{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/conocophillips-cop/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/conocophillips-cop/data.json",
 "title": "ConocoPhillips (COP) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "ConocoPhillips (COP) stock: Energy, Oil & Gas E&P. $164.6B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "ConocoPhillips (COP)",
 "published": "2026-06-13T09:13:31+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T19:51:00.782+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T21:01:07.234Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "COP",
  "name": "ConocoPhillips",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Energy",
  "industry": "Oil & Gas E&P",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.conocophillips.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 136.66,
  "previousClose": 137.04,
  "change": -0.38,
  "changePercent": -0.28,
  "open": 136.27,
  "high": 137.655,
  "low": 135.53,
  "volume": 135686,
  "averageVolume": 5286889,
  "marketCap": 164631279712,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 138.89,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 85.57,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T19:50:58.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 17.84706,
  "eps": 7.65,
  "dividendYield": 0.024598264943812,
  "beta": 0.134,
  "priceToSales": 2.5445414,
  "priceToBook": 2.509881,
  "revenueTtm": 64459001856,
  "grossMargin": 0.3671520275559731,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.1418
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 54.66,
  "macd": 3.87,
  "sma50": 122.73,
  "sma200": 113.7,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Bullish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 72,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": 146,
  "analystTarget": 146,
  "analystCount": 26,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T19:50:58.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 136.655,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 1.61,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 133.92,
  "aggressiveEntry": 136.66,
  "stopLoss": 129.9,
  "stopLossPercent": 3,
  "targets": [
   140.62,
   147.31,
   154.01
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 92.46,
    "base": 149.97,
    "upside90th": 243.26
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 83.04,
    "base": 164.58,
    "upside90th": 326.19
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 78.15,
    "base": 180.62,
    "upside90th": 417.46
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 75.34,
    "base": 198.22,
    "upside90th": 521.53
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 73.76,
    "base": 217.53,
    "upside90th": 641.58
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 73,
    "base": 238.73,
    "upside90th": 780.66
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 72.86,
    "base": 261.99,
    "upside90th": 942.04
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 73.2,
    "base": 287.52,
    "upside90th": 1129.34
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 73.93,
    "base": 315.53,
    "upside90th": 1346.62
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 75.01,
    "base": 346.28,
    "upside90th": 1598.51
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "COP Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$136.27",
    "Day Range": "$135.53 to $137.66",
    "Prev Close": "$137.04",
    "Volume": "135.7K",
    "52-Week Range": "$85.57 to $138.89",
    "Market Cap": "$164.63B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-0.0165% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "COP Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, COP beat estimates 3 times. The stock rose 2 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "COP Analysis",
   "text": [
    "ConocoPhillips (COP) is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($122.73 and $113.70), signaling a generally positive trend. The current price of $136.66 is also above its 20-day Exponential Moving Average, reinforcing bullish momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 54.66, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD is positive at 3.87. Volume was notably low in the latest trading session, significantly below the average. Key support levels are indicated by the 50-day SMA at $122.73 and the 200-day SMA at $113.70. Resistance can be inferred from the current price action and potentially higher levels not explicitly stated. The neutral RSI suggests that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, allowing room for further price movement in either direction. The low volume on recent price action might suggest a lack of conviction from traders.",
    "ConocoPhillips has consistently beaten EPS estimates, most recently by 10.2% on August 6, 2026. This trend suggests operational strength and could continue to support the stock price.",
    "A 'Buy' consensus from 26 analysts, with a median price target of $146.00, indicates strong institutional confidence in the stock's future performance.",
    "Insiders have sold $144.6 million in stock versus minimal purchases, resulting in a heavy insider selling verdict. This suggests potential concerns among management regarding future stock performance.",
    "Revenue growth is projected to shift from an 18.00% increase this year to an 8.00% decline next year, indicating potential headwinds for future top-line performance.",
    "ConocoPhillips (COP) is expected to maintain a positive trajectory in the medium term, supported by a 'Buy' consensus from 26 analysts and a median price target of $146.00, implying a 6.8% upside. The company's strong revenue growth, currently projected at 18.00% for the year, and consistent earnings beats provide a solid fundamental base. The stock's position above key moving averages also suggests continued technical strength. However, the outlook is tempered by significant insider selling and a projected slowdown in revenue growth for next year, with an anticipated 8.00% decline. Investors should monitor these factors closely. Potential catalysts include favorable commodity prices and successful exploration efforts, while risks include regulatory changes, geopolitical instability in energy markets, and a potential shift in analyst sentiment if insider selling continues or revenue declines materialize."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Given the significant insider selling totaling $144.6 million, investors should closely monitor future transactions and management commentary for any signs of underlying issues.",
