{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/carr-stock-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/carr-stock-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "Carrier Global (CARR) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Carrier Global Corp. (CARR) stock: Industrials, Building Products & Equipment. $46.7B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Carrier Global Corp. (CARR)",
 "published": "2026-07-05T09:26:17+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T18:03:55.512+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T20:41:07.829Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "CARR",
  "name": "Carrier Global Corp.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Industrials",
  "industry": "Building Products & Equipment",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.carrier.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 58.24,
  "previousClose": 56.64,
  "change": 1.6,
  "changePercent": 2.82,
  "open": 57.325,
  "high": 58.25,
  "low": 57.21,
  "volume": 182308,
  "averageVolume": 4714701,
  "marketCap": 46689771228,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 76.76,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 50.24,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T18:03:53.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 40.45714,
  "eps": 1.4,
  "dividendYield": 0.016493428399622024,
  "beta": 1.298,
  "priceToSales": 2.1118948,
  "priceToBook": 3.5544398,
  "revenueTtm": 22108000256,
  "grossMargin": 0.2720831365139348,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.08966
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 40.19,
  "macd": -1.62,
  "sma50": 63.52,
  "sma200": 61.52,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Sell",
  "score": 21,
  "consensus": "Sell",
  "fairValue": 58.24,
  "analystTarget": 78,
  "analystCount": 24,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T18:03:53.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 58.235,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 1.56,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bearish",
  "conservativeEntry": 59.4,
  "aggressiveEntry": 58.24,
  "stopLoss": 61.18,
  "stopLossPercent": 3,
  "targets": [
   56.43,
   53.46,
   50.49
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 41.64,
    "base": 66.98,
    "upside90th": 107.74
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 39.33,
    "base": 77.03,
    "upside90th": 150.87
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 38.9,
    "base": 88.6,
    "upside90th": 201.82
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 39.39,
    "base": 101.9,
    "upside90th": 263.65
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 40.49,
    "base": 117.2,
    "upside90th": 339.24
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 42.08,
    "base": 134.8,
    "upside90th": 431.84
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 44.08,
    "base": 155.04,
    "upside90th": 545.23
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 46.49,
    "base": 178.31,
    "upside90th": 683.97
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 49.28,
    "base": 205.08,
    "upside90th": 853.51
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 52.47,
    "base": 235.88,
    "upside90th": 1060.36
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "CARR Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$57.33",
    "Day Range": "$57.21 to $58.25",
    "Prev Close": "$56.64",
    "Volume": "182.3K",
    "52-Week Range": "$50.24 to $76.76",
    "Market Cap": "$46.69B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+59%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "CARR Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, CARR beat estimates 3 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often \"priced in\" or investors are selling the news."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "CARR Analysis",
   "text": [
    "With an RSI of 40.19, Carrier Global Corp. exhibits neutral momentum, neither overbought nor oversold. The stock is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($63.52 and $61.52), indicating a bearish trend. The MACD is negative at -1.62, further reinforcing the bearish technical outlook. Volume has been significantly below average, with the latest volume at 182,308 compared to a 4,714,701 average, suggesting a lack of conviction from traders. Key support levels are not clearly defined by the current technical setup, given the downward trend. Resistance is expected around the 50-day and 200-day moving averages.",
    "Insiders have sold approximately $1 billion in stock versus $1 million in purchases across 17 transactions, indicating a strong lack of confidence in the company's near-term prospects.",
    "Carrier Global Corp. is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($63.52 and $61.52), signaling a bearish technical trend.",
    "With 24 analysts covering the stock, the consensus rating is 'Hold', and the median price target of $78.00 suggests potential upside, but the overall sentiment is not strongly bullish.",
    "The company offers a dividend yield of 1.62%, providing a modest income stream to shareholders.",
    "The outlook for Carrier Global Corp. is bearish, driven by significant insider selling and a neutral Wall Street consensus. The company's stock is trading below key technical levels, and its valuation appears stretched compared to industry averages. Near-term, the stock may face continued downward pressure as investors digest the implications of heavy insider divestitures. Potential catalysts for a shift in sentiment could include a significant improvement in earnings performance, a clear strategy to address insider selling concerns, or a broader market rally that lifts industrial stocks. However, without a change in insider behavior or a substantial improvement in fundamental outlook, the risks appear to outweigh the potential rewards."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor insider transactions closely; the current heavy selling trend is a strong bearish signal for Carrier Global Corp.",
