{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/csx-stock-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/csx-stock-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "CSX Corporation (CSX) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "CSX Corporation (CSX) stock: Industrials, Railroads. $90.8B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "CSX Corporation (CSX)",
 "published": "2026-07-10T09:26:48+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T20:19:06.953+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T20:41:03.046Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "CSX",
  "name": "CSX Corporation",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Industrials",
  "industry": "Railroads",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.csx.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 48.95,
  "previousClose": 49.04,
  "change": -0.1,
  "changePercent": -0.19,
  "open": 49.52,
  "high": 49.61,
  "low": 48.7,
  "volume": 586149,
  "averageVolume": 8953115,
  "marketCap": 90845371782,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 53.6,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 31.8,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T20:18:54.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 28.511627,
  "eps": 1.72,
  "dividendYield": 0.01144141383185208,
  "beta": 1.207,
  "priceToSales": 6.2600174,
  "priceToBook": 6.450934,
  "revenueTtm": 14512000000,
  "grossMargin": 0.38271918678526046,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.24357
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 28.48,
  "macd": -0.4,
  "sma50": 50.22,
  "sma200": 43.46,
  "rsiSignal": "Oversold",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 55,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 48.95,
  "analystTarget": 54,
  "analystCount": 25,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T20:18:54.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 48.945,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 1.08,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 48.46,
  "aggressiveEntry": 48.95,
  "stopLoss": 46.86,
  "stopLossPercent": 3.3,
  "targets": [
   49.91,
   50.88,
   52.33
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 38.5,
    "base": 54.83,
    "upside90th": 78.07
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 37.26,
    "base": 61.42,
    "upside90th": 101.25
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 37.3,
    "base": 68.8,
    "upside90th": 126.9
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 38.01,
    "base": 77.07,
    "upside90th": 156.27
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 39.17,
    "base": 86.33,
    "upside90th": 190.29
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 40.69,
    "base": 96.71,
    "upside90th": 229.86
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 42.52,
    "base": 108.33,
    "upside90th": 275.98
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 44.65,
    "base": 121.35,
    "upside90th": 329.77
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 47.08,
    "base": 135.93,
    "upside90th": 392.5
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 49.8,
    "base": 152.27,
    "upside90th": 465.63
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "CSX Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$49.52",
    "Day Range": "$48.70 to $49.61",
    "Prev Close": "$49.04",
    "Volume": "586.1K",
    "52-Week Range": "$31.80 to $53.60",
    "Market Cap": "$90.85B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-16% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "CSX Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, CSX beat estimates 2 times. The stock rose 2 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "CSX Analysis",
   "text": [
    "CSX Corporation's stock is currently trading at $48.95, below its 50-day SMA of $50.22 and its 20-day EMA of $49.77, suggesting near-term downward pressure. However, it remains above its 200-day SMA of $43.46, indicating a longer-term bullish trend. The RSI is in oversold territory at 28.48, potentially signaling a near-term bounce. Volume has been significantly lower than average, down 93.5% versus its average daily volume, which could limit the impact of any price movements. Key support is seen near the 200-day SMA, while resistance lies around the 50-day SMA.",
    "CSX Corporation has a track record of exceeding analyst EPS estimates, with the latest quarter showing a 3.85% surprise and a positive stock reaction, indicating strong operational execution.",
    "The stock is trading above its 200-day moving average of $43.46, suggesting that the longer-term trend remains intact despite recent weakness.",
    "Insiders have sold $18.6 million worth of stock versus $3 million in purchases, indicating a net selling position that could signal a lack of strong conviction from management.",
    "CSX is trading below its 50-day SMA ($50.22) and 20-day EMA ($49.77), indicating potential for further near-term price declines.",
    "The base case outlook for CSX Corporation over the next 6-12 months suggests a period of consolidation, with the stock likely trading within a range defined by its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. The median analyst price target of $54.00 implies a modest upside of 10.3%, reflecting a balanced view of the company's operational strengths and potential headwinds. Continued positive earnings surprises and steady revenue growth are expected to support the stock, but significant upward momentum may be capped by valuation concerns and insider selling activity."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Consider the moderate insider selling trend, with total sales significantly exceeding purchases, as a signal of potential caution from management.",
     "The stock's oversold RSI suggests a potential for a short-term bounce, but confirmation from increased volume and a break above key moving averages would be needed for sustained upward movement.",
     "Given the limited upside to the median analyst price target, investors may want to manage position size carefully and look for catalysts beyond current expectations."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Consistent Earnings Beat Performance",
     "text": "CSX Corporation has a track record of exceeding analyst EPS estimates, with the latest quarter showing a 3.85% surprise and a positive stock reaction, indicating strong operational execution.",
     "source": "Earnings Report"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Positive Long-Term Trend Support",
     "text": "The stock is trading above its 200-day moving average of $43.46, suggesting that the longer-term trend remains intact despite recent weakness.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Moderate Insider Selling Signal",
     "text": "Insiders have sold $18.6 million worth of stock versus $3 million in purchases, indicating a net selling position that could signal a lack of strong conviction from management.",
     "source": "Insider Transactions"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Short-Term Technical Weakness",
     "text": "CSX is trading below its 50-day SMA ($50.22) and 20-day EMA ($49.77), indicating potential for further near-term price declines.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "CSX Corporation's valuation appears stretched relative to its sector, with a P/E ratio of 28.51 compared to the sector median of 34.0, though its revenue growth of 10.1% is slightly below the sector average of 11.7%. The company's profitability, as indicated by its EPS of $1.72, is solid. The median price target from Wall Street analysts is $54.00, suggesting a limited upside of 10.3% from the current price, which aligns with the 'Hold' consensus rating. The company pays a dividend yield of approximately 1.12%.",
    "CSX Corporation has demonstrated a consistent ability to beat earnings per share estimates over the past year, with the most recent quarter (July 2026) showing an EPS of $0.54 against an estimate of $0.52, a 3.85% surprise, which resulted in a 5.77% stock price increase. This follows a trend of positive surprises in prior quarters, indicating operational efficiency and effective cost management. Revenue growth is expected to remain strong, with projections of 10.00% for the current quarter and 8.00% for the full year.",
