{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/duk-stock-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/duk-stock-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "Duke Energy (DUK) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) stock: Utilities, Utilities - Regulated Electric. $88.4B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Duke Energy Corporation (DUK)",
 "published": "2026-07-23T09:51:30+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-27T02:31:07.178+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T14:26:48.915Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "DUK",
  "name": "Duke Energy Corporation",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Utilities",
  "industry": "Utilities - Regulated Electric",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.duke-energy.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 113.35,
  "previousClose": 113.23,
  "change": 0.12,
  "changePercent": 0.11,
  "open": 113.14,
  "high": 113.61,
  "low": 112.52,
  "volume": 3749300,
  "averageVolume": 4318670,
  "marketCap": 88379243576,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 134.49001,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 112.52,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-27T02:31:06.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 17.070784,
  "eps": 6.64,
  "dividendYield": 0.038305382904688864,
  "beta": 0.364,
  "priceToSales": 2.6942427,
  "priceToBook": 1.6440402,
  "revenueTtm": 32803000320,
  "grossMargin": 0.5482086406743941,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.098570004
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 18.22,
  "macd": -2.21,
  "sma50": 122.16,
  "sma200": 124.04,
  "rsiSignal": "Oversold",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 59,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 136.5,
  "analystTarget": 136.5,
  "analystCount": 22,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-27T02:31:06.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 113.35,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 0.8,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 112.22,
  "aggressiveEntry": 113.35,
  "stopLoss": 108.51,
  "stopLossPercent": 3.3,
  "targets": [
   115.58,
   117.83,
   121.19
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 91.63,
    "base": 119.14,
    "upside90th": 154.91
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 86.38,
    "base": 125.22,
    "upside90th": 181.53
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 83.52,
    "base": 131.62,
    "upside90th": 207.41
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 81.83,
    "base": 138.34,
    "upside90th": 233.9
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 80.84,
    "base": 145.41,
    "upside90th": 261.56
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 80.34,
    "base": 152.84,
    "upside90th": 290.77
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 80.2,
    "base": 160.64,
    "upside90th": 321.78
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 80.35,
    "base": 168.85,
    "upside90th": 354.84
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 80.73,
    "base": 177.47,
    "upside90th": 390.15
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 81.31,
    "base": 186.54,
    "upside90th": 427.93
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "DUK Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$113.14",
    "Day Range": "$112.52 to $113.61",
    "Prev Close": "$113.23",
    "Volume": "3.75M",
    "52-Week Range": "$112.52 to $134.49",
    "Market Cap": "$88.38B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-25%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "DUK Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, DUK beat estimates 2 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often \"priced in\" or investors are selling the news."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "DUK Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Duke Energy Corporation's stock is exhibiting bearish momentum, trading below its 50-day SMA of $122.16 and its 200-day SMA of $124.04. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 18.22, indicating an oversold condition that could precede a bounce. Key support levels are being tested, with the current price of $113.35 approaching previous lows. Volume has been below average recently, suggesting a lack of conviction behind the current downward move. The chart structure implies that while oversold conditions may offer a short-term reprieve, the broader trend remains under pressure until the stock can reclaim its key moving averages.",
    "The stock's RSI is at 18.22, indicating oversold conditions. A bounce towards the 50-day SMA at $122.16 is possible if broader market sentiment improves or sector-specific news emerges.",
    "Duke Energy Corporation offers a dividend yield of approximately 3.78%, providing a stable income stream for investors that can support the stock price during periods of low growth.",
    "Insiders have sold over $11.1 million in stock, with no significant purchases reported, indicating a lack of strong conviction from management regarding near-term price appreciation.",
    "The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($122.16 and $124.04), signaling a bearish trend that may persist until these levels are reclaimed.",
    "The base case for Duke Energy Corporation over the next 6-12 months suggests a period of consolidation, with the median analyst target price of $136.50 indicating limited upside from the current price of $113.35. The company's stable utility operations and consistent dividend provide a defensive floor, but significant growth catalysts appear limited. Potential upside could be driven by a broader market rally in defensive sectors or a successful execution of its long-term growth initiatives, which are projected to see revenue growth of around 5% annually in the coming years. Conversely, rising interest rates could pressure its debt-heavy balance sheet, and any failure to meet forward earnings estimates could lead to a retest of lower support levels."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Duke Energy Corporation's oversold RSI (18.22) suggests a potential for a short-term bounce, but traders should watch for confirmation above the 50-day SMA at $122.16 before committing to a bullish position.",
