{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/dow-inc-dow/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/dow-inc-dow/data.json",
 "title": "Dow (DOW) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Is DOW a Buy? Get daily AI trade plans for Dow Inc. Analysis of chemical packaging margins, global manufacturing demand, dividend yield, and technical targets.",
 "headline": "Dow Inc. (DOW)",
 "published": "2026-03-16T15:19:22+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T19:43:26.8+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T20:41:55.361Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "DOW",
  "name": "Dow Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Basic Materials",
  "industry": "Chemicals",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.dow.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 28.94,
  "previousClose": 29.64,
  "change": -0.7,
  "changePercent": -2.38,
  "open": 29.41,
  "high": 29.685,
  "low": 28.71,
  "volume": 597493,
  "averageVolume": 7436999,
  "marketCap": 21410178674,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 42.74,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 20.65,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T19:43:25.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": -15.81,
  "eps": -1.83,
  "dividendYield": 0.048300845264792135,
  "beta": 0.424,
  "priceToSales": 0.5181679,
  "priceToBook": 1.3499727,
  "revenueTtm": 41318998016,
  "grossMargin": 0.179209394641085,
  "returnOnEquity": -0.0554
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 23.79,
  "macd": -0.33,
  "sma50": 30.13,
  "sma200": 31.63,
  "rsiSignal": "Oversold",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 57,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 34.5,
  "analystTarget": 34.5,
  "analystCount": 18,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T19:43:25.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 28.935,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 2.15,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 28.65,
  "aggressiveEntry": 28.94,
  "stopLoss": 27.04,
  "stopLossPercent": 5.6,
  "targets": [
   29.51,
   30.08,
   30.94
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 17.42,
    "base": 28.69,
    "upside90th": 47.27
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 14.05,
    "base": 28.46,
    "upside90th": 57.64
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 11.89,
    "base": 28.22,
    "upside90th": 66.98
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 10.31,
    "base": 27.99,
    "upside90th": 75.93
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 9.09,
    "base": 27.75,
    "upside90th": 84.72
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 8.11,
    "base": 27.52,
    "upside90th": 93.46
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 7.29,
    "base": 27.29,
    "upside90th": 102.22
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 6.6,
    "base": 27.07,
    "upside90th": 111.04
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 6.01,
    "base": 26.84,
    "upside90th": 119.97
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 5.49,
    "base": 26.62,
    "upside90th": 129
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "DOW Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$29.41",
    "Day Range": "$28.71 to $29.69",
    "Prev Close": "$29.64",
    "Volume": "597.5K",
    "52-Week Range": "$20.65 to $42.74",
    "Market Cap": "$21.41B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+390%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "DOW Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 2 quarters, DOW beat estimates 2 times. The stock rose 2 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "DOW Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Dow Inc. (DOW) is currently trading below its key moving averages, with its price below the 50-day SMA of $30.13 and the 200-day SMA of $31.63. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 23.79, indicating oversold territory and a potential for a short-term bounce. The MACD is at -0.326, suggesting bearish momentum. Volume has been significantly below average, with the latest volume at 597,493 compared to a 7,436,999 average, indicating a lack of conviction behind the current price action. Key support levels are not clearly defined due to the lack of strong historical trends, but the current price action suggests resistance at the 50-day and 200-day SMAs.",
    "Dow Inc. (DOW) reported a positive EPS surprise of 6.36% in its latest quarter, indicating potential operational improvements or better-than-expected market conditions.",
    "Current quarter revenue estimates show a year-over-year growth of +13.00%, outpacing sector averages and suggesting healthy demand for Dow's products.",
    "Dow Inc. (DOW) has a negative EPS of -1.83 for the trailing twelve months, raising concerns about its fundamental profitability and long-term financial health.",
    "The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($30.13 and $31.63), indicating a bearish technical trend and potential for further downside.",
    "Dow Inc. (DOW) faces a challenging outlook, with its current price below key technical indicators and a negative EPS. The median analyst price target of $34.5 suggests a limited upside of 19.2% from the current price of $28.935, aligning with a 'Hold' consensus. Positive revenue growth estimates for the current and next quarters offer some support, but the company's ability to translate this into consistent profitability remains a key concern. Potential catalysts for a bullish shift would require a sustained improvement in profitability, a clear upward trend above its moving averages, and a stronger conviction from Wall Street analysts. Conversely, any further deterioration in earnings, increased input costs, or a broader economic downturn impacting chemical demand could push the stock lower, testing its oversold technical levels."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Dow Inc. (DOW) is trading in oversold territory according to its RSI, which may present a short-term trading opportunity, but the negative EPS and bearish trend suggest caution for long-term investors.",
     "Monitor input costs and global demand for chemicals, as these factors significantly influence Dow Inc.'s (DOW) revenue and profitability.",
     "Given the negative EPS and current technical weakness, consider a tighter stop-loss strategy if entering a long position, potentially below the recent lows or the 200-day SMA."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Positive Earnings Surprise",