     "Given the stock's position below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($63.52 and $61.52), consider waiting for a confirmed technical uptrend before initiating a long position.",
     "The dividend yield of 1.62% may appeal to income investors, but it is currently overshadowed by the significant risks associated with insider selling and valuation."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Heavy Insider Selling Exceeds $1 Billion",
     "text": "Insiders have sold approximately $1 billion in stock versus $1 million in purchases across 17 transactions, indicating a strong lack of confidence in the company's near-term prospects.",
     "source": "Insider Transactions"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Stock Trading Below Key Moving Averages",
     "text": "Carrier Global Corp. is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($63.52 and $61.52), signaling a bearish technical trend.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Wall Street Maintains Neutral Consensus",
     "text": "With 24 analysts covering the stock, the consensus rating is 'Hold', and the median price target of $78.00 suggests potential upside, but the overall sentiment is not strongly bullish.",
     "source": "Wall Street Analysts"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Dividend Payout",
     "text": "The company offers a dividend yield of 1.62%, providing a modest income stream to shareholders.",
     "source": "Dividend Data"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Carrier Global Corp. trades at a P/E ratio of 40.46, significantly above the sector average of 25.5, suggesting it is overvalued relative to its peers. The company's EPS stands at $1.40. While the stock offers a dividend yield of 1.62%, the high valuation multiples coupled with the heavy insider selling raise concerns about its fundamental attractiveness. The company's revenue growth of 3.9% is below the sector average of 10.0%. Further analysis of its balance sheet and profit margins would be necessary to fully assess its financial health, but the current valuation and insider sentiment suggest caution.",
    "Carrier Global Corp. recently reported an EPS of $0.86 for the July 2026 quarter, beating the estimate of $0.82 by 4.88%, though the stock price reacted negatively with a -5.13% change. The prior quarter saw an EPS of $0.57, exceeding estimates by 11.76% with a positive 0.67% price change. Prior to that, the company missed estimates in February 2026 and October 2025, indicating an inconsistent earnings performance.",
    "The most significant risk for Carrier Global Corp. is the heavy insider selling, with over $1 billion in sales against only $1 million in purchases, signaling a strong lack of confidence from management. The stock is also trading below key moving averages, indicating a bearish technical trend. Also, the company's P/E ratio of 40.46 is substantially higher than the sector average, suggesting a potential valuation risk."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "46.69B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "40.46"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "1.40"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "1.62%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "76.76"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "50.24"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($63.52) above the 200-day SMA ($61.52), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "40.19"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-1.62"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "63.52"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "61.52"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.54",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.49",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "-0.08",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.10"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "CARR Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for rally",
    "Higher risk, chasing the move",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (40.2) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$56.43",
    "TARGET 2": "$53.46",
    "TARGET 3": "$50.49",
    "STOP LOSS": "$61.18"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+1.35%",
    "Average Feb return": "-0.54%",
    "Average Mar return": "+7.70%",
    "Average Apr return": "+2.81%",
    "Average May return": "+4.11%",
    "Average Jun return": "+5.06%",
    "Average Jul return": "+7.65%",
    "Average Aug return": "+1.50%",
    "Average Sep return": "-2.71%",
    "Average Oct return": "-0.81%",
    "Average Nov return": "+4.98%",
    "Average Dec return": "-1.98%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "1.56%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in CARR in March 2020 would be worth about $47,200 today, compared with about $31,509 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in CARR today could grow to about $40,504 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $182,083 and a bear case around $9,010. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "CARR Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $102 for CARR by 2030 in the base case, from $58.24 today (1.7x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $39.39. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on CARR's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using CARR's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "CARR simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$41.64",
        "$66.98",
        "$108"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$39.33",
        "$77.03",
        "$151"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$38.90",
        "$88.60",
        "$202"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$39.39",
