{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/dhi-stock-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/dhi-stock-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "D.R. Horton (DHI) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI) stock: Consumer Cyclical, Residential Construction. $37.9B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI)",
 "published": "2026-07-23T09:43:37+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T16:56:55.897+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T20:41:30.793Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "DHI",
  "name": "D.R. Horton, Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Consumer Cyclical",
  "industry": "Residential Construction",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.drhorton.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 137.98,
  "previousClose": 135.57,
  "change": 2.41,
  "changePercent": 1.78,
  "open": 138.305,
  "high": 138.6,
  "low": 135.58,
  "volume": 156518,
  "averageVolume": 1983592,
  "marketCap": 37919103564,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 184.55,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 131.75,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T16:56:55.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 13.206272,
  "eps": 10.52,
  "dividendYield": 0.01303780964797914,
  "beta": 1.371,
  "priceToSales": 1.1651843,
  "priceToBook": 1.6373986,
  "revenueTtm": 33350000640,
  "grossMargin": 0.232597457489352,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.12632
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 33.44,
  "macd": -2.83,
  "sma50": 147.33,
  "sma200": 149.79,
  "rsiSignal": "Bearish",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 53,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 157.5,
  "analystTarget": 157.5,
  "analystCount": 18,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T16:56:55.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 137.98,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 2.25,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 136.6,
  "aggressiveEntry": 137.98,
  "stopLoss": 131.98,
  "stopLossPercent": 3.38,
  "targets": [
   140.7,
   143.43,
   147.53
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 96.72,
    "base": 153.63,
    "upside90th": 244.03
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 88.91,
    "base": 171.06,
    "upside90th": 329.11
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 85.45,
    "base": 190.46,
    "upside90th": 424.5
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 84.05,
    "base": 212.06,
    "upside90th": 535.04
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 83.9,
    "base": 236.11,
    "upside90th": 664.5
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 84.63,
    "base": 262.9,
    "upside90th": 816.66
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 86.05,
    "base": 292.71,
    "upside90th": 995.74
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 88.04,
    "base": 325.92,
    "upside90th": 1206.48
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 90.55,
    "base": 362.88,
    "upside90th": 1454.32
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 93.52,
    "base": 404.04,
    "upside90th": 1745.55
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "DHI Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$138.31",
    "Day Range": "$135.58 to $138.60",
    "Prev Close": "$135.57",
    "Volume": "156.5K",
    "52-Week Range": "$131.75 to $184.55",
    "Market Cap": "$37.92B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-12% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "DHI Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, DHI beat estimates 3 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often \"priced in\" or investors are selling the news."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "DHI Analysis",
   "text": [
    "D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI) is exhibiting bearish momentum, trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($147.33 and $149.79), and its 20-day EMA ($143.45). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 33.44 further confirms this bearish sentiment, indicating weakening price action. The stock's recent volume has been significantly below its average, suggesting a lack of strong conviction from buyers. Key support levels will be critical to watch, especially given the current downward trend. The current price action implies potential for further downside if these support levels are breached.",
    "Insiders have sold $6.4 million worth of DHI stock with no reported purchases, indicating a lack of confidence from management and potentially signaling further downside pressure.",
    "Current quarter revenue is estimated to decrease by 6.00% year-over-year, and next quarter is projected to grow only 6.00%, indicating a slowdown in the company's top-line growth compared to historical performance and sector averages.",
    "DHI is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($147.33 and $149.79), with a bearish RSI reading, suggesting a continuation of the current downward price trend.",
    "The company offers a dividend yield of approximately 1.30%, which may appeal to income-focused investors, although it is currently overshadowed by bearish sentiment.",
    "While recent earnings have shown slight EPS beats, the company experienced a significant miss in Q4 2025, and revenue growth is currently negative, presenting a mixed picture of operational performance.",
    "The base case for D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI) over the next 6-12 months anticipates continued pressure, reflecting its current bearish technicals and projected revenue declines. The median analyst target price of $157.50 suggests limited upside from the current $137.98 level, with a consensus rating of Hold. The company's ability to navigate a potentially slowing housing market and reverse its revenue trajectory will be key. Upside catalysts could emerge from a stronger-than-expected housing market recovery or significant cost-saving measures that boost profitability. Conversely, persistent interest rate hikes, a sharp downturn in housing demand, or continued insider selling could push the stock towards its downside projection of $84.05. Investors should remain cautious given the current headwinds."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor housing market indicators and interest rate movements closely, as these are critical drivers for D.R. Horton's performance.",