     "text": "Dow Inc. (DOW) reported a positive EPS surprise of 6.36% in its latest quarter, indicating potential operational improvements or better-than-expected market conditions.",
     "source": "Earnings Report"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Strong Revenue Growth Projections",
     "text": "Current quarter revenue estimates show a year-over-year growth of +13.00%, outpacing sector averages and suggesting healthy demand for Dow's products.",
     "source": "Wall Street Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Negative Trailing Twelve Month EPS",
     "text": "Dow Inc. (DOW) has a negative EPS of -1.83 for the trailing twelve months, raising concerns about its fundamental profitability and long-term financial health.",
     "source": "Financial Data"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Below Key Moving Averages",
     "text": "The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($30.13 and $31.63), indicating a bearish technical trend and potential for further downside.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Dow Inc. (DOW) exhibits a negative EPS of -1.83, making its P/E ratio mathematically negative and thus not a reliable valuation metric. The company's revenue growth, however, is projected to be positive, with current quarter estimates at +13.00% year-over-year, reaching $11.3 billion. Sector averages show a P/E of -15.81 (negative due to losses) and a revenue growth of 8.0%, suggesting DOW's revenue growth is currently outperforming the sector, but its profitability metrics are lagging significantly. The balance sheet strength is not detailed, but the negative EPS raises concerns about long-term profitability and sustainability.",
    "Dow Inc. (DOW) reported a positive EPS surprise of 6.36% in its most recent quarter ending July 16, 2026, with actual EPS of $1.17 against an estimate of $1.10, leading to a 2.12% price increase. Prior to this, the company reported a significant positive surprise of 51.72% in the quarter ending April 23, 2026, with an actual EPS of -0.14 versus an estimate of -0.29. Despite these positive surprises, the trailing twelve-month EPS remains negative at -1.83, indicating ongoing profitability challenges.",
    "Dow Inc. (DOW) faces significant risks including its negative trailing twelve-month EPS of -1.83, which renders traditional P/E valuation metrics unusable. The stock is trading below key moving averages, signaling a bearish trend, and its RSI of 23.79, while oversold, could indicate deeper underlying issues rather than just a temporary dip. Also, the company's reliance on commodity chemical markets exposes it to cyclical downturns and volatile input costs, which could exacerbate profitability concerns."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "21.41B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "N/A (Negative EPS)"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "-1.83"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "4.83%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "42.74"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "20.65"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Oversold SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $30.13, 200-day: $31.63), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 23.8 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Oversold",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "23.79"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-0.33"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "30.13"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "31.63"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.32",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.24",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "-0.01",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "-0.02"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "DOW Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (23.8) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$29.51",
    "TARGET 2": "$30.08",
    "TARGET 3": "$30.94",
    "STOP LOSS": "$27.04"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+1.74%",
    "Average Feb return": "+0.29%",
    "Average Mar return": "+2.63%",
    "Average Apr return": "+3.25%",
    "Average May return": "-3.76%",
    "Average Jun return": "-5.80%",
    "Average Jul return": "+0.31%",
    "Average Aug return": "+2.64%",
    "Average Sep return": "-2.02%",
    "Average Oct return": "-0.64%",
    "Average Nov return": "+2.49%",
    "Average Dec return": "+0.88%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "2.15%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in DOW in March 2019 would be worth about $5,952 today, compared with about $26,916 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in DOW today could grow to about $9,199 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $44,584 and a bear case around $1,898. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "DOW Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $27.99 for DOW by 2030 in the base case, from $28.94 today (1.0x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $10.31. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on DOW's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using DOW's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "DOW simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$17.42",
        "$28.69",
        "$47.27"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$14.05",
        "$28.46",
        "$57.64"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$11.89",
        "$28.22",
        "$66.98"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$10.31",
        "$27.99",
        "$75.93"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$9.09",
        "$27.75",
        "$84.72"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$8.11",
        "$27.52",
        "$93.46"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$7.29",
        "$27.29",
        "$102"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$6.60",
        "$27.07",
        "$111"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$6.01",
        "$26.84",
        "$120"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$5.49",
        "$26.62",
        "$129"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "LAC Lithium Americas Corp. NYSE $3.02 -5.33%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/lithium-americas-lac/"
    },
    {
