{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/etor-etoro-group/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/etor-etoro-group/data.json",
 "title": "eToro (ETOR) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Is eToro (ETOR) a Buy? Get the latest AI trade plans, social sentiment analysis, and comparison vs. Robinhood (HOOD). Updated daily.",
 "headline": "eToro Group Ltd. Class A Common Shares (ETOR)",
 "published": "2026-01-21T13:34:13+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-26T16:51:33.019+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T15:06:57.836Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "ETOR",
  "name": "eToro Group Ltd. Class A Common Shares",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Financial Services",
  "industry": "Capital Markets",
  "country": "Israel",
  "website": "https://www.etoro.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 26.39,
  "previousClose": 26.81,
  "change": -0.42,
  "changePercent": -1.57,
  "open": 26.99,
  "high": 27.14,
  "low": 26.35,
  "volume": 825800,
  "averageVolume": 1132340,
  "marketCap": 2098719905,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 46.28,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 24.74,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-26T16:51:32.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 9.784671,
  "eps": 2.74,
  "dividendYield": 0,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": 0.17958671,
  "priceToBook": 1.6067361,
  "revenueTtm": 11872377856,
  "grossMargin": 0.14557420262172688,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.19495001
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 13.02,
  "macd": -1.4,
  "sma50": 31.92,
  "sma200": 34.1,
  "rsiSignal": "Oversold",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Sell",
  "score": 21,
  "consensus": "Sell",
  "fairValue": 26.39,
  "analystTarget": 46,
  "analystCount": 15,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-26T16:51:32.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 26.39,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 2.82,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bearish",
  "conservativeEntry": 26.92,
  "aggressiveEntry": 26.39,
  "stopLoss": 28.25,
  "stopLossPercent": 4.95,
  "targets": [
   25.57,
   24.23,
   22.88
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 13.94,
    "base": 26.46,
    "upside90th": 50.22
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 10.72,
    "base": 26.53,
    "upside90th": 65.66
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 8.77,
    "base": 26.6,
    "upside90th": 80.71
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 7.4,
    "base": 26.67,
    "upside90th": 96.09
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 6.38,
    "base": 26.74,
    "upside90th": 112.08
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 5.58,
    "base": 26.82,
    "upside90th": 128.85
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 4.93,
    "base": 26.89,
    "upside90th": 146.51
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 4.4,
    "base": 26.96,
    "upside90th": 165.14
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 3.95,
    "base": 27.03,
    "upside90th": 184.82
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 3.57,
    "base": 27.1,
    "upside90th": 205.63
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "ETOR Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$26.99",
    "Day Range": "$26.35 to $27.14",
    "Prev Close": "$26.81",
    "Volume": "825.8K",
    "52-Week Range": "$24.74 to $46.28",
    "Market Cap": "$2.10B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-41%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "ETOR Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, ETOR beat estimates 3 times. However, the stock fell 3 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often \"priced in\" or investors are selling the news."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "ETOR Analysis",
   "text": [
    "eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) is trading below its key moving averages, with the price currently below its 50-day SMA of $31.92 and its 200-day SMA of $34.10. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is significantly oversold at 13.02, indicating extreme selling pressure and a potential for a short-term rebound. The MACD is also negative at -1.398, reinforcing the bearish momentum. Volume has been below average recently, with the latest volume at 825,800 compared to an average of 1,132,340, suggesting a lack of conviction behind the current price action. Key support levels are not clearly defined given the extended downtrend, but the current price of $26.39 is a critical psychological level. The oversold RSI suggests a potential for a bounce, but the sustained trend below moving averages indicates that any upside may be limited and could face resistance near the 50-day SMA.",
    "Insiders have sold over $9.8 million worth of eToro stock with no reported purchases, indicating a lack of confidence in the company's near-term prospects.",
    "The RSI is at an extreme 13.02, and the stock is trading significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($31.92 and $34.10), suggesting strong bearish momentum.",
    "The latest earnings report missed EPS estimates by 4.92%, and current quarter revenue growth is projected to decline by 5.00% year-over-year.",
    "Despite current headwinds, 15 analysts maintain a 'Buy' consensus with a median price target of $46.00, suggesting potential for significant upside if sentiment shifts.",
    "The base case scenario for eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) suggests continued pressure on the stock price in the near term, driven by its significantly oversold technicals and consistent insider selling. While the median analyst target price of $46.00 implies significant upside, the current price action and negative sentiment are strong headwinds. The company's weak profit margins relative to the sector and decelerating revenue growth present challenges to achieving higher valuations. Potential catalysts for a turnaround could include a significant improvement in earnings surprises, a reversal of insider selling trends, or a broader market rally that lifts financial services stocks. However, downside risks are substantial, including further deterioration in profitability, increased competition, or a failure to meet forward revenue estimates. The stock's current price of $26.39, trading well below its moving averages, indicates that the market is pricing in these risks."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Given the significantly oversold RSI and significant insider selling, consider waiting for a confirmed technical bounce or a change in insider sentiment before initiating new positions.",
