{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/cmi-stock-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/cmi-stock-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "Cummins (CMI) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Cummins Inc (CMI) stock: Industrials, Specialty Industrial Machinery. $76.4B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Cummins Inc (CMI)",
 "published": "2026-07-23T09:55:30+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-09T23:02:00.93+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T20:41:23.760Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "CMI",
  "name": "Cummins Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Industrials",
  "industry": "Specialty Industrial Machinery",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.cummins.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 550.03,
  "previousClose": 554.76,
  "change": -4.73,
  "changePercent": -0.85,
  "open": 553.71997,
  "high": 557.66998,
  "low": 545.01001,
  "volume": 1103579,
  "averageVolume": 1113128,
  "marketCap": 76370752184,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 737.76001,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 389.51999,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-09T23:01:57.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 28.87583,
  "eps": 19.57,
  "dividendYield": 0.015860999754570074,
  "beta": 1.226,
  "priceToSales": 2.241391,
  "priceToBook": 6.055443,
  "revenueTtm": 34708000768,
  "grossMargin": 0.2606534841916041,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.21114
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 22.86,
  "macd": -22.87,
  "sma50": 627.53,
  "sma200": 600.95,
  "rsiSignal": "Oversold",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Sell",
  "score": 21,
  "consensus": "Sell",
  "fairValue": 554.76,
  "analystTarget": 771,
  "analystCount": 23,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-09T23:01:57.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 550.030029,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 1.74,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bearish",
  "conservativeEntry": 561.03,
  "aggressiveEntry": 550.03,
  "stopLoss": 582.52,
  "stopLossPercent": 3.83,
  "targets": [
   532.98,
   504.93,
   476.88
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 426.71,
    "base": 614.51,
    "upside90th": 884.96
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 409.89,
    "base": 686.55,
    "upside90th": 1149.94
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 407.82,
    "base": 767.04,
    "upside90th": 1442.65
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 413.21,
    "base": 856.96,
    "upside90th": 1777.24
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 423.57,
    "base": 957.42,
    "upside90th": 2164.12
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 437.79,
    "base": 1069.66,
    "upside90th": 2613.54
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 455.33,
    "base": 1195.06,
    "upside90th": 3136.59
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 475.92,
    "base": 1335.16,
    "upside90th": 3745.73
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 499.46,
    "base": 1491.68,
    "upside90th": 4455.08
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 525.94,
    "base": 1666.56,
    "upside90th": 5280.83
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 8,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "CMI Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$553.72",
    "Day Range": "$545.01 to $557.67",
    "Prev Close": "$554.76",
    "Volume": "1.10M",
    "52-Week Range": "$389.52 to $737.76",
    "Market Cap": "$76.37B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (13% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "CMI Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, CMI beat estimates 2 times. The stock rose 2 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "CMI Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Cummins Inc. (CMI) is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($627.53 and $600.95), with its current price of $554.76 well below the 50-day SMA of $627.53 and the 200-day SMA of $600.95. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 22.86, firmly in oversold territory, suggesting that the stock may be due for a short-term rebound. However, the MACD indicator is also negative, signaling bearish momentum. Key support levels are not clearly defined given the recent price action, but the current price action indicates significant overhead resistance from these moving averages. Volume has been slightly above average recently, but not to a degree that suggests a strong conviction reversal is imminent.",
    "Insiders have sold over $56.8 million worth of CMI stock, significantly outweighing purchases of $332.1 thousand, signaling a lack of confidence in the company's near-term prospects.",
    "The stock's RSI is at 22.86, indicating oversold conditions that, while potentially leading to a short-term bounce, reinforce the current bearish momentum below key moving averages.",
    "Despite insider selling and technical weakness, 23 Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' rating with a median price target of $771.00, suggesting potential upside if fundamental factors improve.",
    "Cummins Inc. recently missed EPS estimates in August 2026 and July 2026, raising concerns about earnings predictability and operational execution.",
    "The outlook for Cummins Inc. (CMI) is cautious, primarily due to significant insider selling and bearish technical signals. The stock is trading well below its key moving averages, and its RSI is significantly oversold, suggesting that immediate upside may be limited despite potential for a short-term bounce. Wall Street's 'Buy' rating and median target of $771.00 contrast sharply with the heavy insider dispositions, creating uncertainty about the company's near-term trajectory. Investors should monitor upcoming earnings reports and any shifts in insider activity for clearer direction."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Given the heavy insider selling totaling over $56.8 million, investors should exercise caution and closely monitor future insider transactions for any signs of changing sentiment.",