     "text": "CX Cemex S.A.B. de C.V. Sponsored NYSE $10.67 +0.0469%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/cx-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "LUGDF Lundin Gold Inc OTC $66.90 -4.21%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/lugdf-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "LIN Linde NASDAQ $466.21 +0.9932%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/lin-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "BHP BHP Group Ltd. Sponsored NYSE $87.35 -5.31%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/bhp-bhp-group/"
    },
    {
     "text": "SCCO Southern Copper Corporation NYSE $194.39 +0.1288%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/scco-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "MP MP Materials Corp. NYSE $51.32 -5.49%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/mp-materials-mp/"
    },
    {
     "text": "WPM Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. NYSE $152.62 -2.64%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/wpm-stock-analysis/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "CRWD vs PANW Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/crwd-vs-panw/"
    },
    {
     "text": "CLS vs SMCI Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/cls-vs-smci/"
    },
    {
     "text": "BSX vs MDT Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/bsx-vs-mdt/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "DOW Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "None",
    "Insiders": "22",
    "Avg Transaction": "N/A"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in DOW",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "May 4, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "UNGERLEIDER HOWARD I. President",
        "Sell",
        "104.1K",
        "$7.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 6, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "EDMONDS RONALD C Officer",
        "Sell",
        "30.0K",
        "$2.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 26, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "EDMONDS RONALD C Officer",
        "Sell",
        "10.0K",
        "$556.4K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 18, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "HOLICKI PETER Officer",
        "Sell",
        "6.8K",
        "$382.8K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 13, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "BELL JAMES A Director",
        "Sell",
        "5.4K",
        "$289.7K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 1, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "CARTER KAREN S. Chief Executive Officer",
        "Grant",
        "24.2K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 9, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "ALLEN SAMUEL R Director",
        "Grant",
        "5.1K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 9, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "BANISTER GAURDIE E JR. Director",
        "Grant",
        "5.1K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 9, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "BUSH WESLEY G Director",
        "Grant",
        "5.1K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 9, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "DAVIS RICHARD K Director",
        "Grant",
        "5.1K",
        "-"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Dow+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Dow Inc.'s stock price forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "Dow Inc.'s (DOW) long-range projection for 2030 indicates a base case price of $27.99, with a downside scenario of $10.31 and an upside scenario of $75.93. These figures are derived from Monte Carlo simulations and are not guaranteed price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is Dow Inc. stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Dow Inc. (DOW) is currently rated as a Hold, with a consensus score of 57 out of 100. The median analyst price target is $34.5, suggesting a potential upside of 19.2% from the current price of $28.935."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the biggest risks facing Dow Inc.?",
   "answer": "The primary risks for Dow Inc. (DOW) include its negative trailing twelve-month EPS of -1.83, its current trading position below key moving averages, and the inherent cyclicality and price volatility within the basic materials sector."
  },
  {
   "question": "How is Dow Inc. performing technically?",
   "answer": "Technically, Dow Inc. (DOW) is exhibiting bearish momentum, trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($30.13 and $31.63). However, its RSI is in oversold territory at 23.79, suggesting a potential for a short-term reversal."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is Dow Inc.'s revenue growth outlook?",
   "answer": "Dow Inc. (DOW) is projected to see positive revenue growth, with current quarter estimates at +13.00% year-over-year, reaching $11.3 billion. Next year's revenue is estimated to be around $43.3 billion, a slight decrease of 1.00% year-over-year."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does Dow Inc. compare to its sector averages?",
   "answer": "Dow Inc. (DOW) shows stronger revenue growth projections (+13.00% current quarter) compared to the sector average of 8.00%. However, its profitability metrics are significantly weaker, with a negative EPS versus a sector average P/E of -15.81."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the Wall Street consensus for Dow Inc. stock?",
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      "text": "Dow Inc.'s (DOW) long-range projection for 2030 indicates a base case price of $27.99, with a downside scenario of $10.31 and an upside scenario of $75.93. These figures are derived from Monte Carlo simulations and are not guaranteed price targets."
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      "text": "Dow Inc. (DOW) is projected to see positive revenue growth, with current quarter estimates at +13.00% year-over-year, reaching $11.3 billion. Next year's revenue is estimated to be around $43.3 billion, a slight decrease of 1.00% year-over-year."
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      "text": "Dow Inc. (DOW) shows stronger revenue growth projections (+13.00% current quarter) compared to the sector average of 8.00%. However, its profitability metrics are significantly weaker, with a negative EPS versus a sector average P/E of -15.81."
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      "text": "The Wall Street consensus for Dow Inc. (DOW) is a 'Hold' rating, with a score of 57 out of 100. This is based on 18 analysts, with 1 Strong Buy, 5 Buy, 11 Hold, and 1 Strong Sell rating."
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