     "Given the moderate insider selling and 'Hold' consensus, consider a strategy that prioritizes income from the 3.78% dividend yield while awaiting clearer signals for significant capital appreciation.",
     "The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 1.62 is at the higher end for the utility sector; monitor interest rate trends and the company's ability to manage its debt obligations."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Potential Bounce from Oversold Technical Levels",
     "text": "The stock's RSI is at 18.22, indicating oversold conditions. A bounce towards the 50-day SMA at $122.16 is possible if broader market sentiment improves or sector-specific news emerges.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Consistent Dividend Payout",
     "text": "Duke Energy Corporation offers a dividend yield of approximately 3.78%, providing a stable income stream for investors that can support the stock price during periods of low growth.",
     "source": "Financial Data"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Insider Selling Trend",
     "text": "Insiders have sold over $11.1 million in stock, with no significant purchases reported, indicating a lack of strong conviction from management regarding near-term price appreciation.",
     "source": "Insider Transactions"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Trading Below Key Moving Averages",
     "text": "The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($122.16 and $124.04), signaling a bearish trend that may persist until these levels are reclaimed.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Duke Energy Corporation's valuation appears reasonable within the Utilities sector, with a P/E ratio of 17.07 compared to the sector median of 22.8. Its price-to-sales ratio of 2.69 is also below the sector average of 3.3, suggesting it is not excessively valued on a sales basis. The company's fundamentals show a return on equity of 9.86% and a profit margin of 16.00%, which are slightly above sector averages. However, its debt-to-equity ratio of 1.62 is higher than the sector median of 1.62, indicating a significant reliance on debt financing. The reported revenue growth of 1.1% is below the sector's median growth of 4.1%, suggesting slower expansion compared to peers.",
    "Duke Energy Corporation has demonstrated a pattern of beating earnings estimates in recent quarters, with the latest quarter to June 2026 exceeding expectations by 10% with an EPS of $1.43 versus an estimate of $1.30. Despite these beats, the stock experienced a minor decline of 0.75% following the announcement, indicating that positive earnings news is not currently translating into stock price appreciation. This trend of earnings beats without corresponding stock price gains suggests that the market may be pricing in future challenges or that the company's growth prospects are limited, as reflected in the modest revenue growth estimates.",
    "Duke Energy Corporation faces moderate selling pressure from insiders, with over $11.1 million in sales across 55 transactions, signaling a lack of strong conviction from management. The stock's current technical position, trading below key moving averages and in oversold territory, presents a risk of further downside if support levels fail. Also, the company's higher-than-sector-average debt-to-equity ratio of 1.62 could become a concern in a rising interest rate environment, potentially impacting profitability and future investment capacity."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "88.38B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "17.07"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "6.64"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "3.78%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "134.49"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "112.52"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Oversold SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $122.16, 200-day: $124.04), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 18.2 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Oversold",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "18.22"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-2.21"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "122.16"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "124.04"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "-0.08",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "-0.22",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "-0.14",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.10"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "DUK Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (18.2) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$115.58",
    "TARGET 2": "$117.83",
    "TARGET 3": "$121.19",
    "STOP LOSS": "$108.51"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+1.73%",
    "Average Feb return": "-1.12%",
    "Average Mar return": "+2.32%",
    "Average Apr return": "+2.37%",
    "Average May return": "-1.12%",
    "Average Jun return": "-0.57%",
    "Average Jul return": "+2.76%",
    "Average Aug return": "-0.51%",
    "Average Sep return": "-1.09%",
    "Average Oct return": "+1.61%",
    "Average Nov return": "+0.46%",
    "Average Dec return": "+0.71%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "0.80%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in DUK in September 2016 would be worth about $13,920 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in DUK today could grow to about $16,457 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $37,753 and a bear case around $7,174. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "DUK Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $138 for DUK by 2030 in the base case, from $113 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $81.83. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on DUK's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using DUK's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "DUK simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$91.63",
