{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/exxon-mobil-xom/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/exxon-mobil-xom/data.json",
 "title": "Exxon Mobil (XOM) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) stock: Energy, Oil & Gas Integrated. $679.4B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM)",
 "published": "2026-06-07T09:10:12+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T19:21:09.451+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T20:43:06.744Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "XOM",
  "name": "Exxon Mobil Corporation",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Energy",
  "industry": "Oil & Gas Integrated",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://corporate.exxonmobil.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 165.69,
  "previousClose": 165.23,
  "change": 0.46,
  "changePercent": 0.28,
  "open": 165,
  "high": 167.08,
  "low": 164.08,
  "volume": 305061,
  "averageVolume": 12499836,
  "marketCap": 679411213150,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 176.41,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 108.35,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T19:21:07.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 21.064268,
  "eps": 7.78,
  "dividendYield": 0.02486421243210622,
  "beta": 0.175,
  "priceToSales": 1.8663384,
  "priceToBook": 2.5979707,
  "revenueTtm": 361060007936,
  "grossMargin": 0.2251744099747662,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.12584
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 51.03,
  "macd": 2.2,
  "sma50": 155.16,
  "sma200": 145.67,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Bullish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 59,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 170,
  "analystTarget": 170,
  "analystCount": 25,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T19:21:07.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 165.69,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 1.52,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 164.03,
  "aggressiveEntry": 165.69,
  "stopLoss": 159.11,
  "stopLossPercent": 3,
  "targets": [
   168.95,
   172.23,
   177.16
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 122.9,
    "base": 177.08,
    "upside90th": 255.15
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 112.9,
    "base": 189.25,
    "upside90th": 317.23
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 107.44,
    "base": 202.26,
    "upside90th": 380.76
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 104.12,
    "base": 216.16,
    "upside90th": 448.77
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 102.08,
    "base": 231.02,
    "upside90th": 522.81
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 100.91,
    "base": 246.89,
    "upside90th": 604.04
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 100.39,
    "base": 263.86,
    "upside90th": 693.54
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 100.36,
    "base": 282,
    "upside90th": 792.35
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 100.75,
    "base": 301.38,
    "upside90th": 901.57
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 101.48,
    "base": 322.1,
    "upside90th": 1022.38
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "XOM Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$165.00",
    "Day Range": "$164.08 to $167.08",
    "Prev Close": "$165.23",
    "Volume": "305.1K",
    "52-Week Range": "$108.35 to $176.41",
    "Market Cap": "$679.41B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+40%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "XOM Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, XOM beat estimates 5 times. The stock rose 4 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "XOM Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($155.16 and $145.67), signaling a generally positive trend. The RSI is at 51.03, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD at 2.197 suggests a lack of strong directional conviction. Volume on the latest trading day was significantly lower than the average, which could imply reduced conviction behind recent price action. Key support levels are indicated by the 50-day SMA at $155.16 and the 200-day SMA at $145.67, while the current price is approaching the 20-day EMA at $161.43, which is acting as near-term support. The stock's technicals suggest a period of consolidation or sideways movement in the near term. While the price is above key long-term averages, the neutral RSI and subdued volume do not indicate strong buying pressure. Investors should monitor the price action around the 20-day EMA for signs of a potential short-term trend continuation or reversal. The overall chart structure does not present immediate strong bullish or bearish signals, aligning with the neutral momentum.",
    "Exxon Mobil has consistently exceeded analyst EPS estimates in recent quarters, demonstrating operational efficiency and strong market positioning, which supports continued investor confidence.",
    "Current year revenue is estimated to grow by 23.00% year-over-year, indicating strong demand and effective sales strategies in the current energy market.",
    "Insiders have sold a net $2.9 million worth of shares across 35 transactions, suggesting a degree of caution or profit-taking among management.",
    "Next year's revenue growth is forecast to decline by 2.00%, potentially signaling market saturation or increased competitive pressures.",
    "Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is expected to maintain its current operational strength over the next 6-12 months, driven by continued demand in the energy sector and its strong revenue growth trajectory. The median analyst price target of $170.00 suggests a modest upside of 2.6% from the current price, indicating a stable but not explosive outlook. The company's strong revenue estimates for the current year, projecting a 23.00% increase, provide a solid foundation for near-term performance. Potential catalysts for upside include further positive earnings surprises or significant geopolitical events that could drive energy prices higher. Conversely, a notable risk to the outlook is the projected 2.00% decline in revenue growth for next year, which could signal a slowdown in demand or increased competition. Additionally, any significant shifts in global energy policy or a faster-than-expected transition to renewable energy sources could negatively impact long-term prospects."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor upcoming earnings reports closely for continued EPS beats, as this has been a consistent positive driver for XOM.",
