",
    "Average Oct return": "+0.62%",
    "Average Nov return": "+6.62%",
    "Average Dec return": "+2.15%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "5.77%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in FN in September 2016 would be worth about $98,838 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in FN today could grow to about $39,262 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $291,544 and a bear case around $5,287. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "FN Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $715 for FN by 2030 in the base case, from $414 today (1.7x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $201. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on FN's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using FN's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. FN is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "FN simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$252",
        "$474",
        "$894"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$222",
        "$544",
        "$1,333"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$208",
        "$624",
        "$1,870"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$201",
        "$715",
        "$2,541"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$199",
        "$820",
        "$3,384"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$199",
        "$940",
        "$4,442"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$201",
        "$1,078",
        "$5,768"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$206",
        "$1,236",
        "$7,426"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$211",
        "$1,417",
        "$9,492"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$219",
        "$1,625",
        "$12,063"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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   "id": "related-comparisons",
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  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "FN Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$43.7M",
    "Insiders": "11",
    "Avg Transaction": "$2.3M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in FN",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Nov 26, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "GRADY SEAMUS Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "22.5K",
        "$10.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 23, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "GRADY SEAMUS Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "26.7K",
        "$7.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 23, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "MITCHELL DAVID T Director",
        "Sell",
        "50.0K",
        "$5.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 4, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "GILL HARPAL S. President",
        "Sell",
        "14.2K",
        "$5.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 29, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "GILL HARPAL S. President",
        "Sell",
        "21.5K",
        "$4.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 28, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "SVERHA CSABA Chief Financial Officer",
        "Sell",
        "13.0K",
        "$4.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 4, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "GILL HARPAL S. Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "18.7K",
        "$4.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 24, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "GRADY SEAMUS Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "27.0K",
        "$4.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 25, 2017",
       "cells": [
        "MITCHELL DAVID T Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "105.0K",
        "$4.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 3, 2016",
       "cells": [
        "MITCHELL DAVID T Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "75.0K",
        "$3.3M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Fabrinet&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Fabrinet's stock forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "Fabrinet's stock forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case price of $715.05, with a downside scenario of $201.21 and an upside scenario of $2541.18. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is Fabrinet stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Fabrinet is currently rated a Buy by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $750.00, suggesting an 81.3% upside from its current price of $413.76. While technically facing headwinds, strong revenue growth and analyst conviction support a bullish stance."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the biggest risks facing Fabrinet?",
   "answer": "The main risks for Fabrinet include its current bearish technical trend, significant insider selling totaling $43.7 million, and a P/E ratio that is above the sector average, suggesting a potential valuation stretch."
  },
  {
   "question": "How did Fabrinet perform in its latest earnings report?",
   "answer": "In its latest earnings report on August 17, 2026, Fabrinet reported an EPS of $4.10, exceeding the estimate of $3.81 by 7.61%. However, the stock experienced a price decline of -19.38% following the announcement."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is Fabrinet's revenue growth outlook?",
   "answer": "Fabrinet projects strong revenue growth, with current quarter estimates at $1.4 billion, representing a 43.00% year-over-year increase. The current year's revenue is estimated at $6.1 billion, a 32.00% increase from the previous year."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the consensus rating for Fabrinet stock?",
   "answer": "The consensus rating for Fabrinet stock among Wall Street analysts is Buy, with 3 Strong Buys, 4 Buys, and 2 Holds, resulting in a Wall Street score of 78 out of 100."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does Fabrinet's valuation compare to its sector?",
   "answer": "Fabrinet's P/E ratio of 32.28 is higher than the sector average of 25.5. However, its exceptional revenue growth of 44.6% and strong forward estimates may justify this premium valuation."
  }
 ],
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