     "The stock's neutral RSI suggests it is not currently overextended, offering potential for further gains if positive catalysts emerge, but also indicating a lack of strong immediate buying pressure.",
     "With a projected revenue decline next year, consider the company's ability to manage costs and maintain profitability through the energy cycle."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Continued Earnings Beats",
     "text": "ConocoPhillips has consistently beaten EPS estimates, most recently by 10.2% on August 6, 2026. This trend suggests operational strength and could continue to support the stock price.",
     "source": "Company Earnings Reports"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Positive Analyst Sentiment",
     "text": "A 'Buy' consensus from 26 analysts, with a median price target of $146.00, indicates strong institutional confidence in the stock's future performance.",
     "source": "Wall Street Analysts"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Heavy Insider Selling",
     "text": "Insiders have sold $144.6 million in stock versus minimal purchases, resulting in a heavy insider selling verdict. This suggests potential concerns among management regarding future stock performance.",
     "source": "Insider Transaction Filings"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Projected Revenue Decline",
     "text": "Revenue growth is projected to shift from an 18.00% increase this year to an 8.00% decline next year, indicating potential headwinds for future top-line performance.",
     "source": "Wall Street Revenue Estimates"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "ConocoPhillips (COP) presents a P/E ratio of 17.85, which aligns closely with the sector average of 17.85, suggesting a fair valuation relative to its peers. The company's revenue growth is a strong point, with a reported 35.5% year-over-year growth and current year estimates projecting an 18.00% increase. However, forward estimates indicate a potential slowdown with an 8.00% revenue decline projected for next year. The company pays a dividend yield of approximately 2.46%. While the valuation appears reasonable and revenue growth is currently strong, the significant insider selling activity, totaling $144.6 million in sales against minimal purchases, raises concerns about management's short-term outlook. The company's profitability, as indicated by its EPS of $7.65, supports its current valuation, but the divergence between analyst sentiment and insider actions requires careful consideration.",
    "ConocoPhillips (COP) has demonstrated a pattern of beating earnings estimates in recent quarters. Most recently, on August 6, 2026, the company reported EPS of $3.24, surpassing the estimate of $2.94 by 10.2% and resulting in a 0.73% price increase. Prior to this, the company also beat estimates in Q4 2025 and Q1 2026, though it missed expectations in Q3 2025. This consistent ability to outperform analyst expectations on earnings suggests operational efficiency and effective management.",
    "The primary risk for ConocoPhillips (COP) stems from significant insider selling, with $144.6 million in dispositions versus minimal purchases, signaling a heavy insider selling. While the company's valuation is in line with sector averages and revenue growth is positive, a projected 8.00% revenue decline for next year presents a potential headwind. Also, the neutral RSI suggests a lack of strong momentum, indicating that the stock may be range-bound in the near term."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "164.63B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "17.85"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "7.65"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "2.46%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "138.89"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "85.57"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bullish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bullish MACD Bullish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($122.73) above the 200-day SMA ($113.70), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bullish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "54.66"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "3.87"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "122.73"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "113.70"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.26",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.15",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "-0.06",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "-0.05"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "COP Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (54.7) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$140.62",
    "TARGET 2": "$147.31",
    "TARGET 3": "$154.01",
    "STOP LOSS": "$129.90"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+3.09%",
    "Average Feb return": "+0.26%",
    "Average Mar return": "+0.47%",
    "Average Apr return": "+0.97%",
    "Average May return": "-0.14%",
    "Average Jun return": "-2.05%",
    "Average Jul return": "+1.81%",
    "Average Aug return": "+2.37%",
    "Average Sep return": "+3.26%",
    "Average Oct return": "-0.68%",
    "Average Nov return": "+3.03%",
    "Average Dec return": "+0.79%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "1.61%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in COP in September 2016 would be worth about $32,116 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in COP today could grow to about $25,340 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $116,974 and a bear case around $5,489. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "COP Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $198 for COP by 2030 in the base case, from $137 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $75.34. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on COP's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using COP's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "COP simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$92.46",
        "$150",
        "$243"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$83.04",
        "$165",
        "$326"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$78.15",
        "$181",
        "$417"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$75.34",
        "$198",
        "$522"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$73.76",
        "$218",
        "$642"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$73.00",
        "$239",
        "$781"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$72.86",