     "Given the moderate insider selling, consider the overall market sentiment and sector rotation trends before initiating new positions.",
     "The projected slowdown in revenue growth for next year warrants attention; track industry supply/demand dynamics and XOM's strategic responses."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Consistent Earnings Beats",
     "text": "Exxon Mobil has consistently exceeded analyst EPS estimates in recent quarters, demonstrating operational efficiency and strong market positioning, which supports continued investor confidence.",
     "source": "Earnings Reports"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Strong Revenue Growth Projections",
     "text": "Current year revenue is estimated to grow by 23.00% year-over-year, indicating strong demand and effective sales strategies in the current energy market.",
     "source": "Analyst Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Moderate Insider Selling",
     "text": "Insiders have sold a net $2.9 million worth of shares across 35 transactions, suggesting a degree of caution or profit-taking among management.",
     "source": "Insider Transactions"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Projected Revenue Growth Slowdown",
     "text": "Next year's revenue growth is forecast to decline by 2.00%, potentially signaling market saturation or increased competitive pressures.",
     "source": "Analyst Estimates"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) presents a mixed fundamental picture, trading at a P/E ratio of 21.06, which is above the sector average of 15.0, suggesting a potential valuation premium. The company's revenue growth is strong, with current year estimates at 23.00%, significantly outpacing the sector average of 12.00%. Profitability, as indicated by recent earnings beats, appears solid. The balance sheet strength is implied by its market position. Despite the premium valuation, the strong revenue growth and consistent earnings beats suggest that investors are pricing in future expansion. The dividend yield of 2.49% adds to the investment appeal, particularly for income-focused investors. However, the moderate insider selling activity warrants caution, as it may signal a lack of significant upside conviction from management at current price levels. The company's ability to sustain its growth trajectory and manage its debt will be key factors in justifying its current valuation.",
    "Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) has demonstrated strong performance in its recent earnings reports, consistently beating analyst estimates. The most recent quarter ending July 31, 2026, saw an EPS actual of $4.11 against an estimate of $3.63, a surprise of 13.22%, though the stock experienced a slight decline of 0.24% post-announcement. Prior quarters also showed significant positive surprises, including a 41.67% EPS beat in the quarter ending June 1, 2026. This pattern of exceeding expectations suggests effective operational management and favorable market conditions within the energy sector.",
    "Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) faces several key risks, including its valuation premium relative to sector averages, with a P/E ratio of 21.06 compared to the sector's 15.0. Moderate insider selling, totaling $2.9 million in sales across 35 transactions, indicates a degree of caution from management. Also, while current year revenue growth is projected at a strong 23.00%, next year's growth is estimated to decline by 2.00%, posing a risk to future expansion expectations."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "679.41B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "21.06"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "7.78"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "2.49%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "176.41"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "108.35"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bullish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bullish MACD Bullish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($155.16) above the 200-day SMA ($145.67), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bullish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "51.03"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "2.20"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "155.16"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "145.67"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.14",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.03",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "-0.20",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "-0.01"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "XOM Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (51.0) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$168.95",
    "TARGET 2": "$172.23",
    "TARGET 3": "$177.16",
    "STOP LOSS": "$159.11"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+3.95%",
    "Average Feb return": "+0.20%",
    "Average Mar return": "+0.19%",
    "Average Apr return": "+1.77%",
    "Average May return": "-0.87%",
    "Average Jun return": "-0.33%",
    "Average Jul return": "+1.15%",
    "Average Aug return": "-0.50%",
    "Average Sep return": "+0.93%",
    "Average Oct return": "+0.45%",
    "Average Nov return": "+0.47%",
    "Average Dec return": "-0.99%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "1.52%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in XOM in September 2016 would be worth about $18,929 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in XOM today could grow to about $19,440 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $61,704 and a bear case around $6,124. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "XOM Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $216 for XOM by 2030 in the base case, from $166 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $104. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on XOM's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using XOM's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "XOM simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$123",