     "The stock's current trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($147.33 and $149.79) suggests a cautious approach to new long positions until a clear upward trend is established.",
     "Given the moderate insider selling, investors should pay close attention to any future insider transactions for further clues on management's confidence in the company's outlook."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Insider Selling Continues",
     "text": "Insiders have sold $6.4 million worth of DHI stock with no reported purchases, indicating a lack of confidence from management and potentially signaling further downside pressure.",
     "source": "Insider Trading Data"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Projected Revenue Decline",
     "text": "Current quarter revenue is estimated to decrease by 6.00% year-over-year, and next quarter is projected to grow only 6.00%, indicating a slowdown in the company's top-line growth compared to historical performance and sector averages.",
     "source": "Wall Street Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Bearish Technical Momentum",
     "text": "DHI is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($147.33 and $149.79), with a bearish RSI reading, suggesting a continuation of the current downward price trend.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Positive Dividend Yield",
     "text": "The company offers a dividend yield of approximately 1.30%, which may appeal to income-focused investors, although it is currently overshadowed by bearish sentiment.",
     "source": "Dividend Data"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Mixed Earnings Performance",
     "text": "While recent earnings have shown slight EPS beats, the company experienced a significant miss in Q4 2025, and revenue growth is currently negative, presenting a mixed picture of operational performance.",
     "source": "Earnings Reports"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI) presents a mixed fundamental picture with a P/E ratio of 13.21, which appears attractive compared to the sector average of 15.00. However, the company is experiencing a revenue contraction, with current quarter estimates showing a 6.00% year-over-year decline, contrasting with the sector's average revenue growth of 12.00%. Profitability metrics are solid, with an EPS of $10.52, but the forward revenue outlook suggests challenges ahead. The company's balance sheet strength should be considered in light of the current market conditions. While the P/E ratio is lower than the sector average, the negative revenue growth trend warrants caution. Investors should weigh the valuation against the company's ability to navigate a potentially slowing housing market.",
    "D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI) most recently reported Q3 2026 earnings with an EPS of $3.20, beating the estimate of $2.99 by 7.02%, though the stock saw a minor decline of 0.70%. Prior quarters showed similar patterns of slight EPS beats, except for a 7.03% miss in Q4 2025. Revenue for the current quarter is projected to decrease by 6.00% year-over-year, indicating a shift from the positive growth seen in previous periods.",
    "D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI) faces significant risks from a deteriorating technical outlook, with the stock trading below key moving averages and exhibiting bearish momentum. The moderate insider sell signal, involving $6.4 million in sales, suggests a lack of confidence from management in the near term. Also, projected revenue declines in the current and upcoming quarters indicate potential challenges in the housing market, which could impact future earnings and stock performance."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "37.92B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "13.21"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "10.52"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "1.30%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "184.55"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "131.75"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Bearish SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $147.33, 200-day: $149.79), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Bearish",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "33.44"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-2.83"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "147.33"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "149.79"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.29",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.19",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "-0.05",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.09"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "DHI Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (33.4) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$140.70",
    "TARGET 2": "$143.43",
    "TARGET 3": "$147.53",
    "STOP LOSS": "$131.98"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+3.44%",
    "Average Feb return": "-2.34%",
    "Average Mar return": "-1.87%",
    "Average Apr return": "+6.33%",
    "Average May return": "+0.55%",
    "Average Jun return": "+1.45%",
    "Average Jul return": "+8.73%",
    "Average Aug return": "+1.47%",
    "Average Sep return": "-1.74%",
    "Average Oct return": "-3.39%",
    "Average Nov return": "+6.94%",
    "Average Dec return": "-1.07%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "2.25%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in DHI in September 2016 would be worth about $44,347 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in DHI today could grow to about $29,283 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $126,508 and a bear case around $6,778. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "DHI Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $212 for DHI by 2030 in the base case, from $138 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $84.05. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on DHI's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using DHI's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "DHI simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$96.72",
        "$154",
        "$244"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$88.91",
        "$171",
        "$329"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$85.45",