        "$119",
        "$155"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$86.38",
        "$125",
        "$182"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$83.52",
        "$132",
        "$207"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$81.83",
        "$138",
        "$234"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$80.84",
        "$145",
        "$262"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$80.34",
        "$153",
        "$291"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$80.20",
        "$161",
        "$322"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$80.35",
        "$169",
        "$355"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$80.73",
        "$177",
        "$390"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$81.31",
        "$187",
        "$428"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/sre-stock-analysis/"
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
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  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "DUK Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$11.1M",
    "Insiders": "18",
    "Avg Transaction": "$742.5K"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in DUK",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Feb 25, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "GOOD LYNN J Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "45.9K",
        "$4.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 8, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "SIDERIS HARRY K. Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "20.0K",
        "$2.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 2, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "GHARTEY-TAGOE KODWO Officer",
        "Sell",
        "18.2K",
        "$2.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 25, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "GOOD LYNN J Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "20.0K",
        "$2.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 26, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "YATES LLOYD M Officer",
        "Sell",
        "20.0K",
        "$1.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 15, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "GLENN ROBERT ALEXANDER Officer",
        "Sell",
        "15.0K",
        "$1.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 16, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "JANSON JULIE S. Officer",
        "Sell",
        "15.5K",
        "$1.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 15, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "GOOD LYNN J Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "15.0K",
        "$1.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 23, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "SAVOY BRIAN D. Chief Financial Officer",
        "Sell",
        "12.0K",
        "$1.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 28, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "GOOD LYNN J Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "16.4K",
        "$1.5M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&amp;company=Duke+Energy+Corporation&amp;type=4&amp;dateb=&amp;owner=include&amp;count=40&amp;search_text=&amp;action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Duke Energy Corporation's stock price forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "Duke Energy Corporation's stock price is projected to be around $138.34 in 2030 based on a Monte Carlo simulation. The downside projection is $81.83, while the upside projection reaches $233.90. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is Duke Energy Corporation stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Duke Energy Corporation is currently rated 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts with a consensus score of 59. The stock is trading below its key moving averages and shows oversold conditions on the RSI, but insider selling and a median price target suggesting only moderate upside temper a strong buy recommendation."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical levels for Duke Energy Corporation stock?",
   "answer": "Duke Energy Corporation is currently trading below its 50-day SMA of $122.16 and its 200-day SMA of $124.04. The RSI is at an oversold level of 18.22, suggesting a potential for a short-term bounce, but the stock needs to reclaim these moving averages to signal a trend reversal."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does Duke Energy Corporation's insider activity look?",
   "answer": "Insider activity for Duke Energy Corporation shows a 'Moderate Sell Signal,' with insiders selling over $11.1 million in stock versus no reported purchases. This net selling trend suggests a cautious sentiment among management."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is Duke Energy Corporation's dividend yield?",
   "answer": "Duke Energy Corporation offers a dividend yield of approximately 3.78%, providing a steady income stream for investors."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does Duke Energy Corporation compare to its sector peers?",
   "answer": "Duke Energy Corporation's P/E ratio of 17.07 and P/S ratio of 2.69 are below the sector medians of 22.8 and 3.3, respectively. However, its revenue growth of 1.1% lags the sector median of 4.1%, and its debt-to-equity ratio is at the sector median."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the outlook for Duke Energy Corporation's earnings?",
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}