        "$177",
        "$255"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$113",
        "$189",
        "$317"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$107",
        "$202",
        "$381"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$104",
        "$216",
        "$449"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$102",
        "$231",
        "$523"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$101",
        "$247",
        "$604"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$100",
        "$264",
        "$694"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$100",
        "$282",
        "$792"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$101",
        "$301",
        "$902"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$101",
        "$322",
        "$1,022"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/nrg-energy-nrg/"
    },
    {
     "text": "TLN Talen Energy Corporation NASDAQ $311.54 -2.54%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/talen-energy-tln/"
    },
    {
     "text": "VST Vistra Corp. NYSE $148.04 -2.03%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/vistra-vst/"
    },
    {
     "text": "EIX Edison International NYSE $56.75 -1.20%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/eix-stock-analysis/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare XOM",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "XOM vs CVX Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/xom-vs-cvx/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Junior Gold Miners (GDXJ) vs Silver Miners (SIL) Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/gdxj-vs-sil/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Google (GOOGL) vs NVIDIA (NVDA): AI Price & Trend Analysis Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/google-vs-nvidia/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "XOM Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$2.9M",
    "Insiders": "23",
    "Avg Transaction": "$358.9K"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in XOM",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Nov 28, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "UBBEN JEFFREY W Director",
        "Sell",
        "2.1M",
        "$216.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 2, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "UBBEN JEFFREY W Director",
        "Sell",
        "1.5M",
        "$120.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 20, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "MALLON LIAM M. Officer",
        "Sell",
        "32.3K",
        "$2.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 11, 2017",
       "cells": [
        "CORSON BRADLEY W Officer",
        "Sell",
        "19.5K",
        "$1.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 19, 2018",
       "cells": [
        "CORSON BRADLEY W Officer",
        "Sell",
        "15.0K",
        "$1.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 15, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "FOX LEONARD M. Officer",
        "Sell",
        "12.0K",
        "$1.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 18, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "FOX LEONARD M. Officer",
        "Sell",
        "12.0K",
        "$1.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 11, 2018",
       "cells": [
        "VERITY JOHN R Officer",
        "Sell",
        "15.9K",
        "$1.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 19, 2018",
       "cells": [
        "CORSON BRADLEY W Officer",
        "Sell",
        "15.0K",
        "$1.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 5, 2017",
       "cells": [
        "WOJNAR THEODORE J JR Officer",
        "Sell",
        "13.1K",
        "$1.1M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&amp;company=Exxon+Mobil+Corporation&amp;type=4&amp;dateb=&amp;owner=include&amp;count=40&amp;search_text=&amp;action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Exxon Mobil Corporation's current stock price?",
   "answer": "Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is currently trading at $165.69 as of September 11, 2026."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is Exxon Mobil Corporation stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) has a 'Hold' consensus rating with a consensus score of 63. The median analyst price target is $170.00, suggesting a limited upside of 2.6% from the current price of $165.69."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the biggest risks facing Exxon Mobil Corporation?",
   "answer": "Key risks for Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) include its valuation premium compared to sector peers, moderate insider selling activity, and a projected slowdown in revenue growth for the upcoming year."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has Exxon Mobil Corporation performed in recent earnings reports?",
   "answer": "Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) has consistently beaten analyst EPS estimates in recent quarters, including a 13.22% surprise in its latest report ending July 31, 2026."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is Exxon Mobil Corporation's dividend yield?",
   "answer": "Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) offers a dividend yield of 2.49%."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does Exxon Mobil Corporation compare to its sector averages?",
   "answer": "Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) trades at a higher P/E ratio (21.06 vs 15.0) and has stronger revenue growth (23.00% vs 12.00%) than the sector averages. Its debt-to-equity and ROE metrics are not directly comparable to the provided sector averages."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is XOM stock forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "According to Monte Carlo simulations, Exxon Mobil Corporation's (XOM) stock forecast for 2030 shows a base case price of $216.16, with a downside projection of $104.12 and an upside projection of $448.77. These are statistical simulation outcomes, not price targets or guarantees."
  }
 ],
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