    "CSX Corporation faces moderate selling pressure from insiders, with total sales exceeding purchases by over $15 million in the recent period, signaling potential caution from management. The stock's technical indicators show it trading below key short-term moving averages, and its RSI is in oversold territory, suggesting potential for further downside or a volatile reversal. Also, the median analyst price target of $54.00 offers limited upside from the current price, capping significant near-term gains."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "90.85B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "28.51"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "1.72"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "1.12%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "53.60"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "31.80"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Oversold SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($50.22) above the 200-day SMA ($43.46), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 28.5 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Oversold",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "28.48"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-0.40"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "50.22"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "43.46"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.45",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.34",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.04",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.06"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "CSX Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (28.5) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$49.91",
    "TARGET 2": "$50.88",
    "TARGET 3": "$52.33",
    "STOP LOSS": "$46.86"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+3.97%",
    "Average Feb return": "+1.28%",
    "Average Mar return": "-2.16%",
    "Average Apr return": "+4.01%",
    "Average May return": "+2.13%",
    "Average Jun return": "+0.40%",
    "Average Jul return": "+1.69%",
    "Average Aug return": "-0.23%",
    "Average Sep return": "+0.63%",
    "Average Oct return": "+1.84%",
    "Average Nov return": "+6.94%",
    "Average Dec return": "-1.49%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "1.08%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in CSX in September 2016 would be worth about $51,315 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in CSX today could grow to about $31,111 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $95,133 and a bear case around $10,174. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "CSX Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $77.07 for CSX by 2030 in the base case, from $48.95 today (1.6x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $38.01. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on CSX's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using CSX's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "CSX simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$38.50",
        "$54.83",
        "$78.07"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$37.26",
        "$61.42",
        "$101"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$37.30",
        "$68.80",
        "$127"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$38.01",
        "$77.07",
        "$156"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$39.17",
        "$86.33",
        "$190"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$40.69",
        "$96.71",
        "$230"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$42.52",
        "$108",
        "$276"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$44.65",
        "$121",
        "$330"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$47.08",
        "$136",
        "$393"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$49.80",
        "$152",
        "$466"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare CSX",
   "links": [
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/csx-vs-nsc/"
    },
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/silver-vs-platinum/"
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    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "CSX Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "$3.0M",
    "Sold": "$18.6M",
    "Insiders": "20",
    "Avg Transaction": "$2.0M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in CSX",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Oct 17, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "MANTLE RIDGE, L.P. Unknown",
        "Sell",
        "3.5M",
        "$234.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 30, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "HILAL PAUL C Director",
        "Sell",
        "1.9M",
        "$192.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jan 25, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "MANTLE RIDGE, L.P. Director",
        "Sell",
        "2.8M",
        "$179.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jan 24, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "MANTLE RIDGE, L.P. Director",
        "Sell",
        "1.9M",
        "$125.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 7, 2017",
       "cells": [
        "MANTLE RIDGE, L.P. Unknown",
        "Sell",
        "1.7M",
        "$84.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 29, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "HILAL PAUL C Director",
        "Sell",
        "700.0K",
        "$47.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 20, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "GOLDMAN NATHAN DOUGLAS Officer",
        "Sell",
        "244.5K",
        "$9.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 3, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "BOONE KEVIN S Chief Financial Officer",
        "Sell",
        "136.7K",
        "$6.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 8, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "WALLACE MARK KENNETH Officer",
        "Sell",
        "161.5K",
        "$5.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 10, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "WALLACE MARK KENNETH Officer",
        "Sell",
        "48.0K",
        "$5.0M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=CSX+Corporation&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is CSX Corporation's current stock price?",
   "answer": "CSX Corporation's stock is currently trading at $48.95 as of September 11, 2026."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is CSX Corporation stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "CSX Corporation holds a 'Hold' consensus rating from Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $54.00 suggesting limited upside from the current price. While technical indicators show oversold conditions, moderate insider selling and mixed short-term trends warrant caution."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the biggest risks for CSX Corporation?",
   "answer": "Key risks for CSX Corporation include moderate insider selling, with total sales significantly outweighing purchases, and technical indicators showing the stock trading below its short-term moving averages. Additionally, the limited upside to the median analyst price target suggests constrained growth potential."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is CSX Corporation's projected revenue growth?",
   "answer": "CSX Corporation is projected to achieve revenue growth of approximately 10.00% for the current quarter and 8.00% for the full year, indicating continued expansion."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has CSX Corporation performed in recent earnings reports?",
   "answer": "CSX Corporation has consistently beaten earnings per share estimates, with the latest quarter showing a 3.85% surprise and a 5.77% stock price increase, indicating strong operational performance."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is CSX Corporation's dividend yield?",
   "answer": "CSX Corporation offers a dividend yield of approximately 1.12%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is CSX's stock forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, CSX's stock forecast for 2030 shows a base case price of $77.07, with a downside projection of $38.01 and an upside projection of $156.27. These are simulation outcomes, not guaranteed price targets."
  }
 ],
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   {
    "ticker": "ETN",
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