{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/chkp-stock-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/chkp-stock-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "Check Point (CHKP) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) stock: Technology, Software - Infrastructure. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP)",
 "published": "2026-07-07T10:20:27+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T22:37:07.087+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-12T22:56:06.843Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "CHKP",
  "name": "Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Technology",
  "industry": "Software - Infrastructure",
  "country": "Israel",
  "website": "https://www.checkpoint.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 131.64,
  "previousClose": 130.51,
  "change": 1.13,
  "changePercent": 0.87,
  "open": 129.21001,
  "high": 132.85001,
  "low": 128.485,
  "volume": 1387742,
  "averageVolume": 986374,
  "marketCap": 13440527459,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 210.66,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 112.23,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T22:36:51.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 13.854564,
  "eps": 9.42,
  "dividendYield": 0,
  "beta": 0.501,
  "priceToSales": 4.8202696,
  "priceToBook": 4.9063907,
  "revenueTtm": 2764400128,
  "grossMargin": 0.8522862232779097,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.37639
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 51.69,
  "macd": 0.75,
  "sma50": 132.36,
  "sma200": 149.79,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Neutral"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 59,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 131.64,
  "analystTarget": 140,
  "analystCount": 38,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T22:36:51.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 131.64,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 2.16,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 130.32,
  "aggressiveEntry": 131.64,
  "stopLoss": 123.68,
  "stopLossPercent": 5.1,
  "targets": [
   134.23,
   136.84,
   140.75
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 98.97,
    "base": 139.82,
    "upside90th": 197.53
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 91.09,
    "base": 148.5,
    "upside90th": 242.08
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 86.69,
    "base": 157.72,
    "upside90th": 286.96
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 83.93,
    "base": 167.52,
    "upside90th": 334.35
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 82.16,
    "base": 177.92,
    "upside90th": 385.3
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 81.06,
    "base": 188.97,
    "upside90th": 440.54
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 80.45,
    "base": 200.7,
    "upside90th": 500.74
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 80.21,
    "base": 213.17,
    "upside90th": 566.49
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 80.29,
    "base": 226.41,
    "upside90th": 638.42
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 80.63,
    "base": 240.47,
    "upside90th": 717.18
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "CHKP Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$129.21",
    "Day Range": "$128.49 to $132.85",
    "Prev Close": "$130.51",
    "Volume": "1.39M",
    "52-Week Range": "$112.23 to $210.66",
    "Market Cap": "$13.44B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-59%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "CHKP Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, CHKP beat estimates 3 times. The stock rose 3 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "CHKP Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($132.36 and $149.79), signaling a bearish short-to-medium term trend. The RSI is at 51.69, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD shows a slight positive divergence. Volume has been notably higher than average recently, suggesting increased investor interest around the current price levels. Key support is near the current price, with resistance found at the 50-day SMA.",
    "Insiders have sold $12.2 million worth of shares across 20 transactions, indicating a net seller position which may weigh on stock performance.",
    "Current quarter revenue estimates project a -1.00% year-over-year change, suggesting challenges in top-line expansion that could impact future earnings.",
    "The 'Hold' consensus from 38 analysts, with a significant number maintaining neutral ratings, reflects a balanced view on the stock's prospects.",
    "Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.'s P/E ratio of 13.85 is substantially lower than the Technology sector median of 34.0, potentially offering a valuation floor.",
    "The base case for Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. over the next 6-12 months suggests a neutral to slightly bearish outlook, with the stock trading near its fair value and below key technical indicators. The median analyst price target of $140 implies limited upside from the current $131.64. Revenue growth is expected to remain subdued, with current quarter estimates showing a slight decline, which could pressure future earnings. Upside potential would likely require a significant acceleration in revenue or a shift in analyst sentiment, while downside risks include continued insider selling and potential competitive pressures in the cybersecurity market."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Consider the moderate insider selling trend as a signal of caution regarding near-term price appreciation.",
     "The stock's current position below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($132.36 and $149.79) suggests a risk-off technical environment.",
     "Given the 'Hold' consensus and limited analyst upside, consider waiting for clearer technical or fundamental catalysts before initiating a position."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Moderate Insider Selling Pressure",
     "text": "Insiders have sold $12.2 million worth of shares across 20 transactions, indicating a net seller position which may weigh on stock performance.",
     "source": "Insider Trading Data"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Subdued Revenue Growth Outlook",
     "text": "Current quarter revenue estimates project a -1.00% year-over-year change, suggesting challenges in top-line expansion that could impact future earnings.",
     "source": "Wall Street Revenue Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Mixed Analyst Sentiment",
     "text": "The 'Hold' consensus from 38 analysts, with a significant number maintaining neutral ratings, reflects a balanced view on the stock's prospects.",
     "source": "Wall Street Consensus"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Below Sector Median P/E Ratio",
     "text": "Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.'s P/E ratio of 13.85 is substantially lower than the Technology sector median of 34.0, potentially offering a valuation floor.",
     "source": "Fundamental Analysis"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. exhibits a Price-to-Earnings ratio of 13.85, which is significantly below the Technology sector median of 34.0, suggesting a potential valuation discount. However, the company's revenue growth has been modest, with current quarter estimates projecting a -1.00% year-over-year change, contrasting with the sector median of 24.1%. While the Return on Equity (ROE) of 13.4% is slightly below the sector median, the company's profitability appears stable, though growth is a concern. The current valuation may reflect these slower growth prospects.",
    "Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. has demonstrated a pattern of slight earnings beats in its recent quarterly reports, with the latest quarter (July 2026) showing an EPS of $2.84 against an estimate of $2.80, a 1.43% surprise. This follows a similar trend in prior quarters, though the magnitude of surprises has varied. Revenue growth remains a point of caution, with current quarter estimates indicating a slight contraction.",