     "The stock's oversold RSI of 22.86 suggests a potential for a short-term technical rebound, but the sustained weakness below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($627.53 and $600.95) indicates that the broader trend remains bearish.",
     "With a P/E ratio above the sector average, consider the valuation premium in light of the current bearish technicals and insider selling before initiating new positions."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Heavy Insider Selling Pressure",
     "text": "Insiders have sold over $56.8 million worth of CMI stock, significantly outweighing purchases of $332.1 thousand, signaling a lack of confidence in the company's near-term prospects.",
     "source": "Insider Trading Data"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Oversold Technical Conditions",
     "text": "The stock's RSI is at 22.86, indicating oversold conditions that, while potentially leading to a short-term bounce, reinforce the current bearish momentum below key moving averages.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Wall Street Buy Consensus and Price Target",
     "text": "Despite insider selling and technical weakness, 23 Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' rating with a median price target of $771.00, suggesting potential upside if fundamental factors improve.",
     "source": "Wall Street Analysts"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Recent Earnings Misses",
     "text": "Cummins Inc. recently missed EPS estimates in August 2026 and July 2026, raising concerns about earnings predictability and operational execution.",
     "source": "Earnings Reports"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Cummins Inc. (CMI) presents a mixed fundamental picture, with a P/E ratio of 28.88, which is above the sector average of 25.5, suggesting a potential valuation premium. Earnings per share (EPS) stand at $19.57, indicating profitability. The company's revenue growth is reported at 9.4%, slightly below the sector average of 10.0%. While the company is profitable, the current price action and insider selling suggest that the market may be questioning its future growth prospects or current valuation relative to its peers. Further analysis of its balance sheet and debt-to-equity ratio would be necessary to fully assess its financial health.",
    "Cummins Inc. (CMI) has shown inconsistent earnings performance in its recent quarters. The most recent quarter (August 2026) reported an EPS of $6.73 against an estimate of $7.17, missing expectations by 6.14% and resulting in a 2.25% price decrease. Prior to that, the company missed EPS estimates significantly in July 2026, reporting a loss of $0.02 against an estimate of $0.04. While there were beats in the prior two quarters (May 2026 and February 2026), the recent miss and the prior large miss raise concerns about earnings predictability and execution.",
    "The primary risk for Cummins Inc. (CMI) is the heavy insider selling, with over $56.8 million in dispositions, signaling a lack of confidence from management. Additionally, the stock is trading significantly below its key moving averages and exhibits oversold technical conditions, suggesting potential for further downside or at least a lack of immediate upward momentum. The company's P/E ratio is also above the sector average, potentially indicating a stretched valuation in the current market environment."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "76.37B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "28.88"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "19.57"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "1.48%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "737.76"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "389.52"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Oversold SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($627.53) above the 200-day SMA ($600.95), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 22.9 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Oversold",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "22.86"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-22.87"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "627.53"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "600.95"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.63",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.60",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.13",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.16"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "CMI Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for rally",
    "Higher risk, chasing the move",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (22.9) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$532.98",
    "TARGET 2": "$504.93",
    "TARGET 3": "$476.88",
    "STOP LOSS": "$582.52"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+3.35%",
    "Average Feb return": "-0.19%",
    "Average Mar return": "-2.24%",
    "Average Apr return": "+3.08%",
    "Average May return": "-0.16%",
    "Average Jun return": "+2.76%",
    "Average Jul return": "+4.52%",
    "Average Aug return": "-0.08%",
    "Average Sep return": "+2.36%",
    "Average Oct return": "+3.41%",
    "Average Nov return": "+4.22%",
    "Average Dec return": "-0.95%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "1.74%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in CMI in September 2016 would be worth about $48,074 today, compared with about $35,913 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in CMI today could grow to about $30,299 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $96,010 and a bear case around $9,562. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "CMI Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $857 for CMI by 2030 in the base case, from $550 today (1.6x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $413. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on CMI's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using CMI's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "CMI simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$427",
        "$615",
        "$885"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$410",
        "$687",
        "$1,150"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$408",