     "eToro's profit margins are notably lower than sector averages; monitor future earnings reports closely for signs of margin expansion or further compression.",
     "The current price of $26.39 is a critical psychological level; a sustained break below this could signal further downside towards the $7.40 Monte Carlo downside projection."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Consistent Insider Selling Exceeds $9.8 Million",
     "text": "Insiders have sold over $9.8 million worth of eToro stock with no reported purchases, indicating a lack of confidence in the company's near-term prospects.",
     "source": "Insider Trading Data"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Oversold Technical Conditions Persist",
     "text": "The RSI is at an extreme 13.02, and the stock is trading significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($31.92 and $34.10), suggesting strong bearish momentum.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Recent Earnings Miss and Revenue Slowdown",
     "text": "The latest earnings report missed EPS estimates by 4.92%, and current quarter revenue growth is projected to decline by 5.00% year-over-year.",
     "source": "Earnings Reports"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Wall Street 'Buy' Consensus and Median Target of $46.00",
     "text": "Despite current headwinds, 15 analysts maintain a 'Buy' consensus with a median price target of $46.00, suggesting potential for significant upside if sentiment shifts.",
     "source": "Wall Street Analysts"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) trades at a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 9.78, which is below the sector median of 16.5, suggesting a potentially attractive valuation on earnings. However, its Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio of 0.18 is significantly lower than the sector median of 3.8, which could indicate market concerns about revenue quality or future growth prospects. The company's Return on Equity (ROE) stands at 19.50%, which is above the sector average of 13.8, indicating efficient use of shareholder equity. Despite a strong ROE, eToro's profit margin of 2.20% and operating margin of 2.28% are substantially lower than the sector medians, raising questions about its ability to translate revenue into profit. The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03 is very low, indicating a strong balance sheet with minimal leverage. While the valuation appears cheap on a P/E basis, the low profit margins and below-average revenue growth compared to the sector warrant caution.",
    "eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) reported mixed earnings for the quarter ending June 2026, missing analyst estimates for EPS by 4.92% ($0.58 actual vs $0.61 estimate), leading to a 2.93% price decline. Prior quarters showed some positive surprises, including a 26.83% EPS beat in the quarter ending March 2026. However, the most recent quarter's miss and the negative revenue growth of -5.00% for the current quarter suggest a potential slowdown in business momentum.",
    "eToro faces significant risks from its significantly oversold technical indicators and consistent insider selling, with over $9.8 million in sales reported versus no purchases. The company's profit margins are considerably lower than sector averages, and recent earnings have shown a miss, raising concerns about profitability and competitive pressures within the Capital Markets industry. Also, forward revenue growth estimates indicate a deceleration, with a projected 5.00% decline in the current quarter."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "2.10B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "9.78"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "2.74"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.00%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "46.28"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "24.74"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Oversold SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $31.92, 200-day: $34.10), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 13.0 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Oversold",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "13.02"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-1.40"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "31.92"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "34.10"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.38",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.37",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.34",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.10"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "ETOR Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for rally",
    "Higher risk, chasing the move",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (13.0) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$25.57",
    "TARGET 2": "$24.23",
    "TARGET 3": "$22.88",
    "STOP LOSS": "$28.25"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "-17.60%",
    "Average Feb return": "+7.80%",
    "Average Mar return": "-2.09%",
    "Average Apr return": "+18.56%",
    "Average May return": "+13.79%",
    "Average Jun return": "+1.73%",
    "Average Jul return": "-9.24%",
    "Average Aug return": "-22.66%",
    "Average Sep return": "-11.68%",
    "Average Oct return": "-5.12%",
    "Average Nov return": "+15.08%",
    "Average Dec return": "-16.12%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "2.82%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in ETOR in May 2025 would be worth about $5,075 today, compared with about $13,144 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ETOR today could grow to about $10,271 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $77,919 and a bear case around $1,354. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "ETOR Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $26.67 for ETOR by 2030 in the base case, from $26.39 today (1.0x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $7.40. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ETOR's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using ETOR's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "ETOR simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$13.94",