    "The primary risk for Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. lies in its decelerating revenue growth, with current quarter estimates showing a year-over-year decline. Additionally, moderate insider selling totaling $12.2 million across 20 transactions signals a lack of strong conviction from management. The stock is also trading below key moving averages, indicating potential for further downside if broader market sentiment shifts or competitive pressures intensify."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "13.44B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "13.85"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "9.42"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.00%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "210.66"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "112.23"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Neutral RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bullish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $132.36, 200-day: $149.79), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "51.69"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "0.75"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "132.36"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "149.79"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.19",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.12",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.00",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.00"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "CHKP Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (51.7) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$134.23",
    "TARGET 2": "$136.84",
    "TARGET 3": "$140.75",
    "STOP LOSS": "$123.68"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+5.07%",
    "Average Feb return": "-1.35%",
    "Average Mar return": "+0.02%",
    "Average Apr return": "-4.44%",
    "Average May return": "+3.42%",
    "Average Jun return": "-0.08%",
    "Average Jul return": "+2.67%",
    "Average Aug return": "+2.63%",
    "Average Sep return": "-0.32%",
    "Average Oct return": "+1.02%",
    "Average Nov return": "+1.56%",
    "Average Dec return": "+0.76%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "2.16%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in CHKP in September 2016 would be worth about $16,849 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in CHKP today could grow to about $18,267 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $54,480 and a bear case around $6,125. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "CHKP Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $168 for CHKP by 2030 in the base case, from $132 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $83.93. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on CHKP's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using CHKP's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "CHKP simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$98.97",
        "$140",
        "$198"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$91.09",
        "$148",
        "$242"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$86.69",
        "$158",
        "$287"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$83.93",
        "$168",
        "$334"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$82.16",
        "$178",
        "$385"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$81.06",
        "$189",
        "$441"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$80.45",
        "$201",
        "$501"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$80.21",
        "$213",
        "$566"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$80.29",
        "$226",
        "$638"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$80.63",
        "$240",
        "$717"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
   "links": [
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/arm-holdings-arm/"
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "XRP/USD vs ADA/USD Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/xrp-vs-ada/"
    },
    {
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "CHKP Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$12.2M",
    "Insiders": "11",
    "Avg Transaction": "$2.0M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in CHKP",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Jun 2, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "CHELOUCHE YOAV Director",
        "Sell",
        "25.0K",
        "$3.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 11, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "SHAVIT TAL SHENHAV Director",
        "Sell",
        "25.0K",
        "$3.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 11, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "UNGERMAN JERRY T Director",
        "Sell",
        "25.0K",
        "$3.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 4, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "SEDDIK SHERIF Officer",
        "Sell",
        "10.3K",
        "$1.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 3, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "GOLAN ROEI Chief Financial Officer",
        "Sell",
        "9.9K",
        "$1.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 3, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "KREMER NATALY Officer",
        "Sell",
        "665",
        "$82.2K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 2, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "CHELOUCHE YOAV Director",
        "Grant",
        "1.1K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 2, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "GRUBER DAFNA EYAL Director",
        "Grant",
        "1.1K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 2, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "OZER-ARMON TZIPI Director",
        "Grant",
        "1.1K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 2, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "SHAVIT TAL SHENHAV Director",
        "Grant",
        "1.1K",
        "-"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Check+Point+Software+Technologies+Ltd.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.'s stock price prediction for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.'s stock price is projected to be $167.52 in 2030 under a base case scenario. The downside projection is $83.93, while the upside projection reaches $334.35. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. currently holds a 'Hold' consensus rating from Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $140, suggesting limited upside from its current price of $131.64. While its P/E ratio is below the sector average, concerns regarding revenue growth and insider selling temper the bullish case."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the main risks facing Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.?",
   "answer": "Key risks include decelerating revenue growth, with current quarter estimates showing a year-over-year decline, and moderate insider selling totaling $12.2 million. The stock is also trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($132.36 and $149.79), indicating potential for further price weakness."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. compare to its sector averages?",
   "answer": "Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. trades at a P/E ratio of 13.85, significantly lower than the Technology sector median of 34.0. However, its revenue growth of 1.3% lags the sector median of 24.1%, and its ROE of 13.4% is slightly below the sector's 13.4% median."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the recent earnings performance of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.?",
   "answer": "The company has shown a trend of slight earnings beats in recent quarters, with the latest report in July 2026 exceeding estimates by 1.43%. However, revenue growth has been modest, and current quarter estimates indicate a slight year-over-year contraction."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the technical outlook for Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. stock?",
   "answer": "The stock is trading below its key 50-day and 200-day moving averages, suggesting a bearish short-to-medium term trend. While RSI indicates neutral momentum, the MACD shows a slight positive divergence, and recent volume has been above average."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the consensus rating for Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. among Wall Street analysts?",
   "answer": "The consensus rating for Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. is 'Hold', with 38 analysts covering the stock. This includes 1 Strong Buy, 13 Buy, and 24 Hold ratings, contributing to a Wall Street score of 60 out of 100."
  }
 ],
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