        "$262",
        "$942"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$73.20",
        "$288",
        "$1,129"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$73.93",
        "$316",
        "$1,347"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$75.01",
        "$346",
        "$1,599"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "NRG NRG Energy, Inc. NYSE $114.05 +2.15%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/nrg-energy-nrg/"
    },
    {
     "text": "SRE Sempra NYSE $83.56 -0.5238%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/sre-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "CWEN Clearway Energy Inc. NYSE $31.21 -1.20%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/cwen-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "IMSR Terrestrial Energy Inc. NASDAQ $4.75 -9.79%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/terrestrial-energy-imsr/"
    },
    {
     "text": "PCG PG&E Corporation NYSE $14.03 -1.13%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/pcg-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "OKLO Oklo Inc. NYSE $37.38 -6.27%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/oklo-inc/"
    },
    {
     "text": "AEP American Electric Power Company, Inc. NASDAQ $123.28 -0.1539%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/aep-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "SO The Southern Company NYSE $87.75 -0.6679%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/southern-company-so/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare COP",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "COP vs OXY Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/cop-vs-oxy/"
    },
    {
     "text": "AMD vs ARM Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/amd-vs-arm/"
    },
    {
     "text": "NFLX vs DIS Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/nflx-vs-dis/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "COP Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "$999.5K",
    "Sold": "$144.6M",
    "Insiders": "12",
    "Avg Transaction": "$9.1M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in COP",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Mar 25, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "LANCE RYAN MICHAEL Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "607.0K",
        "$76.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 7, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "LANCE RYAN MICHAEL Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "584.9K",
        "$70.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 1, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "LANCE RYAN MICHAEL Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "569.4K",
        "$69.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 20, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "LANCE RYAN MICHAEL Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "506.8K",
        "$64.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 19, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "LANCE RYAN MICHAEL Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "500.7K",
        "$46.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 31, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "LANCE RYAN MICHAEL Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "113.2K",
        "$15.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 22, 2018",
       "cells": [
        "LANCE RYAN MICHAEL Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "160.1K",
        "$11.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 7, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "LUNDQUIST ANDREW D Officer",
        "Sell",
        "112.3K",
        "$10.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 14, 2018",
       "cells": [
        "CARRIG JANET L. General Counsel",
        "Sell",
        "114.2K",
        "$8.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 27, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "LANCE RYAN MICHAEL Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "105.1K",
        "$7.7M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=ConocoPhillips&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is ConocoPhillips's stock forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "ConocoPhillips's stock forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case price of $198.22. The downside scenario suggests a price of $75.34, while the upside scenario reaches $521.53. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is ConocoPhillips stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "ConocoPhillips (COP) is currently rated a 'Buy' by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $146.00, implying a 6.8% upside from the current price of $136.66. The stock is trading above key moving averages, and recent earnings have beaten expectations."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the biggest risks facing ConocoPhillips?",
   "answer": "The most significant risk for ConocoPhillips is the heavy insider selling, with $144.6 million in sales, indicating potential concerns among management. Additionally, projected revenue growth is expected to turn negative next year, and the stock's neutral RSI suggests limited immediate upside momentum."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does ConocoPhillips compare to its sector averages?",
   "answer": "ConocoPhillips's P/E ratio of 17.85 is in line with the sector average of 17.85. Its reported revenue growth of 35.5% significantly outpaces the sector average of 10.0%, although next year's projected growth is expected to slow."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is ConocoPhillips's dividend yield?",
   "answer": "ConocoPhillips offers a dividend yield of approximately 2.46%, with a dividend rate of $3.36."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has ConocoPhillips performed in recent earnings reports?",
   "answer": "ConocoPhillips has a strong track record of beating earnings estimates, with its latest report on August 6, 2026, showing an EPS beat of 10.2% and a positive stock price reaction. This trend has been consistent over the past several quarters."
  },
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      "@type": "Answer",
      "text": "Insider sentiment for ConocoPhillips is currently bearish, with a heavy insider selling verdict. Insiders have sold $144.6 million worth of stock compared to only $999.5 thousand in purchases, indicating a net seller position."
     }
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}