        "$102",
        "$264"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$40.49",
        "$117",
        "$339"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$42.08",
        "$135",
        "$432"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$44.08",
        "$155",
        "$545"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$46.49",
        "$178",
        "$684"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$49.28",
        "$205",
        "$854"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$52.47",
        "$236",
        "$1,060"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare CARR",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "CARR vs TT Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/carr-vs-tt/"
    },
    {
     "text": "NUE vs STLD Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/nue-vs-stld/"
    },
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/gld-vs-iau/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "CARR Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "$1.0M",
    "Sold": "$1.0B",
    "Insiders": "10",
    "Avg Transaction": "$350.3M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in CARR",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "May 20, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "VIESSMANN MAXIMILIAN Director",
        "Sell",
        "12.1M",
        "$750.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 5, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "VIESSMANN MAXIMILIAN Director",
        "Sell",
        "4.3M",
        "$300.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 8, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "GITLIN DAVID L Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "354.5K",
        "$19.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 29, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "TIMPERMAN JURGEN Officer",
        "Sell",
        "198.8K",
        "$12.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 6, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "O'CONNOR KEVIN J Officer",
        "Sell",
        "167.2K",
        "$12.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 31, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "TIMPERMAN JURGEN Officer",
        "Sell",
        "197.5K",
        "$11.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 13, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "NELSON CHRISTOPHER JOHN Officer",
        "Sell",
        "213.4K",
        "$9.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 8, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "TIMPERMAN JURGEN Officer",
        "Sell",
        "213.4K",
        "$9.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 10, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "VILLENEUVE NADIA Officer",
        "Sell",
        "98.4K",
        "$6.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 29, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "TIMPERMAN JURGEN Officer",
        "Sell",
        "142.0K",
        "$6.2M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Carrier+Global+Corp.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "Is Carrier Global Corp. stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Carrier Global Corp. is currently rated as a Sell by our AI, with heavy insider selling and a neutral Wall Street consensus. The stock is trading below its key moving averages, and its P/E ratio is significantly above the sector average, suggesting it is not an attractive buy at this time."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is Carrier Global Corp.'s price target?",
   "answer": "The median Wall Street analyst price target for Carrier Global Corp. is $78.00, indicating a potential upside of 33.9% from the current price of $58.24. However, this target should be viewed with caution due to significant insider selling."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the biggest risks for Carrier Global Corp. stock?",
   "answer": "The primary risks for Carrier Global Corp. include substantial insider selling totaling over $1 billion, a bearish technical trend indicated by prices below moving averages, and a high valuation relative to its sector peers. These factors suggest potential downside."
  },
  {
   "question": "How is Carrier Global Corp. performing financially?",
   "answer": "Carrier Global Corp. reported mixed recent earnings, with a beat in the latest quarter but a negative stock reaction. Revenue growth of 3.9% is below the sector average, and the P/E ratio of 40.46 is considerably higher than the industry median."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the outlook for Carrier Global Corp. stock?",
   "answer": "The outlook for Carrier Global Corp. is cautious due to heavy insider selling and bearish technicals. While Wall Street has a neutral consensus and a price target suggesting upside, the current data points towards potential downward pressure on the stock."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the dividend yield for Carrier Global Corp.?",
   "answer": "Carrier Global Corp. offers a dividend yield of approximately 1.62%, with a dividend rate of $0.945. This provides some income for shareholders, but it does not outweigh the significant risks indicated by insider selling and valuation."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the long-term forecast for Carrier Global Corp. stock?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the long-range projection for Carrier Global Corp. in 2030 suggests a base price of $101.90, with a downside price of $39.39 and an upside price of $263.65. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees, and should be considered alongside current market conditions and insider sentiment."
  }
 ],
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    "price": "$106.49",
    "change": "-0.5881%",
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