        "$26.46",
        "$50.22"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$10.72",
        "$26.53",
        "$65.66"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$8.77",
        "$26.60",
        "$80.71"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$7.40",
        "$26.67",
        "$96.09"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$6.38",
        "$26.74",
        "$112"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$5.58",
        "$26.82",
        "$129"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$4.93",
        "$26.89",
        "$147"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$4.40",
        "$26.96",
        "$165"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$3.95",
        "$27.03",
        "$185"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$3.57",
        "$27.10",
        "$206"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "AMP Ameriprise Financial Inc NYSE $493.00 +1.62%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/ameriprise-amp/"
    },
    {
     "text": "MCO Moody's Corporation NYSE $468.70 +0.29%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/mco-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "COF Capital One Financial Corp. NYSE $200.20 +1.83%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/capital-one-cof/"
    },
    {
     "text": "PGR The Progressive Corporation NYSE $205.50 +1.65%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/progressive-pgr/"
    },
    {
     "text": "C Citigroup Inc NYSE $134.28 +1.65%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/citigroup-c/"
    },
    {
     "text": "RF Regions Financial Corp. NYSE $27.62 +1.32%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/rf-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "BLK BlackRock Inc. NYSE $1,086.31 +1.20%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/blackrock-blk/"
    },
    {
     "text": "TRV The Travelers Companies, Inc. NYSE $363.04 +0.18%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/travelers-trv/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "Roundhill MAGS vs Invesco QQQ: Magnificent 7 Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/mags-vs-qqq/"
    },
    {
     "text": "VGT vs QQQM Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vgt-vs-qqqm/"
    },
    {
     "text": "VTI vs VT Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vti-vs-vt/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "ETOR Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$9.8M",
    "Insiders": "6",
    "Avg Transaction": "$2.0M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in ETOR",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "May 14, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "SHALEV EDDY Director",
        "Sell",
        "100.0K",
        "$4.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 28, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "SHALEV EDDY Director",
        "Sell",
        "100.0K",
        "$3.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 1, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "BER HEDVA Officer",
        "Sell",
        "55.2K",
        "$2.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 12, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "POLITI SANTO Director",
        "Sell",
        "5.8K",
        "$162.0K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 14, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "POLITI SANTO Director",
        "Sell",
        "2.9K",
        "$118.7K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 4, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "STEPAK AVNER Director",
        "Grant",
        "33.8K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 3, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "SHEMESH LIOR Director",
        "Grant",
        "5.2K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 3, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "UNGER LAURA SIMONE Director",
        "Grant",
        "5.2K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 1, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "BER HEDVA Officer",
        "Option",
        "55.2K",
        "$935.3K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 27, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "POLITI SANTO Director",
        "Grant",
        "9.3K",
        "-"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&amp;company=eToro+Group+Ltd.+Class+A+Common+Shares&amp;type=4&amp;dateb=&amp;owner=include&amp;count=40&amp;search_text=&amp;action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "Is eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) is currently trading at $26.39. While Wall Street analysts have a 'Buy' consensus with a median price target of $46.00, the stock exhibits significantly oversold technicals (RSI 13.02) and significant insider selling, suggesting potential downside risk. The consensus score is 21, indicating a Sell rating."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is ETOR's stock forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, eToro's stock forecast for 2030 includes a base case price of $26.67 and a downside case of $7.40. The upside case projection is $96.09, but these are statistical outcomes and not guaranteed price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "How are eToro's recent earnings?",
   "answer": "eToro's most recent earnings report for the quarter ending June 2026 showed an EPS miss of 4.92% ($0.58 actual vs $0.61 estimate), resulting in a 2.93% stock price drop. While previous quarters had positive surprises, the latest miss and projected revenue decline raise concerns."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the main risks facing eToro Group Ltd.?",
   "answer": "Key risks for eToro include its significantly oversold technical indicators, consistent insider selling totaling over $9.8 million, lower-than-sector profit margins, and a projected deceleration in revenue growth. These factors suggest potential for further price declines despite analyst targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does eToro's valuation compare to its sector?",
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      "text": "Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' consensus for eToro, with 10 out of 15 analysts recommending Buy or Strong Buy. The consensus score is 70 out of 100, and the median price target is $46.00, implying a substantial upside from the current price."
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