        "$767",
        "$1,443"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$413",
        "$857",
        "$1,777"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$424",
        "$957",
        "$2,164"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$438",
        "$1,070",
        "$2,614"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$455",
        "$1,195",
        "$3,137"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$476",
        "$1,335",
        "$3,746"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$499",
        "$1,492",
        "$4,455"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$526",
        "$1,667",
        "$5,281"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/googl-vs-goog/"
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  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "CMI Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "$332.1K",
    "Sold": "$56.8M",
    "Insiders": "30",
    "Avg Transaction": "$2.0M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in CMI",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Nov 14, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "LINEBARGER NORMAN THOMAS Chairman of the Board",
        "Sell",
        "54.8K",
        "$13.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 10, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "EMBREE TRACY A Officer",
        "Sell",
        "46.9K",
        "$11.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 11, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "MILLER WILLIAM I Director",
        "Sell",
        "18.1K",
        "$10.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 21, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "SATTERTHWAITE TONY L Officer",
        "Sell",
        "37.5K",
        "$9.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 31, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "LINEBARGER NORMAN THOMAS Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "37.5K",
        "$7.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 23, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "SATTERTHWAITE LIVINGSTON LORD Officer",
        "Sell",
        "24.3K",
        "$7.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 6, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "SMITH MARK ANDREW Chief Financial Officer",
        "Sell",
        "13.1K",
        "$6.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 11, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "BARNER SHARON R Officer",
        "Sell",
        "24.8K",
        "$5.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 13, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "SMITH MARK ANDREW Chief Financial Officer",
        "Sell",
        "12.5K",
        "$5.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 10, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "SMITH MARK ANDREW Chief Financial Officer",
        "Sell",
        "11.4K",
        "$4.3M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Cummins+Inc&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is the consensus rating for Cummins Inc. (CMI)?",
   "answer": "The consensus rating for Cummins Inc. (CMI) is 'Sell', with a consensus score of 20 out of 100. This rating is primarily driven by heavy insider selling and oversold technical indicators."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the Wall Street consensus for Cummins Inc. (CMI)?",
   "answer": "Wall Street analysts collectively rate Cummins Inc. (CMI) as a 'Buy', with a Wall Street score of 71 out of 100. This consensus is supported by 4 'Strong Buy' ratings, 11 'Buy' ratings, and 8 'Hold' ratings from 23 analysts."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the median analyst price target for Cummins Inc. (CMI)?",
   "answer": "The median analyst price target for Cummins Inc. (CMI) is $771.00, with a range from $530 to $894. This implies an upside of 39.0% from the current price of $554.76."
  },
  {
   "question": "Are insiders buying or selling Cummins Inc. (CMI) stock?",
   "answer": "Insiders at Cummins Inc. (CMI) are heavily net sellers of the stock. Total insider sales amount to $56.8 million, while total purchases are only $332.1 thousand, indicating a strong disposition trend among insiders."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the recent earnings results for Cummins Inc. (CMI)?",
   "answer": "Cummins Inc. (CMI) recently missed its EPS estimate in August 2026, reporting $6.73 against an expected $7.17, which led to a 2.25% price decrease. The company also reported a significant EPS miss in July 2026."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the long-term outlook for Cummins Inc. (CMI)?",
   "answer": "The long-term outlook for Cummins Inc. (CMI) based on Monte Carlo simulations suggests a base case price of $864.33 by 2030, with a downside projection of $416.77 and an upside projection of $1792.52. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees."
  },
  {
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   "answer": "Cummins Inc. (CMI) has a P/E ratio of 28.88, which is higher than the sector average of 25.5. Its reported revenue growth of 9.4% is slightly below the sector average of 10.0%."
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      "text": "The long-term outlook for Cummins Inc. (CMI) based on Monte Carlo simulations suggests a base case price of $864.33 by 2030, with a downside projection of $416.77 and an upside projection of $1792.52. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees."
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      "text": "Cummins Inc. (CMI) has a P/E ratio of 28.88, which is higher than the sector average of 25.5. Its reported revenue growth of 9.4% is slightly below the sector average of 10.0%."
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     "name": "What is CMI stock forecast for 2030?",
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      "@type": "Answer",
      "text": "The forecast for CMI stock in 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case price of $864.33. The downside scenario is $416.77 and the upside scenario is $1792.52. These figures represent statistical simulation outcomes."
     }
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}