        "$190",
        "$425"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$84.05",
        "$212",
        "$535"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$83.90",
        "$236",
        "$664"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$84.63",
        "$263",
        "$817"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$86.05",
        "$293",
        "$996"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$88.04",
        "$326",
        "$1,206"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$90.55",
        "$363",
        "$1,454"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$93.52",
        "$404",
        "$1,746"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/lly-vs-abbv/"
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  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "DHI Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$6.4M",
    "Insiders": "12",
    "Avg Transaction": "$1.1M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in DHI",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "May 3, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "MURRAY MICHAEL JOHN Chief Operating Officer",
        "Sell",
        "54.0K",
        "$6.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 5, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "AULD DAVID V Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "30.0K",
        "$5.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 17, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "ROMANOWSKI PAUL J. Chief Operating Officer",
        "Sell",
        "40.0K",
        "$4.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 17, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "MURRAY MICHAEL JOHN Chief Operating Officer",
        "Sell",
        "54.4K",
        "$3.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 20, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "AULD DAVID V Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "25.0K",
        "$3.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 10, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "WHEAT BILL W Chief Financial Officer",
        "Sell",
        "35.0K",
        "$3.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 20, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "WHEAT BILL W Chief Financial Officer",
        "Sell",
        "32.0K",
        "$3.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 10, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "MURRAY MICHAEL JOHN Chief Operating Officer",
        "Sell",
        "34.0K",
        "$3.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 9, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "AULD DAVID V Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "32.0K",
        "$3.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 21, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "ROMANOWSKI PAUL J. Chief Operating Officer",
        "Sell",
        "30.0K",
        "$2.7M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=D.R.+Horton%2C+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is D.R. Horton's stock price forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, D.R. Horton's stock price is projected to be $212.06 in 2030 under a base case scenario. The downside projection is $84.05, and the upside projection is $535.04. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is D.R. Horton stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "D.R. Horton (DHI) currently holds a 'Hold' consensus rating from Wall Street analysts. The stock is trading below its key moving averages, indicating bearish technical momentum, and faces headwinds from declining revenue projections and insider selling."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the biggest risks facing D.R. Horton?",
   "answer": "The primary risks for D.R. Horton include a bearish technical trend, with the stock below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($147.33 and $149.79), and a moderate insider sell signal. Additionally, projected revenue declines in the current and upcoming quarters signal potential challenges in the housing market."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does D.R. Horton's revenue growth compare to its sector?",
   "answer": "D.R. Horton's projected revenue growth for the current quarter is -6.00%, significantly below the Consumer Cyclical sector's average revenue growth of 12.00%. This indicates the company is currently underperforming its peers in terms of top-line expansion."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is D.R. Horton's dividend yield?",
   "answer": "D.R. Horton, Inc. offers a dividend yield of approximately 1.30%, providing a modest income stream to shareholders."
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   "answer": "The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for D.R. Horton is currently 33.44, which is categorized as 'BEARISH', indicating weakening momentum and suggesting potential for further price declines."
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  {
   "question": "How does D.R. Horton's valuation compare to its sector averages?",
   "answer": "D.R. Horton's P/E ratio of 13.21 is slightly lower than the Consumer Cyclical sector average of 15.00, suggesting a potentially more attractive valuation. However, this is tempered by negative revenue growth projections."
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     "description": "D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI) stock: Consumer Cyclical, Residential Construction. $37.9B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
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      "text": "The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for D.R. Horton is currently 33.44, which is categorized as 'BEARISH', indicating weakening momentum and suggesting potential for further price declines."
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    {
     "@type": "Question",
     "name": "How does D.R. Horton's valuation compare to its sector averages?",
     "acceptedAnswer": {
      "@type": "Answer",
      "text": "D.R. Horton's P/E ratio of 13.21 is slightly lower than the Consumer Cyclical sector average of 15.00, suggesting a potentially more attractive valuation. However, this is tempered by negative revenue growth projections."
     }
    }
   ]
  }
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}